According to our MSNBC/McClatchy pollster, Brad Coker, there is an additional 7-8% of the electorate that he didn't not include in the results, because these folks had not yet decided which primary they would vote in. As many folks know, New Hampshire independents can vote in either primary. Says Coker: "While we did not include them in the survey, we did not completely discard them. Instead, we asked them who they would vote for in each primary. The results among those expressing a preference were": 47% of these undecided indies would back Obama, Edwards was the choice of 27%, and Clinton 20%. If these people all voted in the GOP primary, 43% of them would vote for McCain, 20% for Romney, and 10% for Huckabee.

So as one can see, nearly 50% of these undecided indies are choosing between McCain and Obama. More from Coker: "Depending on if these voters actually show up and which ballot they choose to take, Obama and McCain potentially could add 2-3 points on to their leads over their closest rivals."

Coker also offers this warning: "In the interviewing conducted before Iowa, both races were essentially even. In the one night of interviewing after Iowa, Obama and McCain pulled ahead.  What we don't know is if this is simply a "blip" or the beginning of a "surge".  It is possible that by Tuesday these leads are double of what they are now, or that the races have settled back to the tight ones they were a few days ago. When you're surveying in the middle of the moment when things are set in motion, there is really no way to predict how and where they will eventually end up."

Speaking of independents, here is the New York Times' take on the battle for this voting bloc. 

The Union Leader: "And while some voters from each party are still struggling to settle on a candidate, perhaps no other voting bloc may be less predictable than the largest one: the independents, who will have the opportunity to vote in either the Democratic or Republican contest. All of the campaigns are hoping to persuade those voters to swing their way. For some candidates -- especially Sens. McCain and Obama, local experts say -- those votes could make a world of difference."

They don't call New Hampshire one of the easiest states in the country to poll for no other reason than there are A LOT more last-minute surveys than Iowa. In addition to our MSNBC/McClatchy poll, anew WHDH/Suffolk University tracking poll has Clinton slightly ahead of Obama, 35%-33%. Yesterday, the poll had it Clinton 36% Obama 29%. "Barack Obama has cut a 17 point deficit to just 2 points today," said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, in a release. "He's done this in four days with no sign of a slowing trend." On the GOP side, it's Romney 30%, McCain 27%, and Giuliani 10%.

Meanwhile, a new CNN/WMUR/University of New Hampshire poll has Clinton and Obama tied at 33% each, with Edwards in third at 20%. On the GOP side, it's McCain 33%, Romney 27%, Giuliani 14%, and Huckabee 11%.

A Concord Monitor/Research 2000 poll, conducted Jan. 4-5, has McCain leading Romney 35%-295 on the GOP side and Obama leading Clinton by one point, 34%-33%. 

And in the Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll, Obama is also moving. Clinton leads by a point, 31%-30% -- but that's another night of gains for Obama, suggesting that as with the Suffolk poll, Obama could end up in the lead tomorrow. On the GOP side, the poll has Romney up a point, a three-point swing from yesterday, when McCain was up two points.