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Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Security politics

Posted: Tuesday, November 28, 2006 9:07 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

 

The White House yesterday "conceded that Iraq has moved into a dangerous new phase of warfare requiring changes in strategy," and "U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan appealed for immediate steps to prevent the country from crumbling into all-out civil war," says the Washington Post.  "The White House again resisted assertions that Iraq is now in a civil war, but that stance is increasingly hard to defend."  The Post reports that Saudi Arabia "basically summoned Vice President Cheney for talks over the weekend," whereas the "visit was originally portrayed as U.S. outreach to its oil-rich Arab ally." 

Per McClatchy, some regional experts think that Iraq's "cascading civil war" is beyond Washington's control.  "If Iraq is to hold together and avoid an all-out bloodbath, they say, it will be because the country's warring factions step back from the brink and forge some sort of political compromise.  That seems like a pipe dream after a weekend of the worst violence for Iraqi civilians since the March 2003 U.S.-led invasion."

Several papers cover NBC's decision to characterize the Iraq conflict as a civil war, making it the first network to do so.  "NBC's announcement spotlights a shift in semantics that has quietly taken place on the airwaves and in newsprint as the violence has worsened along with the public's view of the situation in Iraq," the Los Angeles Times says.  "The White House continued to object to the description...  Political analysts said NBC's public embrace of the term further complicated the administration's efforts to maintain that the violence had not spun out of control." 

"Some media analysts compared it to CBS anchorman Walter Cronkite's declaration in 1968 that the United States was losing the Vietnam War -- a pronouncement now considered a turning point in public opinion -- and Ted Koppel's ABC updates on the Iranian hostage crisis of 1979 and 1980 that infuriated Jimmy Carter's White House." 

Britain, Poland and Italy all say they'll begin withdrawing troops from Iraq in 2007. 

The New York Times front-pages that, per a senior US intelligence official, Iranian-backed Hezbollah has been training Moktada al-Sadr’s Shiite militia in Iraq.  “The interview occurred at a time of intense debate over whether the United States should enlist Iran’s help in stabilizing Iraq…  The claim about Hezbollah’s role in training Shiite militias could strengthen the hand of those in the Bush administration who oppose a major new diplomatic involvement with Iran.” 

And the Times notes that the Justice Department inspector general has opened a full review of the Administration’s domestic wiretapping program.  The paper says this review “will have a somewhat different scope” than the one rejected last year after Bush personally refused security clearances for investigators.  This one "will examine the controls in place at the Justice Department for the eavesdropping, the way information developed from it was used, and the department’s ‘compliance with legal requirements governing the program.’” 

It “is not expected to address whether the controversial program is an unconstitutional expansion of presidential power, as its critics and a judge have charged," the AP adds. 

The AP also reports that Defense Secretary nominee Robert Gates could be on the job before the end of the year.  "Eric Ruff, the Pentagon press secretary, said Gates will have his confirmation hearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee early next week, with a vote expected by the full Senate by Dec. 12 or 13...  There has been speculation that the Pentagon transition would be put off until the end of December in order to give Rumsfeld the distinction of being the longest-serving secretary of defense...  Ruff said, however, that the timing of Gates' takeover has nothing to do with the longevity record." 

In more personnel news, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is losing her "intellectual soul mate:" her counselor Philip Zelikow. 

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Comments

If we believe the President, that all the woes in Iraq are because of Al Queda, then what can we conclude? It tells me that we have let binLaden use his influence to pursuade the insurgents to fight on his side. If this is true, then we have accomplished nothing during the past 3 1/2 years. This can only be attributed to the total incompetence of this administration to successfully carry out its war of choice. This President will be in office until January 20, 2009. I do not believe he is going to do anything different about this war. He is staying the course, and we are all along for the ride until then. We must be very careful who will be voted into office as our next President. And the choices are uninspiring from either party.
It looks to me like the Iraqis are already IN an all out bloodbath. All that's missing are bathtubs (or maybe that is a hidden requirement of this Administration). The Iraq War spun out of control a long time ago, about the same time the White House Spin, spun out of control.
Congratulations NBC for your honesty in reporting. You were first in reporting the government's mishandling and incompetence after Katrina and now you're calling a spade a spade with the civil war in Iraq. Kudos to you. Maybe Bush and his spinners will pull their heads out of the sand if they see the public isn't buying their lies anymore.
When congress was voting to let this war start I wrote my congressman and said "We could occupy Iraq for fifty years and upon departing a civil war would erupt and some strongman dictator would be in charge". I was wrong the civil war is already well underway. When this administration decided to invade Iraq I doubt that they knew the difference between the sects but cosidered it something like way a baptist differs from a methodist. They were saying that the Iraqis would run like rabbits like they did in the first Gulf War. Before invasion Rumsfeld said said this war will be numbered in weeks not months, it has now been 182 weeks and the war outlasted Rumsfeld. Mr. President since you don't like the term CIVIL WAR call it PEANUT BUTTER AND GET THE HELL OUT.
As a moderate GOP dude, I agree that it is a civil war and spin will not change it. now- do we pick a side or get out of the way? I say- get out of the way. Let them settle the eon old battle of Sunni vs. Shiite. Allow the Iraqis to pick their form of ogvernment and then suport their selected government. we, as a global force, need to ensure the bloodbath does not spill into regional battle, give assistance to those who want support and protect free trade and the oil. Yes, Dorothy, it is all about oil, no matter what your teachers are telling you. I can call my dodge a Lexus but that does not make it so. I can call Kim Il Jong sane, but that does make it so. I can call John Kerry electable as a Presidential candidate, but that does not make it so. I can wish for Congress to reform and for the Bushites to wake the heck ,but that does not make it so. Iraq=civil war.
Well, bush refuses to call it a civil war and he is still President. He has just stated in a speech at the Nato Summit that its a hard job, but we are not leaving Iraq until democracy is established there. Stay the course. So, I take this to mean he is not going to take any suggestions from a panel or anyone else on how he is going to continue to run this war in Iraq. He says he is the decider and that is it. Until January 20th, 2009, the country will continue to be run by this man and so will the war in Iraq. In his mind god told him he is right and that is it.Everyone who voted for him in 2004 should be pleased, those who did not vote for him are increasingly questioning his sanity.
We have to stabilize Iraq and the broader regional dynamic in order to make the region less conducive to extremism, because if we don't, the extremist values will become mainstream and we will have a much worse security situation develop in the future. Gen. John P. Abizaid, commander, U.S. Central Command, This was from the CENTCOM commander. He is correct in the aspect of regional security is at risk if the extremeists become the mainstream force in the Middle East. If Hamas, Hizbollah and al-Qaeda take over, there will be no legitmate governments, only countries ruled by fanatical extremists and peace w/ the West will never be realized agian.
I voted GOP in 2004, better than the arrogant idiot, bright as a burned out light bulb, Kerry. However, using my skill as armchair QB, I now see that Dubya has been captured by aliens from the planet Neocon and they have sucked any moderate compassion out of his husk. So sad, so sad. As an Afghan and Iraq veteran, we have passed into the make beleive world of " It is not a civil war, it will be okay, but hey- why don't we just pick up and leave". So complex a mission and our government- both sides of the aisle and White house, do not show the mental and diplomatic skills to extract this nation from the mire and slime of Iraq. Some of these folks we have elected left their intellect w/ the lobbyists, in exchange for dollars. so sad. As the queen of Hearts said in alice in wonderland "Off with their heads!"
Mitchell from Virginia, how many more sevicemen and sevicewomen do we need? If we have to stay there until a secure democracy is established, we will need new troops. How are we going to get more? The rest of the coalition are leaving.
Jane...was just using CENTCOM commander qoute. I think a redistribution of troops may be an answer. Gen Abizad is correct- regional stability is needed. Arabs need to police their own folks, to keep the peace so to speak. This should have been plan from beginning..no USA goes alone. We, as "infidels" will never be the "solution" but by giving overarching security we can be a piece of the solution.
What planet does George W Bush live on? He is completely devoid of the reality on the ground in Iraq. There is a distinct big difference from a president with 'vision' and one with 'visions'.
Frank, I did not vote for Bush and was never behind this war. the only satisfaction I have right now is knowing I was right on both counts.But, I see no easy solutions here right now. Any viable options we had were ignored by the President and members of Congress. anyone in disagreement was called unpatriotic. So, he will be the President until Jan. 20th 2009. If we don't come up with a different plan moving forward, we are going to be in a whole lot of trouble.
2003 - Sept 2004 :"Stay the Course;" Oct 2006: "It's never been a 'stay the course' policy;" now after the election? "stay the course!" Why would he do anything else? The longer this war drags out, the more money Chaney and Haliburton can steal from the taxpayers. This war has never been about terrorism, its about getting rich and increasing executive power to the point where Bush could nullify the next Election in the name of national security. Bush has no interest in winning this war or his "War on Terror" anytime soon, as the war is the only thing keeping him relevent in his last two years.
It is being said that the best thing to do is reposition troops from Al Anbar to Baghdad and leave the province to Al Qaida. What???? The proposal will turn over a large part of Iraq to the very group that Bush-baby and his cohorts are blaming for the attacks in Iraq. Does this make sense? Abizaid says that Baghdad stability is more important. I am beginning to think that the people involved in making decisions are all living in la-la land. If any sensible plans come from the study group, does anyone out there believe they have the chance of a snowball in hell of being implemented? Not if they go against the "decider's" wishes! After 70 years on this planet, I am really finally afraid for our country and its future. Electing this administration with its dependency on advisors like Rove, Wolfowitz and other hawks was the worst thing that could have happened to our country. No, I had better not say that because it could get worse. Our troops are doing a magnificent job, but they cannot hold out forever in this civil war in Iraq.


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