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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Oh-eight (D): Paging Dr. Melfi!

Posted: Friday, June 22, 2007 9:12 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

CLINTON:

As predicted, columnists are using the Sopranos spoof to do some Clinton analysis.  Here's Peggy Noonan: "So, the Sopranos spoof wasn't bringing up That Which Must Not Be Said. It was saying it and getting rid of it. (A piquant aspect: The bad guy in the video who eyeballs Mrs. Clinton really ‘is’ a mobster, the actor who played Johnny Sack in ‘The Sopranos.’ The Clintons' enemies are the real gangsters!)”

Apparently, Stevie Van Zandt, a.k.a. Silvio, turned down the Johnny Sacks part in the Sopranos spoof because he’s supporting Obama. Van Zandt amazingly is now more known for his role in the Sopranos than as a member of Bruce Springsteen's band. What a country!

Bill is taking a hands-off approach, he says. “‘I don't expect to do a lot of this this year and I don't think it's helpful,’ the former President said, referring to an upcoming campaign trip in Iowa in which he will accompany her. ‘I want people to get to know Hillary.’”

DODD: Like a bridge over troubled campaigns... Paul Simon is going to campaign with Chris Dodd for two days in July in Iowa.

EDWARDS:

The New York Times examines the poverty center Edwards formed just after the 2004 election, and it says Edwards "pushed at the boundaries of how far such organizations can venture into the political realm." The organization, "the Center for Promise and Opportunity, raised $1.3 million in 2005, and — unlike a sister charity he created to raise scholarship money for poor students — the main beneficiary of the center’s fund-raising was Mr. Edwards himself, tax filings show.”

More: “A spokesman for Mr. Edwards defended the center yesterday as a legitimate tool against poverty. The organization became a big part of a shadow political apparatus for Mr. Edwards after his defeat as the Democratic vice presidential nominee in 2004 and before the start of his presidential bid this time around. Its officers were members of his political staff, and it helped pay for his nearly constant travel, including to early primary states.”

The AP covers Edwards’ speech in New York last night, in which he “focused on the economic gap that he argues has widened since his last run… Edwards told the crowd at the Cooper Union school that people deserve the American dream, the right to succeed on the strength of one's own merits, but that too many Americans don't have the opportunity anymore.”

OBAMA:

In his speech today, per his campaign, Obama will pledge to enact the most sweeping ethics reform package in history on his first day as president. His plan includes: 1) closing the revolving door between government and the private sector by requiring that no political appointee be able to lobby the executive branch for the remainder of his potential administration; 2) ending the abuse of no-bid contracts; 3) restoring objectivity to the executive branch; and 4) increasing public access to information.

Obama will say, according to excerpts of his speech: “I know that in every campaign, politicians make promises about cleaning up Washington. And most times, you end up disappointed when it doesn’t happen. So it’s easy to become cynical -- to believe that change isn’t possible; that the odds are too great; that this year is bound to be no different from the last. But I also know what I’ve seen and what I’ve done.  I know that for me, reform isn’t just the rhetoric of a campaign; it’s been a cause of my career.”

Yet the speech comes at the same time as this news does: It appears that the first 527 formed to benefit one of the '08 Democrats is out and it's a group formed to benefit Obama. The group, "Vote Hope," does not bill itself as a 527 group. In fact, on their Web site, they specifically ask for money that falls under federal hard money campaign limits. But the group has also registered as a 527 group (established March 21, 2007).

The Los Angeles Times reports on the existence of the group but calls the group a PAC, not a 527. The paper says that the group was formed by California Dem activists, Steve Phillips and his wife, Susan Sandler. Phillips said his organization would not attack Obama's foes, and instead would focus on getting out the vote for the Illinois Democrat among minorities, the poor and students.

For the record, Obama has been outspoken against the rise of 527s. To date, we know of two other 527s related to '08 candidates. Newt Gingrich actually uses one to pay for his political expenses, and there's an anti-McCain one called "Vietnam Veterans against John McCain."

The Obama campaign chose four donors to have dinner with the Illinois senator. One is a Bronx man who works in a food bank and gave just $25 the campaign. “I gave him $25. It's all I could afford. Now I'm trying not to jump up in excitement,” Haile Rivera, a former Clinton Senate campaign volunteer, told the NY Daily News.

Here's something we're likely to hear more about in the coming months. Did you know that Obama's church "took a stance on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict that the Anti-Defamation League rebuked as "unfair and one-sided”? The Sun-Times profiles the church.

And the Chicago Tribune's McCormick offers up a news analysis lead only Phil Singer could love: "Despite often lofty rhetoric that he plans to bring the nation a ‘new kind of politics,’ Sen. Barack Obama has surrounded himself with operatives skilled in the old-school art of the political backstab."

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Comments

Hillary doen't need to do a hatched job with you carrying the water for her.  Why don't you spend your time and do something good for the country and ask Miss Hillary to release all that "PORK' she requested.  Now that would probably give people alot to talk about.
Go Hillary, I can't wait til she wins. I'm gonna celebrate for a week. Go Hillary!!!
Peggy just can't help herself, lol. She's usually smarter than this. Listen GOPers, the Clintons want you to analyze the Soprano angle of that video. That's why its there... hoping y'all will bite. Because when you do, it looks really silly. Its a funny video, not attacking anyone and seemingly to independents innocuous and cute. And when independents see you draw some "lessons" from it about Clinton's "criminal" inclinations, it just makes you look really dumb. Really dumb... even someone who isn't like Peggy Noonan. You actually are innoculating them against your later negative attacks. And this was all by design. Clinton knows she's a lightning rod. She knows if nominated she'll inspire yet another big-time negative campaign. Her defense is to make the negativity look over-the-top and downright silly. And attacking this video is both.
My apologies for two things one the misspelling of "doesn't" and two, the direction to the Peggy Noonan article.  I suggest if any one wants to know the REAL Hillary  check out the article  and the "HIT JOB" site the Clintons have set up at Hillaryis44.org.  Bloggers should have a field day with this one.  Thanks guys for bringing it to our attention
Ah, I apologize to Noonan. I just read her piece (and this time paid attention, lol). She actually was making the same point I did above, though not in my stilted, messageboardese.
Peggy has spent way to much time, fidgeting in the corner, staring at the wall, thinking about Hillary.  She needs a hobby.  Maybe knitting.  How about a Dubya Afghan?  Or a Reagan Comforter?
Senator Clinton I am so proud of you. You are and have always been a class act. Do not let your guard down, we know the evil at your back.
The job you do in the Senate is outstanding, as usual you work 10 times harder than the men and get more done.
Women are supporting you because they know how hard it is to succeed in the old boy network.
Women are the MARJORITY. Vote early and vote often.
Senator Clinton I am so proud of you. You are and have always been a class act. Do not let your guard down, we know the evil at your back.
The job you do in the Senate is outstanding, as usual you work 10 times harder than the men and get more done.
Women are supporting you because they know how hard it is to succeed in the old boy network.
Women are the MARJORITY. Vote early and vote often.
sorry for the 2 same posts...but DITTO!
It looks as if the more Hillary is attacked, the stronger she gets. This sounds alot like her husband, the more the repubs went after him, the more formidible he became. Go Hillary, I'm beginning to like you more each day!
H P Boston, if hillary is nominated rudy will be the next president
"MARJORITY"?  I guess the polls are correct that Clinton owes her lead to less educated women.
NO the polls said MORE educated women. EDucated as Hillary is, strong, intelligent, informed and impressed!
Susan I KNOW you are smart!  We are the Majority!!!!
Way more women than men in this country.
The Old men sent the young men off to die!
Dee, as much as I can't stand typos and all the other sloppy errors in everything I see printed these days, I don't usually put people down for them. And I see typos in all sorts of publications, not just message boards and e-mails. It seems to be a symptom of being in too much of a hurry to read things over before hitting send, among other things. I take it you assume that H P is a lesser educated woman because of the word "MARJORITY" as opposed to any of the ideas H P has presented. Harsh.
Right on HP! And yes, I am an intelligent woman and will certainly be voting for Hillary if she is nominated. I am disappointed she voted for this war but many people were conned by Bush and co. I was not fooled. I am willing to overlook her vote on the war, which has become an impossible situation- but I also know who is solely responsible for it. George w. Bush.
She hasn't released her socialized ideas on the country yet.  If she thinks she is under attack now, this is only a pebble in the creek.  H P, are you getting a weekly check from the clintons like everybody thinks I am from the GOP?  Hillary works 10 times harder???  her record seems to be the other way around.  
Now did you all get to see how I received support from WOMEN.  They came to my defense and helped DEE see that we can get past a typo. I also meant to say impressive not impressed. So shoot ME DEE then turn your gun on shrub! I am willing to sacrifice myself for the good of the world! Are you? lol
Jerry, you must admit it,you hate women- very angry towards women in general. What gives? And don't tell me it's just Hillary. Or maybe just intimidated by them.
The handbook for our local highschool has dozens of typos or words that are, in fact, spelled incorrectly.  We quit taking the local paper because my husband was using up all our red pens circling errors.  Occasional boo-boos on here just make me chuckle.  Sometimes the mistakes form interesting new words!  Marjority...I kinda like that.
The same old "Crap"!!  Self serving and goose steping!!  Is her old man bank rolling her???  America ""suck up to this and we all will be eating slop for four years!!!!!
As an Independent, I call it like I see it.  If Hillary gets the nomination, she'll go through the GOP candidate like a stolen car.  HP is right.  Way more women.  And just like the way they keep religions going, they keep governments going.  They'll never get to run the religions and they know that.  If they ever get the chance to run the government, there may never be another male President, again.  Fine by me.  My fellow Men have been goofin this country up for 231 years.  If Betsy Ross was President and Washington sewed the Flag, we might be a better Nation today, except for a goofy Flag.
YES jERRY I MAKE LARGE AMOUNTS OF MONEY..The DNC pays very well and the Clintons are giving me a cut in all land deals, drug co,etc...I do think you should check Senator Clintons record so that you can see that you are smoking bad stuff! jerry you ARE slipping, you forgot to nail me on my TYPO'S. LOL
So how much does the GOP pay? I can be bought.
It's definitely time for a woman to try her hand at POTUS. Hillary Clinton is a superb choice.  And, yes, I am a professional female with a college degree or two.  

Those of you Republicans who think you will win on your same old 2006 message -- "{fill in the blank} Democrat is very, very scarey to me. Therefore, don't vote for Democrats!" -- are in for an even bigger thumpin' in 2008 if you keep it up.

Instead of just simply calling Senator Clinton idiotic names, how about taking an actual issue from her website and debating it with us "dumb" chicks?

Health care? We want it.
Out of Iraq? We want it.
A fair wage? We want it.
Great public schools in every community? We want it.
A woman making her own choices? We demand it.
Next?
Susan in Miami - she gets stronger when she's attacked for silly things like the Sopranos reference in her campaign song video. I really hate to agree with Jerry, lol, but you ain't see nuthin' yet. If nominated, she would face a withering, persistant attack on a wide variety of issues. They'll try to paint her as controlling, manipulative and sneaky. Like most political attack campaigns, there will be a mix of truth and hyperbole. And with her high negatives, which primarily come down to a sense that she can't be trusted and a sense she's a touch more socialistic than folks are comfortable with, those attacks will resonate. Look at it this way - her negatives are hard numbers. Folks who don't trust won't vote for her, period. This means whatever negative campaign the Republicans launch only has to steer a few percentage points (as in 3-4 percent) of voters away from her. Its an easy thing to do. She isn't mathematically unelectable, but in practical terms, she is unelectable. Nominating her would be political suicide for the Democrats - a great squandering of the surest non-incumbent presidential cycle I can think of.
Steve Turner you are a clear thinking man!
As a woman who never supports or believes in any MANS religion or trusts any MANS goverment I demand better.
It is time women step up and change this piss poor aministration and jail these criminals.
This is the very best time for Hillary to run for President, the repugs are toast and she can win.
The criminals in power now will of course resort to crime again to keep that from happening.
We must fight them every inch of the way.


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