ABOUT FIRST READ

First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



First thoughts

Posted: Wednesday, June 27, 2007 9:18 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Carly Zakin
*** Squeezed: Anyone else sense that the walls are closing in on President Bush? Venerable Republican Sen. Dick Lugar, as well as fellow GOPer George Voinovich, is now calling for a change of course in Iraq; John Warner is close, too, apparently. While the Senate immigration bill Bush supports cleared an important hurdle yesterday, its passage is still in doubt, and the debate over it will only continue to alienate a large portion of his base. And even Cheney -- with his claim of not belonging to the executive branch -- is creating additional headaches for the White House. Of course, these three things (Iraq, immigration, and Cheney) have dogged Bush for most of his second term, and he continues to persevere, albeit with lower and lower poll numbers. But is this time different? Will we begin to see loyal Bush backers break away from Bush, like Matthew Dowd did back in April? Is this not just the "turning point" week on Iraq, but also the denouement of the Bush presidency?


VIDEO: Sen. Richard Lugar talks to TODAY’s Matt Lauer after breaking ranks with the president on the Iraq war.

*** Lights, Camera, Action! Fred Thompson travels to Columbia, SC to speak at a state GOP event there, and he holds a media avail afterwards. His first three big events since he first began flirting with a presidential bid -- in Orange County, CA, at the Virginia GOP, and on Leno -- didn’t exactly set the rooms on fire. Even at yesterday’s appearance in Nashville, one supporter told the New York Times that he wasn’t floored by Thompson. “It was the same thing he’s said everywhere else, nothing new.” Will today be different?

*** I Want My MTV...:  A New York Times/CBS/MTV poll finds that Democrats appear to be sitting pretty with Americans ages 17-29. More than half of them said they’d vote for a Democrat in next year’s presidential race, and they are more likely than the general population to support government-run health care and gay marriage. (Yet interestingly, they are more optimistic about the Iraq war.) But will young voters actually show up in 2008? This suggests they might: “Fifty-eight percent said they were paying attention to the campaign. By contrast, at this point in the 2004 presidential campaign, 35 percent of 18-to-29-year-olds said they were paying a lot or some attention to the campaign.”

*** Ambushed: With Ann Coulter appearing on Hardball yesterday, Elizabeth Edwards called into the show to blast Coulter for personal attacks on her husband and family. As the end of the second quarter rapidly approaches, anyone want to bet we see a fundraising email from the Edwards camp that highlights yesterday’s exchange -- which, by the way, got played on TODAY?

*** Meaty Foreign Policy Speech Day: Both Clinton and Hagel give speeches at the Center for a New American Security, a new DC-based nonpartisan research institute. Meanwhile, Richardson is also in DC, where he addresses the Center for National Policy. Per Richardson’s camp, the speech will be on Iran and how to prevent the country from acquiring nuclear weapons.

*** On The Trail: Elsewhere, Edwards raises money in Houston; Giuliani is in Pittsburgh; McCain and Romney both fundraise in New York City; Paul continues his round of off-beat interviews -- this time with the radio show "Mancow in the Morning"; and Tommy Thompson is in Iowa.

Countdown to the Ames Straw Poll: 45 days
Countdown to MA-05 Special Election: 67 days
Countdown to LA GOV election: 115 days
Countdown to Election Day 2007: 132 days
Countdown to LA GOV run-off (if necessary): 143 days
Countdown to Iowa: 211 days
Countdown to Tsunami Tuesday: 222 days
Countdown to Election Day 2008: 496 days
Countdown to Inauguration Day 2009: 573 days

MAIN PAGE

Email this EMAIL THIS

Comments

The attack, name calling style began with Lee Atwater, who before he died admitted he created a monster. Ann Coulter is just one of many. By reading this blog you will see the effectiveness of the it. There are plenty of people who love the juvenile name calling because it makes simpler for them. I'm right your wrong; I'm the "Real American".
The continuing villian is the media that feeds off this for audience share. Selling this stupidity as as intelligent politicial discourse. Don't feed the monster, change channels, don't buy the books and for God's Sake challenge the stupidity.
A bright spot, when the Democrats take office in 2008 as expected a lot of the current media buffoons will be out because the new administration won't talk to them.
my fav is ann saying she didnt think it would help if she signed up for the war her with a little gun,nice insult to the women who serve and die or are injured maybe oriely and hannit and rush with thier little guns tough talk for someone putting someones ass on the line to fight for thier rights and freedom.Shame on them but they feel nne or they would be the first in line to fight this threat that is so immenent.Maybe its not the threat they make it out to be ,but if they can keep talking people in to fighting for them,even though they do not fight anyone but fellow americans who disagree but tey are easier targets than the bad guys
I wonder if Coulter kisses her mother with that mouth.
Joe, North Korea has bent nearly back as far as where they were when Bill Clinton left office...but they have a stockpile of nuclear weapons.  Iran is a bigger influence in the Middle East than ever.  Iraq in civil war, Palestine in flames, Lebanon on the precipice.  We've run headlong toward an abyss of world chaos at the cost of hundreds of billions of dollars and tens, possibly hundreds of thousands of lives.  That's another view of what happened because we went into Iraq.
Lugar,never one of my favorites,is yet seeing the writing on the wall in a manner that has thus far escaped both still-supporting voices of the administration as well as its detractors. Clearly,the man is agonizing over a path that will not lead to victory in the end of this ''round one''[the war in Iraq]. Lugar thus sees this writing as a ''in-out-in'' strategy which will eventually neccecitate even further military force down the line. Here is why.
                       The leftwinged Joe Conason,writing in todays liberal New York Observer,Dick Morris as well in todays centrist THE HILL,and the liberal Brookings Institute in its newest Iraq White Paper, all miss the point.[a point instantly grasped by Lugar and others including this poster].The idea by Conason,Brookings,Murtha,Pelosi[who will be the nascent co-leaders of American foreign policy under a Democrat presidency should America have to endure their own re-elections],that will continue to pin their reputations on an already forlorn hope. That is, in the event of our retreat from Iraq, American forces placed in a ''neighboring friendly country''[Brookings,Conason,Pelosi,Murtha, Clinton  et al],will be in a position to protect Iraqi domestic and regional affairs using military force from a safe distance.This is as mad a scheme as purporting to observe that we would be greeted as ''liberators''in Iraq to begin with as there will be no ''friendly nations''in the region from where we can offer regional security in the wake of our retreat from Iraq.
                     Lugars ''round two'', thus presents itself as, rather than being trapped between competing Islamic forces in only Iraq, we will be thus trapped between these competitors in an entire continental region. bin Ladens philosophies will have been completely vindicated and no place will be safe.Millions more Islamics,seeing the US on the run,will flock under his banner to repeat the Iraq recipe in other nations. All Islamic ''moderates''will fall by the sword. Jordan,Saudi Arabia,and Egypt[who can also see this writing on the wall. As we speak,they are falling in behind HAMAS, not that this will save them in the end], will have as much chance of survival as a snow-cone in Dantes Fifth Circle.Emboldened Syria will move to digest Lebanon which will re-erupt into civil war. Here is where Lugar sees what nearly all do not. That we will have to go back in with even greater force [Gingrichs WWIV],in order to stop the toppling of these nations into the hands of the bin Ladenists and even the Shia Ayatollahs.
             The BELMONT CLUB's Richard Fernandez,one of the best conservative intellectuals in the nation today[while living himself in Australia],brilliantly sees where it all goes. The minority Republicans,with their heightened sense of patriotism-through military action,''will support the liberals war through gritted teeth'',but will nonetheless support it as the Just War principle will reassert itself as a result of quickly spreading destabilization across the Middle East,Africa,and into Asia.Herein lay ''round two''of the continuation of the Iraq War,fought on a more global stage.
                      All Lugar is laying down is the ''beyond Bush''strategy.Lugar is no peacenik in and of himself.He readily sees that the Bush doctrine has been fraught with disastrous consequences but is equally horrified at the prospect of leftist influences dictating American foreign and military affairs at the moment when the bin-Laden-rung bell for ''round two''goes off.[Lugar, already having witnessed the new round of debate among the Democrats whereby American troops would be pulled from Afghanistan as well,to be replaced by ''an international force''[as if there is not one there already.This is as insane as happily hoping that the US can turn Kuwait or the Emirates into a super-base on a nationwide scale in order to deal with the Shia-Sunni threat,and of course,will drive the final nail into the coffin of those who claim that we are ''not serious about getting bin Laden'',under the present administration].Lugar will be one of several bi-partisan ''realists'' who will give in to neither ideological wing and who will not eschew using force,especially as the threat continues to grow in the wake of the US retreat from Iraq.
HEY GEORGE, NOW YOU LISTEN TO DICK !
Chris in lala land,the terrorists have taken over our nation and they weild power from 1600 Penn Ave. They have a nice war to keep their defense industry buddies rolling in dough and blame the Dems for 9/11 and Osama. They had until 2006 a spineless rubber stamp congress of their gop cronies to march in step to their terrorist agenda. Just like any extremists they didn't question the justice dept, homeland security, kickbacks from lobbyists, the loss of our constitutional rights or listen to the call for reason. They have (as they see it a God given right)  to cleanse the world and our nation of those who don't agree with them. Right now they're working on Iraq, Iran,and the Demoncratic Party. Just wait until they start work on Calif., it should make you proud to see them go after immigrants, gays, actors, writers, producors, and just plain liberal people who want to see peace in our lives. I can just see you brusting with pride at this scene. Live well and remember only the GOP has our protection and rights at heart or is it at their wallets,refineries, tanks, planes, warships, or I guess you know the rest.
Chris, you've had way over your limit of draft beers. The room must be spinning and organic brain injury has set in. Time to sign up for the Army son!! They'll take you just as you are. You can fight the evil bad guys and send them all to hell!! Ah, no never mind, go have another drink boy.


SEND A COMMENT

PLEASE READ: All comments must be approved before appearing in the thread; time and space constraints prevent all comments from appearing. We will only approve comments that are directly related to the blog, use appropriate language and are not attacking the comments of others.

Message (please, no HTML tags. Web addresses will be hyperlinked):

TRACKBACKS

Trackbacks are links to weblogs that reference this post. Like comments, trackbacks do not appear until approved by us. The trackback URL for this post is: http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/trackback.aspx?PostID=240090

First Read e-mail alerts


Sign up for First Read alerts
The first place for key political news and analysis

Syndicate This Site

Add First Read to your news reader:
live.com xml
myyahoo msn
bloglines newsgator
google