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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Oh-eight (R): A Thompson family affair

Posted: Monday, July 02, 2007 9:07 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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Some of the GOP candidates were in Iowa over the weekend at a forum that featured both conservative tax activists and key social conservatives. With Romney leading in Iowa and by being the only front-runner to show up, he was the target of the second-tier candidates.

GINGRICH:

Ex-Washington Post gossip columnist Lloyd Grove finds his way back in the Post with a Gingrich profile. What caught most folks' eyes: Gingrich's comments on Fred Thompson. Gingrich: “‘I think he becomes the establishment alternative,’ Gingrich says. ‘I've been fond of Fred ever since “The Hunt for Red October.” I think he was totally convincing as an admiral.’ What about Thompson's reputation for being the opposite of a workaholic? ‘I don't think it's a matter of working all that hard and being all that intense if he can put together a fairly bold, Sarkozy-like program,’ Gingrich says, referring to the just-elected center-right president of France. ‘Fred is not Ronald Reagan, but he could be Dwight Eisenhower.’ But could he have organized D-Day? ‘No,’ Gingrich chuckles, ‘but Eisenhower couldn't have been in “The Hunt for Red October.”’”

GIULIANI:

It looks like one of the campaign’s most ardent foes -- dare we call them Swift Boat firemen? -- will be New York City firefighters. But the campaign is not going to let their charges go unanswered.

One of the more under-reported parts of last week's SCOTUS rulings was what it means for Giuliani. Will social conservatives uneasy with Giuliani's positions on key social issues give him a pass, since it appears that the Court has moved to the right enough that nothing will be at risk?

MCCAIN:

It's McCain's sixth trip to Iraq. "The senator last was in Iraq in April and was criticized for saying he was cautiously optimistic of success even as he toured Baghdad under heavy military guard. Iraqis accused him of painting too rosy a picture and U.S. critics argued he was out of step with reality."

Meanwhile, this is the header over a weekend Los Angeles Times piece: "McCain: once favorite, now finished?" It just goes to show the point we've been emphasizing for a few weeks: the media is determined to eliminate some of these candidates. But ask yourself: What incentive does McCain have for getting out now considering how none of his 3 main rivals seems to have locked up anything.

Don't miss the McCain’s Q&A in the New York Daily News on Sunday, which served as a preview of his Iraq trip.

ROMNEY:

July 1st marked the first day that Massachusetts' mandatory (car insurance-like) health-care program went into effect. "Although July 1 marks the beginning of the ‘individual mandate’ -- the legal obligation to obtain health insurance -- the real deadline is Dec. 31. When Massachusetts residents file their state tax returns next spring, they must certify that they had acceptable coverage as of the end of 2007 -- or lose the $219 personal exemption. The penalty grows steeper in subsequent years, big enough, officials hope, to persuade most holdouts to get coverage."

At a Christian conservative forum in Iowa, Romney responded to questions over his Mormon faith by saying, "The Bible for me is the word of God. I also believe that Jesus Christ is my savior." The Sunday Des Moines Register says, “Many conservative Christians are quietly nervous about Romney's religion.”

In a somewhat contentious moment at the forum, according to the Sunday New York Daily News, “one voter asked Romney which religious text he'd rely on more for inspiration as President: the Bible or the Book of Mormon.” Romney replied: "I don't know that there's any conflict at all between the values of great faiths like mine, like yours, like other faiths, like Jews who don't believe in the New Testament."

Saturday’s Boston Globe ran Part 7 of its series on Romney, and it explored his stance shifts, his ambition, and his willingness to reach across the aisle and work to find a health-care solution. 

More on Romney’s dog: Ann Romney writes a blog entry on the Romney “Five Brothers” blog: "Surprise, surprise, the media didn't get the dog story right. Our dog Seamus rode in an ENCLOSED kennel, not in the open air. And he loved it. Every time he saw it, he jumped up on the tailgate, walked in, and lay down. It was just like the kennel he curled up in at home."

TANCREDO:

Campaigning in Iowa, Tancredo called out Giuliani and Brownback by name on the issue of immigration. By the way, we haven't touched on this before, but doesn't the end of the immigration debate hurt Tancredo in the long run?

F. THOMPSON:
Tough to be the outsider when you have so many lobbying ties, right? The New York Times profiles Thompson's two sons and their lobbying careers. "The lobbying work that Tony Thompson and another son, Daniel, did after their father won his Senate seat suggests how far the family has traveled from Fred Thompson’s early career. Not only has he parlayed his own political background into a lobbying business — a fact his opponents have seized on to challenge his outsider image — but his sons have also made lobbying a family affair."

Thompson's camp ought to view this story as a warning shot that he only has a small window of opportunity to define his image.

The Washington Post notes Thompson has essentially shifted from exploring candidate to likely candidate. "But even as he rushes to assemble the infrastructure for a presidential campaign, he is still struggling to define what his candidacy, and a potential Thompson presidency, will be about. Will he embrace his Southern drawl and campaign, as fellow Tennessean Lamar Alexander once did, in a Paul Bunyan-esque shirt? Or will he tout his decades as a Capitol Hill staff member, lobbyist, lawyer, senator and friend to the powerful?"

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Comments

To Ann Romney: You need to buy a brain. I would never, ever consider putting any living, breathing thing on top of a car in any sort of box no matter how "secure" it is. This is the same answer drunk drivers give when they are caught; oh well, I have always done it this way. That doesn't make it right.

This lack of judgement also speaks volumes about you and your husband. Someone should have had the good sense to:

1. Not admit that you and your husband were this stupid in the first place.

2. Not do this stupid move in the first place.

I guess here is my question for the Romneys: Would you strap your computer to the top of your car? If you can't answer yes to that question then your bad decision speaks for itself.
the firemen deal is another good example of the contempt rudy has for the working class, take from the poor give to the rich, I believe that's rudy's campaign slogan isn't it?
I believe Fred Thompson could get his show over the top with the right kind of campaign song. I think something light-hearted and humorous could do the trick. I would recommend "Send in the Clowns".
Ohhh, lol. Gingrich's compliments of Thompson are just full of backhanded snipes. I wonder if Gingrich is a little bitter, fearing that Thompson may have sucked away too much oxygen for yet another late-comer.
Gingrich is the full comedian.  Like the rest of the GOP candidates, he's in the hunt for dead November. In Iowa, many Conservative Christians are nervous about each other, let alone a Mormon.  Fred will be acting in the Lobby for the remainder of his life.
Let's focus on the real issues going on in the world today, not some issue that PETA is having a field day with that happened back in 1983. Are we going to complain about everyone that has left a pet in the car with the windows up on a hot day, or the dog that rode in the back of a pick up that wasn't secure and jumps out?!  Get a grip people! Go Mitt!!
Are we going to allow the religious fanatics to determine another election? GOD HELP US!
The flim-flam man Mitt----yeah just what this country needs----------as if Bush has not enough dmage to this country we need another liar that is backed by big money.Another guy that is too stupid to know he would be another puppet whose strings are being pulled.I thought the best debate Mitt did was the one where he debated himself with both sides of his face.
JIrby...Song for Rudy,
"YOUR SO VAIN", Carly Simon
SARAH,MA  The real issue, Mitt is a flaming piece of crap!
He has enough money to buy and sell any office he wants and HE DOES.  A million here, dead dog there, all the same to Mitt.
No Mormon will be president in my lifetime. NO WAY NO HOW. It aint gonna happen. If you read up on this so called religion, you'll find out its more a cult than anything else. Lots of people know this but are afraid to say it because it sounds like predjudice-but its the truth.
HMT.  Trust me, these guys know they are just Puppets, but they get to be President, y'know, like a Rock Star?  So it's worth it. Jirby.   The GOP can use any song by the group, "Dead Can Dance".
Fred Thompson spoke for a wropping 8 mins in South Carolina with the same old boring platitudes of freedom and how we were going to win the war against terrorism and this guy is polling second in the Republican field? Talk about beating a dead horse. Earth to Neo-cons.... it not going fly.  
song for Fred."Bad To The Bone"-George Thorogood and the Destroyers
republicans have no sense of humor. none Ive seen. They try but it never comes across. Like Jerry and Dave from tn, just angry and hateful much of the time.theres no way we will have a president who is mormon or with the name of Mitt either.no way.
Tell Mitt how you feel at http://www.DogsAgainstRomney.blogspot.com
Fred Thompson is pro-amnesty.

He Voted to allow firms to lay off Americans to make room for foreign workers in 1998!!!

He Voted to kill programs that were intended to assist employers in verifying whether people they had just hired had the legal right to work in this country!!!!!

Sen. Thompson, in committee consideration of S.1664 protected businesses from having to pay higher fines when they are caught hiring illegal aliens!!!!


Voted to grant legal status to Nicaraguans and Cubans who had lived in the United States illegally since 1995, along with their spouses and minor unmarried children. The overall ten year impact of this legislation will be the addition of some 967,000 people to U.S!!!
Republican woman against Fred Thompson-woooo! Right on sister- you goooo girl!!!!You forgot to mention hes a republican womanizer.
For the third time a song Mitt will not be singing."Jesus Christ Superstar"-Andrew Lloyd Weber
Rudy,"You talk too much you worry me to death"-"You Talk too Much"-Joe Jones
Senator McCain,"Breaking Up Is Hard To Do"-Neil Sedaka
For the rest of the Republican candidates, "Lonesome Town"-Ricky Nelson
I'd vote for a Mormon before I'd vote for cult member of "The Church of Man Made Global Warming"
Looks like F Thompson has a bag of snakes waiting to be spilled....If the republicans want to win anytime soon, stop dragging out the old acts and bring in new blood(not named Romney) and ideas. NeoCon agenda is the reason they are in trouble, why keep embracing it??
Hard to vote for a man who belongs to a church that teaches that all people of color are the childern of Ham and cursed by God. It wasn't until the end of the 20th century that anyone who was not Caucasian could be an Elder in the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints. Also, Holcaust survivors and their families took the Latter Day Saints to court to force them to stop "baptizing" the dead victims of the Holocaust. How insulting and ignorant can you be to presume that someone who died because of their religion would rather be a Mormon because when they died, they "saw the light and realized the truth"? Do we really need another bigoted, presumptuous president?  
"Lawyers in Love"--Jackson Browne
The democrat leader of the senate is a Mormon. Why don't you liberals clean out your own house first if Mormons are so bad.
Mr. Thompson, you spent a lot of money on the Scooter defense fund. Just read where he has been denied bond and will be going to prison, pending his appeal. So, my question, to you sir, is how much of your money will you be spending on his appeal?And will you pardon him if you become President?
    last time I checked, liberals do not care at all about republicans. In fact liberals would embrace mormans, since we accept all people. Now religious fanatics, the core of the republican party, are the ones attacking Romney. We can sit back and watch the republican party eat their own. Republicans do not run on principle and make lousy leaders. That is because they all serve the PARTY. All republicans do is follow orders. You will not see any republicans standing up to the PARTY. They are all gutless and roll over any time KARL barks. You have some PETA flakes screaming about a dog in a carrier. But that is nothing compared to the christians that hate Romney.  
Ron Paul was also in Iowa, the organizers for Iowans for Tax Relief refused to invite him, so he had his own meeting next door.  The tax relief forum had 600 people attending to watch 6 candidates, while Ron Paul had over 1000 just to hear him.  Good job MSNBC, you managed to find one of the few news reports on the forum that didn't mention Ron Paul's exclusion or his rally.  Rudy Mcromney is a joke, Fred Thompson is a former lobbyist that helped create the S&L fiasco in the 80's.  Ron Paul is the people's only alternate to the Democrats.
To repeat, Mr. Thompson, you spent your own money on the Scooter defense fund. He was denied bail, pending his appeal. My question, to you sir, is how much money will you be spending on his appeal and will you pardon him if you become President?
Guess that's the difference, bobf, the Republican base touts their religion, the rest of our country recognizes the "Separation of Church and State"
Dave tn, I don't like the Mormon religion no matter who it is. Harry Reid isn't running for president and if he was one of the nominees, I wouldnt vote for him because he is a MORMON. Sorry to disappoint. I know as a democrat, Im supposed to be more open minded, but I can't be about this one.
Rudy is no hero for doing the job he was elected to do and the way he has treated the NYC fire Dept. is appalling.
He is a liberal bum who supports restrictions of civil rights granted by the constitution and bill of rights.
Whether it is the right to bear arms, the rights of the unborn or numerous other issues Rudy is almost always on the side of Big Government and Big Business. He is not working towards the best interest of the common person but constantly works to feather the nests of multinationalists. Truly there is very little difference between he and Hillary.
Oh... HILLARY! WHAT HAPPENED TO VINCE FOSTER??
and bobf "hate" is a word I got a whuppin' for. Best not to use it or to proclaim religion as a basis running any country. Guess that is what bin Laden wants.
I really like Fred.

This is my bumper sticker

http://www.toughfred.com
Note on the misuse of the noun, "Swift boating." If it's a lie, it's swift boating. If it's true, they told the truth. Lesson for the Giuliani camp: if you let the charges stay out there without effective rebuttal, you look like an incompetent liar anyway. But here's where you've got the problem. If they're true, you don't want any attention on the charges at all. And I think they nailed you, Rudy.


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