First thoughts
Posted: Wednesday, July 11, 2007 9:22 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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First Thoughts
From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Carly Zakin
*** Dear John:
The most positive way to look at yesterday's events in the McCain campaign is to assert that McCain took control of his campaign, finally. At least that's the way the "winners" of the internal power are portraying things. There was a battle between John Weaver and Rick Davis for the heart and mind of McCain, and Davis won. Why McCain lost confidence in Weaver -- and not Davis -- is unclear given that everyone in both so-called McCain camps made the same wrong assumption on how much money McCain could raise. If yesterday was bottom for John McCain's campaign, then there is light at the end of the tunnel. The question, of course, is whether yesterday was bottom. The campaign has weeks, not months, to get things back on track. Will he move to Iowa? How much does he attempt to emulate John Kerry? It's the comparison the campaign is clinging to.
*** Other Thoughts On McCain: As for the rest of the GOP field, watch for both Giuliani and Fred Thompson to almost compete for McCain's love. Both probably believe they’re the one with the best chance to win McCain's endorsement. Finally, one more closing thought: There's a Shakespearean tragic element to McCain's problems getting to the White House. Bush stopped him in 2000 as an opponent, and he stopped him again in 2007 as an ally. Perhaps the biggest incorrect assumption McCain's camp made this year was trying to emulate Bush's 2000 and 2004 campaigns. Will McCain be uttering the name "Bush" in frustration for years to come?
*** A Swift Kick…: The International Association of Fire Fighters, hardly a friend of Giuliani, unveils a 13-minute documentary video at 5:00 pm ET today that attempts to whack the former New York mayor’s 9/11 credentials. “Giuliani is running on 9/11, but the video outlines his leadership failures on 9/11,” an IAFF spokesman tells First Read. “The story is told by fire fighters, fire officers, and family members of those who died.” Does Giuliani have his own Swift Boaters now? NBC’s Doug Adams takes a look below. Also, IAFF general president Harold Schaitberger talks about the video on MSNBC’s Hardball.
*** … And A Swift Response: In a clear pre-buttal to the IAFF, the Giuliani campaign released a document yesterday listing the positive things the former mayor did for New York’s firefighters. Former NYFD commissioner Howard Safir said in a statement: “Firefighters across the country have no greater friend than Rudy Giuliani. Those of us who have worked with Rudy Giuliani know he has always been a strong and consistent supporter of firefighters and first responders. On September 11th and the days that followed Mayor Giuliani once again demonstrated his commitment to the safety and well being of our firefighters and his respect for their extraordinary courage and sacrifice.”
*** The Ick Factor: Affairs seem easy to overcome in today's political climate, but what about the frequenting of prostitutes? The Vitter news seems to raise the level of "ick," even for those who've come to expect loveable Louisiana rogues. Remember, this is an election year in Louisiana, and the last thing Republican Governor-in-waiting Bobby Jindal needs is a tarnishing of the GOP brand. Jindal's first public comments will be interesting.
*** On The Trail: Brownback makes a policy announcement while speaking to an Iowa business group; Edwards, in Las Vegas, hosts a town hall meeting with a local sheet metal workers union; Giuliani tapes a TV interview in Manchester, NH and then meets with volunteers and supporters; Huckabee makes four stops in Iowa and hosts two conference calls; Kucinich meets with the Executive Council of the American Federation of Teachers in DC; Red Sox/Yankees fan Richardson stops by the “Field of Dreams” and then makes six more stops from Iowa to Ohio to Michigan; and Tommy Thompson has coffee and donuts in Iowa.
Countdown to the Ames Straw Poll: 31 days
Countdown to MA-05 Special Election: 54 days
Countdown to LA GOV election: 101 days
Countdown to Election Day 2007: 118 days
Countdown to LA GOV run-off (if necessary): 129 days
Countdown to Iowa: 197 days
Countdown to Tsunami Tuesday: 208 days
Countdown to Election Day 2008: 482 days
Countdown to Inauguration Day 2009: 559 days