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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



First thoughts

Posted: Wednesday, July 18, 2007 9:26 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro and Carly Zakin
*** Are We Safer? In all the coverage of the new National Intelligence Estimate, a New York Times analysis perhaps puts it best: “Nearly six years after the Sept. 11 attacks, the hundreds of billions of dollars and thousands of lives expended in the name of the war on terror pose a single, insistent question: Are we safer?” Hillary Clinton said so at last month’s CNN debate. (“I believe we are safer than we were. We are not yet safe enough.”) Does she still think that? And is this something we’ll see her Democratic rivals pounce on? 

*** If It Talks Like A Lame Duck…: As Washington reacts to the NIE report, the Senate debates Iraq, and the presidential candidates jockey for position in the ’08 horserace, President Bush today heads to Landover, MD to participate in a roundtable discussion on health care at the wonderfully-named Man & Machine Inc. Tomorrow, he travels to Tennessee to tour the also wonderfully-named Nashville Bun Company and then makes remarks on the budget. But just how many members of the White House press corps will be joining Bush on these trips? As the calendar says below, there are more than 500 days left in Bush’s presidency. But outside his remarks on Iraq or his latest comments on the Middle East, has everyone turned their attention elsewhere?

*** Stealing The Spotlight: Edwards’ poverty tour comes to an end today, with stops in Virginia and Kentucky and a major speech. Per the campaign, Edwards will use this speech to sum his three-day tour and talk about the faces of poverty he met. Yet partly overshadowing Day Two of the tour was wife Elizabeth’s comments to Salon about Hillary Clinton. They weren’t as incendiary as Drudge made them out to be, but Elizabeth still made news -- as she did when she called Ann Coulter, or when it was revealed her cancer had returned. And now there’s a brand new campaign TV ad that features her, NBC’s Andrea Mitchell reported on TODAY this morning. We knew it was possible that a spouse might become the story in this presidential race. But just we also thought it would be Bill, not Elizabeth Edwards.

Video: Chuck Todd on Elizabeth Edwards' role in her husband's presidential campaign

*** Rudy’s Ace In The Hole? In Iowa today, Giuliani will deliver a policy address on judges, which is one of his 12 Commitments ("I will reform the legal system and appoint strict constructionist judges"). It comes a day after Ted Olson and other conservatives held a press conference in DC unveiling his Justice Advisory Committee. Olson backing the pro-choice Giuliani could end up being one of the more underreported stories of the 2008 campaign: If Olson convinces diehard conservatives that Rudy will appoint the kind of judges they want, does that inoculate Giuliani on abortion? Of course, it might also send mixed signals when you say you’re for abortion rights but would appoint judges who would take those very rights away.

*** On The Trail: Elsewhere, Obama delivers a speech in Southeast DC on Changing the Odds for Urban America; Romney headlines a GOP fundraiser in Colorado Springs, CO; Tancredo is in Iowa; Fred Thompson raises money at a $2,300 a plate reception in Baton Rouge, LA (raising more questions whether he’s doing something more than just testing the waters); and Ann Romney makes three stops in South Carolina on her “Women for Mitt” tour.

Countdown to the Ames Straw Poll: 24 days
Countdown to MA-05 Special Election: 47 days
Countdown to LA GOV election: 94 days
Countdown to Election Day 2007: 111 days
Countdown to LA GOV run-off (if necessary): 122 days
Countdown to Iowa: 190 days
Countdown to Tsunami Tuesday: 201 days
Countdown to Election Day 2008: 475 days
Countdown to Inauguration Day 2009: 552 days

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Comments

Golly gee, I thought Great Britian carved out the Palestinian Terrority.Historians, did I get that wrong?
Which is one of the reasons I do not usually list a ''David Corn''[leftwinged critic of the administration who had a meltdown on CNN even worse than those cavemen on the GEICO commercials when caught in flatout lies which even had Anderson Cooper looking distressed],or The NATION,which is to the left of Lenin. Odd,is it not,that while critics of ''Faux''News expect Americans not to buy into the crap they peddle,we are to blithely buy into theirs. I would not waste a plate glass window to throw Kristina van den Heuvel through given the option.It is worth more than her idiotic ''commentary''. Which reminds me. Where are the American divisions and armoured brigades and air forces around Tehran these days? Mebbe Corn or Heuvel,or Hersh can explain this strange absence of US soldiers in Iran.For the record,a more balanced presentation of what Corn has to offer these days[including effective rebuttals of the man], may be found at PAJAMAS MEDIA,where he has a quite effective point-counterpoint program with Chris Hitchens[VANITY FAIR,SLATE] and Richard Miniter[''Losing bin Laden:How Bill Clintons Failures Unleashed Global Terror''].In a future post,I will whip Corns assertions peacemeal beginning with the fact that the 2nd Intifada that wrecked Gaza was begun under Clinton.Not Bush.
Homework Lesson For Today: Name the administration which oversaw the highest home-ownership for minorities in American history.
Bonus Point:Name administration which oversaw the highest number of minority and other female college degrees in American history.
Uhh,Paul.Russia did not have a boot on the ground in Iraq.Care to tell us what took place in Beslan?Thailand has no soldiers in Iraq either. What is occuring there with respect to the Muslims now attacking Thai citizens.The Phillipines are not in Iraq either. What did Abu Sayef[al Qaeda-affiliated group],do to seventeen Pilipino soldiers last week?Algeria is not in Iraq. Yet more bombs are going off there.Same deal in Morocco. Same deal in Egypt,in Saudi Arabia,in Lebanon,in Turkey,in the Balkans,in Sudan,in Chad,in Somalia,in Eritria,in Ethiopia,in India.Canada wants no part of Iraq.How many bomb plots has it broken up? The point is,that these nations are not waiting for the span of 10 years for these terrorist events to occur. They are enduring them right now. And they have no portion of the US presence in Iraq. Ye gods,al Qaeda issued threats to France merely for electing Sarcozy and how many Frenchmen are in Iraq? Perhaps it is due to the fact that they kill for the sake of killing.
I do work for aljazeera i thin so you should know how the media is going to say things like bush is doing in Iraq.But i think so all does dippen on money,but we do have very good information about how NBC run their show.Try to understand we all in a war.NBC lost quite a bit things and those people do work under him.


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