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Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Oh-eight (R): Shifting CW

Posted: Thursday, July 19, 2007 9:07 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

The New York Times’ Nagourney writes a conventional wisdom shifting analysis of the GOP field, noting how Romney and Giuliani are changing their strategies in the aftermath of McCain’s downfall and the rise of Thompson. Of note, Nagourney reports that Thompson will announce just after Labor Day. "Anticipating Mr. Thompson’s entry into the race, Mr. Romney’s advisers said they had begun examining Mr. Thompson’s record and plan to highlight his work as a trial lawyer and Washington lobbyist." Meanwhile Thompson aides confirmed that "Thompson intended to present himself as the most conservative candidate in the race and would go to South Carolina as part of his announcement swing."

GIULIANI:

In Iowa yesterday, Giuliani renewed his pledge to appoint "strict constructionist" judges, which are important code words to social conservatives. He also promised NOT to have an abortion litmus test.

In addition, conservative mag Human Events interviewed Giuliani's chief legal advisers, Ted Olson and Steven Calabresi, on Rudy's judicial philosophy.

The Des Moines register previews Giuliani’s trek through N.E. Iowa today. While the New York Daily News curtain-raises his energy speech, noting that he “is unapologetic about his support for boosting the nation's nuclear power capacity… In so doing, Giuliani has positioned himself, along with GOP rival John McCain, as the most ardent advocates of nuclear power in the 2008 field."

MCCAIN:

George Will adds his byline to the McCain obit section, and he relishes the fact that McCain may have to file for matching funds so the campaign finance system he helped revamp hurts him.

Meanwhile, the McCain camp sent out a fundraising email from manager Rick Davis, which tries to pit McCain against Hillary Clinton. The email notes that McCain's speech on Iraq during the all-night session was followed by Clinton. "Do we have the courage to stand up and fight for victory? Or will we settle for Hillary Clinton's vision of retreat and defeat? John McCain has reminded us time and again that the consequences of withdrawal from Iraq are catastrophic, which is why we must stand strong for victory."

And while many have attributed McCain’s downfall to his ties to Bush (on Iraq and immigration), the Politico’s Wilner makes this point: Unlike Bush, McCain has showed a “willingness to cut loose top advisers during a time of real trouble.”

ROMNEY:

The former governor heads to Spartanburg, SC today, and to help preview his trip, Romney did a little Q&A with the Spartanburg Herald-Journal, focusing on the issue of school choice.

USA Today runs a very flattering profile of Ann Romney today.

University of Maryland professor Tom Schaller looks at the national polls and wonders if Romney is simply too unelectable for the GOP. His theory -- evangelicals are not yet ready to tell pollsters they'll vote for him, even in a match-up against Clinton.

F. THOMPSON:

As if Thompson had left any doubt himself with his bizarre lawyer defense, the New York Times confirms via billing records that he indeed lobbied on behalf of an abortion-rights group in the early '90s. “According to records from Arent Fox, the law firm based in Washington where Mr. Thompson worked part-time from 1991 to 1994, he charged the organization, the National Family Planning and Reproductive Health Association, about $5,000 for work he did in 1991 and 1992.”

“Yesterday, [Thompson spokesman Mark] Corallo said the family planning group was an Arent Fox client. ‘The firm consulted with Fred Thompson,’ he said. ‘It is not unusual for a lawyer to give counsel at the request of colleagues, even when they personally disagree with the issue.’”

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Comments

Ted Olson's wife must be rolling in her grave about Giuliani not using abortion as a litmus test for judges. There is some hope for the republican party yet. Maybe they can talk about real issues that affect the majority of americans.
if thompson used to be a lobbyist why would anyone vote for him other than a lobbyist?
A little hard to tell the stupid women not to vote for Hillary when they make up the majority of her voters.  I don't know if America is worth having a man like Mitt Romney.  He has too many poblems; he loves his wife, he is a religious man and he takes care of family.  Hillary lives with a stupid man, depending on where she is speaking she will carry that religion and deals with shady people to make her money.  Maybe America doesn't care about the family anymore.  We may have to use nuclear, libs don't want drilling in Alaska or california, price of gas goes higher and higher.  
From Jerry ... "Hillary lives with a stupid man" .... most importantly, "Laura lives with a VERY stupid man".
Laura lives with a down right idiot, that can't even talk right.
Jerrys wife lives/lived with a very, very STUPID man.
But- Hillary lives with a MAN!
Hmmm. Conventional Wisdom. Hmmmm. Otherwise known as "old wives tales", "accepted state of affairs", "the way we have always done things", "things never questioned", "republicans are the conservative party", "democrats are fiscally irresponsible" and "the surge will work if given enough time".

Don't put much stock in that old CW myself.
if you are an uber rich person enjoying the repubs current trickle up economic strategy, want to see the continued erosion of what remains of the middle class, want to continue the march toward a 2 class monarchy, and are content with only the privileged few having health insurance and access to higher education for they're children, want to be one of the few owners in a ownership society, think lying, stealing, or killing to get what you want is just part of the game, have no conscience or moral values but pretend to, don't see any need for any type of regulation of the sacred capitalistic monster that has been unleashed to plunder as it pleases, likes the way corporate lobbyists control legislation of any kind, and enjoy invading a small sovereign nation every now and again and getting people killed to keep the defense contractor money flowing back to you, then romney, thompson, or guliani would all be good choices for you, if you happen to be a decent human being that thinks you should get an honest day's pay for an honest day's work edwards would be your choice  
"But- Hillary lives with a MAN!"


Hillary is gay?
Jerry, Mitt does have problems.  He believes golden tablets with God's word are buried in New York State, Native Americans are some of the seven lost tribes of Israel (disproven by DNA), and it's ok to sell sin as long as you don't partake of it yourself.  Even someone who belives in delusions, rejects scientific fact and is hypocritical can have a wife and a nice family.  After all, we do have one as our current President.
Robert Catalano I don't think the political wing of evangelical conservatives and catholics will let those issues go. It's part of their political philosophy to promote proper 'theocrats'. FYI I'm a Chrisitan, but I don't believe in intermingling it with politics.
I don't give a darn about the religion aspect of it.  If it was a matter of religion, then Obama should not be running and JFK should have never been picked as president.
lets face it people....we have slowly but surely becoming a theocracy. Our founding fathers most be rolling in their graves. It is incredible that the Repuks that are running; with their multiple affairs/marriages; are still wrapping themselves around moral values and family issues inorder to kowtow to the right-wing fanatics. Do not get me started on the Mormons;however; hbo show Big love is a hoot.
Now Jerry, you know that Romney has no chance of taking our state of Texas. The fact is most of the Evangelical Christians will vote their religious values above all else. And this could even become a driving issue to get less motivated Evangelicals to the polls. Baptist and Pentecostal churches through out the south have preached against this for decades. Not many Evangelicals will support a candidate that believes two different bibles.
If Romney is the candidate, Clinton has a chance of taking Texas and any other Dem. candidate would for sure. People won't talk about this much, but it should not come as a surprise.
>>> lets face it people....we have slowly but surely becoming a theocracy. <<<

You'rw foolin' yourself! We're living in a dictatorship! A self-perpetuating autocracy in which the working class is part of an anarco-sydicalist commune. We take it in turns to be a sort of executive officer for the week, but all the decisions of that officer have to be ratified at a special bi-weekly meeting by a simple majority in the case of purely internal affairs.
jerry.."...maybe America doesn't care about the family anymore..."  well, judging by Vitter, Foley, Bob Allen, Newt, Bill O'Reilly etc, the repugs don't care about family, anymore.  Hagel and Ron Paul are more reflective of the general populace than the leading repub candidates, in my opinion.
Michael Palin...Reagan, Reagan, Bush(Reagan's VP), Clinton, Clinton, Bush, Bush.....Clinton..

You may have a point.
Jerry - remind me again how many divorces and affairs in the top 3-4 Republican candidates compared to the top 3-4 Dem candidates....  Try looking at the facts.
compared to the top 3-4 Dem candidates.

Bill's and Hill's Family Values.

Can't wait for the movie . . .

No Romance-Comedy on this one. Genre would be 'Horror'.
Hey, I know!  Let's all bash on the Mormons!  Oh crap, I forgot, I'm a Mormon who doesn't like Romney and wants Obama to win...is there a forum for me somewhere?
So lets only bash Mormans that are for Obama. I hear they have their meetings at the VFW every other
Wednesday.

No, not really, just kidding.  Good luck with your choice.
At least Laura knows where here idiot is t night; does Hillary?
we live in a plutocracy
I didn't know we had a king. I thought we were an autonomous collective.
Who cares if Thompson worked for a client of his law firm and that client was a pro-choice business.
It is also wierd to call this lobbying. Consulting yes.
Hillary Clinton before election to the senate lobbied for several multi-national corporations suck as ADM to get concessions to blunt competition.
Obama is about the only politico running who has not lobbied but he states that he is sympathetic to the Islamic cause.
Hey Hillary! What Really Happened To Vince Foster?  


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