First thoughts
Posted: Wednesday, August 08, 2007 9:28 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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First Thoughts
From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** It Wasn’t 756 -- But It Had Plenty Of Fireworks: Last night’s AFL-CIO debate was hard to evaluate; it was part pep rally and part debate. But there were some great moments that we wish could have kept going, like Obama vs. everyone on Pakistan and Biden vs. Edwards on who has been the biggest union advocate. Among the front-runners, Clinton had a good night, if only because she got to stay above the fray; by continually invoking Bush and the Republicans on nearly every question, she used a stiff arm that would have made the late Walter Payton proud. Obama clearly knew what he wanted to say, and he stayed on his message. But he seemed unsure if he wanted to be a cheerleader or a debater on the stage -- yet blame the audience for that, because every time a debate started to break out, the crowd got in the way. And as expected, Edwards was the aggressor last night, but he seemed to draw the ire of more of his rivals than even Obama did.
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VIDEO: NBC's Deputy Political Director Mark Murray offers his first read on outcome of the Democratic forum
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The Others: If you don’t know it by now, Biden knows how to work a crowd. If the AFL members believed he could get the nomination, they would have been even more enthusiastic. Dodd was also hot last night as well -- but he yells a bit too much for TV, surprisingly more so than Biden. Richardson has set himself up to be the under-the-radar candidate; he's not getting involved in the bashing of Obama, Edwards and Clinton, and that could pay dividends in Iowa. And it was easily Kucinich’s debate, as the crowd ate up his calls to abolish NAFTA. Having no Gravel helped him big time.
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The Old Guard vs. The New: Yet if last night’s debate is to be remembered for anything, it will be for the moment that Biden seemed to turn into Clinton's surrogate. He went after Obama on foreign policy and targeted Edwards on how sincere his labor stances are (his campaign also released a post-debate research document blasting Edwards). Dodd also joined the attacks on Obama (but less so on Edwards). Clearly, Washington’s old guard isn’t taking too kindly to either Obama and Edwards. And this creates a problem for the two chief Clinton challengers: They are both vying to be the anti-Hillary. But she now has some allies on stage with her.
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Barry Bonds Politics: MSNBC’s Keith Olbermann was prescient with his Barry Bonds question last night, and it was a revealing moment for Obama. He hesitated on whether he'd invite Bonds to a White House ceremony. The cynicism in sports and politics connection was well done, but waffling on whether to invite said something, too. Given that Obama didn’t answer the question because he said Bonds hadn’t yet hit the record-breaking home run yet, we wonder if Obama will have to answer it now.
*** The Battle For Ames: With three days until the Ames straw poll, Romney goes up with a new TV ad in Iowa that asks state Republicans for their support. “Washington politicians in both parties have proven they can’t control spending, and they won’t control our borders,” he says in the ad. “I will, but I need your help to do it. So come on to Ames.” Ron Paul, using some of his $2 million-plus cash on hand, also is running a TV ad in the state. Nearly all of those competing in the straw poll -- Brownback, Huckabee, Hunter, Paul, and Romney -- are campaigning today in Iowa. And so is Giuliani, who isn’t competing. He holds a media availability this morning in Council Bluffs.
*** Infrastructure Politics: The first question at the debate was on infrastructure (due to the recent bridge collapse in Minnesota). And Clinton gets to carry her answer over to actual policy today, when she delivers an address on rebuilding the nation’s infrastructure from Rochester, NH. And Clinton holds a conference call with reporters afterwards. (On that call, anyone else think she’ll get the same Barry Bonds question that Obama got last night?)
VIDEO: Democratic candidates discuss the nation's crumbling infrastructure
*** On The Trail: Elsewhere, Biden does another round of media hits (on Olbermann, Hannity & Colmes, and the Daily Show); Dodd, in New Hampshire, holds a roundtable discussion on higher education and attends a fundraiser; McCain raises money in New York; Richardson is also in the Granite State with two stops, including speaking to the National Education Association of New Hampshire Summer Learning Conference; and Obama fundraises in California.
Countdown to the Ames Straw Poll: 3 days
Countdown to MA-05 Special Election: 26 days
Countdown to LA GOV election: 73 days
Countdown to Election Day 2007: 90 days
Countdown to LA GOV run-off (if necessary): 101 days
Countdown to Iowa: 158 days
Countdown to Tsunami Tuesday: 180 days
Countdown to Election Day 2008: 454 days
Countdown to Inauguration Day 2009: 531 days