Iowa poll results: Obama(27%), Clinton(26%), Edwards(26%).  This is great news for Obama because he has tied for the lead after his ads started running in IA.  People support him after they learn who he is.  This will be replicated throughout the nation.  The nation (especially the independents) is fed up with the right wing attacks.  Obama is running a smart campaign and will only get stronger.  Put money on it.

Why can't Obama bring a change sitting where he is? He is a senator-isn't he? Why does he think he is more qualified than other people to become the president? Hope is just what it is - a hope definition "want or expect something"- doesn't mean you are going to get it. All the poor downtrodden people in this country have been having this (HOPE) since long, Obama offering them hope doesn't cut. Clinton's lead is among these kind of people who think that she can actually deliver something. Obama gains among the so called intellectuals who are well off in their lives and who consider themselves so much superior to the poor people that they have the audacity to offer HOPE.

Obama Rocks and is ahead in the primary states, and that is all that really matters right now, go OBAMA...I'm with u all the way baby!

When you realize that George Bush didn't create this policy of war and domestic spying alone, he had experienced foreign policy experts of both parties supporting him.  It comes down to who you trust to make decisions on the best information given to him on foreign policy. "What if" Obama is the one. I certainly isn't Hillary.

Olivia, take a tranquilizer before you read this!


There are so many things about this report that disgust me, I can't even begin to list them. I'll let you read it for yourself.

Just one point: Regardless of how absolutely profane this man is, how could anyone in such an exalted position think that this is appropriate conversation? Again, these people in this administration are just, just, ..I don't know WHAT they are.




To the HUD Secretary Obama is a Communist and Katrina is Anybody Else's Fault

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/sam-hodge/to-the-hud-secretary-obam_b_59674.html

I like obama. as everyone says fresh ,progressive ,ability to bridge the gap and fight for the little guy , but the winning ticket for the democrats would be hillary for pres and barrack for v.p. imagine hillary for 8 yesrs and when it's time for her to leave office, we have an experienced  (8 years worth) obama to come in with his great ideas to move the county forward.

Senitor Obama says he is for the unions well we have a strick going on right now in a small town in Painted post NY the company is Dresser rand and the fight is about health insureance What is the Senitor going to do to help us?  

I don't trust or believe anything Hillary says.  She's a complete fake.  A farce.  What experience does she have that Obama doesn't?  Hmm?  Tell me how you think she's qualified to be President of the Unite States.  Quite simply, she isn't.  If you want the same old thing, Bush-Cheney light, then by all means vote for Hillary.  But, if you want change, vote for Obama.  This race is based on change and you will all see that America agrees Barack Obama is the best candidate for the job.

Obama may have been in an election when he said not invade Iraq.  But he could have said he wanted to exterminate the Easter Bunny, and still would have won his senate seat.  The Illinois Republicans screwed up that race so bad, there was no way Obama could have lost that election.  After Jack Ryan withdrew because of wanting to have sex with wife (True, look it up.  All right, it was in a sex club, but still.), the Republicans brought in Alan Keyes from New Jersey to fill the spot.  He had to get an apartment and establish residency before he could run.  An absolute joke of a campaign.

What is interesting is that Hillary had her senate seat handed to her in a similar way.  Recall that she was to run against Rudy Giuliani for the seat vacated by Daniel Moynihian.  Giuliani though had to withdraw to be treated for prostate cancer, and Rick Lazio was thrown in at the last minute.

Sierra - you forget Clinton wants us to believe she voted not to give Bush authorization to invade but rather to give Bush authorization for conduct diplomacy, lol - that one still gets me.

Sierra - Do we not expect our elected officials to vote for what WE want?  I've said it before and I will say it again - you can't have it both ways.  If we expect them to get the U.S. out of this war now because it's what the majority wants, then we have to respect that they got us INTO the war because that was what the majority wants.  

Yiannis - Iowa is not that easy to figure out, believe me.  It completely depends on where the people you are talking to are from.  I recently spent a year in NW Iowa, which is strongly Republican.  However, I am from Eastern Iowa, specifically Iowa City, which is much more liberal.  Even the Democrats in NW Iowa are more conservative than they are in Eastern Iowa.  

Robert - I don't speak for anyone but myself.  However, being from Iowa, I do take offense when people tell me that Iowans don't like something or won't support something.  That's like me telling you what people in Ohio think.  

And Carrie, that one is even better. Clinton voted to authorize the war, even though she was against it, out of a sense of obligation to her constituents?

Is that really the line you want to take? She knew better, but figured, "what the hell, the people back in New York want it... so okay, I'm in."

This ad ends very well with that last line.  I was rolling my eyes at the opening "what if," but reacted positively to the 'one nation' and the following 2004 DNC clip.  The patriotism of the closing line appealed to me the most I think, it had emotional impact.

vanreuter, NY NY, brings up obama's overall flat national poll.

Combine this thought with the notable early state polls.  

Thinking of the differences, ask yourself what drives these polls, what drives public perception.

When I think of this, I come up with national perceptions being driven largely by national media: AP articles in the local papers, cable news networks, mass circulation magazines like Time, Newsweek, etc.  

On the national level, I see campaign rallies, phone drives, campaign advertising as not having large impact.  However these campaign activities and grassroots efforts do seem to have impact in the early states.

Considering that the Obama campaign is active in Iowa, SC, and NH, doesn't this seem to explain the difference in dynamic in national and early state polls?  

Combining this with focus group reviews and before-and-after polling of people that watch a given debate, the trend seems to be that people that hear his message and know more about him, support him at much higher rates than people who haven't.

This makes you wonder about the potential and the direction of the Obama campaign.

This is part of the reason why people, who probably support Obama, get defensive at those national polls, and are sensitive to national media outlets' characterization of Obama and his statements, which play into driving those national polls.

Doesn't the two week Hillary climb and recent decline seem to correlate with national media coverage?

Obama's experience is equal to Hillary's.  She is trying to take credit for Bill's Administration.  Obama needs to start calling her on it.  She is not her husband.

Does anybody realize that often more experiance = more corruption? This country needs somebody who is fresh, who has vision, who is intelligent, who works for people!  Go Obama!!!!

Message (please, no HTML tags. Web addresses will be hyperlinked):