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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



More oh-eight: New polls to chew on

Posted: Wednesday, September 12, 2007 9:10 AM by Domenico Montanaro

Bloomberg/L.A. Times is out with polls in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, and the surveys conclude that Giuliani's support is soft in the early states (he trails in all three, Romney leads in Iowa and New Hampshire, and Thompson leads in South Carolina). Meanwhile, on the Democratic side, the polls show Clinton leading in all three. Look for the Edwards folks to dispute the Iowa results, in particular, very strongly. But this isn't the first round of polls in these early states that have shown Clinton strengthening. It's easy to dismiss one poll, much harder to dismiss a trend.

Meanwhile, a new Washington Post/ABC national poll shows Giuliani's national lead shrinking a bit, while Clinton maintains her double-digit lead over Obama. 

The New York Times’ Nagourney makes the case for why Iowa and New Hampshire voters are much more sophisticated on the issues than your average voter.

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Comments

I went back and looked at the 1992 and 96 elections..

Did you know Bill Clinton never got over 50% of the vote in either election?.....

Yet George Bush got almost 51% in 2004.

Hillary should remember that......


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