First thoughts: Rudy's two big weeks
Posted: Thursday, September 20, 2007 9:00 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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First Thoughts
From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
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Rudy’s Two Big Weeks: For a second week in a row, it appears that Giuliani is well on his way of "owning" the week as far as the GOP primary is concerned. Last week, he used the MoveOn ad as a way to steal Petraeus week from McCain (politically, of course). And this week's trip to London -- which he’ll likely talk about at a press avail in Reston, VA today -- is giving Giuliani an opportunity to look "presidential." But the big event for Giuliani comes tomorrow when he addresses the NRA. If he is able to convince them that he won't be an enemy, he just might get over the final conservative hurdle. There's NO chance he'll get the NRA's endorsement -- but if he can simply keep the group on the sidelines during the primary, he can claim a mini victory.
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Does This Help Rudy Even More? The AP gets its hands on a private email from Focus on the Family’s James Dobson, in which the evangelical leader demonstrates that he’s no fan of Fred Thompson. "Isn't Thompson the candidate who is opposed to a Constitutional amendment to protect marriage, believes there should be 50 different definitions of marriage in the U.S., favors McCain-Feingold, won't talk at all about what he believes, and can't speak his way out of a paper bag on the campaign trail?" Dobson says in the email. "He has no passion, no zeal, and no apparent 'want to.' And yet he is apparently the Great Hope that burns in the breasts of many conservative Christians? Well, not for me, my brothers. Not for me!" Is this a sign that the evangelical community isn’t crazy about any of the GOP front-runners?
*** Waiting For Andy Stern: The news out of the SEIU yesterday -- that its endorsement comes down to Clinton, Edwards, and Obama -- was probably bad news for one candidate more than any other: Edwards. The fact that he didn't get the endorsement the "normal" way, and the fact that the union is also considering the two Dem candidates doing better in the national polls than Edwards is means that the former North Carolina senator has an extra hurdle to pass in picking up the unions much-coveted endorsement. That said, the SEIU’s decision to also strongly consider Clinton and Obama isn’t surprising given the union’s power bases in Illinois and New York. And at the end of the day, isn’t it more important whom the SEIU endorses? Not when?
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Return To Sender: The Wall Street Journal writes about another possible bundler problem for the Clinton campaign. The bundler in question allegedly reimbursed a couple that each gave Clinton the max of $4,600. And, according to the paper, the Clinton announced it would return the combined $9,200. It’s no Norman Hsu story. But look how quickly the Clinton campaign was with returning the money…
*** Forum Time: Five Democratic presidential candidates -- Biden, Clinton, Chris Dodd, Edwards, and Richardson -- participate tonight at a forum in Davenport, IA on (for the most part) health care and retirement security issues. It’s sponsored by AARP and Iowa Public Television and moderated by PBS’s Judy Woodruff. There are three absences: Obama, whose campaign has announced it won’t attend most non-DNC sanctioned debates and forums, and Gravel and Kucinich, who didn’t meet the organizers’ requirements to have active campaigns in Iowa. Organizers aren’t too pleased that Obama isn’t attending. "It's really an opportunity for him to talk about these issues," he said. "We're really disappointed he's not going to be there," Bruce Koeppl, campaign manager of the AARP-backed voter outreach effort that is spearheading the forum, tells NBC/National Journal’s Carrie Dann. Is Obama’s absence a boon to Clinton? After all, if there is a profile of the most likely caucus-goer in Iowa, that person just might be a member of the AARP. Some 68,000 Iowa AARP members have previously caucused.
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What’s Cooler -- The AARP Or The “Human Highlight Film”? Instead of participating at the AARP forum, Obama hits an event in Atlanta with former NBA star Dominique Wilkins and performing artist Usher. (Yeah!) This comes less than a week after Clinton attended a fundraiser featuring another NBA star, Magic Johnson.
*** On The Trail: Elsewhere, Biden campaigns in Iowa before the AARP forum; Brownback stumps in South Carolina; Giuliani travels back across the pond to hold a press avail in Reston, VA; Huckabee is in South Carolina; McCain hits a fundraiser in Northern Virginia; Paul hosts a tugboat ride and dinner in Michigan; and Thompson, in Dallas, holds a press conference on Iran.
Countdown to LA GOV election: 30 days
Countdown to Election Day 2007: 47 days
Countdown to LA GOV run-off (if necessary): 58 days
Countdown to Iowa: 116 days
Countdown to SC GOP primary: 121 days
Countdown to Tsunami Tuesday: 138 days
Countdown to Election Day 2008: 411 days
Countdown to Inauguration Day 2009: 488 days