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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



GOP pollster leaves McCain campaign

Posted: Friday, September 21, 2007 11:38 AM by Mark Murray

From NBC's Chuck Todd
GOP pollster Bill McInturff is leaving the McCain campaign. The separation is amicable, and the campaign will go without pollster for the time being. McInturff will return as the Republican half of the NBC/Wall Street Journal polling team, beginning with the next survey.

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BUSH SUCKS.
Well this is par for the course, its a long way to Tipperary!
I wonder if Ron Paul will outraise McCain in the third quarter; I wouldn't be surprised.  One thing's for sure, though; he'll blow him away as far as net cash on hand.  Considering Paul is tied for fifth place in the newest Gallup poll with Mike Huckabee at 4%, the momentum seems to be on his side; my girlfriend and I randomly saw a huge Ron Paul sticker on the car in front of us just yesterday, which I certinly wasn't expecting around here.

I'm not a Paul supporter, BTW; I just find it fascinating that the only anti-Iraq war candidate in a GOP where a third of the voters oppose the war is heading into what will likely be a six person splitting of the vote.  Never mind the fact that he also happens to be the only guy in that field who actually believes in adhering to the Constitution and the only one who actually means "smaller government" when he says it; two big sticking points for millions of disaffected conservatives.  I'm just saying, there are no guarantees as to what might or might not happen in the Republican field, even the unthinkable.  
Yes Ron Paul is doing well in the campaign.  Have you noticed that he isn't spending any of this contributions.  Why would that be?  You would think he would be spending some money to get his message out.  I believe the real reason, and this is quite funny, is that the real reason for his candidacy is profit.  He is in the campaign to make money via contributions.

Meanwhile, poor McCain continues to go down the tubes.  But, I don't count him out.  All of his opponents are fatally flawed.  I wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't see a turn-around when the repubs realize that the others are even worse.  But, in the end, if he does drop out there will be two reasons--his fawning support for Bush, which is disgusting, considering the dirty tricks Bush did to McCain in 2000, and second, and probably most important, his failure to vilify Latinos and immigrants, an issue considered to be paramount in the tiny minds of average repubs.
Must not be able to afford Bill McInturff anymore.
J.D. - I agree with you on McCain, but although I'm a big a cynic as anyone, I really doubt Paul is just trying to make money here and here's why: every Congressman's office gets a certain budget from the government, and Paul alone RETURNS the vast majority of it our of principle.  The guy is a legitimate libertarian and that's why he's not blowing all his money like all the other Republicans, who believe in the Bush model of spending; I'm no libertarian myself, but I have more respect for them than the neocons, who represent all the worst elements of political philosophy rolled up into one toxic ball that is literally killing the country.  
I'm not sure that true libertarians, in the ilk of Ron Paul are not worse even than neocons.  At least neocons would spend some money on social programs versus none.  At least neocons would have done something about New Orleans and Mississippi after Katrina.  Paul believes that people should not be helped by government, even in disasters like Katrina.  That is just insane.  He is a stopped clock, fight about Iraq and wrong about everything else.  Between neocons, the Club for Growth, and libertarians like Paul, the repub party has all the bases of insanity covered.
The libertarians are at least honest, would eliminate government waste, and wouldn't go around the world making more and more people want to kill us.  The neocons are the opposite, and the only social programs they're interested are those that subsidize the corporations and those that please the fundamentalists (unconstitutional "faith-based" spending); if they had their way, neoconservatives would gladly strip every community utility and security net out there as long as it doesn't hurt the stock market in the short term, and their whole method of communication is based on lying about "small government", "being strong on terrorism", and "fiscal responsibility" while they bankrupt us with an expanding Pentagon budget and endless wars that have only increased terrorist recruitment.

I certainly don't agree with a libertarian, but I can have an honest debate with a libertarian, and their arguments at least have some basis in and respect for the Constitution.  I cannot say the same about a neocon; despite only six years of neoconservative rule, no political philosophy aside from slavery has done as much damage to America in our nation's history.
To Democrats & Repubs:

I was really hoping and expecting that someone in the Democratic or Republican Party was going to rise about all of the usual campaign smearing (or what we call now ... campaigning) and address issues that American citizens would like answere to, you know .... immigration, defense, health care, social security, (those kinds of things), but as usual the temptation was too great not to personally attack the candidate from the other party or his family.

For those reasons, neither one of the major political parties deserves my vote.  Clinton marginalized the Repubs when he was pres, Bush II returned the favor during the 1st 6 years of his "administration" and I fear that the Dems will feel justified in returning the insult and so it goes ....

I'm looking for someone who is a statesman!  Someone with class, integrity, honor and wide respect among his/her peers.  Unforturnately, this country doesn't seem to have a great supply of these people.

You want my vote?  Your actions will speak many more volumes than your words!!

Have a great weekend!
Steve - From the sound of the criteria you're looking for, you should take a close look at Obama.  As an independent, I think he has a better chance at ushering in a new era of respectful, honorable, post-partisan politics than anyone else who has run in my lifetime.
Well Steve N Virginia  Why don't you step up to the plate.  Maybe you can step up on that high pedestal!
If not may we please have some suggestions as to who ( Jesus is dead) can join the campaign before it is to late?
Your standards are way high, just sit this one out till something better strikes your fancy.
The neo-cons have begun the drum beat for the next war...against Iran.  If anyone thinks Iraq has been a disaster...just wait until George Bush attacks Iran or the Israelis do it with the support of the United States.  A war with Iran will unleash the full fury of Islamic jihad on the West.  Be prepared for economic devastation and bloody suicide attacks against America and its interests around the world. The answer is not the stupidity of confrontation.  It is vigorous diplomacy...engaging the help and support of allies and other sympathetic countries to pose a united front against an Iran with nuclear weapons.  It also involves talking to the Iranians... If Presidents, from Harry Truman to Ronald Reagan, could sit down with the Soviets, then our leaders should be able to open a dialogue with the mullahs in Tehran.  The Iranian theocracy is very unpopular at home.  What better way for the regime to unite the people and crush dissent than a possible war with the Great Satan?  The Bush foreign policy is fundamentally flawed. The main premise is that all problems can be solved militarily.  It is wrong for George Bush to leave the Iraq quagmire to his successor but it would be devastating for him to bequeath a potential holocaust in the Middle East to the next president! Dick Cheney wants to hit Iran before he and Bush leave office.  Our military is stretched to the limit.  A war with Iran would leave our troops in Iraq as little more than easy targets...attacked by Sunnis, Shiites, Al Qaieda, and Iran's Revolutionary Guard. Tankers in the Persian Gulf will be sunk as Iran chokes the oil supply to the West...perhaps even the Saudi fields will be set ablaze.  The neo-cons were very wrong about Iraq.  It was and is no cake walk.  An American or Israeli attack on Iran will have far more disastrous consequences. Can anyone reason with this administration before it is too late?


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