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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Oh-eight (D): Bill vs. Obama

Posted: Monday, October 01, 2007 9:41 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

The Washington Post takes a look at the lack of influence labor is having on the Dem field. But, don't miss the AFSCME note that an endorsement is coming in a month. 
 

Kerry said, “President Bush is leaving a tarnished economic legacy that will haunt the middle class and their children,” the AP reports. Kerry is urging his party to embrace a "bold new age in progressive politics. Under Bush, the economic gains made by the middle class and minorities during the Clinton administration have not only been eroded, but reversed, Kerry, D-Mass., said in prepared remarks to be delivered Monday at the historic Faneuil Hall in Boston.” 
 
CLINTON: What a fascinating weekend of coverage for Clinton this weekend.
 
Politico's Allen and Harris chronicle the shift in how Clintons' being covered, at least in this last week. Clinton "flew into a sudden burst of media wind shear. After months of mostly rosy portrayals of her campaign’s political skill, discipline and inevitability, the storyline shifted abruptly to evasive answers, shady connections and a laugh that sounded like it was programmed by computer."
 
Frank Rich
is not impressed with Clinton and is worried about her electability and compares her with the 2000 version of Al Gore. "None of this would matter if the only issue were Mrs. Clinton's ability as a performer. Not every president can be Reagan or J.F.K. or, for that matter, Bill Clinton. But in her case, as in Mr. Gore's in 2000, the performance too often dovetails with the biggest question about her as a leader: Is she so eager to be all things to all people, so reluctant to offend anyone, that we never will learn what she really thinks or how she will really act as president?"
 
Meanwhile, MoDo takes on the dynasty aspect to Clinton and probably captures the Beltway opinion as well as anyone: "The town is divided into two camps: those who think that, after 16 years of Hillary pushing herself forward, the public will get worn out and reject her, and those who think that, after 16 years of Hillary pushing herself forward, the public will get worn down and give in to her."
 
On "Meet" -- it looks like Bill moved his position closer to Hillary's on torture rather than Hillary moving toward Bill... Hmmmmm; So she did "talk to him about that..."
 
The New York Sun looks at the separate Bill Clinton Sunday show interviews and notes while he seemed to change his position on torture to conform to Hillary's position, he re-defended his support for NAFTA. "Substantive policy differences between Mr. and Mrs. Clinton have been few and far between. Other than trade, the most notable may be gay rights; the New York senator has called for an end to the military's "Don't ask, don't tell" policy initiated at the beginning of her husband's term. She also has backed off her support for the 1996 "Defense of Marriage Act," although she does not support same-sex marriage."
 
And more debate fallout in the Daily News regarding Clinton's position on torture: "Hillary Clinton is clearly being incredibly disingenuous when she says she reversed her position on torture after speaking with former military officers [in April 2007]," Republican National Committee spokesman Danny Diaz charged. "She was already aware they opposed exceptions to the Geneva Convention at the time she supported them." Clinton campaign officials said the candidate changed her position after meeting with senior retired officers who asked her to reconsider." 
 
One thing overlooked from the Bill Clinton Sunday interviews: Bill's speculation that he may help "sell domestic programs." Really? Does this mean Bill will stump the country after Hillary State of the Unions? They'll stump together, separately? Fascinating thing to speculate about.
 
 The L.A. Times looks at the nervousness Rocky Mountain Democrats have if Clinton is leading the '08 ticket. "One key advisor to a prominent Democratic congressional candidate, who asked not be to identified discussing tensions within the party, went even further. "It's a disaster for Western Democrats," he said. "It keeps me up at night."
 
The Clinton campaign said the alarm was unwarranted and expressed confidence that as voters in the West got to know Clinton, they would back her and the party's congressional candidates. "We expect to head a very strong ticket in the West," spokesman Mo Elleithee said.
 
One unintended consequence of Clinton's supposed Rocky Mountain electoral problem? Look for Schweitzer and Salazar and other westerners to dominate the VP short list should she be the nominee.
 
Clinton talking time: The Los Angeles Times reports that Clinton topped her rivals in speaking time at the Dartmouth debate. "She logged 17 minutes and 37 seconds of air time -- roughly four minutes more than the second-place finisher, Barack Obama. Reflecting how Clinton's been extending her lead in various polls (with the exception of that pesky little contest in Iowa), that's a reversal from the figures for some of the earlier debates, when Obama led and she ran second." 
 
The New York Daily News reports on the criticism Clinton's baby bonds idea has sparked among her rivals: "It's a quick way of trying to buy votes, which is irresponsible when it comes to the economic future of the nation," said New York Conservative Party chief Mike Long, adding that the White House would have to raise taxes to finance the plan. The bonds would cost about $20 billion a year, based on the 4 million American babies born annually, according to Time magazine, which last month proposed a similar plan."
 
EDWARDS: Rut-ro... The L.A. Times looks at Edwards' Iowa campaign and finds some '04 supporters unhappy with the new sharper-elbowed liberal Edwards. "There are three big questions confronting John Edwards: Does he need to finish first in Iowa to keep his presidential hopes alive? Could he actually win the first-in-the-nation caucuses, a traditional springboard to later victory? And, finally, will he? To date, there are only two easy answers: "Yes." And "yes." After that, it's "Who the heck knows?"
 
By the way, it looks like Cate Edwards has the same biting campaign style as her mother. NBC-NJ's Carrie Dann notes C. Edwards said the following in Iowa over the weekend on supporting her father: "The choice was pretty easy for me, obviously. Not like Giuliani's daughter."
 
Cate also pushed her father’s electability very candidly: "You have to talk like my dad talks” to have a chance to win in the South. "We can't concede the South."
 
KUCINICH: Kucinich talked peace at the University of New Hampshire.
 
OBAMA: Among likely caucus-goers, Obama enjoys a slim lead, polling 28% to best Clinton (24%) and Edwards (22%). Bill Richardson is the only other Democratic candidate to score in the double digits (10%).
 
NBC/NJ’s Aswini Anburajan reports that the Obama campaign claims to have hit a fundraising goal of 350,000 donors raising more than $500,000.
 
Twice in Concord Saturday, Sen. Obama seemed to express frustration with the process of campaigning and how he was portrayed in the media. During the question-and-answer period after his speech, Obama was asked by a New Hampshire resident about keeping troops in Iraq until the end of his first term. He walked across the stage shaking his head and said, "classic example of, you know, the frustrations of some of these debates and how they play themselves out," Obama said before cutting himself short and correcting his answer for the record. Obama said that he would begin a process of removing combat troops from Iraq at the rate of one to two brigades per month, but he would leave forces behind to help with humanitarian issues, guard the U.S. embassy, and to be a counterterrorism force either in Kuwait or elsewhere in the region. "The question is do we have combat troops patrolling Baghdad or engage in firefights in Anbar province, that's not something we'll see in an Obama presidency," he told the crowd.
 
Later in the question-and-answer period, when Obama was talking about testing and No Child Left Behind, and he said, "Part of life is having to take tests, and I have to do it right now running for president and a bunch of them seem very silly to me but you have to take them," he said.
 
An interesting back-and-forth between Bill Clinton and Obama. After Bill Clinton told Bloomberg News on that he had more experience than Obama when he ran for president in 1992, Obama fired back quoting Clinton from 1992. The campaign passed this around: "I remember what was said years ago by a candidate running for President. [Obama] said, 'The same old experience is not relevant. You can have the right kind of experience and the wrong kind of experience.’ Well that candidate was Bill Clinton. And I think he was absolutely right." Clinton compared Obama now to the experience Bill Clinton says he had in '87, when he came a few weeks away from running.
 
Here's the graph the Clinton folks will be quoting to many in the press today: "Jay Stewart, executive director of an Illinois watchdog group known as the Better Government Association, said that in helping these and other executives as a state senator, Mr. Obama also benefited from the kind of special-interest-driven politics he now decries." 
 
Meanwhile, today's Boston Globe has the type of story that the press is probably going to run a lot more. Header: "Obama's backers insist polls belie a buzz they see on the trail." We would not have seen stories like this four years ago. But thanks to the quick rise and fall of Howard Dean, this is the prism Obama's campaign is being viewed. 
 
This is not a good headline: “Clinton edges Obama in black caucus.” Clinton has 13 Congressional Black Caucus endorsements to Obama’s 12.
 
The AP writes that Obama “would relax drug-sentencing laws and address vast racial inequities in the justice system as part of his crime policy.”
 
The Boston Globe notes that Obama's New Hampshire supporters say he still has the buzz, if not the poll numbers.
 
And his campaign was working hard in South Carolina yesterday, visiting the Brookland Baptist Church in West Columbia and First Baptist Church in downtown Columbia. The Columbia State: "Just 2.7 miles, or eight minutes by motorcade on a traffic-free Sunday morning, separate the two churches. Rarely does anyone traverse the short distance -- or wider cultural gap between the two Baptist congregations -- to catch both services."

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Comments

Good post, Don, Sammamish, WA

I think the problem is materialism.

The best way to support a more equalitarian society is to support the union movement.
It's not perfect, it's very fallible, but it works.

Thanks for the post
Dana: Spoken like a true liberal from the left coast!

You seem to forget this congress is supposed to be the most ethical in history.  Pelosi sank that boat when she didn't force William Jefferson out of office, plus she has her own problems with a cruise ship terminal and her husbands land next door, but I think I have chronicled that enough.

Why should I care about lazy, stupid people that do not get off their butts? Put down the Budweiser and chicken wings and go out and earn money.  It's real easy when you are sitting at home and watching oprah and other idiots while I am out there chasing the american dream and living up to it's expectattions.  In california, it seems only natural for a liberal, the state will take care of your needs whether you are legal or not, and they give you food and shelter and sell you grass if you are in pain.  Sorry, but I don't want any part of that.  I'd rather go out and prove that as a man, I can take care of my family, working an 8-12 hour day and let the guys who are either too lazy or too stupid stay home, abuse the wife and kids and take their (enter choice of drug or drink)and wait for Hillary to come and give them freebies.  
When were we talking about freebies, I forget? Please refresh my memory.
>>> Us strong Dem's will do all the heavy lifting for you...

Okay, but your expectations seem high.  How much can you do with a welfare check?
Obama actually answers questions posed to him after thinking. The key is after THINKING - not just spewing the same rehearsed lines that are designed to steer us away from the actual question. If he can think AND cares enough to listen - he has my vote.

Hillary doesn't answer the question - often she changes the subject to avoid being unpopular. That 's what her experience has taught her.  Most of her public experience is courtesy of Bill and she would likely be a nobody without him.

Obama says and does what he thinks is right even if it is unpopular. In his experience he has been very sucessful and has proven himself a man of the people.  We have had many excellent leaders with less experience, and terrible ones with more. We need a breath of fresh air to breathe integrity back into this country.
Sierra:

Support the union movement?
LOL

They got what they wished for at the car makers....
Power to control the medical.....

Now the question is, does a union have the brainpower to run it smoothly?

The Car people won, why take care of the medical files when the union can do it and they don't have to run anymore money into health care?
PLease Jerry,

You must have mouths wrapping around all sides of your head.

Why are you so insistant on blamimg the dems for everything here???  If I remember correctly, your party was the one in complete control for over 6 years.

I won't waste any more time schoolilng you on all the ills we suffer from under W's rule.  If you so conveniently ignore all the problems wrought upon us by YOUR own party, then I'm glad to be from CA and as far way from TX as possible.

So again, step aside, let us fix healthcare for those in need, schools for kids that got left behind, government and the constitution that got trampled upon by your idols, and our reputation as a country that leads by example.  Not one that condones torture, ignores world scientific policy on global climate change, and issues endless threats to middle eastern countries that had NOTHING to do with 9/11.

You see, I and others are discussing issues.  All you seem to do is cast dispersions...look it up!  Debate real substance instead of just attacking personal bias.  I am guessing it's because you have nothing to cling to, other than the measly tax rebate W gave you what, 5 years ago?

Peace
Jerry in Ciorpus Cristi, Just face it libs;  the only reason people stay poor is that they are just too lazy to get up and a get a job and work for the American dream.  I see a lot of you libs in here preaching to the choir, but you are too much out of tune

Got news for you, not all poor people are lazy.  There are a vast number of people poor because of illness.  How about grandma on social security?  A bad marraige to a callous person like you can throw a person in a tailspin.  We aren't all like you.  Who knows, maybe one day YOU will be poor.
Larson:  I doubt it.  At least I have My values and my work ethic.  I've known people who's parents were on welfare and they had kids and they were on welfare and now their kids are on welfare.  Liberalism is a disease.

If you are able bodied and strong, then there is no reason why you should not get up and go to work.  But, oh no, Hillary will be president and she will let me sleep in and pay my bills and let me drink my beer in peace.  So as long as people know there is a socialist state coming, then why get out and work?

California LOL.  A place where they draw a blue line where the ocean is going to be in 10 years, gorilla racing, people on bikes terrorizing mom's in SUV's.  yeah, it does sound like paradise.  Only Don Henley said it best:

You call someplace paradise
Kiss it goodbye.
Tom, you said:  "FYI  Black cacus endorsements is currently even since I assume Obama will endorse himself.  He unlike Hillary is actually a member and not a "Johhny come lately wannabe". "

I'm going out on a limb here, but don't you have to be black to be a member of the black caucus?  If that is the case, I fail to understand how Hillary could be a "Johnny come lately wannabe" to the black caucus, since she cannot be a member herself.  What is it that she is coming lately to exactly?  Being a black politician?  Hm, not so much.  

A little clarification, please.
ASAD

Good Choices. I think that Diane Fienstien, Elizabeth Dole would work too.

I agree about the baggage
Jerry..by the seven dwarfs I expect you are talking about bush,cheney, rove, wolfowitz, rumsfeld,rice and patreaus
Every one keeps talking about Hillary's electablity.  The thought that she is not electable is just uninformed.  She won her senate seat while being out spent 2:1 and she took the republican attack machine head on.  She is the only canidate on the dem's side that can survive the republican attack machine.  Lets not forget that if the repubs. bring up the impeachment that the public solidly supported clinton in that affair.  The public also supported him in the gov. shut down.  And anyone that thinks that they can change washington with out a fight is down right wrong.  Do you honestly think that the powerbrokers will just willingly give up their power.  As for the west Hillary can easily win.  Lets not forgett that last time Montana voted democratic was for her husband in 1992.  The dems in west have been making strides because they have gone back to tradditionally democratic ideals of helping those who need the help and asking those who can help to do so.  Hillary can and will be the First Female presient on the USA in Januar 2009
Dana:  

Somebody (her name escapes me now)was trying to "fix healthcare" as far back as 1992.  Schools and their poor performance were issues well prior to 2000 which just might explain why it was a campaign issue for both candidates leading up to 2000.

We were intervening militarily in several parts of the world throughout the 90's including devasting attacks on Iraq by the Clinton administration, which adopted the doctrine of regime change in Iraq.  

Our image with the middle east countries has been unfavorable at least since November 4, 1979, especially in Iran and later in Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan under the Taliban in the 90's. In 1983 somebody there hated us enough to kill a few hundred Marines in their barracks.  

The circumstances under which we would be viewed favorably to some of these people are unacceptable.  

Our reputation with Russia has been questionable for several decades and the Chinese barely tolerate us and have always considered themselves above us. Europe still gladly takes our tourist dollars and is competing robustly with us in the world economy, maybe even kicking our butt from time to time but by and large we haven't really lost any allies there for the long run.

So I wish you would waste your breath and tell us exactly what new ills George Bush has brought upon us that weren't already there. I know you can make some up but please accompany it with some substance, because that seems to be important to you.

The Hurricane Katrina (with a K) blame game doesn't fly with me and I've never seen natural disaster and personal tragedy used as shamelessly for political reasons as it has by Democrats against George Bush.  Did you know there are still un-rebuilt areas of Florida from hurricanes in the 90's?  I guess that's Clinton's fault, so why isn't he down there with Jimmy Carter building houses?  Oh, he sent money there for other people to do it?  Brilliant!

Did anyone else see the article in the past few days about the pace of dismantling nukes under our agreement with Russia (you know, the one that was made early in the Bush administration 12 or 13 years after the U.S.S.R. ceased to exist)? It has proceeded faster than originally projected.  That actually is new.

Global warming is not new.  George Bush didn't create it, he didn't exacerbate it and he isn't ignoring it, except in the minds of a lot of people who have a vendetta against him, not to mention those who are exploiting the whole thing for money, specifically some of those countries that have such a low opinion of us.  

The greatest new contributors to global warming are India and China.  I suppose it's Bush's fault that this has occurred under his administration along with a booming global economy and all the dangers that poses for all of us.

I'm sure something different would have happened under a Gore administration,  but couldn't you just direct a little wrath at a couple of supreme leaders in those other two countries, too?  They're sure not learning from our mistakes of the past 100 years.

Iraq is your only legitimate issue and it will always be an issue worth discussing among adults.  Go ahead and blame that one on Bush. After all, he takes responsibility for it and always has.

So, your whole statement about all the ills brought upon us by George Bush is, in my opinion, B.S. and driven by your personal bias.  Your arguments of "substance" are sound bites and talking points.  Personally, I haven't suffered any ills under or as a result of George Bush.  None to speak of under Clinton, the first George Bush or Ronald Reagan either. I've even survived Carter, Ford, Nixon, Johnson, Kennedy and a few years of Eisenhower.  Life is good! (but I apologize for that.)






I love how some people think the fact that the Black Caucus having 2 more endorsements for Clinton is a bad headline.  It's just another version of "is he black enough."  It's ridiculous.  What did you think?  The Black Causcus was just gonna instinctively endorse the "Negro?"  Seriously, let's catch a freaking clue here people.  These are career politicians who'd tend to favor people to whom they owe favors.   I love how you media idiots try to pass yourselves off as some kind of experts.  Also, I'm pretty sure there are plenty of fools in the Black caucus who are so crippled by self-loathing, dithering fear, that they've convinced themselves that a black man can never be president.
josh billings montana


Are you on crack?

You say:

"The thought that she is not electable is just uninformed.  She won her senate seat while being out spent 2:1 and she took the republican attack machine head on."

Which campaign was that in 2000 against Congressman Rick Lassio? Wrong, Clinton had far more funding than Lassio. You forget either because of his prostate cancer, recent public divorce, or other reasons Rudy didn't challenge Hillary, and Lassio was always considered a weak long shot.

If you are talking about her re-election campaign in 06, she had a very weak opponent, the RNC did not help the guy, and even Republicans like Ruppert Murdoch knew Hillary had a cake walk and threw a fund raiser for her. She out spent her opponent in that race by an obscene margin.


 "She is the only canidate on the dem's side that can survive the republican attack machine."



Based upon what facts? She is the only Democrat that will face vicious attacks, she is also the only Democratic candidate that will increase GOP turn out more than the GOP candidates can turn out voters.


"Lets not forget that if the repubs. bring up the impeachment that the public solidly supported clinton in that affair.The public also supported him in the gov. shut down."


The Clinton you are referring to is Bill, Hillary and Bill are not interchangeable. Also, there is a difference between thinking that Congress was on a witch hunt (which was what the majority -i.e. more than 50% of the public felt), and believing that Bill Clinton did nothing wrong lying under oath (it depends upon what the definition of is is), and having sex with an intern are two totally different matters.  



"And anyone that thinks that they can change washington with out a fight is down right wrong.  Do you honestly think that the powerbrokers will just willingly give up their power."

And what facts do you have to believe that Hillary can get anything done in Washington? She made so many mistakes in her failed attempt at health care reform, because it was her way or he highway. In the end nothing was passed. Sadly she could have gotten a plan (that she admitted at the debate last week in NH) passed that is basically identical to her plan now. Also look at her donor lists she is closely tied to the "power brokers"



"As for the west Hillary can easily win.  Lets not forgett that last time Montana voted democratic was for her husband in 1992."

Again, put the crack pipe down, it is bad for you. OK, Bill, not Hillary won in 1992, what % of the vote did he get? Apparently he didn't win re-election in the state, could it be that Bill won Montana in 92, because a lot of people who would have voted to re-elect Bush voted for Ross Perot. Even Hillary's campaign doesn't think they can win in Montana, you've got a great Democratic Governor, and Tester is great too, but they are nothing like Hillary. I don't think any of the Democratic candidates could win in Montana.

"The dems in west have been making strides because they have gone back to tradditionally democratic ideals of helping those who need the help and asking those who can help to do so.  Hillary can and will be the First Female presient on the USA in Januar 2009"

I shouldn't waste my time explaining why you have no clue. Your spelling and grammar speak to your intellect.

I guess we will all be thinking about capable Hillary and cheating BILL... On one hand if she as first lady can weather a cheating Presidential Husband and th fall-out that resulted....well we just know she could handle anythin...right? But then I find it interesting that no-spin is revolving around the supportive --first man (president Clinton)....what we expect of first ladies in reputation --well Bill just can't qualify.... I wish Hillary had just divorced him instead of encouraging a presidential marriage that is a sham.... Hillary is a lawyer, she is smart and frankily she is mor presidential material than her hubby Bill.... Her conduct and presence is remarkable...... HOWEVER if the two of them can't manage their marriage....I don't want either of them making decisions for me or my family.....Now OBAMA is a fresh face with new ideas--- he walks the line between two worlds---racism is no stranger to him---as both white and black have erred against him ...he has a moral code of honor, and carries himself with dignity...He want's to be president to truly serve the people...no smoke and mirrors....yes he may make mistakes ...but then... not the kind that get soldiers killed needlessly....We need someone who grew into a comfortable wealth....not an "old boys network"... Here in this country we have presidential families--"legacy politics" which just isn't working for us any more---lets bring back camelot....but without Marilyn Monroe ---(Clintonesque behaviors)...

Listen to the candidates speak...OBAMA clearly comes with conviction and heart... but this country may only see his tanned skin....and that is what concerns me....  ARE WE READY FOR CHANGE?!!!!
Stop this war and turn off the stove top, WE want no more warmed over soup. It has taken centuries for some folks to learn what constitutes a man, who learns and who doen't. Obama is very much a man and an educated and experienced person qualified to be our next President. Age doesn't always mature one,nor ensure expertise. Stop the bus and let the Clinton's and Bush people off. We do not need to hear more of the flip flopping rhetoric.I think Obama and Edward will do America proud and will balance each other,providing OBAMA heads the ticket... Plus we won't have to worry about a clinton/clinton or clinton/bush or republican/democrat pay back of any kind. Let's go America and bring a change to our beautiful country.
Let's stop the bus and let the Clinton's and bush people off. Turn off the stovetop and stop the soup from being reheated. We need to stop this war and protect the children No one should have to go to war until he/she can vote and do what American Adults are allowed to do When they grow up.  Americans stop letting the political game overwhelm you into thinking that Hillary is leading in the polls. The folks out there voting to fool you into these false
statistics. Remember only your Primary election vote will put the candidate in the lead.   Make your vote count by voting to bring change and restore the failing vast institutions-education, health,marriage, economics etc. back to America. Stop the race war, too. It's not a one color, one dictatorship America anymore.We are so far behind other countries in leadership because we are not willing to change or accept change. In 2008, we can make a difference in the lifetimes of all people if we will just Give America a chance to elect a LEADER who is not a HASBEEN, whereas WE can all grow. Let's give America a chance to be represented with dignity, pride, and proper respect. Obama and Edwards  We have them, we have been learning about them. Now let's face it. THEY are more experienced and far more ready to deal with the issues of America than any other candidates R or D.


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