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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC Political Researcher



Down the ballot: More on Tsongas’ win

Posted: Wednesday, October 17, 2007 9:05 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

Niki Tsongas, widow of Paul Tsongas, defeated Jim Ogonowski in a special election in Massachusetts’ fifth congressional district, 51%-45%, the Boston Globe writes.

Democratic House campaign committee chairman Chris Van Hollen released a statement congratulating Tsongas’ win. “Massachusetts voters sent a clear message, they support candidates who fight for their values to provide children’s health care and work to end the war in Iraq.”

The GOP House campaign committee released its own take on what it called Tsongas’ “severely underperforming single digit victory.” “Democrats wrongly assumed they could continue to ride the 2006 wave to overwhelming victory in the bluest of blue states.   Instead, in what should have been an election blow-out, Republican candidate Jim Ogonowski kept it close to the end, proving a major shift in the national political environment that, until now, was favorable to Democrat candidates nationwide.”

NBC/NJ's Mike Memoli reports in from both victory parties in Lowell, Mass., last night. Asked what other Republicans can learn from his effort, Ogonowski said: "Have a good message, stick to it, and stick to your convictions." "People came up to me throughout the campaign and said, 'Jeez, if you'd just change your position on this,’” Ogonowski said. "I said, 'Every one of my positions comes from right from here. Not from what polls say. It came from the heart.'" He would not rule out seeking a rematch in 2008, saying he'd first take some time to reflect with his family

Tsongas, in an interview at her victory party in Lowell, said her victory was an endorsement of her party's platform -- of bringing an end to the war in Iraq and expanding health insurance. "Those issues remain important," Tsongas said. "The voters really feel very strongly about them, and … as Democrats we have to move that agenda forward.”

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repubs stay with game plan, spin, lie ,spin, lie LOSE ELECTIONS just like in 08 when dems have clean sweep.
OK, so this is somehow a Repug triumph because they DIDN'T get their ass kicked up around their ears?  If an ex-military guy with a brother who died on 9/11 can't compete, where's this leave the usual Repug group of knuckle-dragging chickenhawks?  
A Democrat winning in Massachusetts.  Wonders never cease.
The sick thing about this election is that Ogonowski's "good message" was pretty much a xenophobic rant, and that it worked in a district that doesn't actually have very many illegal immigrants.  Of all the challenges this country faces thanks to the Bush Regime, the notion that scapegoating immigrants gets the rabble roused is truly pathetic.  Maybe we deserve what we're getting from DC....
As a voter in this district I can say that this election is no proof of any shift in the political environment.  Tsongas outperformed Deval Patrick percentage-wise in all but 5 cities(one of which was Ogonowski's home town where he cleaned up). This is one of the more conservative districts in MA, there was a low turnout, Ogonowski ran a good campaign, and Tsongas was not an exciting candidate.  I have to laugh at the 'stick with your convictions' statement by Ogonowski.  He wouldn't even say how he would vote on SCHIP, and tried to pass himself off as an independent thinker and outsider when all his positions on issues he chose to devulge were clearly conservative.  Tsongas will win easily in 2008 in a general election when turnout will be big. Count on it.
It seems  a little premature to frame Tsongas narrow victory as a "major shift in the national political environment". Its possible that Tsongas ran a poor campaign or that her opponent hit the right patriotic chord because he's the brother of one of the late American Airlines pilots who went down in 9/11.

There is no doubt, however, that many Democrats are disappointed with their party's timid performance at the Congressional helm since their windfall victory in 2006. They have been largely unable to pry Republican votes away from the president, in order to override his vetoes. Similarly, they have caved too often on warrantless surveillance and funding for Iraq.  

Tragically, they are still behaving as though Karl Rove was calling the shots in the White House and for the RNC. Those who put them back in the majority expected bold leadership, not submission to an ideologically rigid Chief Executive.
This is Massachusetts, Kennedy country and liberal land.  If the democrats get a senate seat in Texas, That would be news.
But the repubs still lost - with more to come, hahahahehehehahaha!
Joe Einloth EXACTLY!, the repukes ran on anti immigration in a city with a large Cambodian population. The campaign spent a ton of money supplied by the GOP and they did mailing and phone calls to EVERYONE no matter what their party.  Lowell has a struggle with Asian gangs and a flagging housing and job market. Most of the surrounding towns are blue collar with several being VERY upscale.
Ogonowski had to do the pro war thing to keep the GOP money and big party guns at his side, the lesson learned is IT IS THE WAR STUPID!
Big Frikken Deal...This is MASSACHUSETTS...One of the most liberal states, if not the most liberal in all the land. She should have won by 40 percentage points. I you cant smoke your oponent in a blue state when you are as blue as a person oxygen deprived, then you have problems. We will see in the general when people start voting straight ticket.
little j  Just what Texass needs is the Dem's !!!

Texass:  #1 in teen pregnancy!

Texass: #1 in domestic violence !!

Texass:  # 1 in high school dropouts!!

Texass:  1st in % of population with no health insurance!!

TEXASS:    50TH IN CHILD HEALTH CARE!!

j  you NEED some much better LEADERS!
Well the rebumplikans really know how to re-define the word victory, "they won, but only by a little".
How about a redefinition of Florida, "we only stole a few votes", or a redefinition of the VICTORY in Iraq,
"They really wanted us out". Spin is really a good form of humor, we will get much more as we move into the general election, WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE WHAT A FUN RIDE!

Texass:  #1 in teen pregnancy!
Texass: #1 in domestic violence !!
Texass:  # 1 in high school dropouts!!
Texass:  1st in % of population with no health insurance!!


xxxxx

Must be all those illegal aliens that caused those problems.  Sooner have those problems then the problems they have in MassachusASS, where they can't seem to stop terrorists from getting through their so called security checkpoints at airports.
What the polls say is almost irrelevant. This guy had as much chance of beating Nikki Tsongas as Kerry did of beating Bush.  This election was about the candidates.  I listened to Nikki Tsongas and then Ogonowski the next night on the same local radio show.  Tsongas paused briefly after what the host said, then spoke at a normal pace, at a normal pitch.  Ogonowski started talking before the host finished,  talked fast, and in a high nervous pitch.  My father was planning to vote for Ogonowski, so I went to the radio station's (WBZ) website to play the audio for him.  Sure enough, Tsongas's episode was there, but Ogonowski's was nowhere to be found.  Even his own people knew that if you heard him talk you'd be less likely to vote for him.
inthediddle, didn't rush out you ?
"Must be all those illegal aliens that caused those problems."

That was pretty stupid JT, can't get much more rascist than that statement.
H P Boston, but don't forget Texass did turn out the #1 and #2 worst presidents of all time.
JT  the bush admin had no security anywhere when they KNEW there was a threat!!!  Limp dick was in charge while shrub sat like a deer in the headlights, struck dumb. Ah but he was stupid before it happened, still is! Warmonger and killer of soldiers and civilians, he is killing us too! You must be so afraid!
JT Winters, don't forget that security in the MA airport was, like all airports, the responsibility of the TSA, an arm of the Bush Administration, which was warned that an attack was probably coming, the administration whose FBI was warned by agents that foreigners were taking flight lessons under suspicious circumstances.
Blue State Baby you are right, Texass turns out the Worst Terrorist Ever!
JT must have forgotten that. He thinks the illegals (aliens)
are the reason. Men from MARS!
H P in Boston:

While we do have our problems......

we don't build tunnels that take 20 years and waste billions of taxpayer dollars (no wonder taxes in that state are high!), and keep leaking to this day and end up killing a woman returning from the airport....

Our security seems to be better at our airports, after all, your state couldn't stop a bunch of idiots from crashing into the World Trade Center, probably your great security teaching system taught the screeners what to look for.....

We don't have a Senator who is a lush and a drunkard who murdered a woman by leaving her to die in his car. A woman that was not his wife, which tells me about marriage in massachusetts.

We don't have a congressman who ran a male prostitution ring out of his apartment in Washington D.C......

See we are not all perfect!
HEY and thanks JT for re-posting all your Texas #1 sad facts! little j loves to see his state mentioned.
Yup little j no imagination in your state, just plain selfish government.  Do your people really go to church?  Do they really care about the poor and sick children.  Are they still watching people grovel for a little faith based handout?
little j YOU HAD NO SECURITY SCREENERS IN 'O1 EITHER!
You are not perfect, you just have your head up your butt!
Now go do some work, you get paid by faux news to really do a job, get some more OLD crap to sling and we will be here to slap you silly!
don't forget Texas did turn out the #1 and #2 worst presidents of all time.

LBJ counts double?
I was looking at this site:


www.siteselection.com/issues/2000/nov/p1007/

Texas is ranked 2nd in business climate in the country
Mass. is ranked 16th


New survey finds cities where you get the most value for your salary, and where you get the least.
May 23, 2005: 9:42 PM EDT
By Jeanne Sahadi, CNN/Money senior writer


NEW YORK (CNN/Money) – Pride aside, it really doesn't matter how much you make, just so long as it goes a long way where you live.

Therein lies the rub for all those who seek glory and glamour – or just decent housing and a drink -- in the most fabled places.

A new report from Salary.com looks at the relationship between salaries and the cost of living in 188 large metropolitan areas across the country to see where the gainfully employed can live and eat and still pad their bank accounts.

The living costs measured in the new Salary Value Index include housing, food, transportation, utilities and state taxes. The index also factors in an area's employment and job-growth rates.

What it does not account for are quality-of-life issues, such as culture, school systems and the weather.

So, financially speaking, the top 10 places where you'll get the most mileage out of your paycheck are:


New London, Conn.


Huntsville, Ala.


Baltimore


Harrisburg, Pa.


Tulsa, Okla.


Rock Island, Ill.


Troy, N.Y.


Corpus Christi, Texas


Schenectady, N.Y.


Las Vegas, Nev.


According to Salary.com, the 10 least affordable cities for paycheck earners are:


New York


San Francisco


Stamford, Conn.


San Jose, Calif.


San Diego


Santa Barbara, Calif.


Bakersfield, Calif.


Los Angeles


Fresno, Calif.


Boston

And people are wondering why texas is the ultimate paradise?

What say you H P?


j:
Do not let your mind wander.....
it is too SMALL to be let out on its own.
Same goes for the zipper in you pants!
I haven't been out of work in a job of choice - not necessity - more than a week in 35 years.  My salary doubled every 5 years my first 15 working and has gone up 40% since 1998 alone. My mtg is less for a 2 bedroom house in a good neighborhood than you could rent an 1 bedroom apt in most cities.  My kids attend a good public school WIHTOUT metal detectors and I've rcvd a property tax rebate for the last 4 years - All since Bloomberg was mayor - NOT RUDY - We don't get hurricanes, mudslides, floods, earthquakes, or tornados and even take the occasional terrorist attack in better stride than most of the country it didn't even affect.
Keep your TX stats Jerry.  I would move there even if you didn't live there.
http://www.infocusnews.net/content/view/16938/391/

Iran, Israel clashing over nuclear programs      
By GEORGE JAHN, The Associated Press    

VIENNA, Austria – Israel accused Iran of lying on Sept. 21,while Tehran challenged the international community to send U.N. inspectors to probe its arch-rival’s nuclear capabilities in direct confrontation.
The exchange at the 148-nation meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency came after Iran’s chief delegate Ail Asghar Soltanieh — like Arab delegates before him — said Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert had acknowledged last year that his country possessed nuclear weapons — something Olmert says he never did.

The harsh words came after an attempt by Iran and Arab nations to submit a resolution on "Israel Nuclear Capabilities and Threat" was blocked by the EU, the United States and other Western nations.

The conference criticized Israel for refusing to put its nuclear program under international purview, with the United States alone in supporting the Jewish state.

Israel also voted against the resolution, while 53 nations backed it and 47 abstained.

http://www.allurmeds.com
http://www.medicalsupplycorner.com
NY and proud:

Either you work for the unions, the mafia, or the Yankees...
Gee Jerry, I thought you were so smart.  I don't work for any of the above.  I'm a secretary with a 9th grade formal education.  But NY has LOTS of opportunity for those who want to push themselves.  I tell my kids I'm giving them the best of both worlds:  They are tough, smart NYers who can compete anywhere in the world, but growing up in Queens, where they have as nice a home life as any single parent can reasonably expect to provide.  Our public schools (thanks to Bloomberg) can compete w/ may cities' private ones and our City and Community Colleges are a heck of a lot better than most state ones.  I tell them that even if they end up going to CCNY instead of Columbia, they will be able to live at home w/ free room & board, have an easy commute to school and when they graduate --- well, Colin Powell seems to have parlayed his CCNY degree pretty well.
NY is also - contrary to the opinion of people who have never set foot anywhere near us - full of great people with as solid family values as anywhere in the US.  Just ask any of the neighbors on my block who help each shovel snow, rake leaves or watch kids afterschool.  My kids don't care what color or nationality their friends are.  They care that they like the same games and can help out with the same tests and homework.  If being reasonable and practical and fairminded is the new definition of a liberal, then so be it.
Bet your neighbors just LOVE you Jerry, you're so fairminded and open.



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