Primary calendar: What a mess
Posted: Wednesday, October 17, 2007 9:14 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Believe it or not, we're inside of 80 days and the candidates still don't know when all of the January (or even December) election days are going to be. Last night, this is what we learned:
-- Iowa Republicans will hold their caucuses Jan. 3
-- South Carolina Democrats will hold their primary Jan. 26
-- Nevada Democrats will hold their caucuses Jan. 19.
Here's what we don't know:
-- will the Iowa Democrats join the Iowa Republicans on Jan. 3?
-- will the New Hampshire primary accept being on Jan. 8, or somehow jump into December and risk some candidates skipping the contest?
-- will the two parties have two different January calendars? As it stands now, Republicans could start on Jan. 3 in Iowa, head to Wyoming for a Jan. 5 caucus, travel to New Hampshire for the Jan. 8 primary, then participate in a Jan. 15 Michigan primary, a Jan. 19 South Carolina primary and end in Florida on Jan. 29. The Democrats are ONLY committed to participating in contests in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina, with Iowa and South Carolina on different January days from the Republicans.
-- If Iowa Democrats are convinced that by going the 14th, they’ll preserve their first-in-the-nation status for 2012 and 2016, they'll do, mark our words on this one.
The Des Moines Register’s Beaumont writes, “Democratic officials in Iowa are keeping Jan. 14 as the date for their party's caucuses, as they watch for signals from other early nominating states. Republicans have not caucused separately from Democrats in Iowa since 1972.”
The Des Moines Register’s Yepsen thinks Democrats should hold their caucuses on Saturday, Jan. 5.
Here's what New Hampshire Secretary of State Bill Gardner is saying about December: “Gardner confirmed he participated in a conference call with Iowa Secretary of State Michael Mauro and the chairmen of the Iowa Republican and Democratic parties last week. ‘I told them nothing that I haven't already said,’ he said. ‘I told them what the (New Hampshire) law is and that we are faced with the possibility that we could go in December. It was simply an explanation of where New Hampshire is at this point.’ He said it was ‘absolutely not’ a negotiating session.” More importantly, Gardner hinted that there is a Nov. 14 deadline in Michigan that he may be waiting to pass before he decides when to go.
By the way, we're hearing that Gardner has been trying to figure out if he can put the primary during Hanukkah, which is Dec. 5-12.
As for the South Carolina Dem decision to go Jan. 26, instead of Jan. 19 with the South Carolina Republicans, Dem Chair Carol Fowler said she didn't think the DNC would grant them a waiver to move up that much.
By the way, how are Michigan Democrats paying back the DNC for being penalized for having an early primary: They talk to national reporters claiming that the DNC snub of the Michigan primary will hurt the eventual nominee.