First thoughts: Is Iran the new Iraq?
Posted: Thursday, October 18, 2007 9:14 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:
First Thoughts
From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Is Iran the new Iraq? If you needed more evidence that Iran is becoming a GIANT issue heading into 2008, look no further than Bush’s press conference yesterday, in which he warned that a nuclear Iran could spark World War III. Indeed, all the GOP front-runners are trying to outdo each other in sounding the most hawkish on Iran. And the Democrats are discussing Iran, too (although more in the context over Clinton’s vote that Iranian Revolutionary Guard resolution). Come the general election, could it be that Iraq is Issue 1A and Iran is 1B? It’s probably something Republicans would like to see. As Tim Russert said on NBC’s Nightly News last night, Republicans would certainly prefer to debate something other than Iraq.
***
Playing the gender card: First, it was the laugh. Now, Hillary Clinton talks about “all these men” when deflecting criticism. A day after Obama argued that the politics she practices is timid and divisive, Clinton said Wednesday, per NBC’s Lauren Appelbaum: "Now, I've noticed that the last couple of weeks, I've been getting a lot of attention from the men in this race. And at first, you know, I didn't know what to make of it. And then a good friend of mine said, you know, when you get to be our age, having that much attention from all these men." She said something similar on Olbermann last week. It’s ironic that the Democratic candidate who has been playing the gender card -- even jokingly -- is Clinton. Of course, it’s an effective strategy: Her campaign wants to keep her above the fray, and doing it with a laugh is a bonus. By comparison, the Clinton her rivals want to see is the Clinton who snapped at that questioner in Iowa or who got testy with NBC’s Tim Russert at last month’s debate. But will they get it?
*** Are the GOP attacks helping Hillary? “All these men,” of course, also refer to the Republicans who have ganged up on Clinton. While these GOP hits certainly help the Republican contenders -- they help Giuliani, for instance, appeal more to conservatives -- don’t they also help Clinton? Don’t the GOP hits on her rally Democrats to her side? Is that another reason why her fav rating has improved in recent weeks?
<
***
A more aggressive Fred: Has anyone else noticed that Thompson has become much more aggressive in recent days? On Monday, he implicitly questioned Giuliani’s conservative credentials in a speech to the Conservative Party of New York. Yesterday, it appeared he was trying to whack both Giuliani and McCain on taxes. And now we find out, per the
Atlantic’s Marc Ambinder, that the campaign is now running a Web ad on conservative sites hitting Giuliani and Romney on abortion. The final screen reads, “Fred Thompson. The REAL conservative.”
***
The E-word resurfaces: It's always a double-edged sword when a campaign gets a write-up indicating that they shouldn't be written off yet. On the one hand, they are glad to get it; on the other, they don't like to be in a position where they need folks to write it. But
David Yepsen writes such a column today. “[W]atching him work in the sweaty auditorium of a Waukee elementary school Tuesday night, one gets a different feeling: Iowa Democrats may still give this guy a new lease on political life. Why? John Edwards is tenacious and still in the hunt for first place… Perhaps the best argument for Edwards' candidacy is his potential for electability.” Speaking of electability, the Edwards campaign today is unveiling its four-day "True Blue Majority" pitch, claiming that its candidate is the only one who can put states in play in the South and Mountain West; Edwards and surrogates will be in places like Georgia and Oklahoma to underscore the claim.
*** On the trail: Biden campaigns in Iowa; Clinton holds a health-care forum at the Kaiser Family Foundation; Edwards raises money in California; Giuliani campaigns in Minneapolis and Chicago; Huckabee is in New Hampshire; McCain stumps in South Carolina; Obama is in Nevada; Romney holds several events in South Carolina; and Thompson is in Georgia.
Countdown to LA GOV election: 2 days
Countdown to Election Day 2007: 19 days
Countdown to LA GOV run-off (if necessary): 30 days
Countdown to Iowa: 77 days
Countdown to New Hampshire: 82 days
Countdown to Michigan: 89 days
Countdown to SC GOP primary: 93 days
Countdown to Florida: 103 days
Countdown to Tsunami Tuesday: 110 days
Countdown to Election Day 2008: 383 days
Countdown to Inauguration Day 2009: 460 days
Click here to sign up for First Read emails.