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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Obama shows organizational strength

Posted: Sunday, November 11, 2007 9:01 AM by Domenico Montanaro



From NBC/NJ’s Aswini Anburajan
IOWA JEFFERSON JACKSON DINNER COVERAGE
DES MOINES, IA – Nearly one in three people at last night’s Jefferson-Jackson Dinner was an Obama supporter. The campaign brought 3,000 supporters to a dinner that had 9,000 attendees. They also made sure to have a representative from each of Iowa’s 99 counties in attendance.

When asked if all of the Obama supporters attending the event were from Iowa, Obama’s Iowa Press Secretary Tommy Vietor said, “All of them. Except for my dad.”

Even the press was not forgotten in the campaign’s planning efforts. Each reporter was handed a fortune cookie by Obama staffers that predicted one of three futures: (1) “Iowans will caucus for Obama;” (2) “You’re fired up! Obama’s ready to go!” (3) “Your outlook will be more hopeful…When Obama is president.”

The Obama campaign had been planning for the dinner for months, and the efforts put forward showed both a desire to stress their organizational strength and their support within Iowa. They said they brought buses from four staging locations across the state and printed 11,000 signs for the event.

“JJ is a place for him to deliver a message to nine thousand Iowa caucus goers,” Vietor said. “It’s also a chance to show that you’ve been building an organization and you have grassroots support across the state. Frankly, it’s a pretty good dry run for the caucus night, to show that you can show your supporters to go to one place at one time and show up for it.”

During Obama’s speech, he didn’t even need to mention the names of his rivals in the race for the Democratic nomination, because his target went without saying. By using words like “triangulation” and “poll-driven politics,” and accusing Democrats of waffling on torture, Iran and the Iraq War, Obama slammed Clinton on her positions and for “acting and talking and voting like George Bush Republicans.”

“When I am this party’s nominee,” Obama said, “my opponent will not be able to say that I voted for the War in Iraq, or that I gave George Bush the benefit of the doubt on Iran, or I support Bush-Cheney policies of not talking to leaders that I don’t like… or that I wavered on something as fundamental as whether it’s okay to torture, because it’s never okay.”

In discussing why he was running for president, Obama took advantage of an old stereotype of Hillary Clinton -- that she was too ambitious.

“I am not in this race to fulfill some long-held ambitions,” Obama said, “or because I believe it’s somehow beholden to me. I never expected to be here. I always knew that the journey was improbable.”

Saying he was running “because of the fierce urgency of now,” a quote from Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. that he frequently uses in speeches, Obama attempted to reach for a higher ground in his reason to be president. And in a room filled with 9,000 Democrats that had spent the better part of the night slamming the Republican Party, he told the audience that he was running to reach across the aisle to those Independents and Republicans disaffected by the past seven years.

Obama's message also focused on the politics of fear that he says Republicans use and Democrats have been hamstrung by in recent elections. In discussing the politics of fear, there was a subtle acknowledgment on his part of the potential handicaps that he could bring to the race as the first African-American president and as a senator who has spent only a brief time on the national stage. But in calling on Democrats not to be fearful, Obama also tried to present himself as tough enough to handle the mudslinging that a general-election contest could bring, a question that he has been receiving more and more frequently in town halls.

“And if those Republicans come out at me with the same fear mongering and Swift Boating that they usually do I will take them head on,” he said.

Obama’s speech was buoyed by his large crowd of supporters. They chanted, yelled and stood up and cheered as he evoked the civil rights movement to talk about how he could only stand on this stage because those who had come before him were not afraid to take the difficult positions that he is supposedly espousing now.

But rather than drawing energy from the crowd to give the pep-rally style, exuberant speeches he is known for on the stump, Obama’s tone was somber, his demeanor serious. He ended on an appeal to Iowans and fellow Democrats.

“That’s why I am asking you stop settling for what the cynics say we have to accept,” Obama said. “In this election, in this moment, let us reach for what we know is possible -- a world repaired, an America that knows it can believe again.”

Senator Obama remains in a tight race in Iowa and his speech at the Jefferson-Jackson Dinner marks the end of a four-day campaign tour through the state called, “Change You Can Believe In.” Speaking to primarily Democratic audiences, Obama pushed his message that he was the only Democrat who could be elected in a general election because he did not have a polarizing past and had a record that could be clearly differentiated from Republican opponents on issues like the war and foreign policy.

This speech as well as the past week’s message, showed a candidate more energetic, clearer and harder hitting with his message than he has been. Obama at times refers to his fondness for basketball, and this speech showed that in the final two months before the Iowa caucus that he might finally turn into the candidate who “isn’t afraid to get down low and stick [his] elbows out.”

Before the speech, it was a bit of glitz, glamour and paparazzi. The campaign had Grammy winner John Legend sing for Obama at a pre-rally that the campaign estimated 4,000 people attended. Obama was introduced by his wife, Michelle, who stunned the crowd both with her dancing on stage and the most stylish outfit of the night -- a black suit with a high collar and knee-high, black stiletto boots.

In introducing her husband, Michelle Obama stressed his decency and talked about his role as a father, who took time off from the campaign trail to go trick-or-treating with his kids. “He wore a mask,” she said, “and it wasn’t an Obama mask” -- a reference to his appearance on Saturday Night Live.

When Obama came out on stage, he said to the crowd, "Seeing Michelle gets me excited!"

After giving brief remarks, Obama, with his wife, led a crowd of several thousands supporters three blocks from the site of their pre-rally to the doors of the Veterans Memorial Hall where the Jefferson Jackson Dinner was held. Dozens of photographers and reporters ran backwards with elbows out, shoving, tripping and snapping pictures as the couple danced and jogged through the streets.

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Comments

Obama captured the audience last night! It was a great moment for his campaign and the Democratic party! As for his proposal on social security I'm behind him 200%. He said he is willing to pay more himself in order to help others. I thought it was a great answer! He answered Russerts tough questions with grace and truthfulness. Obama all the way in 2008!
I remember reading an article (before the JJ dinner) that H Clinton sent out request for out-of staters to show up in Iowa. Maybe her ppl were the real 'plants'.
Well, given the context of this article, why shouldn't a bunch of the blogs be a LOVE FEST??  Sure, we clapped for the other candidates and were cordial when they gave their speeches, but we were there to support Barack and show him some *love*--we sure rocked the house for our candidate!

Now if only Hillary had been as cordial as Barack was to her when she spoke--he sat there at a front table, taking it all in.  When it was his turn, Hillary chatted throughout his speech and then schmoozed with Quincy Jones for a bit.  She wants to be treated respectfully but doesn't know how to do offer respect.

Given there are groups called "Republicans for Barack," I'm guessing his "words" will translate into action quite nicely, leading both Republicans and Democrats when he's in the W.H.!  

O-O-O-Obama!  
I highly suggest every one, including First Read,  to get update on today's Meet the Press,(in case you missed it) You maybe surprised to know something there. Listen first, and then think. If you are from Iowa, don't miss it.
So you think Obama had to bus in 4,000 supporters?!  You obviously have never been to the J.J. Dinner (as I have many times)!  It's a gathering of thousands of activists from all over the state, all of whom will be caucusing in January. Many come ready to support their favorites, others are there to learn and be persuaded.  Politics is a cottage industry in Iowa.  We don't need to bus in anyone.  Fired up and ready to caucus for Obama!
I was there last night, among the 3000 Obama supporters from Iowa.  Obama was fantastic!  I made an interesting observations - the crowd cheered for all the candidates except for Hillary.  When the other candidates spoke, the crowd reacted with cheers and applause.  When Hillary spoke, the only reactions came from her own supporters.  

I can tell you that Iowans don't like Hillary and the eventual caucus winner will be Obama.
What is this nonsense about Obama bussing people in from Chicago? Why the need to start making up lies? Obama had real Iowans there, so please stop with the lies.
while i do think edwards is the best candidate
i think obama will end up taking the nomination

hillary started her peak back in mid october

she's been driving in 5th gear since february

obama satred off in 3rd gear, then axerlod had him drop to 1st in april, he picked it up to 2nd in mid june, 3 in august, 4th in october, and his speech at the JJ event was the bridge between 4th and 5th

^^this is pure axerlod strategy, and frankly probably the perfect strategy for a candidate like barack obama

obama/edwards 08  
"As Hillary is popular and seems to be electable as she knows how to trash the republican machine". Hillary can't handle the Obama Machine, and every time she tries she ends up calling for the politics of hope because Obama can handle Clinton. Painting Obama as a Muslim has been going on for a year, when the facts are checked....it's not true. It's the same as saying Rudy is a Hero of 9/11 when the facts are checked.....it's not true.
"Obama is a nice and bright guy-even chrismatic. He is just not ready yet to be President". Obama....a consitutional professor, civil rights attorney, community activist, state senator, and U.S. senator who has served on a number of committees including foreign relations. Maybe it's just me....but I'll take that experience over several candidates on both sides of the ilse, including senator Clinton!
               OBAMA 08!!!!!
For the past few months I have been stuck between a rock and a hard place. In my mind, I have been supporting Hillary Clinton due to her strong support and seemingly inevitable win of the Democratic primaries; however, I have always had a place in my heart for the "politics of hope" in Sen. Barack Obama. I have changed my mind to go along with my heart. I am now supporting Barack Obama no matter who is leading on Feb. 5, 2008. I am voting Dem in Deep Red, Alabama.
I was apart of that 3,000 crowd last night at the dinner.  Obama's speech was incredible and the energy was incredibly apparent.  And yes, Obama supporters did clap when another candidate said something worthwhile, but his speech topped all of the others, and the other campaigns knew it.
I was there, it was amazing, all those great minds on one stage, all those amazingly enthusiastic people in the crowd; I happened to be "ready to go" (after being fired up for a couple of hours before that down the street). I understand the passion that others feel for Hillary, as that's where I started this season with. I'm an Independent, and when I heard that Hillary was running, I thought GREAT, a strong viable woman candidate to break that glass ceiling for all time! And then I started researching ethics, and then personal histories. Experience as a community organizer, a constitutional law professor, a state senator, and a nearly 3 year run as a US senator, and all those ethics reform bills and bipartisan efforts. My choice was clear, even through my personal displeasure at finding Senator Clinton to be not as desirable a candidate.

All of the speakers, with one or two exceptions, did a great job! (And Biden turned toward Senator Clinton's group when he said "Chicago.") Obama nailed the speech last night, but I had no doubt that he would. Then, he fended off Russert (a known right-winger) much more handily than anyone has, setting him straight over and over again on assumptions he made and 'smoking guns' he thought he'd pulled. Nothing like he did when he had to call on Senator Clinton twice re: the Clinton Library. Senator Obama is a foreign policy genius, a domestic policy legend, and a fiscally responsible shepherd.

I've listened to all of the candidates, but I've gone beyond that. This election is critical to our well-being. Make informed decisions, please!

Oh, and as for bussing in? Everyone I was around all day was from Iowa, so they must have been conspiring to keep those danged foreigners away from me...
The claim his supporters came from Chicago is rediculous!! I know Luther College in Decorah, IA brought down bus loads down from their Students for Obama organization on campus.
Hey Hillary supporters, come on in the water is fine! Dont link yourself to the planted-question party.
This sounds like a powerful speech.  I wish I could have been there to see it. I connect with Obama's vision of moving the country forward, and i fear another 4 years of Clinton-Bush style politics.  Will all due respect to the Clintons, I will be voting for Obama.
If THE HILL is the nominee and you don't vote for her then enjoy president rudy, he will steal your childrens future and destroy our country.
Thats it in a nut shell!
In the end you will be choosing the party over the person. Do you really want the repubs to win?
If all the supporters were from Iowa why was Barack inviting people from as far away as Maryland?

Check his site:

http://my.barackobama.com/page/event/detail/4v5b8

In case it is deleted:


"Jefferson Jackson Dinner - Mid-Atlantic to Iowa!! (Organizing)
Jefferson Jackson Dinner
Des Moines, IA
November 9 - 11

This is THE event for Iowa Dems every year and is our best chance to participate and make a decisive impact on the voters of Iowa before the caucus.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is to Serve as Master of Ceremonies.

The 2007 Jefferson Jackson Dinner on November 10th, 2007 will feature speeches by Senator Barack Obama, Senator Joe Biden, Senator Hillary Clinton, Senator Chris Dodd, Senator John Edwards, and Governor Bill Richardson.

The Jefferson Jackson Dinner will be held in Vets Auditorium in Des Moines. Additional speakers will include Senator Tom Harkin, Governor Chet Culver, Lieutenant Governor Patty Judge and Congressman Leonard Boswell.

We will have an opportunity to canvass in Iowa prior to the dinner and we will have a personal tour of the National Headquarters. If you're going to the caucus in January this is our BEST opportunity to visit Iowa prior to crunch time.

We will be caravanning and taking buses so please sign up AND email me with your contact info ASAP. The more the better! Lodging and transportation provided (for those that don't want to arrange transportation themselves).

Robert Yochem
State Field Team
Maryland for Obama
ryochem@gmail.com
443-253-2967"
Obama is absolultely correct in his plan to raise
taxable income limits for social security withholding from the existing $97,500 threshold.
Other dem candidates apparently don't dare commit to a strategy this early on - however this option has been on the table for some time and is certainly a big step in the right direction.  

Contrast this with Thompson's reiteration of the Bush plan to reduce benefits and introduce private investment accounts.  Another plan to protect the rich and nail the middle class, of course.  Expect more of the same from other GOP candidates down the road.

If other democratic candidates don't get on this bandwagon very soon, Obama will capture this theme as his own.  Hillary has apparently been advised to equivicate on social issues rather than to speak of plain, unvarnished solutions....and the reluctance is probably in part a hangover from the big national healthcare defeat back in the early Clinton days.

Offering 'political speak' instead of clearly defined solutions & proposals that effectively bring about change in public policy will not stand Hillary in good stead down the road.  
When asked if all of the Obama supporters attending the event were from Iowa, Obama’s Iowa Press Secretary Tommy Vietor said, “All of them. Except for my dad.”

-Excerpt from First Read
Vel Holman - Obama was referring to the evangelical community when he made that statement, in regards to the Durkin issue, not the homosexual community.  Not to mention, the "we" was in reference to the entire Democratic party.  Why don't you pay attention before trying to pull a hatchet job on Obama?  And in answer to all of your questions - "Is Hillary calculated?  Perhaps, but is that what this country needs right now?  With all the foreign policy blunders, and social issues being completely ignored, do we really want to hand the reins over to the new kid on the block?  Or do we want a Commander In Chief that is calculated and knows the inner mechanics of both the White House and Congress?"  The answers are yes, no, yes, and no.  Got it?
I just saw a movie about Bobby Kennedy and must say I see why people insinuate that Obama is like the fallen leader.   The both believed in “HOPE” for a better tomorrow and wanted to change the country and not just the party.  They want to bring us all together rather then divide us which will be more effective then “Gotcha” politics.  Obama and Kennedy speak to things that are decent and up lifting!!!  I’m glad he is beginning to show the country why he should be President and those polls are irrelevant right now but organizational strength coupled with a candidate that inspires is a powerful combination that transcends conventional wisdom.  
I just saw a movie about Bobby Kennedy and must say I see why people insinuate that Obama is like the fallen leader.   The both believed in “HOPE” for a better tomorrow and wanted to change the country and not just the party.  They want to bring us all together rather then divide us which will be more effective then “Gotcha” politics.  Obama and Kennedy speak to things that are decent and up lifting!!!  I’m glad he is beginning to show the country why he should be President and those polls are irrelevant right now but organizational strength coupled with a candidate that inspires is a powerful combination that transcends conventional wisdom.  
Lisa claims that Obama's a "2-year Senator."  She is, of course, flat wrong.  I'll be charitable and assume it is an honest mistake based on the fact that Obama was quite visible and active as a campaigner in the 2006 election cycle.

He won his seat in 2004.  He campaigned for other Dems in 2006.  And his fundraising (for other Democrats) exceeded a certain New York Senator's for herself.
This is not for posting--just a question.  I live in Iowa and have tried several times to post comments lately on the message boards.  They never appear, although they do not contain attacks, profanity, or anything inappropriate.  Have I been blacklisted?  If so, what for?
It will never happen. Obama is o.k., has that "sparkle" and has most of you pathetically hypnotized, including you "First Read" editors. Never thought I would say it but IF he wins the Democratic Nomination, I will closely look at the Republican Nominee.
TW, Houston, TX
Politics are a cottage industry in Iowa.  No one needs to bus anyone in from anywhere.  The JJ Dinner is the height of the political season here, with thousands of activists from all over the state turning out to advocate for or decide on a candidate.  Obama has turned out high numbers at every appearance in the state--local folks who admire him. A lot of us believe that Hillary's candidacy would be devastating for the Democratic ticket, from the top down to the county level.  I'm fired up--go Obama!
My husband, daughter and I attended the JJ dinner Saturday evening. (This was our first time.) We have been Obama supporters since before he even announced his candidacy. We have been campaigning for the senator in every way we can including walking our llama in every local (and some not so local) parades in Iowa with a banner simply stating "My llama loves Obama". Barack met us (and our llama) at an event this summer and loved what we were doing! He wrote to us personally thanking us for our support and for the llama. Saturday night we were fortunate enough to get floor tickets for the JJ dinner. We are simple people so sitting amongst the movers and shakers of Iowa was a thrill! Nancy Pelosi and Chet Culver sat at the table in front of us. Tom Harkin sat to the left. Imagine our surprise, delight and disbelief when Senator Barack Obama sat down at our table and ate with us! It was our good fortune to discover later that Willie Stevenson Glanton was also sitting at our table. What a night we had! Senator Obama gave the speech we all wanted and needed to hear. He is what I hope America can be some day. The America that the rest of the world can be proud of and look up to. I will never forget this night!    
Obama had his people bussed in from out-of-state, including from Michigan (where he took his name off the ballot).

There were students from the University of Michigan, MSU, and other area colleges.  So not all of the Obama supporters were from Iowa.
From where I was sitting at the JJ Dinner, I could watch Hillary and Barack as they sat at their tables during the dinner and speeches. I couldn't help but notice that Hillary was far less engaged with the folks at her table and was constantly looking in a notebook. She was probably going over her speech, which is perfectly understandable.

Barack, on the other hand, seemed far more relaxed and was constantly engaging his table mates. After the dinner and as the speeches began he sat back in his chair and even slouched a bit at times and politely applauded the good lines as did Hillary). Then, between speeches, while Pelosi yammered on, Barack was up and about, working the room, shaking hands, slapping backs. He was about to give perhaps the biggest campaign speech in his life and here he was acting like he was at a wedding dinner!

I hesistate to share these informal observations since it the caricatures of these two candidates. Nobody should read too much into it, but I found it interesting. BTW, I haven't decided who I'll support.

As far as the speeches, Edwards didn't get good reviews but I thought he was quite good, I can sure see why he won all those cases. Obama had the best speech. Hillary's speech was okay, but it didn't soar. Richardson, Biden and Dodd all did okay but I found them a notch below Edwards and Obama.  
I hesistate to share these informal observations since it the caricatures of these two candidates. Nobody should read too much into it, but I found it interesting. BTW, I haven't decided who I'll support.
*******
Keith, Ackley  Very nice, very subtle, the usual troll spiel. You do of course give it away, Obama is your choice.  Try not to be so ashamed.
It is so great to hear that Obama can give a good speech.  

Isn't that the most important qualification for the Presidency?

No foreign policy experience, no major legislative successes, and, after watching the MTP interview - a hypocrite.  When pressed by Russert, Obama revealed himself to be a politician who's recent rhetoric does not match his previous actions.

To all you Obama supporters:  Are you so easily captured that speechifying is more important than experience?  Rallying a room of supporters is not the same thing as rallying bipartisan support.  

What happens on Jan 21st?  

Ask yourself this - If the election were a job interview (which it really should be) who would you hire?  The guy who sounds great during the interview but has a half-page resume?  

If you had to hire someone, if your vote was the only one that counted, would you be as taken by Obama's charisma?  Is being a "cool" guy enough for the next 4 years.   I seem to remember Bush beating Gore because Bush was the kind of guy people wanted to have a beer with (well, maybe he didn't actually beat Gore but he was close enough to steal it).  Wanting to smoke a hookah with Obama is quite different than electing him the leader of the free world.
This is the definition of experience:

Joe Biden Senate record from Sourcewatch:

Biden is a long-time member of the Senate Committee on the Judiciary, which he chaired from 1987 until 1995 and served as ranking minority member from 1981 until 1987 and again from 1995 until 1997. In this capacity, he has become one of the most respected Senate voices on drug policy, crime prevention, and civil liberties. While chairman, Biden presided over two of the more contentious U.S. Supreme Court confirmation hearings ever, Robert Bork in 1987 and Clarence Thomas in 1991.
Biden has been instrumental in crafting significant federal crime laws over the last decade, including the Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of 1994, also known as the Biden Crime Law. He also authored the landmark Violence Against Women Act of 2000, which contains a broad array of groundbreaking measures to combat domestic violence and provides billions of dollars in federal funds to address gender-based crimes; part of this legislation later was struck down as unconstitutional. He also introduced the controversial RAVE Act in April 2003.
As chairman of the International Narcotics Control Caucus, Biden wrote the laws that created the nation's "Drug Czar," who oversees and coordinates national drug control policy. In this role, Biden continues to work to stop the spread of "date rape" drugs, such as Rohypnol, and drugs such as Ecstasy and Ketamine. In 2004 he worked to pass a bill outlawing steroids like androstenedione, the drug used by many baseball players.
Staunchly supportive of education, Biden's legislation has promoted college aid and loan programs and has allowed families to deduct on their annual income-tax returns up to $10,000 per year in higher-education expenses. His enacted Kids 2000 legislation which established a public/private partnership to help provide computer centers, teachers, Internet access, and technical training to young people across the nation, particularly to low-income and at-risk youth.
Biden's expertise in foreign policy, national security, and arms control issues has won him considerable bipartisan respect. In 1997, he became the ranking minority member of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations and chaired the committee from June 2001 through 2003. His efforts to combat hostilities in the Balkans in the 1990s brought national attention and influenced presidential policy: traveling repeatedly to the region, he made one meeting famous by calling Serbian leader Slobodan Milosevic a "war criminal." He consistently argued for lifting the arms embargo, training Bosnian Muslims, investigating war crimes and administering NATO air strikes. Biden's subsequent "lift and strike" resolution was instrumental in convincing President Bill Clinton to use military force in the face of systematic human rights violations.
Yeah...now Terry Mcauliffe is saying Hillary does not have to win Iowa...lol...they are now lowering expectations.


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