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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Oh-eight (D): Hearts vs. minds

Posted: Tuesday, November 13, 2007 9:15 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

The Boston Globe’s Canellos looks at the battle for Democratic hearts (Obama) and minds (Clinton). “No candidate in recent memory has embodied the deepest hopes of so many Democrats [as Obama]. Yet it's hard for some to watch the Illinois senator without also thinking of their fears -- the fear, frankly, that Obama is too vulnerable to Republican attacks to be a safe choice for his party's nomination.” More: “With many Democrats' hearts pinned to one candidate, and their brains perhaps leaning toward another one, the Clinton-Obama fight for this year's nomination will be no ordinary beauty contest. It will be an intense, ongoing struggle within the consciences of Democratic voters.”

CLINTON: The campaign sought to downplay Bill Clinton's "those boys have been getting tough" on his wife, comment yesterday. The campaign said it was Clinton being a southerner, not playing the gender card. "While some Clinton advisers say they would like to move on from the discussion of the candidate’s sex, Mr. Clinton’s use of the word ‘boys’ caught the attention of the Republican National Committee, which alerted reporters to it, and of the campaigns of Senator Barack Obama and John Edwards. Operatives in all three camps argued that the Clintons were keeping a ‘boys vs. girl’ story line alive to try to stoke sympathy for Mrs. Clinton -- something Clinton advisers emphatically deny." 
 
NBC’s Andrea Mitchell on Nightly News last night: “The test for Clinton now is how she deals with being on the defensive, while Obama has to prove he can keep delivering on the promise of a strong showing in Iowa.”

The Politico's Roger Simon writes on the question-planting story, and he notes that the real distrust this raises is that of the campaign staff for the candidate. "Because when staffers plant questions, it means they don't trust the candidate to handle herself in public. They don't think she can answer real questions from real people.

The Boston Globe reports, “A dispute over limits that Bill and Hillary Clinton have placed on the National Archives' ability to release their White House records is highlighting a consequence of family dynasties in contemporary American politics: A president has sweeping power to keep potentially embarrassing documents from past administrations a secret.” One of George W. Bush’s “first acts was to slow the scheduled release of his father's papers from the Reagan-Bush and Bush-Quayle administrations.” He also “asserted executive privilege to maintain the secrecy of several Reagan-era documents related to the Iran-Contra scandal.” That means “similarly, should Hillary Clinton become president in 2009, she would exercise sweeping power over what documents from her husband's administration can be made public.”

The RNC says it’s today launching a “Clinton Library Lockdown Petition.”

On the trail in Iowa yesterday, Clinton promised she'd call for a “timeout" on trade agreements.  But what does a "timeout" actually mean?

DODD: Yesterday, a Dodd spokeswoman issued this response regarding Clinton’s statement that she would call a “time out” on trade with other countries if elected president: Last week she said she would support President Bush's Peruvian free trade agreement. On Saturday at the Iowa Jefferson Jackson Dinner, Senator Clinton said she stands now where she's always stood. Today she confirmed it: on both sides of every issue."

EDWARDS: The New York Times attempts to capture the pressure Edwards is feeling. "Lagging in national polls less than two months before the Iowa caucus, Mr. Edwards is a man racing against the clock, hammering out miles over long stretches of countryside in a campaign that his spokesman, Mark Kornblau, says is dictated by a ‘flat-out, hard-charging schedule.’ With his campaign sustained by public financing, Mr. Edwards has only recently bought television time for advertising, and so has been racing from one gathering of potential voters to the next."

"Edwards and his staff members are exceeding his rivals in terrain and time, having rolled through all 99 counties and spent nearly 60 days in Iowa alone since late December, when he announced his candidacy. He has hit towns so off the beaten path that a Des Moines Register columnist, David Yepsen, called them places ‘where Democrats are ordinarily found only on endangered species lists.’”

Today, the campaign will announce a second wave of Iowa TV ads featuring Edwards' plan to hold Congress accountable for passing universal health care within six months of him taking office. Edwards says in the ad, which will run statewide in Iowa: “When I'm president I'm going to say to members of Congress and members of my administration, including my Cabinet: I'm glad that you have health care coverage and your family has health care coverage, but if you don't pass universal health care by July of 2009 -- in six months -- I'm going to use my power as president to take your health care away from you.”

The New York Times’ Zeleny reports, "So how is John Edwards feeling about Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York these days? So bad, apparently, that in an interview last week he twice refused to say whether he would endorse her should she win the Democratic presidential nomination. It is a standard political question, which often comes with a standard answer. And it is highly unusual for a candidate to decline to answer whether he would ultimately support the party’s nominee."

Edwards yesterday unveiled his plan for veterans with Post Traumatic Stress Disorder. “Under Edwards' plan, veterans could seek counseling for post-traumatic stress disorder outside the Veterans Health Administration system; the number of counselors would increase; and family members would be employed to identify cases of PTSD.”

Edwards is still focusing on Nevada -- more so than some think, and he's got pretty good non-Vegas support in the state.

GORE: Any Democratic hope of Al Gore jumping into the presidential race are now dashed with the news that the Nobel Peace Prize winner has taken a job with a Silicon Valley venture capital firm.

OBAMA: The Washington Post profiles the Illinois senator. "Those who know Sen. Barack Obama best swear that this is nothing new: Trailing a powerful name in politics, hurrying to build an organization from scratch, struggling to overcome skepticism that he will ever catch up. ‘You know what? The same thing in the U.S. Senate race,’ Michelle Obama said of her husband in a recent interview. ‘The exact same scenario. This is Barack's political career.’”

More: "Yet one of the singular aspects of Obama's rapid political rise is that he accomplished it without becoming controversial, without being bloodied -- indeed, with hardly a scratch, even in rough-and-tumble Chicago, one of America's most famously political cities. He cut a path largely independent of the Democratic machine, its ward bosses and its byzantine rules of succession. Apart from one disastrous decision to run for Congress, he advanced with strong campaigns and some fortuitous implosions by his rivals."

Per the Union Leader, Obama “vowed to end the war in Iraq within 16 months, refocus the military on the fight with al-Qaeda and engage in diplomacy with enemies of the United States. ‘Not only do I want to end the war in Iraq, I want to end the mindset that got us there,’ he said."

The AP looks at Obama’s role in getting death penalty laws changed in Illinois. “Enactment of the 2003 law was a huge political achievement in a state that had been deeply divided over problems with capital punishment. Obama was at the center of the emotional debate. Legislators and lobbyists who worked with him describe a lawmaker who was personally involved, refused to abandon some needed changes but also demanded compromises from both law enforcement and death penalty critics.”

In an interview on MSNBC, Michelle Obama told Mika Brzezinski that “black America will wake up and get it,” predicting that the surveys showing lackluster African American support for Obama are “not going to hold.” Also, after Barack Obama’s success at Saturday’s Iowa Democratic Party dinner and a Sunday appearance on Meet the Press, his campaign is capitalizing on the recent gains over Clinton, setting an $850,000 Internet fundraising goal.

Per NBC’s Andy Merten, while Obama delivered a toned-down version of his anti-Washington establishment jabs at Hillary Clinton while speaking to reporters yesterday, Obama strategist David Axelrod repeated some of the campaign’s charges on MSNBC’s Hardball last night. “Senator Clinton is a very, very proficient politician,” he told host Chris Matthews, adding: “They’re running a textbook campaign, but it’s a campaign that’s designed to get you through an election -- it’s not designed to bring the country together; it’s not designed to solve problems.”
 
Axelrod also poked fun at Hillary’s newfound “Turn Up the Heat” slogan, saying of his candidate’s enthusiastic reception at Saturday’s Jefferson-Jackson dinner: “This is the change people are looking for. Not a slogan but real, fundamental change, and how our leaders approach these problems.”
 
RICHARDSON: Even though Florida is being ignored by the Democratic candidates, the Miami Herald is still running profiles of all the candidates. Here's its Richardson write-up.

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Comments

Is it me or do the mtn view california posters want to be funny, what a waste of space, cut them out, they are perhaps starting the offical language of pig latin movement. Either way there is nothing there for any of us. Mental masturbation is self abuse too, any one got some prozac for these or this poster.
Perhaps we should punk them by erasing there post. Who's with me on this one?
I'm still having trouble understanding how electing a woman whose main qualification is her last name is somehow as historically significant as electing a self-made black man named Obama. What message does that really send to young women: you can be president too, as long as your husband was first?
There's so many good contenders for "most outrageous BS thrown in a political campaign", but Lord Gawd Amighty, Bill Clinton done won the jackpot with that "boy" thang.

So the world's smartest politician didn't notice the gender of the word he chose, in a context like this. And didn't mean to add to the subtle pity-the-girl spin that Hil's campaign has been dropping everywhere, despite the lady protesting too much to the contrary.

*Pleez!* And Karl Rove didn't mean to drop that CIA agent's name either. :-p

OBAMA '08
Obama is the political equivelant of the second coming of Christ.  You should be so luck to have him. Like Lincoln and Kennedy(who were both first term sen.)before him, Barack Obama will bring true progress to a divided country.  He doesn't flip-flop like Guiliani and Romney, and he doesn't purposely obscure his positions for political gains like Clinton.
He is what he says he is.  Obama will become the bridge of communication in this country.  We will, together, work to fix both domestic problems like Healthcare, immigration, Social Security, and energy, and Foreign policy issues like reclaming our standing in the international community, Darfur, Iraq, Iran and Pakistan just to name a few.
Obama recently quoted Dr. King Jr in his JJ fundraising dinner speech.  MLK speaks  of, "the imminent urgency of now".  We're there, people.  And finally as a Texan living in Austin, I regect the notion that Obama can't win this state.  20,000 people showed up to an Obama rally earlier this year.  That view, however, speaks to my point.  Barack Obama is transcendant.  
God bless us all if HRC wins the nomination.  Eight more years of a republican administration.

Edwards got so mad that he will go republican if Hillary wins the nomination. Whenever I see Edwards on TV, I just could not stop thinking how nice his hair is and the price on top of it, it drowns whatever message he is sending out. He just does not cut it for me. Hillary on the other hand is being talked about more than anybody this time because of her stumbles and mistakes. Surely does make me think twice about her, but good or bad publicity is still publicity and free at that. She should start worrying if nobody talks about her anymore then shes done. Obama I dont know, I like him too but can He win the general? He is so new, his background, Indonesia? Hawaii? muslim father? you just wonder what he really is.
Undecided democrat here....
I don't get it, there is a race in media name only Hilary has it in a walk over everyone, can you honestly think America (winning margin, anyway) will ever vote other than that, and I don't have to say what everyone so far feels is un-sayable do I ?
It's late and so y'all won't see this until tomorrow (if at all) but I'll write it anyway.  I mentioned that I was in Claremont NH yesterday and watched Obama speak to a crowd of 500 in Stevens High School gymnasium.  It was an intimate gathering, unlike the usual 10-20k crowds to which he's become accustomed.  

The appearance by Obama was remarkable.  Yeah, yeah, yeah, I've admitted many times that I already have drunk the Kool-aide. And yesterday, I drank a little more.  He was precise (there was no triangulating - he took specific positions on the war and on Social Security), he was inspiring bringing the crowd to boisterous applause on countless occassions.  He was humerous, told his 'Fire it up! Ready to go!' story, poignant, telling us that his desire to conduct this campaign in the right way, outweighed his need to win - he said that he refuses to 'knee cap Hillary' (and made me feel guilty for trashing her as I have on these sites - he even said that she was intelligent and a great public servant).  But it was he who demonstrated his intelligence by clearly delineating his policy on education and health care.

I was there as a volunteer and while meandering around the room, was handing out paraphernalia.  I had the opportunity to observe the crowd's reaction and it was amazing-  many converts from Edwards' and Hillary's camps (Is Joe Trippi next?).

Anyway, people who have read my posts know that I am unabashedly a Barack supporter so my comments should
be taken with a grain of salt.  But sill, this is how I saw it. Barack is it.  He is intelligent and inspirational.  It is as if Gene McCarthy and Bobby Kennedy had had a child.  

He is even more charismatic than was our Jack Kennedy, of almost 50 years ago.  And that is because his story is more American, more compelling and because I suspect he doesn't have the character flaws that plagued John Kennedy.

I've been a political dawg since Kennedy's election, when I was 8 years old and I have to say that Barack is truly the most inspirational candidate to come along in almost 50 years.  He is the right stuff and it's because he is genuine and thoughtful and intelligent and because he has such a compelling story that he is inspirational.

One other thing.  I didn't get the whole story but the State Department had some young guests from foreign nations attending the rally.  Two Israelis (one Palestinian and one Ethiopian?), two Phillipino women and two Kenyan women.  The enthusiasm exhibited by these guests was palpable.  The fact that the United States could be electing a president with such a world view (yes and that he was a person of color with a middle name of Hussein) was exhilarating for them.  It moved me.  Could Barack be the perfect storm?  Not a catastrophic storm but the kind that washes away all the heat and all the stagnant, bad air of this present administration.   Yes, Barack could be the kind of storm that would give us all a fresh start.

Those of you, non-believers, even the Hillary supporters, should take another look at Barack.  A real look.  He's worth it.  We're worth it.  Thanks for taking the time to read this, but I doubt that I came close to capturing the electricity that was in that gymnasium, yesterday.
Obama '08
I would happily vote for Obama if he had any brains.  
bash, bash, bash....geez....Im glad hillary is staying above the fray. keep talking smart, hillary. barack and edwards just keep making themselves look weak by 'nagging' about 'all your faults'...yet,they have nothing much to say for themselves, except...of course, nag, nag, nag, about hillary. she keeps looking like the adult, and they, like the kids.
I still want to know if Obama is truly an American?  Will he put his hand over heart when the anthem is played and will he say the pledge and include 'under God'?
As far as HRC-----have you looked at all hte pics that are floating around---why does she always have her arm raised like a Nazi?     She and WJC have been leeches on the public all their lives.  
I hear this now a days - “…will not vote for Hillary. In fact, I personally don’t know of any Democrat who will vote for her…”

So many people around here with so many friends with so many confirmed votes against Hillary.
It’s disproportionate dogma.
It’s a charade from a few dissenters, a few hundred at most, who consider their recurring angst a reflection of the attitudes of 120 million other likely voters.
It’s hate as certitude, imbalance in love with nonsense.

For what it’s worth, which is litle at all, I know somebody who says that all 27 members of her weekly book club swear that they’ll vote for Hillary.
To which I say, as to all others who’ve seen the light and swear that their vision is true, what’s it prove besides hope’s being mistaken for fact?

I am amused daily by those who dont know centrist moderate America will survive in the loong run. We dont have to be left wing or right wing nut.

Hillary, stay at the center as you have been. The majority Americans like your service to the country.
I have been reading First Read for last one week. BigOldTexan talks and uses the same words like Sierra nickname.

Why so much hatred? And at one place you say you will follow Bush Republican road and at some other place you say you are a leftie.

I feel you are the most dishonest person in this blog and I am ashamed First Read has allowed you to do that. What value are you in this blog discussion other than spewing the venom of hatred every time? And that too using the same words in all the post?

Add something new, something thoughtful, something which helps people decide. I know a Republican classmate of mine who sits the whole day, acting as a woman or African American or whatever is needed, on a blog to spew hatred against Democrats. He got paid for that (may be one of Karl Rove associates). Doesnt matter if you are one of those, as you have been distasteful so far.

Bring some meaning in your life. It may bloom one day, since it hasnt so far.
I liked Biden until he accused Obama of busing in people from Illinois for the JJ. dinner in Iowa.  This was untrue and kind of  cheap for a "statesman." He wouldn't make a good President because he would always have to be explaining away some loose canon statement that shot out of his mouth. His generation, including Dodd, Richardson,and especially Clinton, need to let go.  I am a boomer and I have come to realize that we need to let go of the old political wars of the 60's.  We need to let the next generation take over. Obama has the brains, the energy, the optimism to tackle the issues that are killing America.  The old ways and the old pols won't work anymore.
I liked Biden until he accused Obama of busing in people from Illinois for the JJ. dinner in Iowa.  This was untrue and kind of  cheap for a "statesman." He wouldn't make a good President because he would always have to be explaining away some loose canon statement that shot out of his mouth. His generation, including Dodd, Richardson,and especially Clinton, need to let go.  I am a boomer and I have come to realize that we need to let go of the old political wars of the 60's.  We need to let the next generation take over. Obama has the brains, the energy, the optimism to tackle the issues that are killing America.  The old ways and the old pols won't work anymore.
To AConcernedCitizen, CA.
Have a life and if this bother you don`t read it.
I do not go for bush/cheney, I have no faith in what they do.
I do not know Sierra, and yes I hate it when people lie to the contry that they are trying to run.

I have always stated whom i would vote for Obama/Edwards `08.

It is my GOD given right to state my opinion as you just have.
What if I`m an African American woman, What if I am White American man, or a Spanish Gay person, what would you say then?


BIGOLDTEXAN...............
BigOldTexan/Sierra,

Be glad that you are in America so your nonsense is being allowed by people. I dont intend to stop you from stating your opinions because it seems that is all you got in this life.

But add some value in the discussion. You can state your hatred once or twice but repeating the same nonsense in 99% of your post is meaningless.

And to your point about not knowing Sierra. No two people are alike, unless they are the same. People show their true faces when they let hatred take over themselves. And when you are spewing hate (which is all you do), you and Sierra type exactly the same thing, word by word.

Be honest with yourself once in life, may be life will look better.

Remember again, People show their weakness and true faces when they let hatred take over themselves.


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