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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



First thoughts: Closing arguments

Posted: Friday, November 30, 2007 9:24 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro

*** Closing argument time: Back in early February, almost 10 months ago, the Democratic presidential candidates all spoke at the DNC’s winter meeting in DC. And in a way, each of them made their opening arguments there. Clinton played up her anti-war credentials. (“If we in Congress don't end this war before January 2009, as president, I will.”) Obama said it was time “to turn the page,” and he talked about the politics of hope. (“We've had a lot of plans, Democrats. What we've had is a shortage of hope.”) And Edwards preached that silence “is a betrayal.” (“This is not the time for political calculation. This is the time for political courage.”) Today, the candidates once again speak to the DNC -- this time in Northern Virginia -- where they get to make their closing arguments with just 34 days to go until Iowa. Richardson, Edwards, and Obama (in that order) speak in the late morning, while Kucinich, Biden, and Clinton (in that order) take their turns in the early afternoon.

*** Another round of forums: But that isn’t the only forum these candidates will address in the next two days. Saturday afternoon, Clinton, Dodd, Edwards, Kucinich, and Obama -- appearing separately -- speak at the Heartland Presidential Forum in Des Moines, IA, where they will discuss issues like agriculture, health care, and immigration. Then, beginning at 8:00 pm ET later that night, all eight of the Democratic candidates will participate in the “Iowa Brown & Black” presidential forum, which will focus on issues important to Latinos and

African Americans. NPR’s Michele Norris and PBS’s Ray Suarez moderate the forum, and it airs on HDNet TV. (If you thought the audience was small for last night’s Cowboys-Packers game on the NFL Network, we’re pretty sure even fewer people will have access to watch this forum -- never mind this is occurring on a Saturday night.)

*** Scrutiny time: With Iowa getting closer and closer, the media’s coverage of the top Democratic candidates is getting tougher and tougher. While many focus on Obama’s coffee with Michael Bloomberg this morning, Obama aides and supporters have to deal with a Washington Post piece that resurrects the Hopefund PAC story and a Paul Krugman column that excoriates Obama on health care (with some amazingly harsh language; will he be this harsh of an Obama critic if he's the nominee?). Clinton doesn’t get off easy, either. The Post today emphasizes the media’s frustrations with the Clinton campaign, and the Boston Globe suggests that New Hampshire has become a firewall for her. (Is this a good thing? Raising expectations like this for New Hampshire?) And Huckabee gets a little bit of scrutiny today, too.

*** Bill’s back: Bill Clinton returns to campaign in Iowa on Saturday. And as WHO-TV's Dave Price notes, it will “be a battle of the Clintons” in the Des Moines metro area that afternoon. “Hillary will take part in the Heartland Forum in downtown Des Moines at 4:40 pm ET, while Bill speaks at 4:30 pm ET at Norwalk High School. Price asks: Does the press cover Bill or Hillary?”

*** Biden says the “I” word: Biden made news by saying yesterday that Bush should be impeached if he unilaterally attacks Iran. The liberal blogosphere will love it. But this is striking language from the guy who may want to be the next secretary of state. (Will this come up at his confirmation hearing? Doesn't this put the nail in his coffin for running mate consideration?) Ironically, a call for impeachment by Foreign Relations Committee Chair Biden would have garnered more headlines than a call for impeachment by presidential candidate Biden.

*** Security detail vs. Kerik indictment: Isn't it interesting that this story about Giuliani’s billing records and his security detail while mayor has received more play and put Giuliani more on the defensive than the actual Bernie Kerik indictment? (We'll let others decide why the one affair is more intriguing to the press than the other affair.) Giuliani spent the entire day on the defensive over this story, but the big question is whether this is going to spur more reports about this period in Giuliani's political life. Is this the start of a rough couple of weeks or simply another Kerik-like speed bump?

*** On the trail: Elsewhere today, Dodd -- who isn’t attending the DNC meeting -- campaigns in Iowa; Edwards heads to Des Moines after speaking at the DNC confab; Giuliani speaks at a town hall in South Carolina and then one in Boca Raton, FL; Huckabee, in New Hampshire, addresses the Greater Concord Chamber of Commerce; McCain stumps in South Carolina; Romney attends a series of events in Iowa, including an Iowa Christian Alliance house party; Tancredo is in New Hampshire; and Thompson, along with wife Jeri, appears on CNN’s Larry King Live.

Countdown to Iowa: 34 days
Countdown to New Hampshire: 39 days
Countdown to Michigan: 46 days
Countdown to Nevada and SC GOP primary: 50 days
Countdown to SC Dem primary: 57 days
Countdown to Florida: 60 days
Countdown to Tsunami Tuesday: 67 days
Countdown to Election Day 2008: 340 days
Countdown to Inauguration Day 2009: 417 days

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Comments

John, waterloo, Iowa

Thank you for your insight.  Obviously, the things you mentioned don't show up in a one on one interview.
Carol from SC, if Hillary Clinton was as sincere and eloquent as your post, she would have alot more support.
Just out of Curiosity can any one recall anythign that Hillary did that was considered great?? The only things I have heard about her voting record are quite bad. And how can anyone say she doesn't pander to the public, she is dishonest and will do anythign she has to to succeed. This can be a great asset but I dont believe she has the character to limit what she does to the Moral Realm.... Last thing we need is Bush, Clinton, Bush, Clinton
IMPEACH:

Write your congressman.

Sierra:

Ever hear of apples vs. oranges, and valium?

Jerry, Corpus Christi:

Do you ever get tired of throwing out bait and catching something EVERY time?
Sierra:

I believe that Japan's immediate and unconditional surrender was demanded after the Hiroshima bomb with the clear threat that another one could follow.  Japan's leaders did not comply.  Apparently they thought that thousands or millions more of their own people were expendable.

I World War II as a whole, probably over 100 million people died.  I don't know myself, but of those, what percentage would you guess were soldiers?

Do some research and find out what the civilian toll in China was at the hands of the Japanese.

As horrible as all this was, perspective puts the United States quite far down the list when it comes to evildoers.
This time the Billary trailer trash won't be going to the White House. They have sealed their fate!

Bye,BYE Doom and Gloom!
Should America have to choose a Washington self serving Paper Hanger as a President?

Today we have People who can stand and think at the same time. They don't have to hold on to another coat tail, a failed policy, misleading conjecture, a liar, always opposing be it right or wrong.

These debates have shown nothing! The same daily conjecture and failed operation of what a Washinton self serving Paper hangers cluster F87708097.

Question: How can America reunite, restructure, change policy which demeans our existance, close failed policy. put the pork barrel in a dumpster, align armed force to serve as national security ""not world security"", restructure public funding, enforce national security ""Borders"", remove in total all those who are roaming our streets as an Illegal.. ""And thats is the tip of failed policy"""!

The Democratic party has shown their response, not one has taken a real issues or any issues that is a priority,, but their desire is to just hang more worthless paper on the present failed paper!!!! Only conjecture and the """I"""". Never """As a ""NATION""!!!  """"   IT'S ALWAYS   """"""  I  """"""
Carol are u talking about the Clintons who pardoned dozens of terrosists whose gang killed US cops. And pardoned dozens of drug dealers, while they were stealing the White house furniture, and you want us to vote for Hillary, are you out of your mind?
The ONLY candidate that will be effective is Clinton!
Those who voted for Bush helped to bring this country to the brink of absolute destruction; the sick thing is that they are getting RICH from the U.S. taxpayer as they destroy the United States.  I will take the wife of a sex fiend over all of the candidates due in part because She is a WOMAN, she is SMART and I believe that it is time to elect someone who is going to be a President of the people.
Is Karl Rove pulling strings (covertly) on the Democratic National Committee?  DNC punishing a state!!  Sounds like organizational idiocy.  Fighting over #1 primary might just be like the tigers fighting each other over Sambo's "fine" clothes....  or corporate, racketeers-marketeers fighting to see who can get the most of our loose-change.  Politics, like technology, big government, and the media is getting too far out in front of beleagured, over/under-protected Americans.  God help us find an honest statesperson to lead us....not a chamber of commerce/ceo, war hawk, "who? me? worry?" type.  
A nice article from the Huffington Post (of all places)...
These comments are so lifeless and pale in comparison with what Mike Gravel represents that I am just so disappointed why people would vote for anyone but him.  They speak such flacid points about the election that are boring and nauseating.  Mike is the meat and potatoes of presidential candidacy period. What on earth makes anyone else attractive compared to this statuesque man boggles my mind.


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