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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Oh-eight (R): Rudy hearts Huckabee?

Posted: Monday, December 03, 2007 9:08 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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GIULIANI: The former mayor was campaigning in the February 5 state of Georgia over the weekend. Reports NBC/NJ's Matthew Berger from Marietta, GA: Giuliani said the latest surge by Huckabee would not affect his campaign. "You've asked me this at various times about Sen. McCain, you've asked me this about Gov. Romney and Fred Thompson, now Mike Huckabee, and me," Giuliani said. "I'm not concerned about the other candidates. I'm concerned about my campaign, getting my message out, getting my positive message out."

Giuliani said Huckabee was right in exonerating him for recent questions about payment of his security detail as mayor. But he dismissed the suggestion that people voting for Huckabee were in essence supporting Giuliani by voting against Romney. "A vote for Gov. Huckabee is a vote for Gov. Huckabee. A vote for Giuliani is a vote for Giuliani, and you can go on and on and on and on.”

By the way, Sen. Johnny Isakson (R-GA) campaigned with Giuliani Sunday and expressed strong support for the former New York City mayor, but did not officially endorse him.

Giuliani has an op-ed in today's Wall Street Journal on "fiscal discipline.

The Giuliani expenses story lives on, as the New York tabs find more ex-officials to comment. The New York Post: “Tryst fund ‘sickens’ ex-official.” “’The cover-up of this and the explanations for it have been so disingenuous,’ said Brendan Sexton, who chaired the Procurement Policy Board in 2000. The panel was charged $29,757 for travel bills racked up by then-Mayor Rudy Giuliani's security detail as he hung out with then-girlfriend Judith Nathan on Long Island. ‘He didn't want anybody to know what he was doing. That's the truth.’” Sexton is a Democrat who served as sanitation commissioner under Ed Koch.” 

HUCKABEE: The New York Times looks at the hurdles Huckabee could face in order to hold his new lead in Iowa. "While Mr. Romney has built up an extensive field operation, run methodically from his campaign headquarters outside Des Moines, Mr. Huckabee’s approach is more ad-hoc as he has sought to take advantage of religious and church networks to press his message. ‘Romney has a turn-out machine: no one is going to dispute that,’ said Chuck Laudner, the executive director of the Iowa Republican Party. ‘What Huckabee has to rely on is that faith community, which is a ready-made machine: churches, home schoolers. Huckabee is getting in volunteers what Romney has to pay for. But there’s just no telling what it means until the results come in.”

Does this show Huckabee is not the businessman’s Republican? George Will, who has lauded Giuliani, tears into Huckabee.

What is the fallout for the Club for Growth that they have failed -- so far -- from keeping Huckabee from taking off? Won't this hurt the Club’s reputation as a major player in the GOP?

The Los Angeles Times has a getting-to-know-Huckabee's Arkansas record story.

The Washington Post's Cillizza profiles man who may be more responsible for Huckabee's rise than any other: a physician from Montgomery, Ala., named Randy Brinson. “Brinson is the keeper of a massive e-mail list of much-coveted Christian voters that Huckabee is using to reach and organize people in early-voting states such as Iowa. Brinson's list numbers about 71 million contacts, with 25 million identified as belonging to ‘25 and 45 years old, upwardly mobile, right-of-center, conservative households,’ he said.”

MCCAIN: Here’s the Union Leader’s endorsement of McCain: “Simply put, McCain can be trusted to make informed decisions based on the best interests of his country, come hell or high water.”

Longtime readers of David Broder will not be surprised by this declaration: "If the Republican Party really wanted to hold on to the White House in 2009, it's pretty clear what it would do. It would grit its teeth, swallow its doubts and nominate a ticket of John McCain for president and Mike Huckabee for vice president -- and president-in-waiting."

PAUL: He’s polling at 7% in a new Iowa poll, a 3-point bump from October, and the Des Moines Register’s Yepsen wrote on Saturday: “Paul could challenge Rudy Giuliani for a third-place finish -- if he spends more time in Iowa and some of that wad of money he's raised on the Internet. He needs to show his zealous supporters just how to attend a GOP caucus.”

Unlike Huckabee, Paul is still only getting "gee whiz"/oddball type coverage. The Los Angeles Times checked in with a local group of Pasadena Paul supporters. "Given the cacophonous voices gathered under the Paul tent, at least a little dissension should hardly be surprising. At the recent gathering in La Cañada Flintridge, Paul activists described voting in the past for candidates ranging from President Bush and Democratic Sen. John F. Kerry, to Ralph Nader, Pat Buchanan and Ross Perot."

ROMNEY: The Los Angeles Times notes how both Romney and Clinton are changing tactics after their poll slides in Iowa. "Romney announced that he would deliver a speech Thursday on religion, a subject that he has been reluctant to touch despite growing signs that voters are leery of putting a Mormon in the White House. As recently as last week, Romney's eldest son, Tagg, said in an interview that he was beseeching his father to give such a speech but had yet to persuade him.

More: “Romney's Mormonism ‘is definitely a factor in the race,’ said one Huckabee aide, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the aide is not authorized to talk publicly. ‘To a lot of people, [Mormonism] is a strange religion that they don't understand.’” 

This is not a good sign. Romney chief social conservative surrogate, James Bopp, is making the case that a vote for Huckabee is a vote for Giuliani. "Bopp's rhetoric was aimed not just at Giuliani but also at former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee who has made up considerable ground on Romney in recent week here in the Hawkeye State. ‘I love Mike Huckabee," Bopp said, quickly adding: ‘Something I know for sure [is] he does not have the resources to compete.’ Boiled down, Bopp's argument is simple: You might like Huckabee best but he can't win. So, vote for the guy -- Romney -- you like second best."

Of course, this is how John Kerry eventually overtook Dean. You may love Dean, but you'll like Kerry.

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Comments

George Will has no clue what Huckabee's policies and positions are. He needs to do more homework before writing any article.
Huckabee
Taxes. Huckabee’s first term in office. Huckabee signed into law a 3 cent increase in tax on gasoline and a 4 cent increase on diesel.  Huckabee signed a tax on private nursing homes for $5.25 per day per non-Medicare patient.  In Huckabee second term as governor. Huckabee signed into law increases in cigarette and tobacco taxes as well as a 3 percent income tax surcharge.  Huckabee’s record as a hole.  he increased state spending 65.3 percent (1996-2004). Also under him taxes were raised twenty-one times for an increase of $883 million dollars. During his tenure, the state’s general obligation debt shot up by almost $1 billion. Huckabee is "the biggest taxer and spender in Arkansas history".
Crime.  Huckabee met with Dumond's wife prier to becoming governor and privately announced his intention that Dumond be set free, stating his unhappiness with the way Clinton had handled the case.  Huckabee met privately with the parole board to talk about the Dumond case.  Dumond was granted parole, just five months after he had been rejected.  Wayne Dumond moved to Kansas City in 2000 and was convicted there of sexually assaulting and murdering a woman that lived near his home. Wayne Dumond died in prison in 2005.
Illegal immigration. In the 2005 State of the State address, he complained that a Hispanic student was not able to get financial aid because he was an illegal alien. Huckabee supported a 2005 bill by Arkansas State Representative Joyce Elliott to make illegal aliens eligible for scholarships and in-state college tuition.  When a Mexican consulate opened in Little Rock in 2006, Huckabee strongly supported it.  Gov. Mike Huckabee gave $10,000 to the consulate form the governor’s $500,000 emergency fund.  Huckabee did this even though he knew that his support of the Mexican consulate broke federal law.
Criminal behavior.  Both Huckabee and his wife drew criticism for creating wedding registries in the amount of over $6000 at both the Target and Dillard's web sites, in conjunction with a housewarming party to celebrate a new house they had purchased in Little Rock has a $100 cap on gifts to political leaders.
Sounds to me like Huckabee is a liberal to me. Give up the jokes and lets talk about issues.
Bo[pp iis wrong as well.  They see a threat to have to try and tell people the old "he cant win" line.  That logic was used back a month or so ago when Huck was polling 5%-9% in Iowa.  A little different story now.  It's snowballing people.  The traditional view of rich white repbulicans has to change.  A lot of people have conservative values, but hate the corporate and greed types who rule the party and are in all the gatekeeper positions in the media (Will & Novak).  
I personally find it thrilling to see so many viable candidates still in this presidential race.  This is one of the things that makes our country so great--the people have a voice!  

I am also thrilled to see Iowa and the rest of the nation embracing the candidacy of Mike Huckabee.  People are starting to realize that Mike Huckabee's appeal is far broader than his religious base.  

If Mike Huckabee's message has touched you or caused you to reconsider the issues, I would encourage you to take my challenge by visiting:  www.abuckforhuck.com.

With your help, he will make a difference!
Huckabee is just a regular guy with an extraordinary message.  Romney/Giulini are spoiled millionaires who don't have a clue what life is like in the real world.  Huckabee is the real deal (unlike the used car salesman-Romney and the serial womanizer-Giulini).  
If Huck is elected, people will feel good for about sixty seconds, and then the cronyism, and "heck of a job Brownie" incidents will begin. Huckabee is just a more likeable version of George W Bush. Wonder which neo-con thug he will choose for his Vice President?
The Club For Growth has been relentless in their attacks against Mike Huckabee. Why? Because they are bought and paid for by Mitt Romney. The Club For Growth is not a unbiased source for information, they are politically motivated and launch attacks for the highest bidder. I have really lost any respect that I had for the Club For Growth.......
Huckabee’s first term in office. Huckabee signed into law a 3 cent increase in tax on gasoline and a 4 cent increase on diesel.

I can imagine drivers and truck drivers thinking long and hard about that tax.....
Our nation desparately needs Ron Paul.

Ron Paul can no longer be labeled a "long shot" candidate as he absolutely dominates in the Straw Polls, Debate Polls, Fund Raising, Web Traffic and Grass Roots Networking and is clearly a "top tier" candidate for the Republican Presidential nomination.

Please visit www.thecaseforronpaul.com and judge the evidence for yourself.
Our nation desparately needs Ron Paul.

Ron Paul can no longer be labeled a "long shot" candidate as he absolutely dominates in the Straw Polls, Debate Polls, Fund Raising, Web Traffic and Grass Roots Networking and is clearly a "top tier" candidate for the Republican Presidential nomination.

Please visit www.thecaseforronpaul.com and judge the evidence for yourself.
The Huckabees did not create the gift registries. They were created by friends for a housewarming party, and the wedding registry was used because there wasn't a "housewarming party" category. Okay, move along. Nothing to see, people.  

I think that when the dust settles, Huckabee is a practical, pragmatic leader who gets things done. He used taxpayer money for things that they needed, like roads, not to build a Woodstock museum or test the DNA of bears. He may have raised some taxes, but I trust him with my hard-earned dollars a lot more than I trust our current Congress, Democrat or Republican.
Has anybody checked the validity of the stories that 'downwithhuckabee' posted?  Of course not.  We as Americans read things in blogs, and if written with enough conviction, we believe them.  

Take the time to listen to the candidates speeches and debates (YouTube), research so-called 'facts' you may hear about them, and decide for yourselves.  

Don't let somebody sway you into picking *their* president; vote for *your* president and feel good about it.

Anyone interested in what Huckabee is really like face to face should try this funny (but it actually happened) column:
http://goupstate.us/index.php/lanefiller/2007/11/02/title_14

Anyone wanting to see some telling video (with an accompanying column) from Thompson’s first week on the trail in South Carolina should give this a try:
http://goupstate.us/index.php/lanefiller/2007/11/05/fred_thompson_for_president_of_what_the_
I am an independent. I was impressed by Huckabee's character & leadership and I also like Giuliani.
Romney is just not electable cause he's way behind Giluiani AND Huckabee in the latest national poll. Also he has the worst poll among the big five against Clinton. Romney's manager agruement was working when Huckabee is behind him with the poll. Not any more now Huckabee is ahead of him.
If Romney gets the election I and many friends of mine will just stay home or consider voting the democrats.
Go to mikehuckabee.com and find out for yourself why Mike would be a wonderful President for America should we be so fortunate as to see him elected!
1.  Huckabee has no cash.  I don't care if he's rich or poor, but if he can't raise money to advertise, then he can't compete nationally.
2.  If he beats Romney in Iowa, then it is highly unlikely in the compressed schedule that he can raise money and advertise quickly enough to build the needed momentum.
3.  Therefore, with the socially conservative vote split between Romney and Huckabee, Rudy G. will be the de-facto winner on the national stage.  (Rudy is jumping for joy that Romney's plans are being thwarted by the conservative split.)
4.  Even if Huckabee won the nomination, he is way too much like Bush to beat the Democrats.  Bush ran the folksy, regular guy campaign and won.  People in recent years are sick of it.  They want someone with brains.  Huckabee is a nice guy, but he is way too much of a Bible thumper to win a general election!
5.  I don't like Mike for all the reasons given above by "downwithhuckabee".  Those are FACTS that I already knew.  Do some research, and you'll see that they are all true.
6.  Do you know any Mormons?  I know quite a few, and if their religion is so wierd, then why does it produce such good people?  Romney would be one of the smartest and best presidents ever.  Voting for Romney is not the same as voting for Mormonism.  I'm not methodist, but I voted for Bush.
I would not vote for anybody with the suffix reverend, minister or father after their name.  Haven't we had enough of the chosen one.  I will not live by anybody religous or moral values.  Look where the univerisity of Pedophila is ( catholic religon.)  I want someone who can seperate church and state.  if we can't seperate chruch from state we willhave the same as iraq, iran or any of those countries.  Please no more anointed one.  i Haven't made up my mind yet,  But i am sure it won't be a religous one.
skip the whole "registry" thing.  It just sounds like a stretch, whether it has some truth or not.

Huckabee is not acceptable because he raised taxes and increased government.  He scares fiscal conservatives, and calling the Club for Growth the "Club for Greed" is something only a liberal would do.  That group has been very well respected in conservative circles for a long time.  He also scares the crap out of moderates, and millions of Americans who don't believe in his particular flavor of creationism.  He would lose a general election to the democrats without them even breaking a sweat.  I'm begging Iowa to do what would be best for our country!!!
Well, having been a registered Democrat all my voteing life, I have to say that my party scares me to death. The only person that has any appeal to me is Mike Huckabee. I am not a rich man, just a working man. But, I have been sending Mike Huckabees campaign $100.00 a week , for the past three weeks, and I plan on continueing to do so til I have given him all I can. Then, my wife plans on doing the same. I like that he supports the Fair Tax, so do I. As far as religous views go, I'm not the most religous person in the world, But what I do know, that everything that is good in this world, has been brought about because of religous teachings, you know like thou shall not kill anyone, or don't try to pick up your neighbors wife. Those things are right, whether you believe in God or not.


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