Down the ballot: LA, OH, and VA
Posted: Monday, December 10, 2007 9:04 AM by Mark Murray
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States
House Republicans were dealt another blow when Louisiana Rep. Jim McCrery (R) announced Friday he would not seek re-election. Can the GOP keep their retirements to less than two dozen? They are creeping toward 20 now -- and there's still another three to four retirement months left. The good news on the McCrery retirement: The GOP should have a fairly easy time holding the seat. Still, it sends a negative message that veteran Republicans aren't interested in sticking around.
By the way, keep an eye on Mitch McConnell's re-election bid. He's worried enough -- or at least not taking any chances -- to be launching TV ads now, rather than waiting for a challenger to give him problems.
If Democrats can win a special congressional election tomorrow in a GOP district in Ohio, doesn't that tell us that Ohio may not be as in play as the Republicans would like to believe for 2008? As the Washington Post's Cillizza noted on Sunday: "Despite the heavy spending, strategists for both parties sought to play down expectations in advance of the vote. Republicans noted that Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) carried the 5th District in 2006. Democrats pushed back, arguing that the very fact that House Republicans are being forced to spend from their very limited war chest is a victory. Should Latta lose, which remains unlikely, it would be a powerful symbolic blow for House Republicans seeking to reassure their members that 2008 won't be a repeat of 2006."
Meanwhile, in the Virginia House special that takes place this week, Politico reports on how the GOP is using Hillary Clinton as a way to attack the Democrat.
Overall, Republicans are favored to hold both seats, but the margins will be worth studying as both districts are in states where the Republicans may be in trouble for 2008.