More oh-eight: Tight Dem race in NH
Posted: Friday, December 14, 2007 9:20 AM by Mark Murray
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States
Mark your calendars: On January. 15, MSNBC will air the first post-New Hampshire Dem debate. The Nevada Democratic Party will partner with the U.S. Hispanic Chamber of Commerce and IMPACTO, 100 Black Men of America, and the College of Southern Nevada to hold the second Democratic presidential debate in Las Vegas.
A new Research 2000 New Hampshire primary poll, conducted for the Concord Monitor, mirrors the CNN/WMUR poll from earlier this week. Just one point separates Obama and Clinton, though in this new poll, it's Obama who comes out on the high side, leading Clinton 32%-31% -- with Edwards at 18%. The poll assumes a Dem-to-indie split of 63-37%. Among Democrats, Clinton leads, 36%-27%. Among independents, Obama leads 40%-23%. So the electorate's makeup matters A LOT. The pollster also matched up Clinton and Obama in a two-way race and found Obama leading 45%-41%. In a two-way between Clinton and Edwards, Clinton led 47%-41%. And in a two-way between Obama and Edwards, Obama led 46%-39%.
On the GOP side, the results look similar to other recent New Hampshire polls, with Romney leading at 31%, followed by Giuliani at 18%, McCain at 17%, Huckabee at 9%, and Paul at 7%. This poll assumes a GOP/indie split of 81%-19%. Among Republicans, Romney's lead remains largely unchanged, 32% to Giuliani's 19% and McCain's 16%. Among independents, Romney drops to 18% and McCain spikes to 21% -- and Paul in third at 16%.
The poll was conducted Monday thru Wednesday.
