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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

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Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



The battle for South Carolina

Posted: Thursday, January 17, 2008 9:21 AM by Mark Murray

Is this Iowa? No, it's South Carolina. You can excuse the confusion because when one of us touched down here late last night, what were we greeted by? SNOW! And it's the real kind too. The big, flaky New England kind that covers cars and in South Carolina creates havoc. (We even heard a plow at the airport, though the ground wasn’t exactly snow-covered -- more like wet.)  And we thought heading south would be a nice, dare we say, pleasant, change from Washington. If this is any indication, this Republican race is already shaping up to be, um, unusual.

Politics is front and center on the Columbia State’s front page with just two days until the Republican primary here. The paper has photos of the Big Four -- Huckabee, McCain, Romney and Thompson - under the headline “Dash to the Wire.” 

Three GOP polls released yesterday show similar results -- McCain in first, Huckabee narrowly trailing, with Romney and Thompson battling for third.

The New York Times front-pages McCain’s attempts to overcome negative attacks in South Carolina. “This time Mr. McCain is deploying a South Carolina Truth Squad and much of the state’s Republican political establishment, which backed Mr. Bush in 2000. Mr. McCain, who over the last seven years methodically courted important South Carolina Republicans and showered them with money from his political action committee, now has them on board to try to intercept the attacks before there is major damage. In 2000, said Trey Walker, Mr. McCain’s South Carolina political consultant, ‘it was a lot like sitting in the Norad command center looking up at that big board and seeing all these thousands of missiles coming in on you and being able to get off one little puff of smoke back.’”

“Now, Mr. Walker said, ‘If we get an indication there’s an early launch, we have certain detection devices out there, we’ll respond.’”

The Washington Post also looks at the third-party attacks on McCain. “While the McCain camp sent out e-mails immediately decrying [one attack] flier and the phone calls, his opponents questioned whether the senator's true intent was to bat down the attacks or if he is more interested in garnering sympathy and attention.”

The Wall Street Journal writes about McCain’s attempts to court military veterans in South Carolina. The state ”is home to 400,000 veterans, according to the Census Bureau. It has high numbers of military personnel stationed in-state and abroad. Almost 29,000 active-duty soldiers claim the state as their legal residence, making up about 1% of its population -- only nine states have a higher percentage. And there are 66,000 soldiers stationed here, constituting about 2% of its adult population, greater than all but eight states.”

The New York Times says Romney is sticking with the economy message while campaigning here. “Romney arrived in South Carolina on Wednesday morning, continuing to press a retooled message focused on the economy and fixing Washington that worked so well for him in Michigan. But he also sought to restrain expectations for his performance in the primary here Saturday, in which the latest polls, though taken before Michigan, show him running behind both John McCain and Mike Huckabee.”

Have the expectations on the Dem side shifted from -- can Obama win to how much will he win by now that the state’s African-Americans seem to have become believers in Obama’s ability to win?

South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford (R), who has vowed to remain neutral, delivers his State of the State address tonight. He “disagrees with the state’s top economist that South Carolina’s economic slowdown will be short-lived -- and he’ll share that assessment in a ‘dual conversation’ with lawmakers and S.C. residents in his annual ‘State of the State’ address at 7 tonight.”

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Comments

I also hear South Carolina is being flooded with the Obama smear e-mails. Wonder who is behind that, and why?
Hopefully there are not as many gullible women in South Carolina as there are in New Hampshire.....
Come join this Blog if you belive that Mitt Romney is a Flip Flopper please come on over and post your thoughts, this Blog is Only for comments on Mitt Romney being a Flip Flopper.

http://www.mittromneyflipflopper.blogspot.com/
It is very sad to see desperate Fred Thompson attempting to hide his weak accomplishments and old age by expressing himself forcefully against Huckabee!
For those of you who believe in the "Experience" argument from the Clinton campaign, here's my response:

Obama's got 3 years in the US senate, 8 years in the state senate, and more than a decade of community organization experience. Compare that to Hillary who has 7 years of US senate experience and 25 years riding Bill Clinton's coattails.

Even still, "experience" hasn't shown itself to be quite what is needed. What about Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, Douglas Feith, Paul Wolfowitz, Paul Bremer, et al? Decades of experience in the political, public, and private sectors, and not a damn one competent enough to do the job.
Mitt Romney holds no loyalty to any state, nor to the workers of the United States. Romney is making his own Millions through the Forced Buy-Outs of his Buy-Out Firm. Analysts who keep up with Buy-Out Firms' compensation, estimate Romney to be over $500Million (NYTimes 03/11/07).

A pretty penny for buying negative campaigning against opponents of any party.

Media just recently boasted Romney's campaign just paid them Another $8Million and that he, himself, is able and ready to pay them many more of his $Millions.

Romney has 'retooled' his message too many times since first campaigning against Ted Kennedy as more Liberal than Kennedy, then as Liberal candidate for governor of Massachusetts, and now, as he panders for Conservative votes. Romney's has already proven his political message is whatever Romney wants to say on any given day, to any given group or state.
Voters Beware.
I also hear South Carolina is being flooded with the Obama smear e-mails. Wonder who is behind that, and why?

Paul Miller, Woodbridge, VA


Not Bill Clinton. And if you say it is, be prepared to have a finger stuck in your face.
"Media just recently boasted Romney's campaign just paid them Another $8Million and that he, himself, is able and ready to pay them many more of his $Millions. "

Really?  Do you have any sources for this?  Or are you just sour grapes?  Because frankly, other than the National Review, there hasn't been a whole lot of positive press on Romney... even since his win, the press seems to only begrudgingly report on his success.
I also hear South Carolina is being flooded with the Obama smear e-mails. Wonder who is behind that, and why?

Paul Miller, Woodbridge, VA


Not Bill Clinton. And if you say it is, be prepared to have a finger stuck in your face.

Fran Chesler (Sent Thursday, January 17, 2008 12:23 PM)

He's not behind it....
The general election has not started yet.....
This is the way I see it.  Mc Cain the aging warrior dressed in Bush clothing fighting the last lost War. And yes Mc Cain is behind.  His is behind Bush so closely his lips are brown.  Huckabee the changer who will change the Constitution to abide with Gods rule , and go to the gates of Hell will a squirt gun to get Osama,   Thompson looking for a new role to play in his acting career.   Mitt A buy and sell kind of guy who is more than rich, The question is how much more of our Country can be sold  to China, Saudia Arabia, etc. My questions.... are you middle class. What has this Republican Party done for you lately?  Proud Independent.


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