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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC Political Researcher



Tsunami Tuesday (R)

Posted: Wednesday, February 06, 2008 9:13 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

McCain won nine states: Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, and Oklahoma. Romney won seven: Alaska, Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, and Utah. And Huckabee won five: Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee, and West Virginia.

The New York Times: “Senator John McCain of Arizona won the most states and appeared poised to win the most delegates on Tuesday with impressive primary victories in the delegate-rich states of California, New York and Illinois. Mike Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor, revived his candidacy with victories across the South. Their strong showings posed a serious challenge to the candidacy of Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, who vowed to press on with his campaign after winning in Montana, North Dakota, Minnesota, Massachusetts, Utah and Alaska.”

The Washington Post says McCain “surged closer toward the Republican nomination yesterday by capturing the biggest Super Tuesday states, including California, but failed to knock out his rivals, who deprived him of victories across GOP strongholds in the South and West… Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee scored a surprising sweep of his native South, while former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney picked up a number of states in the West but fell short in critical battlegrounds that would have established him as McCain's primary challenger. Huckabee and Romney vowed last night to stay in the race as it moves to Virginia, Maryland and the District on Tuesday.”

According to the Boston Globe, “Romney knew John McCain would be a tough competitor on Super Tuesday. What he didn't count on was Mike Huckabee's strong showing, which stopped Romney from staying close to McCain in the delegate chase for the nomination.”

A Romney campaign aide said Wednesday will be a day of "frank discussions," NBC’s John Yang and NBC/NJ’s Matthew E. Berger reported last night. The aide said Romney will meet with aides in Boston Wednesday and is expected to speak at CPAC Thursday. The aide added that part of the discussion will be whether to travel to Kansas on Friday to campaign for the caucus.

But Berger also noted that Romney aides were trying to make clear late last night that they will continue to go forward. The campaign released quotes from Romney's speech highlighting that the campaign goes on to the convention. 

The AP writes up the exit polls. “McCain won a majority of the votes of Republicans who called themselves moderates, while Romney won just 38 percent of the votes of Republicans who call themselves conservatives. McCain won 39 percent of self-described Republicans, compared to 34 percent for Romney. Huckabee got the votes of 21 percent of Republicans and 24 percent of conservatives, enough to keep Romney from winning in a number of states.”

Per NBC’s Sarah Demarest, Huckabee addressed supporters in Little Rock, AR last night.  While some may have predicted that Huckabee may soon be bowing out of the GOP race, he made an attempt to assure voters that he is in it until someone reaches the magic delegate number of 1,191. "As long as there's still votes and delegates to be won until that magic number of 1,191 there's going to be one guy answering the bell every time there's a new round." He added, "Over the past few days a lot of people have been trying to say that this is a two man race well you know what it is and we're in it."

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Thanks to First read we all can express our free and independent thoughts. Thanks first read for being here for all people with different opinions and affiliations.  
Also thanks to all who voted in Super Tuesday especially those who voted for their candidate despite all of the rhetoric written at first read and those awful on air pundits that asked you to give your vote to their candidate, because your candidate was not liberal or not conservative enough to win the nomination. Every citizen has the right to vote and express his or her desire for this country’s leadership, even if it is to vote for a Ralph Nader or some other minor candidate.
TEC- I congratulate all the voters, too, but First Read is obviously very pro-Obama, especially Chuck Todd. It's clear that MSNBC has endorsed Obama, the first-term Senator from Illinois.
TEC,
You are 100% right, and without being too corny, you express what I hope is the direction America may be taking.  It is time to let the media know that WE THE CITIZENS are in charge of hiring (electing) our employees, and they are to report what we chose.  
Hahahahahaha looks like a two man race now John McCain and Mike Huckabee ole flip flopper romney are you going to pull more of your money out Loser Boy!
Speaking of Ralph Nader, I see if he can raise $10 million he is going to try another run.....

The Jesus people are really going to be disappointed if Huckabee is the candidate and gets torn to shreds by The Clinton's.  They will go after him based on his releasing that guy so he could rape and kill again, that is the thorn in his foot.  His record with giving illegals scholarships and financial aid is not one of greatness either.

McCain has his work cut out for him.  He may have brought the fringe and the independents to vote for him, but the true conservatives will just have to decide whether to hold their noses and vote for him or not.  His record is not exactly perfect and the idea that he was going over to the democratic party in 2001-2002 should send up the red flags.

I'm still standing by Mitt Romney, but if I have to, unless there is a third party candidate good enough to beat both The Clinton's and my guys, I'll just have to hold my noes, vote for my guys, and hope for the best.

I'd have to be seriously on LSD to vote for The Clinton's.....
Are you kidding me TEC?  You couldn't possibly know this but First Read won't post 90% on my comments because I dare to mention the name of "the one who shall not be named".  Just that, no inappropriate language whatsoever.  No attacking other posters, nothing.  Just his name.  So much for the ability to "express our free and independent thoughts".  
I understand that Huckabee's night was suprisingly good for him (especially after that dispicable play in WV), and that it was a little disappointing for Romney.  However it's ridiculous for the media (or Huckabee) to suggest that Romney should drop out- He's STILL beating Huckabee.  Depending on which source you consult, he's got anywhere from 60 to 100 more delegates than Huck.  He's now won 11 states to Huckabee's 5, and he did it ALL BY HIMSELF- without colluding with any other candidates. He also came in 2nd in the majority of states that he did not win (Huckabee only came in 2nd in 3). With the exception of California, where he came in 2nd, he's dominating the majority of the west.  He even won among self-identified "republicans" in Arizona. Huckabee has the south- big surprise. Most of us recognize at this point that McCain will likely win, but it's arrogant and self-righteous for Huckabee's camp to say that Romney should drop out, when Romney is, by all counts, still beating him handily.
With Romney done, I'm switching to Obama '08 to set up for Romney 2012
moderate Republicans like me up here in the frozen Northwest couldn't be happier with the outcome, tho it will make social conservatives all hot and bothered. With a strong military presence thanks to our conservative Democrat senators Magnuson and Jackson, McCain will do well here. If the 2008 primary season ends the politics of caricature and smear, America is better off.
I wouldn't say that Romney is "beating him handily," Kira.  Romney has outspent Huckabee about 20 to 1, and Romney still lost big-time to Huckabee in every state that they actually contested.  In fact, it looked more like Romney was stealing votes from Huckabee than the other way around.  I'm not a Huckabee fan by any stretch, but at least he's competitive on his own merits.  Romney's money is the only thing keeping him around, and he should get out while he still has some left to run in 2016.
Here is a state by state breakdown of actual votes (taken from MSNBC website at 11:30 am EST). Not all precincts are 100% reported, but it gives you an idea what is going on with the total vote. See numbers below: Fact, McCain (roughly 4.8 million) has twice as many votes as Huckabee (roughly 2.4 million), and Romney (roughly 4.1 million) nearly twice as many votes as Huckabee. When looking at a rough meta-analysis (Avg percent of all state voting percentages) by each state, Romney leads with 37%, McCain with 30%, Huckabee with 20%, and Paul with 7% (others - 6%). However, where it counts most (delegates), McCain is winning.

State        Huckabee   McCain   Paul     Romney
Iowa          40,841    15,559   11,817   29,949
New Hampshire     26,768    88,466   18,303   75,343
Wyoming               0         0        0        8
Michigan 139,699   257,521   54,434  337,847
Nevada           3,616    5,651     6,087   22,649
South Carolina 132,440   147,283   16,054   67,132
Florida         259,735   693,508   62,063  598,188
Alabama         225,659   206,595   15,052   99,836
Alaska           2,548     1,804    1,955    5,126
Arizona          40,497   213,461   19,160  154,071
Arkansas 120,776    40,784    9,762   26,878
California 258,683    947,509  95,869  760,029
Colorado   7,266     10,621   4,670   33,288
Connecticut  10,588     78,705   6,084   49,809
Delaware   7,706     22,626   2,131   16,344
Georgia         325,602    302,895  27,893  289,118
Illinois 146,349    418,005  44,521  253,451
Maine             268 958 851    2,362
Massachussetts  20,260    203,576  13,080  253,411
Minnesota  12,191     13,228   9,437   25,253
Missouri 185,627    194,304  26,445  172,564
Montana             245 358 400 625
New Jersey  45,625    309,622  26,861  158,533
New York  65,521    310,084  38,838  168,474
North Dakota   1,947      2,224   2,082    3,490
Oklahoma 111,996    123,094  11,166   83,119
Tennessee 188,034    173,389  30,594  133,898
Utah           4,054     15,264   8,295  255,218
West Virginia     567 12  0 521
Total Votes:   2,385,108  4,797,106 563,904 4,076,534
Avg Votes/State:  82,245    165,417  19,445   140,570
Sorry about the state by state uneven format. I did take the time to line everything up, but when it was posted this is what came out. The bottom two lines of total votes and Avg Votes per state are the most important. I just wanted everyone to see the actual data so as not to be accused to fabricating numbers. They are there for all to see and analyze.

PS - As far as total votes go, Huckabee IS NOT in the race, though he and his supports assert so. The numbers do not lie - fact is fact. Huckabee at this point is simply playing "spoiler" and perhaps gaining leverage for later favors.
It makes my head spin that most people out there (voters) right now choose to look at Romney being the only one with money. McCain has tons of it-his wife Cindi inherited quite a bit, so he didn't have to work for any of it. On the "flip" side, Romney worked for all of his. Which tells me he might know something about rubbing two nickels together...It seems most folk out there would rather shoot themselves in the foot rather than vote for Romney, whom I believe can actually fix things in our nation. At some point, "The Fed" is going to run out of percentage points to knock off- then what?
Kelly, Plain City, Ohio, Romney is worth between 300 to 400 million dollars. No other candidate Republican or Democrat comes close to that net worth. Romney also had the benifit of his fathers fortune. Wish I was born with a bronze spoon in my mouth. You are right he did work for his Money, but he did not take the risk. His employer Bain capital took the risk and Romney shared in the rewards. Brother do you have a spare million I could borrow? If so I am sure I can make both of us rich. Nothing wrong with making money, but when the good lord gives you an over abundance what should you do with the extra? I know run for POTUS.


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