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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC Political Researcher



Chesapeake Tuesday

Posted: Tuesday, February 12, 2008 9:08 AM by Mark Murray

DEMOCRATS.
DC: 15 total delegates -- 10 proportional by municipal district (2 districts - MD-1 includes wards 1-4; MD-2 includes wards 5-8); 5 proportional by statewide vote
Maryland: 70 total delegates -- 46 proportional by CD (8 CDs), 15% threshold; 24 proportional by statewide vote)
Virginia: 83 total delegates -- 54 proportional by congressional district (11 CDs), 15% threshold; 29 proportional by statewide vote)

REPUBLICANS.
DC: 16 total delegates -- winner take all
Maryland: (37 total delegates -- mostly winner-take-all by CD; 10 winner-take-all by statewide vote.
Virginia: 60 total delegates -- winner take all

The Washington Post looks at the final day of campaigning. “As the closing arguments were made to voters in Virginia, Maryland and the District, election officials were predicting a heavy turnout for the first-ever ‘Potomac Primary,’ and a great deal was at stake for the two Democratic candidates. Obama was angling to sweep the three jurisdictions. For Clinton, a stronger-than-expected showing could blunt Obama's momentum in what has turned into a protracted competition for convention delegates.”

The Boston Globe: “Obama describes his candidacy as attracting people of all races and backgrounds, but his recent string of successes has been powered by growing support among two groups -- blacks and upper-income liberals, especially men. Those constituencies, building on his early backing from groups such as young voters and people in rural communities, have put Obama in a good position to overtake Hillary Clinton today in total delegates, according to analysts. Virginia, Maryland, and the District of Columbia, voting today in the so-called Potomac Primary, fit the profile of states Obama has been winning.”

The AP looks at today’s GOP races. “McCain hoped to rebound with three wins Tuesday en route to his likely nomination after embarrassing losses to Mike Huckabee in weekend contests showed he still had much to do to convince the party's core conservative blocs that he is one of them. The Arizona senator lost contests in Kansas and Louisiana during the weekend, but managed a narrow win in Washington state caucuses that Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor, is now challenging.”

Does Obama become the official front-runner tonight? So says Time: "On the heels of larger-than-expected victories in three states this weekend, Barack Obama is heading into Tuesday's primaries in Virginia, Maryland and the District of Columbia with momentum, money and a small but growing lead in the delegate count. As much as he prefers to play the underdog role, three decisive wins on Tuesday could make him, at least for now, the undisputed Democratic frontrunner."

In what might be a projection of the hard-fought battle ahead for the Democratic nomination, Bill Clinton told supporters of his wife's campaign last night that they will have to keep working "all the way through to the convention," NBC/NJ’s Carrie Dann notes.
 
"If you're for her, you have to realize that this battle is not over tomorrow," he told a crowd of about a thousand in Roanoke, VA, on the eve of the Potomac Primary. "We have to keep working, and working and working. Working all the way through to the convention, and then all the way through to November."

Chalk up another superdelegate for Obama… The campaign announced last night that DC Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton was endorsing Obama.

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Comments

I hope Barack wins this Novemeber. Becasue if you have hope, you have everything. Remember, the opposite of hope is hopelessness.
hope without substance is well, just that, hope. He
This election is about integrity.

http://blip.tv/file/647623
Best of luck to Senator Obama today.  Seems he'll garner a goodly portion of the vote.  Is that the rotund songstress warming backstage?
I find it comical that people keep asking what will Senator Obama change when he has already changed everything.

YES WE CAN!

Obama '08
I too hear the rotund songstress warming up.  I think on Wednesday Mar 5, after the implied firewalls have been broken, our songstress will take center stage.
Good post Kat.  Doesn't it seem that he is more of a "speaker of words" than a "speaker of substance"?  He is offering change without detailing the changes, at least not lately.  There is no way he can go into DC and "change" the way things are done.  The ways of DC are too ingrained in the representatives who make it their lifes work to stiffle change.   Plus we have already had 8 years of a president that does not want to be hands on, look where that has taken us.  
Obama wins with Blacks and if the state cannt deliver that way it is a caucus.People can get out of work to go vote in and out not for 3 or 4 hrs. but his people can.November wont be run on the same field so he will not make it than when it counts. We need someone that can get us back in the White House.
Ah... the sweet smell of change. :)  And to all the cynics who claim Barack has "no substance" or who are still deaf and ask "change what"...

Hope! Restoring the middle class, bringing jobs back home, creating jobs by investing in energy technology, (releasing dependence on foreign oil and "hopefully" finding less pollutive fuel) revitalizing the economy from the middle, not the top, thus increasing the value of the American dollar; providing affordable and easily available healthcare; transparent government (keepin 'em honest); education for real life (jobs) rather than a standardized test, better teacher pay; show the world America is back! And most importantly... bringing our troops home!  These are just some of the reasons I support Barack and the ideals he's inspired.
"Stronger than expected showing"?  Sounds like Clinton spin to me, if she loses by any more than 5%, she's the big loser of the night.  A lose is a lose is a lose.  Obama has won more states, and Obama has won more delegates.  If she can't stick a win in her column, it's a big loss.
Obama says all the right things: hope, change, all for one and one for all.  I haven't heard yet how he will accomplish all this change.  So is it that he hopes to make changes?  What exactly are his platforms?
I think Obama has done a great job. He has stired up excitement and brought new voters and that is great. But for the party could be a double edge sword.He brought also race issues and did it conivingly. He has not been honest about the muslim issue,I believe.Couple of his supporters said he was a kid when a muslim doesnt matter. I agree and had he said it would have not been an issue. Getting the election any way he can is one to give person pause. Hillerys baggage is old. Obama in the light now could have drastic effects cause things can be made to look as they arent. Obama did this with Clinton to neutralize him but now he is in that position.I worry his race coalition may have really harmed the party. I hope its not to late.He is like Choclate Cake. comfort food till the fat comes to roost LOLJust think people ok.Hope is good ,energy is good,dreams are good too and he is a likable person but our country is in a bad state. I hope if he doesnt make it now he will try again, Thats a good thing 16 yrs in White House yessssssssssss.
Many Americans Hope Obama wins today and goes on to further wins to be the Democratic Nominee and eventually the President. America need - Change, a Friendly but Strong and Positive Foreign Policy Agenda,An Upsurge in our National Manufacturing and Regaining our Leadership in World Trade and most important, an Overhaul of our National Economy that is favourable to the Poor, the Middle Class, Small  and New Business and Incentives for our Large Corporations to compete on an even playing  field of World Trade.He can and will do it, if he is our President. He is not constrained by the Old Thoughts and  the Old conventions which has cused us to be funding an expensive,sacrifical and unnecessary  war, which is maily responsible for the  steep decline in our International Trade and placed our Economy in crisis.He is for Change and that is what America need URGENTLY.The other candidates are steeped in the old ways and have been unable to grasp the fact that the World has changed( New China, New India,Islamic Fundamentalism and Hatred- Why?, A World Anti Terorist Alliance With What Countries?, New Russia, etc). They are living in the past and are unable and outdated to address the Imperatives of the Most Powerful Political Office  in the World and to restore the greatness of the Most Powerful Country in the World.Obama seem to be the  person who understand this new world.
Cecil
I want to know where he is going? I am a Hillery supporter, Kind of past middle age.OK Retired .Oh OK OLD!! but I remember back when we had racial problems and thought we were working our way through them. I feel now it is going back to those rotten days and worse. I was in the store while back and a black man pushed me. I said what was that for he told me to get used to it .He said it is our turn now yes we can. Is this the secreat code words Obama was talking about accuseing Clinton so people would be mad at him and not listen to him?I have heard him use code words before(Obama) But this is scary. He left the store looking at me and laughing. Is this all worth it. Hillery has ability,character ,knowdledge and capability. I thought Obama would be good for us in the future but now i wonder.I hope we dont really goof this up beyond repair.
Are you people kidding me with Barack Obama!  He doesn't have the necessary qualifications to be president! Can he not even come up with an original campain slogan.  "Hope" has already been used on a previous campaign...remember Jesse.  Get a clue.
The Democrats and Republicans have been taking turns bleeding this country dry to enrich themselves and their special friends.

When Ike left office back in the ’50s, the budget was balanced.

In his Farewell Address to the Nation he warned, “Beware of the Military Industrial Complex (aka Special Interests).

Gawd, was he right.

The press is now filled with Russian bombers buzzing Navy ships, Iran launches a fire cracker rocket, show trials of waterboarded “terrorists." You got to know it’s election time and time to sell America more fear, war and debt.

Washington has been doing this same thing so effectively year after year.

You gotta tip your hat to the Devil. They’ve gotten paid and stayed in office for the last sixty years…that’s quite a success story.

The biggest threat to our Nation has been and remains to be our own Government.

Obama '08
Are you people kidding me with Barack Obama!  He doesn't have the necessary qualifications to be president! Can he not even come up with an original campain slogan.  "Hope" has already been used on a previous campaign...remember Jesse.  Get a clue.
If nothing else, this whole campaign and year is about underdogs...i.e. the NY Giants, Barack Obama and the little guy fighting to feed his children on $9.36 an hour in some parts of the country.  No matter what happens with Barack and this election, I feel it was and is a great time to be a poltical junkie.  By the way, I am for Underdogs of every race and creed.
This is not American Idol where vocals matter, substance... not so.
wow now Obamas writers on here sounds desperate going into big states with real election type primarys. Good to see. and Blake sounds like a page from Hillerys speech. Obama grew up in Hawaii not an average know how you feel childhood. His supporters are young,mom and dad sending me to college,and the rich,sure i can take few hrs off the golf course for a causus,and blacks. He grew up white and  has no idea how normal poor and even middle class people have survived so give me a break.Hillerys people are not as rich or educated but can see the real thing .This country is in crisis,We need the real thing.Obama ,maybe,next. Lets see what he does if he loses.
x32792  what exactly will Obama do about this? Will he fire the whole congress and do it all himself cause he is so knowing and right? Other people have given there countries this yes we can message and when in power say (Oops I might yes I can) Clintons change is to fix Bush's mess. She knows how.She has been working on it and not by being absent or here votes.Powell gave us info he believed to be right and whole country believed and the whole world. Obamas only thing is that vote, back when, Hillery made in 04 he said really he didnt know how he would have voted on it. Get a grip and lets look ahead ok.He could do great still i believe if he put party first but i dont see that happening.Hillery will prevail and she will win in Nov. Its the party i worry about and he calls Hillery devisive. Think and if any havent voted yet please do but with your mind ok.
ep-ny,
you are disgusting.  i doubt MSNBC will post my response to you but they should have never posted your subtle racist rant in the first place.  please move somewhere where you don't have to deal with any of the "ugliness" and in the meantime, stop spreading lies.  it's a shame that you've spent a lifetime on this planet and haven't learned a thing.  similar to your candidate:  tons of "experience" and no judgment.
Yes Donna (or should we call you Bill Clinton),
We do remember Jesse.  Barack is no Jesse.  Perhaps you and ep-ny can get together, put on your white capes, and talk about how good life was in the good 'ol days.

The rest of us are moving on.
Obama will sweep all three today... he continues his roll HOWEVER Obama supporters really need to focus on OH, TX, and PA - things will get dicey in those states. Hillary just may pull off those three and get the nomination.
Donna, it is clear you don't have a clue.  Obama has captured people from all walks of life.  He is the only one that can unite the Demoractic party. JKF and Bill Clinton didn't have a lot of experience dealing with Foreign Issues, but they made it.  The American people are looking for "Real Change", and Obama is the only candidate that will implement these changes.  Also, he has the right tone when dealing with foreign leaders.  They will laught at Hillary, because she cannot be trusted.  Hillary is a liar, she takes money from lobbist, and it's all about her.  She thinks she has a chance against McCain, (HA HA) he is going to pull all the negative things on her out on the floor.  Then she would not have a chance in November.  Obama will win the nominee then you and Hillary will be crying.

Obama 2008
Some of you have been asking "What has Obama done?" but the truth is you need to be asking what hasn’t he done? The very question proves to the ones in the know that you haven’t done your homework & are clueless so ill make It simple for you by giving you the facts and then showing you all where to go to check them out.
Simply put The answer is: Obama has been doing His Job Introducing bills, voting wisely & endorsing what works or makes sense which is all he needs to do because at the end of the day that’s all that politicians do. They vote to pass bills and occasionally introduce them. Obama has spent over 11 years doing this (8 in the Illinois Senate & 3 in the US Senate).  In contrast Hillary has spent only 1 term (6 yrs) in the US Senate. The 8 as the first lady which she keeps trying to shove in her resume honestly do not count since the role of first lady is to run around greeting people, naming things, acknowledging accomplishments and occasionally starting a program or two such as her failed healthcare reform. Although meaningful to some these are not critical tasks since god forbid a president ever be single (sarcasm).  
Getting back on the topic “So what exactly has Obama done?” to answer that question lets first look at what Hillary has done in the her past 6 years in office in which she’s passed into law 20 pieces of legislation.

Here they are
1. Establish the Kate Mullany National Historic Site.
2. Support the goals and ideals of Better Hearing and Speech Month.
3. Recognize the Ellis Island Medal of Hon
4. Name courthouse after Thurgood Marshall.
5. Name courthouse after James L. Watson.
6. Name post office after Jonn A. O’Shea.
7. Designate Aug. 7, 2003, as National Purple Heart Recognition Day.
8. Support the goals and ideals of National Purple Heart Recognition Day.
9. Honor the life and legacy of Alexander Hamilton on the bicentennial of his death.
10. Congratulate the Syracuse Univ. Orange Men’s Lacrosse Team on winning the championship.
11. Congratulate the Le Moyne College Dolphins Men’s Lacrosse Team on winning the championship.
12. Establish the 225th Anniversary of the American Revolution Commemorative Program.
13. Name post office after Sergeant Riayan A. Tejeda.
14. Honor Shirley Chisholm for her service to the nation and express condolences on her death.
15. Honor John J. Downing, Brian Fahey, and Harry Ford, firefighters who lost their lives on duty.

Only five of Clinton’s bills are more substantive:

16. Extend period of unemployment assistance to victims of 9/11.
17. Pay for city projects in response to 9/11
18. Assist landmine victims in other countries.
19. Assist family caregivers in accessing affordable respite care.
20. Designate part of the National Forest System in Puerto Rico as protected in the wilderness preservation system.

Is it just me or does it Seem like she’s gotten too comfortable with her roll as first lady?

Now, I would post those of Obama’s, but the list is too substantive, so I’ll mainly categorize.

During the first eight years on the Illinois senate he sponsored over 820 bills. He introduced:

233 regarding healthcare reform,
125 on poverty and public assistance,
112 crime fighting bills,
97 economic bills,
60 human rights and anti-discrimination bills,
21 ethics reform bills,
15 gun control,
6 veteran’s affairs and many others.
& during His first year in the U.S. Senate, he authored 152 bills and co-sponsored another 427. These inculded:

**the Coburn-Obama Government Transparency Act of 2006 (became law),
**The Lugar-Obama Nuclear Non-proliferation and Conventional Weapons Threat Reduction Act, (became law),
**The Comprehensive Immigration Reform Act, passed the Senate,
**The 2007 Government Ethics Bill, (became law),
**The Protection Against Excessive Executive Compensation Bill, (In committee), and many more

Going off the facts Hillary is playing house while Obama is not playing at all. He’s the real deal. But then you would have to be if you were a black man taking a serious run at the white house.

Don’t believe me? Look it up for yourself. These bills and the records of all the candidates can be found on the website of the Library of Congress www.thomas.loc.gov The truth is there.


Go Obama.
The only one who deserves the job.
Please edit my post to read,

"...When Ike left office back in the ’50s, the budget was balanced and we were at Peace with the World..."
Obama has proved to be a good speaker, without substance. Look into his record as a "Christian." His church supports murder of the unborn, same sex marriage, and gave cult leader and racist activist Farrakhan a lifetime achievement award. If you can support these perversions of humanity, you can support him! If you want someone who stands against all of these issues, vote for Mike Huckabee!!!!!!!
www.mikehuckabee.com
Donna, What are your qualifications for president? If you can't handle hope I suggest a good therapist. Without hope there is nothing that can be changed no matter who you support. I just voted in the first primary of my 54 years. YES WE CAN! OBAMA '08
VOTE HILLARY!!

Come on America.. Don't make another 8 year mistake.. Don't buy in to the media and other public figures for your future.. BE SMART!!! Do your own research..

VOTE HILLARY!!!
I am a Obama supporter. It is crazy to me how Hillary claims experience, but experience at what? Being a former president's wife? As a middle-class american, I notice experienced individuals in the workplace and it is apparent just how little they know. I believe change (new direction and people) is needed and Obama will be the "outsider looking in" able to unite a nation (which he is currently achieving), a world who has suffered greatly from our past administrations, especially our current one. As a woman, I would love a first woman president, but not one who cries when under pressure and who has a husband trying to play the race card to gain more support. It is not about blacks, whites, hispanics or other nationalities as whos worth or vote is more relevant. It is about a new America where all people can be equal, not divided. We need a strong candidate able and capable and Obama is the one to take us to the White House.

Hope is not new, but at least we have a chance to convert hopes and dreams into reality. It is obvious how the hopeless vote...

OBAMA FOR PRESIDENT
I agree with Jessica from Indianapolis.  Obama is the only one that can and will unite the Democratic Party.  Obama definitely has what it takes to be the next leader.  He has character, honesty, intelligence, and judgement that will make a difference on "Day One".  Unlike, Hillary she can't admit that she was wrong to send our troops/country to war in Iraq.  Also, John McCain will eat Hillary alive.  She has more negative than positive.  Obama knows this, and that is why he talked about it a couple of days ago.  He will start getting more Latino votes.  I am Mexician, and I was for Hillary, until I saw that she plays dirty. If you are wondering yes, I am a legal immigrant. Obama is definitely for everybody, know matter what your race or gender is, and he will get my vote, and my families votes.  Me and my family will be campaign for him in Texas.  By the way, I am 49 years old.

Obama 2008 - 2016
I am an Obama supporter. It is crazy to me how Hillary claims experience, but experience at what? Being a former president's wife? As a middle-class American, I notice experienced individuals in the workplace and it is apparent just how little they know. I believe change (new direction and people) is needed and Obama will be the "outsider looking in" able to unite a nation (which he is currently achieving), a world who has suffered greatly from our past administrations, especially our current one. As a woman, I would love a first woman president, but not one who cries when under pressure and who has a husband trying to play the race card to gain more support. It is not about blacks, whites, Hispanics or other nationalities as whose worth or vote is more relevant. It is about a new America where all people can be equal, not divided. We need a strong candidate able and capable and Obama is the one to take us to the White House.

Hope is not new, but at least we have a chance to convert hopes and dreams into reality. It is obvious how the hopeless vote...

OBAMA FOR PRESIDENT
America you are showing your true colors and stupidity.. See through the pep rally and really understand the heart of the issues..

VOTE HILLARY!!!!
Obama will sweep all three today... he continues his roll HOWEVER Obama supporters really need to focus on OH, TX, and PA - things will get dicey in those states. Hillary just may pull off those three and get the nomination.
M. Boley (Sent Tuesday, February 12, 2008 10:37 AM)

I hope you are right M. I think Virginia might be a squeaker...just a hunch as the Clinton's do not go softly into that good night - if you know what I mean...

Remember the Clinton's are low on Money - they cannot run ads and take as many trips as they might like now.They are using Chelsea to call super delegates. They are calling wealthy supporters to re assure them everything is ok. No matter how you look at it - they are a campaign in crisis. I think TX, OH and PA may look better than you think as even if you are a fan - most people can spot a campaign in trouble and people want to vote for a winner.
We cant be more screwed up than we are now...Once again the parties put themselves first and the voters second....It hasnt mattered which party has controll it the same old just new faces.....When is washington going to rember that we put you there to represent the people, not your party, not your lobbysist, not your walletts,not your pork barrell spending,not your corruption, not your lies and lack of concern for ous except for election time...This is the time for change, its not only for our country but change in washington to....Independents now have a chance to unite or start a third party having a stronger voice for the people and not the parties...yes when you vote , vote change clean up washington.....to me it only matter who going to do the job, and i dont think long time politicians are the one...........Change
The greatest example of the nature of this electoral process is perhaps these threads...pushy clintonite bullies trying to bash down the hopepful Obamites...plus the random bush kids kindling the fire...very few threads have any substantial, unbiased, intelligent debates...we make ourselves look petty, people.
That is a nice post Nashville_fan:
"I find it comical that people keep asking what will Senator Obama change when he has already changed everything."

to Barack Obama - I hope your integrity and politics 2.0 carries you all the way in November
I went to vote at 9am this morning in my small VERY VERY RED part of Virginia.  I was the 118th Democratic Primary voter so far in our little precinct.  I didn't even know we had that many Democrats here.  My 4 year old son told everyone in line that we were there to vote for "Bach Bama" and everyone around us smiled and a few told him they were too.  It was amazing!  

Barrack Obama for President.
Hillary Clinton for Leader of the Senate.
Obama's Hopefund PAC contributed $300,000 to key Democrat leaders in 2007, Hillary's HillPAC contributed $0.

Mark Warner of VA got $10,000 from Obama's Hopefund!
Obama will not unite but divide the democratic party. I, for one and my friends will not vote if Obama is the nominee.
My standards and principles are too high to vote for somebody just out of party loyalty. I am not a sheep. I use my God given brains. I would never come to terms with myself to not vote for Obama now but do so later just because I am a democrat. No way!

A black woman in NYC!
A nice post from S. Ruff....until the very last line. Please, if we could just get the Clintons to go home to Arkansas, or wherever would remove them from any further influence in American politics...the nation would be a better place.


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