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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC Political Researcher



Clinton camp: All the way to convention

Posted: Saturday, February 16, 2008 1:30 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC/NJ’s Athena Jones and NBC's Domenico Montanaro
The Clinton campaign held a conference call, led by Harold Ickes, a top aide, to discuss the superdelegates issue and expectations for the upcoming contests. 

Ickes, a DNC member and superdelegate himself, said the campaign expects Clinton to "hold her own" in Wisconsin, to win Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island and Pennsylvania and to have come close to closing the delegate gap with Obama by March 5th. He said by the end of the process on June 7th, when Puerto Rico votes, she would be "neck and neck" with Obama and would wrap up the nomination soon after. Ickes said the nomination would be settled "before we get to the floor" of the convention but that the campaign would take this fight all the way to Denver.

Ickes argued the "superdelegates" should be called "automatic delegates" instead, because the former makes it sound like they have “superpowers.” The DNC itself refers to them as “superdelegates” and as “unpledged” delegates.

"Automatic delegates don't have superpowers. Their vote isn't given any extra weight," Ickes said, explaining it was still a one-person, one-vote scenario, though they already get the opportunity to vote in primaries and caucuses like regular voters.

The effort to change the terms journalists use to refer to the superdelegates was particularly interesting as a political ploy. The word "automatic" has implications that would seem to fit well with the arguments the Clinton camp has been making, namely that superdelegates should exercise their independent judgment.

On Florida and Michigan, the campaign again said voters in those states should not be “disenfranchised” and that the states were important to the Democratic Party's fortunes. Ickes also said Clinton didn't vote on the DNC rules.

But Ickes did. And he voted in August to strip Florida and Michigan of their delegates as a sitting member of the Rules and Bylaws Commission.

“There’s been no change,” Ickes said, adding that he was then acting as a member of the Rules and Bylaws Committee “not acting as an agent of Sen. Clinton. We had promulgated rules -- if Florida and Michigan violated those rules” they’d be stripped of their delegates. “We stripped them of all their delegates in order to prevent campaigns to campaign in those states.”

In fact, however, that was not why Florida and Michigan were stripped of their delegates. They were stripped of their delegates because they violated party rules by moving up their contest dates before Feb. 5. A pledge to not campaign in those states did not come about until one was put forward by the four early states allowed to go before Feb. 5 by the DNC -- Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina. Clinton was the last to sign this pledge.

“Those were the rules, and we thought we had an obligation to enforce them,” Ickes acknowledged today on the call even while trying to convince members of the media that Florida’s and Michigan’s delegations should not only be seated at the convention, but should also have full voting rights and that delegates should be allocated based on voting that took place in those states -- even though in Michigan, Obama’s name did not even appear on the ballot and uncommitted got 41% of the vote to Clinton’s 55%.

Despite polls showing Obama doing better against McCain than Clinton in a general election, the campaign argued that Clinton would actually do better and that “polls change.” Ickes and spokesman Phil Singer argued that while Obama has carried red states, those would be states that would never go for Democrats in November. Clinton carried swing states like Nevada and Tennessee, they said. There was no mention of Virginia, which Obama won handily.

They also argued that Clinton’s base voters -- women and blue-collar Democrats -- are more reliable. Obama has “voters who might not be as reliably there,” Singer said. While that could be argued for the record numbers of young voters who have come out to vote for Obama, Singer made no mention of African Americans, one of the pillars of the Democratic Party.

Ickes repeated earlier contentions that there was no reason to "re do" the votes in Florida and Michigan and didn’t directly answer if they would participate in a re-vote in Michigan. Ickes also acknowledged that it would be possible for Clinton to lose pledged delegates but control a majority of the credentials committee, which ultimately decides if and how Florida’s and Michigan’s disputed delegations would be dealt with.

EDITOR'S NOTE: An earlier version of this post incorrectly identified spokesman Phil Singer as Clinton Communications Director Howard Wolfson.

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Comments

I smell a rat named the Clinton machine.
If you didn't know anything else about Clinton, this should show you why we don't want her as the nominee. The Clinton Campaign is basically planning on winning by means of the superdelegates and backroom deals, which fits perfectly with a candidate who has been nothing but deceptive and secretive. We've had too many years of this kind of politics.
Um, yeah.

BUSTED! lol

Obama '08
This is what's wrong with the crooks. If she is not the one, she doesn't care what happens to the Dem. Party. I don't get it - why the party members put up with this kind of wicked behavior??
I rarely post, but I just can't get over how stupid and unethical the Clinton camp appears when insisting on seating delegates from unfair elections, or having superdelegates override the will of the electorate. If these morons win the nomination this way, I'm leaving the Democratic party and becoming an Independent. They do not deserve our support.
Just goes to show you that Clinton cares about Clinton winning above all else.  Remember that when she tries to pull a another fast one on Obama.  So far, it's not working.   See we are not stupid, Americans rock.  

YES WE CAN!!!  OBAMA 08.  
the same old politics, Clintons!

Well, time for CHANGE has come.  Obama 2008
Automatic delegates? That doesn't even make sense. Come on, Mark Penn. You can do better than this.

Obama 08!
"Florida & Michigan - OVER MY DEAD BODY"

Voters in those states were disenfranchised before the election. Not now and not later. Anyone who voted in those states voted with the knowledge they were casting a null vote. And anyone who chose not to vote did so with the knowledge that they were not shirking their responsibility. (Since Obama draws from the educated crowd, you can draw the reasonable conclusion that his voters were more disenfranchised, because a greater percentage of them realized there was no reason to cast a vote!)

That is NOT an election. In America, an election is when you go to the polls with the idea that your vote will count.
You want to seat Florida & Michigan: hold an election.

Until then:
"Seat Florida & Michigan over our dead bodies"
GOD.  What a betrayal!  It one be one thing to fight dirty and low down like this is a true principle were at stake.  But Obama and Clinton agree on 99% of things.  So, she is doing this for pure power.  For that alone she should be rejected. And I believe the nation will reject her for this.
If the Clinton campaign is so adamant about the contention that "Red States" don't really count, then they should have lobbied the DNC to cancel the primaries and caucuses in those states before they took place. This is revisionism. It's making up excuses. It is not presidential. Simply put, they should put a lid on it and stop whining and figure out a way to win some votes maybe.
Tough posturing will mean nothing if she loses either Texas or Ohio.  Those leads are evaporating by the day.

All this is is a way to keep her fundraising from drying up. If her supporters think she is losing, it will dry up in a second.  She is spending a lot on attack ads, but after that doesn't work in Wisconsin, perhaps she will knock it off.

Desperate candidates call for desperate measures.
Ickes is well named.
This is truly sad.  Should Senator Clinton win the Democratic nomination using these non-democratic tactics, how then does she win the Presidency?  And considering the damaged nature of the Republican party, should she pull off a win for the Presidency, how does she govern?  Senator Clinton would find herself even more polarizing than she was before all of this.

Harold Ickes should allow the voters to make up their minds.  If Mr. Ickes is conceding that Senator Clinton cannot win based on the actual voters, the question isn't how she can take the election away via some oligarchic process; the question is why she doesn't embrace Senator Obama and begin planning how she can help his campaign and Presidency.  If Mr. Ickes is not conceding this point, he should not be trying to spin rule-breaking as palatable.

We can change this Country and reject these sort of backroom deals.  It is up to us.  
Obama and his FOLKS are as toxic to politics as a FEMA trailer!
I think we have to  think not only now but the long term vote. Obama himself says he has to see the people and talk to them so they will vote for him. He is right .Ater his speeches people cannt say what it was he said but they feel energized. It isnt the message of substance and right now it isnt on there minds. He cannt get to all these people in fall. These young students will be out of school some of them looking for work, food, rent and bills that are different they have confronted before. They wont be as energized as when in a group.We cannt tell what will happen in the fall.Our young people are smarter than a lot give them credit for it wont take them long to see the need for someone to be able to handle the problems we will face.Vote Hillary now,dont let it be to late ,later.Delegates are waiting,Hillary isnt out by a long way.
I can't support Clinton if she manages to win the nomination.  It's hard to express how much comments like this sicken me about politics in general.  If they successfully take the nomination from Obama, I'm hoping McCain get the wheels back on the straight talk express and I'll officially move from life-long democrat to the ranks of the independents.
Maybe Obama the great orator should sit down to a debate and talk a the talk he talks!  Hot air in Wisconsin is need to save energy this winter, Obama fits the bill!
If only Hillary thinks the decision about who is more able to better lead the nation or who is less vulnerable to Republica attacks in the fall is hers and her superdeegates. It will only create ever greater division in the Democratic Party when you have to run a campaign with desperate tactics, which is not what I am seeing in Obama.  A divided Demcoratic Party will be less efficient in confronting political foes and may be unable to hold onto power in Congress long, making Hillary's work as a president inefficient in the face of Republican "no" votes. She simply does not have the ability to unite the nation if she is called a polarizing politician.
I only see the Obama supporters crying and whining and yelling "Foul" because Mrs. Clinton won both Florida and Michigan. If Mr. Obama were slightly behind and he won both Florida and Michigan, you can bet your sweet petunias that they would be screaming racism and all the votes must be counted . How convenient.
Do you folks realize once she wins Ohio, Pa & Texas, Mr. OBama has not carried one major Democratic state besides his home state.
The DNC conventional wisdom will take note of that and elect Mrs. Clinton as the nominee on that basis.
They should also offer Mr. OBama the Vice-President position and they will be unbeatable in November. Put aside you hatred and use common sense, and do what's right for the Democratic party.
I can't support Clinton if she manages to win the nomination.  It's hard to express how much comments like this sicken me about politics in general.  If they successfully take the nomination from Obama, I'm hoping McCain get the wheels back on the straight talk express and I'll officially move from life-long democrat to the ranks of the independents.
The comments so far are pretty juvenile. Ickes premised his strategy on being even with state delegates in June. Wouldn´t Obama say the same if he were 100 delegates down now?

As far as superdelegates go, they can support whom ever they want. That was the intention since their inception 27 years ago. There is nothing automatic about their vote and they are not bound to follow the vote.


Did he say "automatic delegates" or "automaton delegates"?

Go Obama

I did not have superdelegates with my campaign... they are automatic delegates. Yup, the Clinton camp automatically redifines things like sex and superdelegates when they see fit. This is not the rule of law I want to see guiding the White House for four years.
The fix is in..I can only imagine what this means that "the Hillary" would do as President.."Those aren't rules mister speaker, just guidelines that we know don't apply to us Clinton's!"
This spin and attacks on Hillary are only to discourage votes for her. It doesnt matter what is true or not. You will take anything anyone says and twist it to your own likeing. I dont think it will work. These people know Hillary and like her. They are not fickel and fly by night people.They also are working people the ones you have been makeing fun of all along. Now Obama is interested in them. They can see through that. Same as the minorities can. I think your maybe the one will be rejected.
Has anyone notcied you never see a person who has been a friend of Obama's or some he has helped in the past like you have with hillary. The republicans want him because of 4 names, Rezko, Giannous, Pastor Wright, and William Ayers. Look at these men and see why Mccain would win a land slide.
This is part of a pattern of behavior.  It began with Clinton telling students in Iowa not to vote (voter intimidation) then ballot box stuffing in New Hampshire, closing cuacus sites early in Nevada, taking ballot boxes home in New Mexico and now (see below) vote fraud in New York.  

The DO anything brand of politics practiced by the Clintons needs to end.  The American people can end it.



Now comes Saturday's New York Times Metro Section report headlined: "Unofficial Tallies in City Understated Obama Vote."

According to the paper:

"Black voters are heavily represented in the 94th Election District in Harlem's 70th Assembly District. Yet according to the unofficial results from the New York Democratic primary last week, not a single vote in the district was cast for Senator Barack Obama.

That anomaly was not unique. In fact, a review by The New York Times of the unofficial results reported on primary night found about 80 election districts among the city's 6,106 where Mr. Obama supposedly did not receive even one vote, including cases where he ran a respectable race in a nearby district.

City election officials this week said that their formal review of the results, which will not be completed for weeks, had confirmed some major discrepancies between the vote totals reported publicly -- and unofficially -- on primary night and the actual tally on hundreds of voting machines across the city.:

The Times adds this relevant information: "The 94th Election District in Harlem, for instance, sits within the Congressional district represented by Charles B. Rangel, an original supporter of Mrs. Clinton."

No one is suggesting that Rangel did anything wrong, nor should they. There are many explanations for why vote counts are off, and there are many players in the process -- and Rangel is one of the more honorable of the lot.

What New Yorkers should be asking for, however, is a complete review of the results in New York City, with a heavy focus not just on the 80 election district where Obama supposedly received no votes but also on those where it appears that his vote was far below the level of support that he received in surrounding districts -- and that might reasonably be expected.

Could there be another 8,000 votes for Obama in the 15th?

That's a lot. But it is not beyond the realm of possibility that they exist.

No one, be they Clinton or Obama supporters, should question that every effort must be made to find every Obama vote in Harlem, along with "missing" Obama votes from other congressional districts in Manhattan and Brooklyn.

At issue may be a few more pledged delegates for Obama -- no small matter in a close race for the nomination -- and the broader question of how superdelegates who want to respect the sentiments of their constituents, a group that could include Rangel and several other House members from New York, cast their votes at this summer's convention.
I AM SO SICK AND TIRED OF A SORE LOOSER MS. HIL!! WAKE UP, I HOPE YOU ARE READING ALL OF THESE COMMENTS. ARE YOU NOTICING THAT THE AMERICAN PEOPLE DO NOT WANT YOU AS PRESIDENT! THAT MEANS IF YOU WIN, YOU WIN BECAUSE OF BACK DOOR POLITICS. WHY DO WE VOTE! IT MEANS NOTHING! I WILL DO EVERYTHING IN MY POWER TO GET OBAMA IN THE WHITE HOUSE!
Very good. I pity the poor uninformed Obama supporters. They whine and cry and they don't want the Michigan and Florida elegates to count. If the DNC, by some method, does not work something out to allow delegates to be seated.We can kiss the states  good bye in the general election and kiss McCain hello! Just put yourself in their place, the voters did not have a say and all they wanted to do is vote for someone. Did not Obama get about 500,000 votes.
stop whining oabam supporters.  your camp will be saying the same things when this thing is tied up at the end.  
when superdelegates are not for me then we should change the rules...
but when hillary wins MI and FL we shouldn't?
Ah cry in your beer boys and girls, if BO had this in his repertoire how happy you would be.  Do not fret oh phony ones BO will speak to the heavens above and take care of his disciples.  The wrath of God will soon descend on Hillary as ordered by the media moguls. Sexism is alive and festering here in racial free America. HA!
Obama and his FOLKS are as toxic to politics as a FEMA trailer!
again----we in MI were told to go and vote---4 names plus uncommited were on the ballot.We were told that whoever won the nomination would request that the the votes be counted and delegates seated at the convention.If you truly believe our votes should not count I ask why?Then I suppose you would also give up your right to vote?If Obama had won in FL(his name was on ballot)you would be demanding his votes be counted.Do not blame us blame Howard Dean and the heads of the party.I would vote in a primary again---not a caucus.Please donate the money.We are selecting our delegates to go to the convention on March 29th.By the way the republicans will get half their delegate votes in MI.I ama a precinct delegate and have no reason to lie.
Obama is the future.  Hillary is the past.  Lets show the Clintons that their dirty tactics no longer work in politics by supporting Barack Obama!

OBAMA FTW 2008!!!
Is he really a Muslim? He said he has been a member of the same church for 20 years and he is 46 now so where was he for 26 years before that?

'YES SHE CAN'
Is he really a Muslim? He said he has been a member of the same church for 20 years and he is 46 now so where was he for 26 years before that?

'YES SHE CAN'
Check out this article about Obama's votes being GROSSLY understated in NY.  http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/16/nyregion/16vote.html?_r=2&oref=slogin&oref=slogin Unofficial Tallies in City Understated Obama Vote
Is he really a Muslim? He said he has been a member of the same church for 20 years and he is 46 now so where was he for 26 years before that?

'YES SHE CAN'
Did any of you Dems REALLY believe your party was so much holier-than-thou when it came to what those in your party would do to win election?  What Hillary is planning will make hanging chad in Florida look like child's play.  Ickes is icky.
There is a story making its way across the internet and into UK newspapers about Larry Sinclair and Obama.
Tucker Carlson mentioned it on his show yesterday.
Just go to you tube and see the thousands of posts
and now whitehouse.com owner Dan Perisi has offered
Sinclair $100,000 if he passes a polygraph and $10,000 just for taking it. Sinclair has agreed to do this.  The agreement is posted up on whitehouse.com.  Obama supporters it is worth you time to go check this out.  It has gained huge numbers of posts on websites, radio station interviews, and some UK newspapers since Thursday.  The Obama campaign is said to be very worried about this.
check it out for yourself.
Ickes is right. Hillary won all the reliable blue states. The red states like Idaho, Utah, Alabama and Alaska is not going vote for Obama or Hillary in million years. Obama is already opening himslef for being portrayed as an old school hypocrite polititcna when he back pedals his pledge to accept campaign financing. McCain will drum beat charge to victory.
Billary would bring her own dictionary to the White House and we would learn again and again about what the definition of 'is' is ..

Nope ... I have been a Democrat all my adult life. I have not voted for the Republicans once - but if Billary would be our nominee, I will leave the Democratic Party and I would vote for McCain in November.

With a choice between Billary and Barack Obama, it would be the end of the Democratic Party to go back to Billary again.

The Obama movement would weigh so heavily on Billary that she/they would sink without a chance in the general election. No question ... do the math.
DESPERATION...One word to describe Sen. Clinton's State of Mind. She can very well be part of Desperate House Wives...ABC
So now the Clinton crooks are admitting that they want to ignore the voters and steal the nomination by controlling the credentials committee and backroom deals with the super delegates. Typical Clintonian scum.  
LET ME GET THIS RIGHT.HILLARY DOES THINK RED STATES COUNT,CAUCUS STATES DO NOT COUNT,PLEDGED DELEGATES DO NOT COUNT,POPULAR VOTE DOES NOT COUNT, BUT STATES THAT DO NOT HOLD OPEN AND FAIR ELECTIONS DO COUNT?
So, let me get this straight . . . if the Red States that Obama won are so unimportant, then why is Clinton even bothering with Texas, a consistently Red State?  

I just love it when people say whatever's necessary to fit their own agenda . . .
I say the DNC should set a date for a do-over sooner than later. Why are they sitting on their hands? After the nomination comes the general elections! LET'S HAVE A DO-OVER NEXT MONTH!!!!
HP Boston clearly has NOTHING to say.  The Clinton machine is going in full motion and it is a disgrace that she'd rather win than do what's best for the Democratic party.  As a lifelong Democrat, I can safely say that I will write in someone else and NOT vote for her if she gets the nomination through dirty politics.  I used to think we had to great options - she's making herself look like the clearly BAD option by having her people say these things to the press.


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