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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

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Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Raising the stakes in TX and OH

Posted: Tuesday, February 19, 2008 3:20 PM by Mark Murray

From NBC/NJ's Athena Jones and NBC's Mark Murray
Even though today's battlegrounds are in Wisconsin and Hawaii, the Clinton campaign held a conference call with reporters to look ahead to the upcoming pivotal March 4 contests in Ohio and Texas.

"The Obama campaign is going to be pulling resources into these two states," Clinton communications director Howard Wolfson said. "These are major, major, major battleground states and they will be hotly contested," he said. "It will be a major test of the two candidates."

At the same time as it raised the stakes in Ohio and Texas -- two states where polls have shown Clinton to be leading, although a new poll shows a tie in Texas -- the Clinton campaign downplayed the Wisconsin primary and said a loss there wouldn't hurt its prospects in other states. "Wisconsin and Hawaii are both states that the Obama campaign predicted big victories in," Wolfson said. (In fact, the now-famous leaked Obama memo projects Obama winning in those respective states, 53%-46% and 52%-47%.)

Asked if tonight's results in Wisconsin could have an impact on the March 4 states, Clinton Texas state director Ace Smith replied, "Texas is one of those great, independent-thinking states... I think Texas is going to make up its own mind." Added Robby Mook, the campaign's Ohio state director: "I don't think voters in Ohio are worried about the horserace."

And when asked what kind of margins they hoped to see in Ohio and Texas to close the delegate gap with Obama, there wasn't much of an answer. "The margin is victory," Wolfson said with a chuckle. "Both campaigns are going to try to do everything they can to try to win Texas and Ohio." He argued that 40 delegates separated the candidates, making the race "essentially a tie."

Focusing on Texas, Smith said the campaign is pushing early voting in the state, and it has "about 20 offices open", over 100,000 volunteers, and 4,000 precinct captains (in a state with 8,300 precincts.

In Ohio, Mook said the campaign has a full operation running in all of the state's congressional districts. And he talked about a new ad being rolled out today called "Night Shift" that focuses on economic concerns and announced the senator would participate in a night shift with Ohio workers at some point "in the near future."

The Clinton campaign also said in the conference call that it raised $15 million online in the first 15 days of the month -- because fundraising "exploded" after the news of Clinton's $5 million loan to her campaign. "It's a very significant development in the race. Sen. Obama raised, as everyone knows, a great deal of money in the last month, but we feel that we are gonna have all the resources we need to fund great operations and great programs, in states like Texas and Ohio," Wolfson said.

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Comments

Wake up people! This country WA a much better place when Bill Clinton ran the country. I for one, do NOT care what he did in his private life.  Did we have war, gouged gasoline prices, people losing their homes left and right and living hand to mouth???

It will take a Clinton to clean up after a Bush yet again. My vote is for Hillary. I am not a die hard Democrat, I will vote for the best man or WOman in this case

Hey y'all,

Don't we all know that the Republicans are literally chomping at the bit to have Hilary as their opponent?  If we all want to greatly increase the odds of losing a slam dunk election let's nominate someone that millions of people despise and independents are loathe to vote for.  No wonder so many of the 'lower tier" voters are excited about Hilary.  Gimme a break!!
On Sexism and Racism (or any other "isms" at work);  I thought the whole point was to have a vote based on qualification, not gender or race.  Yet here we are, veiled and explicit racist and sexist comments all over the board.  Maybe as a caucasian male, I'm an endagered species out here, but my decision is not based on pigmentation or plumbing.  I happen to support Obama, because I believe he has a better shot at winning, and I do believe that he will be better able than HRC to at least loosen, if not break, the gridlock that has made our federal government a joke.  If Hillary wins, she too will have my support, as I agree with her a whole lot more than John Mccain.  It's pretty funny, you get the same 5 people posting on the board all day, and people read it like some macro trend.  All the opinions on this board wouldn't carry 2 precincts. Get over yourselves, pick a candidate, and be prepared to support the winner or suffer the consequences.
Obama talks about change. I have yet to hear how he plans to make these changes. All I have heard is talk. He says he brought the Democrats and Republicans together on issues. The reason the Republicans and Democrats came together is because they did not agree with Bush. On the mortgage issue, Hillary wants to freeze the rates for 5 years. The homeowners could afford the rates when they signed the note. If she freezes the rates at where the loan is currently at then the homeowners would be able to afford their homes. Obama says to take a look at the individual family incomes. Be realistic. Hillary gives solutions to the issues.
It's surprising to me all the negativity coming from Dems these days.  We should be so lucky to have 2 qualified candidates.  Unfortunately, however, Hillary's mudslinging is starting to turn me off, even though I think she'd be a good president.  The one thing I cringe over is this notion that Hillary has more experience than Obama.  That's a total fiction!  First Lady is not a political office, last time I checked.  Nobody elected her to be Bill's wife, and she has about as much Senate experience as Obama, so why does this keep coming up?  So stupid people will keep repeating it?  That's a classy tactic there, Hillary.  Also, quite frankly, the most important job a president has is giving speeches.  Think about it.  How many bills did Clinton draft by his own hand while in office?  His biggest influence was his gift for gab.  There's plenty of other cabinet members to do the heavy lifting.  We need leadership, which for a president, is all about speeches.  The president's biggest moment all year is the State of the Union address.  What does that tell you?  That speeches not only matter, they're paramount.  Presidents talk to people (usually giving prepared speeches of other people's words.)  That's about all they ever do, or should do.  Love to see someone rebut that with an intelligent argument.
Clinton pushes for early voting so that her supporters can't change their minds.
Jared I am so glad someone else feels the same way I do. Hillary has some very good qualities of her own, however she was the first lady not an elected official, she should argue own what she plans to do for the country and let the experience card go.
ngridwell obama the new god adolf hitler was like you and i think you are the same i sure hope you are going to hell ,no nigger in this lile and you are not even black hello zebra well i dont think i am on the censor well well free america?????????? hell no obama  muslim slim bag gooooo to hell clinton 08888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888
I believe that you mean that the now famous leaked Obama memo had Clinton winning Texas and Ohio. That is what I recall.
Sierra

If obama wins the nomination then the real contest begins. If you think America is going to accept his leftist liberal views you are the one who is delusional.

Hilliary 08 and then 2012
I want every poster on every site who writes "Barack Hussein Obama" to also refer to his opponent as "Hillary Rodham Clinton" and to refer to the presumptive Republican nominee as "John Sidney McCain III."  If you do that, fine.  It's a weird quirk (isn't it assassins who always get a middle name?) but if it's what you like to do, fine.

But unless you start doing that, you're behaving abominably.  At best, you're stirring up a little xenophobia.  At best, you're suggesting the guy is an enemy of America.  It's petty.  For shame.
Bill Clinton just happened to be in office during the Internet and dot com boom which led to a thriving economy.  So just because the economy was good doesn't mean it was because of him.  He is brilliant, but is too easily distracted, if you know what I mean.  Just think of all the good things that could have come out of the man hours and money spent on the MonicaGate and other scandals.  Even Thursday, the 21st, there is another court case to be scheduled for the Clintons concerning campaigning FRAUD.  That can't be good for the country.  Having a person living in the White House who was disbarred because of lying isn't good for the country.
I wanted to watch the returns % by %.  Instead I got at least 45 minutes of a Barack Obama campaign speech on Fox, Msnbc, and CNN.  How can the news media justify this bias?
Wake up people! there has been a serious problem in America for all these years since Bill Clinton's presidency ended. His presidency should be a lesson for the American people that only a committed soul could make a difference as a leader. Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton have committed their lives to make a difference in everybody's life. This 2008 primary election is not a beauty contest or celebrity contest.
We should not use words to full people for our selfishness, struggling for power interest. The American people should be smart enough not to be moved by mere words. Politics is not a game. America would not be good in another inexperience hand. For anybody to be qualified for high office in this world should have extensive experience in their resume. Having the freedom to contest for presidency in America does not qualified anybody to be president. Give your votes to Hillary. She is the one who deserve to be the next president. She is committed and she is ready. Her commitment is to make a difference in our lives. If we do not give her this chance, everybody in America will regret it.
 Listen up Obama- fan-atics

 I/m getting nauseated by the undeserved "rock star" adulation this first term senator gets. As has been said: "We have two democratic candidates: One is a senator from NY who was born in illinois, the other is a senator from illinois, who was (apparently) born in a manger!!!"

There is nothing Obama has done during his 46 years on this earth that qualifies him for the presidency. going to law school even Harvard law school and being a former editor of the harvard law review does not a president make and Obamas run for the senate was a joke",since the incumbent withdrew from the race and alan Keyes was brought in (from another state) as a substitute.

While Obama certaintly knowes how to orate (if someone else like Ted Sorenson (Kennedy's speechwriter writes his speeches), his ability to debate on substantive issues is halting, He shows no real knowledge of the issues that face us--and essentially is saying 'ditto" to the positions that hillary staked out long ago. In addition, while one of the fantasies about him is that he will be a so-called "unifier", I see no reason to believe that since his presence in the race is causing dramatic polarization of the True democratic electorate, into black vs brown (and white), women vs. men, and the well to do "democrat" vs the poor and middle class.

He also claims to be an "outsider" but there is considerable evidence that plans were laid for his 'run" for the presidency years ago, including his focus on "caucases" which can be dominated by a relatively small number of enthusiasts who can intimidate other voters in a ballot that has no privacy. His "winning" such "raucous caucases" has been extolled by media hostile to the Clintons who denigrate and cynically misinterpret everything the clinton campaign says (or does) while praising Obama, a man without proven abilities other than his so-called "charismatic" arrogance and minimizing his obvious defects as a person and a candidate. THATt is how Obama got his "momentum"-  i.e.; thru media manipulation since many Americans have such short attention spans that they prefer to have their minds made up by the superficial and biased analyses of pundits rather than taking a breath and taking a real look at Obama's qualifications.

My family never "owned slaves" and I have many black friends and supported black causes- so I have no racial "guilt" to atone for and, while I would like the rest of the world to "like" Americans, I don't think that "putting a black face" on our President is going to make those who are hostile to our interests love us.

I think that Obama fanatics who are enchanted with his incantations need to acknowledge that the major reason for their fascination is the fact that Obama IS a man without much experience and is, thus, sometone into whom they can project any fantasy they desire i.e.; Savior, Redeemer, "black kennedy" and so forth.

Unfortunately, having experience means that you also have a track record that can be criticized and , in Hillary's case often distorted. In this elelction, it appears, unfortunately, that  young Americans may wake up too late from their dreams about change and realize that the fellow they have elected to the White House was a 'surfer" riding the Wave of America's desire for change-rather than a Creator.

Inspirational Words are important - but there comes a times, particulrly empty words, are not enough, when it is time to act, when it is time to do, when it is time to achieve. Despite Obamas words about 'we" creating change- the only power "we" really have is the power of our vote, the power to elect a president who will either implement (or not implement our wishes. Can Obama fulfill his promises? I doubt it and think he is already making statements to reduce our expectations i.e.; that change is 'hard" and that he 'can;t do it alone"

Which is simply to say this- unless obama  immediately sweeps into office many senators and congressman sympathetic to his views (which is unlikely) he will have to deal with the Washingtom -that is- a washington made up of elected officals with different constituencies and interests. Those of you that think, (as the LA Times put it) that he is  a "magic negro" who can wave a wand and make everything right just because he (and you) wishe it-- vote for him-- Me- I live in the real world- and in that world- Hillary's intelligence, proven ability to help others and create change for the better with the help of both Democrats and republicans trumps oratory and "style" without proven substance!!

I*ts not the 1990's and I am awake.  Clintons mudslinging is unacceptable.  Even If I has been supporting her in the beginning I wouldn't be now.  Anyone with character doesn't attack their opponent when they get desperate. I am all for a woman president when it is the right woman.  Obama is the uniter it sis clinton who is the divider.
Just a quick question for all those campaigning based on experience. How much experience did Bill & Hilary Clinton had when Bill was first elected as president of the United States?  

The sooner the democrates realizes that the "Americans does not only need those very experienced politicians  to move forward but that  someone with the ability to lead America through this contemporary world of numerous changes in political, security & economic landscape etc " the easier it would be for America to have another Democratic Party President. America need a fresh mind to work with both the experienced politicians and the innovative ideas of the modern-day politics.


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