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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC Political Researcher



Oh-eight (D): Trailing McCain

Posted: Wednesday, February 27, 2008 9:12 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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A new Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll shows that the contentious Dem primary is taking a toll on Clinton and Obama, as McCain leads both in national match-ups (McCain 46%, Clinton 40%; McCain 44%, Obama 42%). "The survey showed that McCain's potential advantages extend even to domestic issues, where he is considered to be most vulnerable. Even though McCain has joked about his lack of expertise on economic issues, voters picked him over Obama, 42% to 34%, as being best able to handle the economy. However, Clinton led McCain on that issue, 43% to 34%."

CLINTON: McClatchy’s Lightman writes, “Bill Clinton has been spending a lot of time in small-town Ohio. He is heading to Rhode Island on Thursday. From there, he may head back to some of the lesser-known dots on Ohio's map, probably Marion or Mansfield. Is this any way for a campaign to use a former president of the United States? Sure, because it's a way to keep him out of the spotlight and still useful to his wife's White House bid. ‘The Clinton campaign is sending Bill to safe places, to small cities where a visit by a former president is a really big deal,’ said Darrell West, a professor of political science at Brown University in Providence, R.I.”

OBAMA: Per the AP, “Sen. Christopher Dodd endorsed one-time presidential rival Barack Obama on Tuesday and said it is time for Democrats to join forces to defeat the Republicans in the fall campaign. ‘I don't want a campaign that is divisive here, and there's a danger in that,’ Dodd said, although he denied he was nudging Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton to end her candidacy.”

Before the debate, Obama was calling for a more conciliatory tone in the primary, which, of course, benefits the front-runner.

Obama's hometown church is under investigation over whether they've crossed the political line in support of Obama. 

The Boston Globe looks at how Obama's oratory has fueled his political career. "Not since the days of the whistle-stop tour and the radio addresses that Franklin D. Roosevelt used to hone his message while governor of New York has a presidential candidate been propelled so much by the force of words, according to historians and experts on rhetoric.

"Obama's emergence as the front-runner in the race for the Democratic nomination has become nearly as much a story of his speeches as of the candidate himself. He arrived on the national scene with his address to the 2004 Democratic convention, his campaign's key turning points have nearly all involved speeches, and his supporters are eager for his election-night remarks nearly as much as for the vote totals. But his success as a speaker has also invited a new line of attack by his opponents."

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Hey MSNBC, will someone please point out to Chris Mathews that he is consistently misquoting Michelle Obama and twisting the meaning of her words?  He’s starting to look like a good bet for Keith’s Worst Person award or a spot on the Fox News team.  If you replay the tape you will clearly hear her say that for the first time in her adult life she is REALLY proud of her country.  Hear the difference?  If you drop the modifier as Chris has been routinely doing for days now, it seems fair to conclude that before the campaign began she was not proud instead of it being a matter of degree. That is clearly a misleading and unwarranted conclusion and Chris owes his viewers an apology.  If you’re purporting to quote someone have the common decency to actually do it.  As a journalist you are not allowed to selectively edit the record to fit your story of the moment.

I wouldn’t have mentioned it otherwise, but while we’re on the subject, please stop with the unseemly pride over embarrassing some poor local official who is not accustomed to being in the national spotlight.  You didn’t demonstrate anything important relative to the election, only that you have a highly inflated view of your own role in the process.  This is about us, it’s not about you.  Be more careful.
“Bill Clinton has been spending a lot of time in small-town Ohio. He is heading to Rhode Island on Thursday. From there, he may head back to some of the lesser-known dots on Ohio's map, probably Marion or Mansfield.

The farmers daughters are just as hot as the city women.

The food is better too....
These polls are for right now.  Who knows what could happen between now and then.  Did these polls include any third party candidates?  If Nader and other were included, that might change things as well.  I would like to see the polls if Paul was included running as a Libertarian and Nader as a Green or Reform party.  
Can we all agree that the LA Times poll shows nothing significant. 44% to 42% is well within the margin of error and indicates a large number of undecided. Other polls are showing Obama with a far greater lead...which leads me to question exactly the methods used by the Bloomberg/LA Times poll.
The American Democratic nominating public is naive, gullible, and stupid to favor style over substance,  words over deeds, "youth" over "experience," idealism over working compromise. The Democrats have blown it in supporting Obama.  McCain will "kill" him on foreign policy. McCain will be our next president.  Enjoy more war in the Middle East while nothing gets done domestically, - 8 more years and billions out per month.  Amazing to nominate someone (Obama) with virtually no foreign policy experience while we are at war.  Who's running the show?  Obama's speech writers.  Speech, speech, speech.  McCain is a known commodity.  So is Hillary.  Obama is not: a really stupid choice.  Take a civics lessons: accept how Congress works: your special interest vs. mine.  Always has been, always will be.  Investing in hope to change that is a poor bet and being very foolish.          
The evidence that this is a stupid poll is that it says voters consider McCain better than Obama on the economy. RUBBISH!
It should be noted that it's not Obama's particular church that's being investigated, but the denomination.

As far as that goes...nice hypocrisy there.  Jerry Falwell, anyone?  Pat Roberston?  James Dobson?  
Jaycee,

Thank you again for you comments and insights.  I log on every day just to read your comments.  They are well thought out and clear and concise.

I too have noted Chris Matthews desire to embarrass and demean people.  As he did in a commentary on a previous debate.  His comment that he was playing "Hardball" was completely out of line.  He was not hosting his own show.

As you state perhaps it is time for him to apply to Fox Noise or Fix News as Keith references that Network.

Chris's dialogue is more in line with that Networks views

Once again thank you for your thoughtful comments.
Jesus! If this country elects another Republican I am moving to Canada!
There are plenty of polls showing Senator Obama beating Senator McCain as well, so lets not get carried away with ourselves, okay?
Surprise, Surprise....Obama's Church is under investigation for "crossing the political line in support of Obama", who could have predicted that??? And, now McCain is beating Obama in the national polls...I think Obama zealots better buckle up for a rough ride if he gets the nomination, because empty promises only go so far, and Obama waffling on the public finance issue, among other things, portrays him as just another deceptive politician. Obama also displayed his weakness in foreign policy, and THAT will be a major issue in the General Election. Pretty speeches delivered by a pseudo-preacher only work in the primaries, because bleeding heart liberals are a bunch of saps who buy into the nonsense Obama is peddling. They have "broken souls that need to be fixed by Obama!", according to Michele Obama. Yeah, that's gonna work against the GOP, isn't it??? Dream on, ObamaMania will soon be coming to a screeching halt! Where's the "special koolaid???" Go McCain....
While Hillary continues to state and demonstrate that she is a fighter, the most important attribute of a fighter is knowing who, when and why to fight. On this matter, she has completely lost her way. She should learn from Senator Chris Dodd, who also was a highly qualified candidate for the nomination. After not gaining the nomination, he had the character to do the right thing and support the candidate most able to win the November election and begin the recovery America urgently needs.
Obama did well in the debate, because he told the truth, issue after issue. But the biggest winner of the day was Senator Dodd.
The Clintons are well on their way to handing the General to McCain! Nice work.
jerry, the farmer's daughters in red state Ohio are hot. The farmers themselves are just not too wise.
The hypocrite demos are imploding on the race and gender issues. Serves them right. They will never be able to pull together for November election. Racist blacks, and bin Laden if he could, will vote for Obama or not at all. Angry feminists, and Hugo Chavez if he could, will vote for Hillary. All other sane Americans will vote for a strong America.
The United States deserves what it votes for, if that be for moron like Bush who has ruined the military and permanently destroyed the economy, or Mccain who will continue to do the same. Our currency, a benchmark of our strength in the world is now worth less than the CANADIAN dollar. Some worldwide institutions only accept EURO's instead of the traditional greenback. Way to go Republicans, Never mind doubling our debt to communist countries like China. If the CHINESE dump their share of our currency into world markets, they could make the US dollar worthless, an idle threat, i think not. Way to go REPUBLICANS.
Montenaro shouldn't get his hopes up too much for your boy Sydney McBomb. Another poll has Obama up by 7 points over McCain. But I'm sure the "main stream" media will have that lead reversed by the time of the general election if they make voters focus on Obama not wearing an American flag lapel pin and other burning issues like that.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/26/schneider.poll/index.html
Happy to report that I do not support Obama and Michelle can be assured that he has one less broken soul to worry about fixing.That big old gal needs to get her head out of the clouds---not everyone is fawning over her husband and asking for his aid and comfort.
The American Democratic nominating public is naive, gullible, and stupid to favor style over substance,  words over deeds, "youth" over "experience," idealism over working compromise. The Democrats have blown it in supporting Obama.  McCain will "kill" him on foreign policy. McCain will be our next president.  Enjoy more war in the Middle East while nothing gets done domestically, - 8 more years and billions out per month.  Amazing to nominate someone (Obama) with virtually no foreign policy experience while we are at war.  Who's running the show?  Obama's speech writers.  Speech, speech, speech.  McCain is a known commodity.  So is Hillary.  Obama is not: a really stupid choice.  Take a civics lessons: accept how Congress works: your special interest vs. mine.  Always has been, always will be.  Investing in hope to change that is a poor bet and being very foolish.          
Pedro, Irvine, CA (Sent Wednesday, February 27, 2008 10:06 AM)

Those same arguements were used against Bill Clinton.  So was that a foolish choice too?
Jaycee, I second that. Chris Mathews is a hack. He enabled the swiftboaters that took John Kerry down, so don't expect any different this time around. He is a closet republican. He maybe fooling some, but he does not fool me.
"The farmers daughters are just as hot as the city women. The food is better too.... "
--jerry/corpus christi texas

Good points jerry. Hopefully the campaign aides will have an "intervention" moment with Bill and keep his hands off the stuff that's bad for him.
When Reagan took office in 1981, the national debt was under 1 trillion dollars. When he left, in 1989, it had ballooned to 4 trillion. Another trillion was added by Bush 1. It began to shrink during the Clinton years, and when Slick Willy left office, he left the country with a large surplus. Since Bush 2 took office, the debt has ballooned again this time to 9 trillion dollars. Also, during Bush 2, median family incomes have declined each year by an average of 2% a year. All this at a time when the super rich have made a killing, and companies like Exxon are making obscene profits.
Personal savings (now at a negative rate) are at the lowest point since the great depression.
In 1980 we were one of the world's largest creditors. We are now the world's largest debtor nation.
The degradation of our national infrastructure (exemplified by the collapse of bridges and levees, as well as a host of other underlying depreciation and degradation problems in health, education, transportation and the environment) has further diminished our country's balance sheet and capital account.
The fact that ANY poll doesn't show an overwhelming victory for any Democratic canditate over any Republican candidate seems to underscore the fact that the American electorate seems to have completely embraced the flight from reason.
With the Baby Boomers now on the cusp of retirement, this country is on the brink of a collapse of its economy and facing a bankruptcy of its own. We need to wake up, and face the grim facts that our embrace of Right Wing economic policies is leading us over the cliff into economic and social disaster.
I think media is really inconsistent and biased in this election. When Hillary was higher in polls every one said she looks strong and presidential and now because Obama is higher in polls he looks strong and presidential. I thought Hillary was very strong and looked very presidential in yesterday’s debate. Most of the time either Obama stuttered before he answered or he agreed with Senator Clinton’s answers. But Obama can do no wrong in media’s eyes. Even he will burp media will say see how wonderful is burp is.

Another point, I believe Hillary was correct in saying that she always gets the first question. When you are second to answer you listen to first candidate and answer according to their answers and you also get some time to think before you answer.

Then media says Hillary is not funny enough. A president’s election is a serious business not a joke. You don’t’ have to be funny to prove that you are qualified.

And lastly, I feel this country is not ready for a woman president. You will select a black, white, red or yellow man before you elect a woman president. A woman will never be paid same as a man for the same job. A woman will not get the promotion if she is competing with a man for the same job. And we call this country equal opportunity country. By the way I am neither Clinton supporter nor Obama supporter.


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