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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Clinton: Bill as J.R.?

Posted: Wednesday, March 26, 2008 10:04 AM by Domenico Montanaro

Bill Clinton, campaigning in Kentucky, compared the Dem primary to an episode of the '80s prime-time soap opera, Dallas. "This is the darnedest election I ever saw, isn't it? It seems like a long-running episode of Dallas or something, it's like a saga, you know?"
 
OK, so clearly Bill is J.R., right? Is Hillary SueEllen? Is Obama, Bobby or is he Cliff Barnes? Sorry, we couldn't help ourselves.
 
On a more serious note, NBC/NJ's Mike Memoli reports Bill Clinton pushed back against those trying to nudge his wife out of the race. "Now there's a new tactic," he said. "It's to say, 'Oh what a bad sport you are for wanting to let the people of Kentucky and West Virginia and Oregon and North Carolina and Pennsylvania vote. You could get ahead in the popular vote, but you're gonna be outspent. And why don't you just pack it in and while we're at it, we're gonna disenfranchise the people in Florida and Michigan, even if it costs us the general election.’”
 
NYT's MoDowd believes HRC has now set her sights on the VP slot. "One Hillary pal said she wouldn’t want to go back to a Senate full of lawmakers who’d abandoned her for Obama. And even if she could get to be majority leader, would it be much fun working with Nancy Pelosi, whose distaste for the Clintons has led her to subtly maneuver for Obama?
 
“Maybe The Terminator is thinking: if she could just get her pump in the door. Dick Cheney, after all, was able to run the White House and the world from the vice president’s residence, calling every shot while serving under a less experienced and younger president. And Observatory Circle is just up the street from where Hillary now lives." 
 
The Clinton campaign is pushing back HARD on this idea that she doesn't have a chance. In a release last night, the campaign released three myths, two of which, had to do with her chances for the nomination:
 
MYTH: The delegate "math" works decisively against Hillary.
 
FACT: The delegate math reflects an extremely close race that either candidate can win.
 
"The Math" is actually very simple: with hundreds of delegates still uncommitted, NEITHER candidate has reached the number of delegates required to secure the nomination. And EITHER candidate can reach the required number in the coming weeks and months. That is indisputable. No amount of editorials, articles, blog posts, charts, graphs, calculations, formulas, or projections will change the basic fact that either candidate can win. Pundits who confidently proclaim that Hillary has no hope of winning because of "the math," have counted Hillary out of this race three times before. Each time they based their sober assessments on 'facts' and 'realities' -- and each time they were wrong.
 
In a campaign with dozens of unexpected twists and turns, bold prognostications should be viewed with a healthy dose of skepticism. Look no further than Sen. Obama's "full assault" on Hillary's character to judge whether he thinks this election is over. The fact is this: Hillary and Sen. Obama are locked in a very close, hard-fought campaign and Hillary is demonstrating precisely the strength of character required of a president. Her resilience in the face of adversity, her faith in the voters, her capacity to rise to every challenge, are part of the reason she is the best general election candidate for Democrats. And it is why she is increasingly strong against John McCain in the polls at the same time that Sen. Obama is dropping against Sen. McCain.
 
---
 
MYTH: For Hillary to win, super delegates must "overturn the will of the people."
 
FACT: The race is virtually tied, the "will of the people" is split, and both candidates need super delegates to win.
 
The Obama campaign and Sen. Obama's surrogates have engaged in a sustained public relations effort to convince people that the election is over and that if super delegates perform their established role of choosing a candidate who they believe will make the best nominee and president, they are somehow "overturning the will of the people." They have the audacity to make this argument while quietly and systematically courting those very same super delegates. They are courting them because they know that Sen. Obama needs super delegates to win. The Obama spin is being parroted daily by pundits, but it is patently false. The race is virtually tied; the "will of the people" is split. By virtually every measure, Hillary and Sen. Obama are neck and neck -- separated by less than 130 of the more than 3,100 delegates committed thus far and less than 1% of the 27 million+ votes cast, including Florida and Michigan. Less than 1%.
 
An incremental advantage for one candidate or the other is hardly a reason for super delegates to change the rules mid-game. Despite the Obama campaign's aggressive spin and pressure, the RULES require super delegates to exercise their best independent judgment, and that is what they will do. Even Sen. Obama's top strategist agrees they should. If not, then why don't prominent Obama endorsers like Senators Kerry (MA) and Kennedy (MA), and Governors Patrick (MA), Napolitano (AZ) and Richardson (NM) follow the will of their constituents and switch their support to Hillary? After all, she won their states. And if this is truly about the "will of the people," then Sen. Obama's short-sighted tactic to run out the clock on a revote in Florida and Michigan accomplishes exactly two things: it disenfranchises Florida and Michigan's voters; and it hurts Democrats in a general election. Apparently, for the Obama campaign, the "will of the people" is just words.
 
The Washington Post does one final fact check on the Bosnia incident and notes the campaign is not answering any more questions about the incident.
 
Clinton makes her first foray into North Carolina tomorrow. Meanwhile, Bill is, arguably, keeping a busier schedule this week than Hillary; He's got three stops in West Virginia today and five, count 'em, FIVE stops in PA tomorrow.

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Comments

The rules are the rules Obama did not make the rule Detroit and Florida did and congress. Let big mouth hIlliary pay for it all she the one needs the votes and delegates. Why should Obama help the helpless lady that attack his integrity and hate his color. Tell her to bounce. Millions of people are going vote for the thief and liar in PA she want to feel priviledge before she lose give the girl born with spoon in her mouth what she want, but after that she need to bounce out.
Well at this point Senator Obama has the upper hand
the game is over, and I really dont see how Senator Clinton could cry her way to the White House any longer at this juncture.  
There is a saying that when you are digging a ditch, (for someone else) you should dig two because you never know if you wont fall into the one you dug. HRC should watch out re digging ditches for Obama, she may fall ito it itstead..
And you think he's going to bring people together? How's a man who's more liberal than Bush is conservative going to unite parties and create political harmony?

I can't wait until he wins the nomination (which I'm sure he will with all you whiney morons around)and gets wiped all over the field during the campaign.  And then loses all the states that have made him the nominee (such as Utah, Wyoming, Nebraska, Idaho, Alaska, Kansas, Mississippi, Louisiana, Alabama, North Dakota and South Carolina to name a few).  Along with Florida and Michigan (smart compromises were on the table that he easily could have accepted, once again, if he cared about the party rather than himself).

I, myself, will sleep soundly from 2008 - 2012 knowing that I wasn't hoodwinked by that no-talent a--clown.
Please, people, part of the reason this is getting so nasty is because of the comments some of you bloggers write.  I am no fan of HRC, but with the amount of knowledge & experience she has in Healthcare, and Children's services, I think she would make a fantastic Secretary of Health & Human Services.  Give the woman her due, and not just bash her.  She does have something to bring to the table.  VP - no way.  

Former Edwards supporter, now going for Obama.
I don't know how Hillary can see herself as the a strong Commander in Chief when she keeps whining about her gender, and how she is being treated unfairly during this campaign by the media.  What is she going to do when she has to face true gender bias from leaders of other countries who believe women are second class citizens?  Bill Clinton gets a third term.  


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