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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Fundraising: $40 mil vs. $20 mil

Posted: Friday, April 04, 2008 9:01 AM by Domenico Montanaro

This Washington Post headline about the money may say more than was intended: "Clinton Camp Feels Spent, and Outspent."

The Los Angeles Times: "Clinton's financial troubles returned to the forefront of the Democrats' White House marathon on Thursday as Barack Obama reported raising $40 million last month -- double what the New York senator collected. Clinton's $20-million take would be staggering in any other race. But she faces a rival who has shattered fundraising records, and this latest benchmark highlights Clinton's broader difficulties in catching up to the Illinois senator in the protracted nomination fight."

“Obama's haul also buttressed his argument to Democratic superdelegates, who will probably decide the nominee, that he has built a vast network of donors and volunteers that they wouldn't want to lose by denying him the nomination. ‘His ability to raise more money than Hillary Clinton is part of the handicapping that is going on by superdelegates,’ said Steve Murphy, a Democratic consultant who worked on Bill Richardson's presidential campaign but who is now unaligned.”

The biggest development on the fundraising front may be McCain's decision to return all of the general election checks he's collected, paving the way for him to accept public financing when he officially is nominated in early September. "McCain's campaign, in letters to contributors, is asking supporters to write new checks to a special fund created to help the Arizona senator pay legal and accounting expenses related to compliance with the public funding system.”

“The move is largely procedural, and McCain's campaign said yesterday that it has not yet decided whether to accept public funding or to raise money on its own for the November presidential election. But the decision to return checks -- which was made as the Democratic candidates announced raising $60 million combined in March, nearly as much as McCain had raised for the entire campaign through February -- indicates that McCain is laying the groundwork for doing so."

McCain can still raise an unlimited amount of money for his "primary" campaign, which goes through the GOP convention. Then, if he chooses, he'll have less than 60 days to spend approx. $85 million. The question is whether Obama decides to follow suit. The campaign seems genuinely undecided.

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THE CLINTONS HAVE BULIT A STONG POLTICAL MACHINE OVER THE YEARS.OBAMA HAS TO OUTSPEND HER IN EVERY STATE TO JUST LEVEL THE PLAYING FEILD.
I have a feeling Obama may be able to raise $85 million in 30 days once the General Election starts...  Even if he only nets $100mil over 60 days, all that leftover money can then be used by the DNC and dolled out by the Obama campaign to help other Democrats across the nation, and finally have a majority in Congress off Obama's massive coattails.

I mean, at an average of around $100 a donation, he's getting a massive amount of 5,10, and 25$ donations.  It's going to be hard to claim he's "bought and paid for" by anyone other than the millions of real, honest to goodness American people who have contributed.  And that's definitely not a bad thing.
Just another reason why the Sen. Clintons need to fight for "her right" to be President...is above the right of the Party and the country to have a better chance to win.  All of that money that is going to be spent between the democrats fighting because she has a 10% chance of winning is essentially wasted and McCain can just be taking it all to the bank from now until the election.

Yeah ...Sen Clinton's "right" to keep fighting...just happens to have nothing to do with the party or the country...it is about her  being President and Bill's legacy.  Poor chelsea is all i have to say...no one can say that Chelsea isn't 3rd in that family.  I am so glad my parents put being parents first.
The below comments are from the Souther Political Report

"New InsiderAdvantage Poll
Pennsylvania poll shows Clinton campaign on life support

Compiled from InsiderAdvantage and Southern Political Report staff


April 3, 2008  The latest InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Survey shows Sen. Hillary Clinton clinging to a 2-point lead in the Pennsylvania Democratic Primary. The telephone survey of likely registered Democratic voters, conducted April 2, has been weighted for age, race and gender. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.7%. The results are:

Clinton: 45%
Obama: 42%
Undecided: 12%*

InsiderAdvantage/Creators Syndicates Matt Towery: This could be the beginning of the end of the Clinton campaign. The crosstabs show Obama trailing among white voters, but by only a 49%-40% margin. More importantly, Obama has a lead among African-American voters of 56%-29%, with the remainder undecided.

It is almost impossible to imagine that the African-American vote will not consolidate to the levels we have seen in other states, which would put Obama closer to 70%-plus with blacks. Clinton would need a large, disproportionate turnout of white voters to have a real shot at pulling off a substantial win in the contest.

Some of our previous polls in other states have shown a pattern of Clinton coming from polling deficits to eek out slim victories over Obama. Weve seen this happen several times, with Clinton surging in the final week leading up to the vote.

She will have to pull off a near-miracle to win Pennsylvania, to say nothing of her winning by a substantial margin, which she almost certainly needs to stay alive in the Democratic presidential sweepstakes, said Towery.  Click here for crosstabs.

*These numbers add up to 99%. Rounded-off percentages don't always add up to exactly 100%."

Nothing more needs to be said.

I think Obama's fundraising and volunteer network is his best argument. It gets bigger and bigger. What congressman or Senator or Governor or city council member wouldn't want to run with that kind of support?
Yeah, McCain can see the writing on the wall.  He knows Obama can trounce him on fundraising.

I'd like to see more complete breakdowns on the Clintons fundraising and cash on hand.  Something tells me that much of that $20 million is for the general or could get refunded to the bigwigs (as perhaps they have topped out).  And then there's the matter of her balance sheet.  Once again, its financial managment that I'm wondering about.
If the way Obama is running his campaign is any indication of how he would run the country count me in. Please accept the additional donation I mailed this morning! It's exciting to be a part of this movement of recapturing the American dream!
Looks like some of the money Hillary is counting in February included $15 million she gave to her campaing and also transferred from her Senate campaign account. Is this differnt from the money she gave to her campaign before or the same thing. Not sure. Anyone?

http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/asection/la-na-money21mar21,1,6702245.story
The money flow tells the story:

The Clintons truly are on a sinking ship.

In fact the only difference between the Clintons and the Titanic is that the Titanic had a band!
In a strange way, it's bad for the Obama campaign to be projecting the notion (one of his favorite words) that money gains the White House.  I think this turns a lot of people off - it does me.  
True, Clinton's $20 million in a month (assuming that's what it really is - can't take anything from that campaign for granted anymore) would be impressive in most races.

But if we're going to strive for context, we also have to consider that the debt she's carrying is much more than typical campaigns do. And her spend rate is higher than typical campaigns.

This is why she can raise $20 million in a month and slip deeper into financial trouble.
I'll bet anything Hillary wishes she had Obama's money people managing her money...

A person who cannot manager her own finances does not deserve to run this country.
I think the pollsters seriously underestimate the effect of the newly registered voters in Pa. If they are including them in the numbers they need to consider the Obama Campaign fund raising consistency, it indicates something that is probably not factored in. April 22, may again set the pundits and pollsters back to the drawing boards. JLG Kenmore, NY
FOLLOWING THE MONEY


Hillary: Too poor to be 'electable'.

Barack: Too rich to be 'unelectable'.

Clinton Campaign,

No better for you.

Pulling for Obama '08
Margaret, Columbus, Ohio (Sent Friday, April 04, 2008 9:45 AM):

Margaret:

Obama projects the notion that he has a great ground swell and is supported by thousands upon thousands of people who are making small donations. The important fact is not that he he has raised so much money but rather that he has raised so much excitement. Obama is not beating Hillary because of an overflowing wallet but rather from an overflowing wagon that "people" have climbed aboard in  this campaign.  The money reflects this and just happens to come with it. Obama is buying the nomination with people, not money.
Didn't Obama agree to public funding in the general election?  Oh, that's right, now that he is raising lots of money things are different?  Where I come from 20 million is still a lot of Money.  Obama outspent Hillary 4-1 in Ohio.  Did not do him much good.  Can't buy an election.
When she runs out of money she will get out.
Trev: That's true that money cannot buy an election. Ask Hillary. Obama's money is not buying the election....the PEOPLE behind the money will get him there. The money is just an added bonus!
I was one of those first time donors in March and will continue to donate. As a single mom in AZ I would rather give Obama $25 every week than see Hillary or McCain win. If Obama does not get the nomination I will not donate to the democratic party for the general election. Not sure who I would vote for either, probably just sit this one out.

Obama08
Thank goodness for the hope Obama gives us! We are recapturing the soviet dream! Socialism! Yes we can!
As Stephen Colbert is fond of saying "The market has spoken and Obama is the market's choice".  The vaunted Clinton money machine of a year ago has been superseeded by the rank and file of the Democratic Party supporting Obama.  Had Clinton not wasted so much money early on two jets for her media circus she would have had more money to spend on ads to gain more voters and delegates.  It's time for the superdelegates to follow the money and support Obama en masse so he can get to work crushing Tailhook Johnny.

Go Obama!
indeed. the charge lacks credibility. The average contribution is $96. at the very least, if you happen to be a cynic who, like me, thinks money has made Washington more corrupt, then THE AMERICAN PEOPLE, are buying the election and their candidate will be beholden to them. When you're supported by everyday Americans, and not the fatcats you have every incentive to deliver for them because your life depends on them. I like how the Clinton peeps, out of all people are claiming "buying election". Wasn't this the reason to elect her? she was said to have a well-honed machine that would crush the repubs in every area, and although some of us didn't quite like them, we had to be practical because she was our best chance. Well, she's got to prove that she's got the ability to adapt. Build a 21st century operation like obama, and we might consider you. might. at this point, you're dangerously weak for 16 yrs old political machine.
I would really like to know were Obama really gets his money from, since he has had a habit of running political campaigns on tainted money before.  Why would he change his habits now?
RENEA,
Take a look at your comment again.  If the Clinton's has the "strong political machine", why has Obama outraised her and out organized her in most states?  The truth is, when it comes to organization, it is no contest.  Obama has a much more effective and efficient campaign.  
Hillary Clinton had every advantage going into the is race: High name recognition, Good support among Dems that yearn for the Clinton Era, over $100MM in primary funds and significant support among the party leaders.  What Obama has done to push her to the brink of losing the nomination is, by any measure, nothing short of amazing.
Didn't Obama agree to public funding in the general election?  Oh, that's right, now that he is raising lots of money things are different?  Where I come from 20 million is still a lot of Money.  Obama outspent Hillary 4-1 in Ohio.  Did not do him much good.  Can't buy an election.
Trev (Sent Friday, April 04, 2008 10:06 AM)

The reason he lost in Ohio and not by much I might add is that HRC had stated that she was against NAFTA which took all the manufacturing jobs out of that state as she has stated in Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvanians don`t fall for the lies, she did the same to the voters in Ohio on NAFTA and now they realized that she TOLD THEM A BALD FACED LIE!

She also told the New Yorkers that she would produce
2000 + jobs for them and than blamed Al Gore losing the presedency for not following thru on her promises.

HRC simply cannot own up to her lies ( Oops! I mean misstatements.)

Shame on you HRC trying this same old tactic again, Pennsylvanians if you fall for this as the voters did in Ohio regarding NAFTA then it will be your loss, this woman simply cannot tell the truth.

Go Obama '08
Didn't Obama agree to public funding in the general election?  Oh, that's right, now that he is raising lots of money things are different?  Where I come from 20 million is still a lot of Money.  Obama outspent Hillary 4-1 in Ohio.  Did not do him much good.  Can't buy an election.
Trev (Sent Friday, April 04, 2008 10:06 AM)

The reason he lost in Ohio and not by much I might add is that HRC had stated that she was against NAFTA which took all the manufacturing jobs out of that state as she has stated in Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvanians don`t fall for the lies, she did the same to the voters in Ohio on NAFTA and now they realized that she TOLD THEM A BALD FACED LIE!

She also told the New Yorkers that she would produce
2000 + jobs for them and than blamed Al Gore losing the presedency for not following thru on her promises.

HRC simply cannot own up to her lies ( Oops! I mean misstatements.)

Shame on you HRC trying this same old tactic again, Pennsylvanians if you fall for this as the voters did in Ohio regarding NAFTA then it will be your loss, this woman simply cannot tell the truth.

Go Obama '08
The question about fundraising is how much came from who.  If there were only a few donors that gave great gobs of money, it would be one thing.  Most places are reporting that it is a whole lot of little bits that come from all over.  That is the important item to note.  
Her lack of money and the campaign's debt is probably the priary reason for the new 3:00 a.m. ad ... they don't have to pay to have it run very often because the press will run it over and over for them ... free advertising.

comrade democrat (Sent Friday, April 04, 2008 10:25 AM)

Very constructive.
Is it easier to call names and shout derisions when the current President and the party that "brung" him have failed this country for the past eight shameful years?
The ground you think you stand on is slipping away fast and it is no ones fault but Bush and the GOP. Why don't you call them names?
Hey Obama what about that public financing? LIAR, MYSOGYNIST, AMERICA HATER.
The amount of money being raised and spent on both sides of this primary make me ill.  That total of nearly $300 million dollars (between the two candidates) would have been better spent shoring up our sagging economy or helping people stay in their homes, or as seed money for a green technologies company.  I also think it says something that Sen Obama outspends Sen Clinton in order to "close the gap" in the big state polls.  I think we ought to have a rule that all the candidates can only spend on his/her own campaign what the lowest fund raising candidate raises, period.  All excess funds should then be donated to the campaigns of state and local candidates.  That would be the best way to improve party chances across the board.  It would also erase the money advantage and decrease the perception that the presidency is "bought and paid for".  How about Senators, could we agree to that?
The bigger number is the number of individuals who are contributing to the Obama campaign.   These are not people who are being pressured by fundraiser millionars but common folks.  

I question the reports by the media about how much an industry has given to a campaign if some of the individuals are just giving out of wanting to versus the pressure and requirement of the executives and their families to give.
MSNBC NEWS FLASH::::::
MARK PENN - HILLARY CLINTON PAID ADVISOR - Meeting with COLOMBIAN OFFICIALS LOBBYING FOR TRADE DEAL
supposedly...she is against this?!?!?!?!
Why are you not reporting this?!?!?!?!
MSNBC NEWS FLASH::::::
MARK PENN - HILLARY CLINTON PAID ADVISOR - Meeting with COLOMBIAN OFFICIALS LOBBYING FOR TRADE DEAL
supposedly...she is against this?!?!?!?!
Why are you not reporting this?!?!?!?!
Margaret, Columbus, Ohio
Well you must have insulted 1.3 million people with you comment. That is the number of everyday people like me who arent latte sipping elitists . I am a 24 yr old married mother of one living in an apt that believes so much in someone that I give what I can. I know2 alot of people who feel like giving more because of the grassroots movement of Senator Obama.Its insulting for you to say Obama is projecting this when its people like me and my family who are keeping this in the in the spotlight.So maybe you should apologize to me and the rest of us who put our faith in this man.
THE CLINTONS HAVE BULIT A STONG POLTICAL MACHINE OVER THE YEARS.OBAMA HAS TO OUTSPEND HER IN EVERY STATE TO JUST LEVEL THE PLAYING FEILD.

RENEA,PLYMOUTH.MI (Sent Friday, April 04, 2008 9:11 AM)

And after all the years it took them to build it, a first-term Senator is out-organizing and out-raising two of the most connected, experienced political insiders and their political machine.  Don't know if I'd be bragging about that.
Q: So, Hillary, how much more cash did the Obama campaign raise in March compared to yours?

A: Hillary: "over $1,000"

The QUEEN of Disclosure!


2nd note:  'Poverty Czar' cabinet level position?

Is she baiting Edwards for an endorsement?
I think it's disgusting we are spending so much money on a Presidential race. What is shows is that rich white men are still contributing to Obama while Hillary is getting money from the middle-class who are flat broke. The following is copied from Obama's website on fundraising. This doesn't sound like its even legal.

Double Your Impact:
When you donate now, your contribution will be matched
Thank you for taking the next step. Your support will help Senator Obama reach out to more voters.

By donating online, right now, your contribution will be put to good use immediately, in time to make a real difference in the outcome of the now crucial upcoming primaries.

When you make a donation now, your contribution will be doubled -- and you will receive a personal thank you message from the grassroots supporter who matched your donation.

Your support is very much appreciated...
 


Your donation will be matched by an Obama supporter making a similar donation, doubling your impact. You can also write a message to that supporter about why you chose to own a piece of this campaign. When we find your match, we'll tell you their name and town, and pass along their message if they chose to write one.

Isn't is strange that
                                     
hey Gary,

how about we start looking at the candidates proposed health plans and waking up to the fact that we're on the fast track to socialism. i'll say it, bush and the gop are morons, but guess what? so are obama, clinton, dean, gore and the DNC. we have the least qualified people running the country. or what's more scary is that they're plenty qualified and know exactly what they're doing. what this country lacks is moral integrity. none of the candidates, nor any of the established parties have this quality.

so sure, Gary, continue supporting the status quo. and i'm not talking about the current administration, i'm talking about the way this country does politics. your buddy obama isn't gonna change it because he's bent on making us a socialist state with the same ol' pull the wool over their eyes rhetoric and slight of hand that has plagued washington for the past century.
oh and also, Gary,

since we're talking about administrations making mistakes, let's talk about how Bill Clinton left our nation wide open for terrorist attacks on our soil, and left it for the incompetent W to clean up. yes, the democrats are incompetent too.

our last great president was calvin coolidge.
We speak often about how Senator Obama is raising more money than Senator Clinton but we rarely discuss the fundamental difference in spending priorities between Senator Obama and Senator Clinton.

Senator Obama's campaign funds are not being spent on consultants, pollsters or expensive 5 star hotels.  Instead, he is staying in Budget Suites and using his money to get out the vote and re-energize all of us.  He spends his money to register and motivate voters.  

Senator Clinton uses her money to stay in 5 star hotel suites, pay Mark Penn (the guy who tells her what "micro-niche" each voter fits into and how to appeal to each "micro-niche" voter) an extravagant salary and then, finally, what she has left over goes into get out the vote.

This is a critical spending priority difference between these two candidates and it is news --- shouldn't this too be reported?  
welcome to the nanny state
I'm glad to know that my first time contribution to a candidate's campaign is paying off.  There's more to come...I've got Obama in my budget.
Come on Teri of Half Moon Bay, what do you think that says? Not legal? Rich White men? i am a 57 year old unemployed woman from the blue collar class (although I have a master's degree). One of the times I sent my widow's mite to obama was during one of those matching drives. I was matched and got a really nice email from a young working mom who was selected to match my $10 donation. Then later I received an email saying they were gearing up for another one and wanted to know if I wanted to promise a matching amount of any size to a new contributor. Public radio and most charites do this kind of peer encouragement to raise funds, so how could you imagine it is illegal. It is separate from the also legal fundraising good will programs many corporates do letting their employees donate from their paychecks to a non profit and they will match it. Your "isn't it strange that" comment evidently got cut off but I can't imagine what point you would have made. The campaign tactics that have been so effective to obama are community organizing skills, and building the electorate/voter registration. Bizarre anyway since almost overwhelmingly Clinton's fundraising has been the ones from the rich fat cats, the first time she got small ones from middle class women was after her campaign went near bankrupt in Feb and she begged. Hillary land for sure.
comrade (Sent Friday, April 04, 2008 12:16 PM)

Status Quo?
1.2 million individual donors donating an average of $96.00 per person.
Record new voter registration.
Political rallies with capacity and overflow attendance.
All of this points to a movement.
All of this points to a landslide election and huge coattails.
All of this points to this country moving forward again instead of being stalemated by 51 / 49 "majorities".

Pure Socialism? Don't be ridiculous.
A Hybrid of the best of free market and humane social services? By all means.
That is where this country has been (or should have been) since FDR rescued us from "let them eat cake" Hooverism.
It is all in the execution. If Obama can lead this country like he has led his campaign then he is the right direction.
If you think that electing Obama means we will all be wearing Mao jackets and calling each other "comrade" then you are nursing paranoid delusions from the past.
Believe it or not some people actually learn from recent histories mistake's such as planned centralized economies don't work, and Imperialist wars of choice like Vietnam and Iraq invariably fail and turn into expensive damaging quagmires.
This current Neo ninCONpoop bunch need run out of town on a rail. Barry Goldwater would have spit in their faces.


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