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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC Political Researcher



Iraq politics: Show on Capitol Hill

Posted: Tuesday, April 08, 2008 9:08 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

Some poll numbers to consider for the hearings… According to last month’s NBC/WSJ survey, 53% said achieving victory in Iraq isn’t possible versus 40% who said the opposite. Moreover, 52% responded that the most responsible thing the US can do is find a way to withdraw most US troops from Iraq by the beginning of 2009. By comparison, 43% said the most responsible thing is to remain in Iraq until the situation in the country is stable. And there’s this recent quote from retiring Army Vice Chief of Staff Richard Cody: "The current demand for our forces in Iraq and Afghanistan exceeds the sustainable supply, and limits our ability to provide ready forces for other contingencies… Soldiers, families, support systems and equipment are stretched and stressed… Overall, our readiness is being consumed as fast as we build it. If unaddressed, this lack of balance poses a significant risk to the all-volunteer force and degrades the Army’s ability to make a timely response to other contingencies."

In a piece on MSNBC.com, NBC’s Ken Strickland sets the stage for today’s Senate hearings on Iraq. On McCain: “As the top Republican on the [Armed Services] panel, the spotlight inevitably falls on the Arizona senator. Other than Committee Chairman Carl Levin, McCain will be the only member allotted time to make an opening statement. And once the questioning begins, alternating back and forth from Democrat to Republican, he'll have the first GOP opportunity to address both men.”

Regarding Clinton: “As the 10th in seniority among the 13 Democrats on the panel, Clinton's round of questioning could come late in the hearing, after many of the obvious questions have been asked and answered. It could easily be two and a half hours before her voice is heard… Her Senior Adviser Philippe Reines said he "expects that the committee will question [Petraeus and Crocker] closely on the lack of political progress in Iraq, the rising influence of Iran in Iraq and the region and the strain on our military caused by the continuing presence of large numbers of troops in Iraq."

“As for Obama, he will not have to share the stage with either his Democratic or Republican rivals when the Foreign Relations Committee meets later Tuesday afternoon. And although he sits toward the bottom of the seniority totem pole, he enjoys the backing of half of the group's Democrats, lead by former opponent Chris Dodd and '04 nominee John Kerry.”  

Strickland also asks: What is Obama doing this morning while McCain and Clinton exchange pleasantries during the Armed Services Committee questioning of Petraeus? (Remember the spotlight on Obama doesn't come on until 2:30 pm ET, when the Foreign Relations Committee goes.) Well, he'll be presiding over his OWN hearing and have his OWN gavel -- large and in charge as "Chairman Obama." What's the hearing? It's the Foreign Relations Committee ambassador nominations hearing for Finland, Slovenia, Cyprus, Bulgaria, and NATO, of course.

Why? Well, as the Subcommittee Chairman for European Affairs, that's his duty. Remember awhile back when Senator Clinton reminded America that Obama didn't call any NATO/Afghanistan hearings in the subcommittee he was chairman? This is THAT committee.

The New York Times also looks at how presidential politics will play today. "Each of the three is determined to use the spectacle to advantage, but all face political risks as well as opportunities in the back-to-back hearings before the Senate Armed Services and Foreign Relations Committees. ’They’re going to be walking a tightrope over the Grand Canyon,’ said Alan K. Simpson, a former Republican senator from Wyoming who was a member of the bipartisan Iraq Study Group that in 2006 recommended a change of administration strategy in Iraq. ‘Everyone is going to be watching this like hawks.’”

The Wall Street Journal notes that, beyond troop levels, the Iran question could be one of today's hot topics.

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Comments

yes bush is not only desroying America he is also destroying the military and its ability to protect America from real threats.
have never voted republican in my life but if Obama wins the Democrat nomination I will vote for McCain.

Can we stop Obama from being elected in November?

YES WE CAN








John Doe (Sent Monday, April 07, 2008 10:16 PM)

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You bet we can!

NO Obama!
The repukes will smash Obama in the GE!
We will help!
YES WE CAN!
How do we march on?

Do we march on, as though nothing's changed? If so, we'll never be able to say, “Good riddance” to President Bush electing Senator John McCain president.  With McCain, we get more of the same.  He represents the old, guard warriors whose “victory, at any price tag patriotism,” drains the nation of its soldiers and treasure.  Both Bush and McCain’s answer to the proper care of our troops is to have them die honorably in battle.  Rather than admit error, apologize, and grant them a new GI Bill of Rights, it seems they’d rather have them return home in boxes.  President Bush’s current man on the ground in Iraq, General Petraeus, reports to Congress tomorrow.  The three presidential candidates will be there to ask their questions.  I will be there also via the cable news outlets. My bet is the Petaeus report will parrot the president's obfuscated battle of lies. And McCain will laud the report because, to him, it's the proof to continue the wobbly, militaristic march to full victory whenever.

Added to this, if we elect the Clintons, we get more of the same, as THEY represent the same old politics of destruction, division, deceit, calculation, and scandal.  Hello!  Being dishonest and distrustful are not in the game plan anymore.

The mission’s accomplished when we vote for real change and turn the page!  We must not be a nation perpetually at war.
With this lull in primaries, it will be interesting to see the candidates performing their day jobs. I'm looking forward to watching "Chairman Obama." I hope the media will cover it, however briefly I know.
HP Boston:

Hillary has been despised for decades by Republicans and nothing would energize them more than running against her. Get real.

And you wouldn't even consider voting for McCain if you were really a Democrat. Please, if you can't muster a vote for Obama (because he IS going to get the nomination), then at least just stay home.
For all you Obama/Clinton bashers:

"Iraq belongs to the Iraqi people; it is not a prize to be won or lost"
Chuck Hagel (R) Nebraska
Bring our American heros home; they have earned our honor and respect.
http://twocanpete.blogspot.com/
When they see their savings robbed through inflation from this idiotic war policy on Iraq and when they start to know some of the soldiers who are killed over there the American voter will realize that the only thing working about the surge is that the contractors are getting rich.
HP, you mean to tell me you want to continue the "surge" and continue to get our young men and women killed over in Iraq?  Because that's exactly what will happen if you vote for McCain.  Get ready to continue a war in Iraq, and don't forget we're probably get to go fight Iran.  If you can stomach that then be my guest and vote for McCain in the Fall.  But don't bitch later when you're kids end up getting drafted and dying overseas.

I personally would like to see Obama be the nominee.  However if that happens to not be the case I will vote for Clinton because I think she will be far and above than McCain.  

I'll be able to live with myself in this case.  I just hope you'll be able to live with yourself.
No Obama! No Obama! I am a true blue democrat, but I cannot support Obama. He can not win the GE. Hillary can win!
then at least just stay home.
RL / nyc (Sent Tuesday, April 08, 2008 9:25 AM
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Fat chance!  I will write Hillary on the ballot.  YES I CAN!
I'll be able to live with myself in this case.  I just hope you'll be able to live with yourself.
Tim, Reading, PA (Sent Tuesday, April 08, 2008 9:31 AM
---------------------------------------
But of course!  We lived with the bushman the idiot Regan, all the philandering men before, what the hell is one more! Will you remember 100 years from now?  Who ever it is will be written in history as the best guy in the WORLD! And so it goes............
John Doe wrote:

have never voted republican in my life but if Obama wins the Democrat nomination I will vote for McCain.

Can we stop Obama from being elected in November?

YES WE CAN
________________________________

"Democrat nomination."

Ohhhhhh...something tells me you've voted for a "Republic" candidate before.  Try starting your next post with "as a lifelong bra-burning liberal..." next time.
I'll be able to live with myself in this case.  I just hope you'll be able to live with yourself.
Tim, Reading, PA (Sent Tuesday, April 08, 2008 9:31 AM
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But of course!  We lived with the bushman the idiot Regan, all the philandering men before, what the hell is one more! Will you remember 100 years from now?  Who ever it is will be written in history as the best guy in the WORLD! And so it goes............
Obama has a closet full of WRIGHT, it is going to haunt him!  HE CAN NOT WIN THE GE!!
I am an Obama fan, but I will vote for Clinton if she is the nominee. John McCain cannot be our next president. Listen to what he says, he is already starting to plead his case on Iran. If Bush and Chaney don't start something over there before they leave office, McCain will. Our Troops need to come home. We need someone to stop this. Vote Democrat in Nov.
HP and Brother Odd:

Yes, you can do what you will with your ballot.  The question I would have of each of you is this:  If Senator Clinton would be such a good candidate in the General Election, why is she not winning now?  

I won't vote for Senator McCain in the General if Senator Obama is not the nominee.  I care too much about the country.  If Senator Clinton wins the nomination, I will vote for her though it would trouble me given her history.  

This is about the country, not your nominee winning or losing.
HP in Boston, go right ahead and write-in Hillary on your GE ballot.  You may want to check first with MA to see if their ballot machines read crayon.
We have no business being in Iraq.  It is a civil war period.  Are we going to intervene in civil wars all over the world?  If so, get ready to reinstitute the Draft and get ready to up military spending.  That should really send our country into the toilet in every way and then we're REALLY vulnerable to attack.

Bring the troops home.  NO, I don't think it needs to be done precipitously but I do think it needs to be THE TOP PRIORITY.  We can't possibly police the world alone, not while our economy is in the toilet over this one "war".

I am proud of those who answered the call to arms and in my heart and my head I honor their service, I am not proud of President Bush.  I conduct my life in every positive American way but no, I am not proud of President Bush.

McCain scares me...he is so single minded.  We had that tunnel vision with Bush (I am listening to McCain now).

Bring them home.  Make our country strong again.
Tim, Reading, PA and RL / nyc....You two are the ones voting for McWar. You are doing it by supporting Obama. Hillary is the one that can and will bring the troops home and stop the blood shed. Now start the "She supported the war". This was before we knew what lying peices of trash bush and cheney were.
The Iraqi bottom line:  We cannot afford this war to go on indefinitely!  It is unsustainable!  Petraeus' opinion is irrelevant; so is McCain's.  There is no money for this now or in the future.  Voters need to see this.  We cannot afford this war.  We need to concentrate on Afganistan where the real problems lie.
This is just so much fun watching all you Democrat's bash each other,  and you don't know that Obama can't win without Hillary and Hilary can't win without Obama.  So keep up the good work and bash away.  
One reason why Hillary is behind is because of the media bashing she gets compared to Obama's free ride.
The media wants Obama nominated. It would make for better ratings when they do start bringing out his closet secrets. I voted for Hillary in the Pre and will again in the GE
Tired of Clinton Lovers Bashing Obama (Sent Tuesday, April 08, 2008 9:59 AM)

----------------------------------------
TIRED OF THE OBAMA HATE MACHINE BASHING CLINTON!
We should be focusing on what questions will the candidates ask while on the committees.  Will they ask about how the Iraqi are resolving (or not) their differences?  Can we sustain the troop levels?  Are the other token forces from other countries staying there and for how long?  These are just some of the questions that should be asked by any reasonable senator, presidential candidate or not.  
I can not imagine anyone wanting another republican in office right now when this is obvious the worst times econoimically in my lifetime. This country needs a change of direction,and I believe Senator Obama will be able to make a change in this country that I Love!
Will Obama be voting 'Present' for the hearings?
Doesn anyone in the Senate even remember what Obama looks like? He hasn't been around much.
We knew what the generals were going to say.  Bush and his generals want to bankrupt the USA, they are doing a good job. When the Vets come home they don't even take care of them.


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