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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Utah superdelegate for Obama

Posted: Thursday, April 10, 2008 9:57 AM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
We mentioned in First Thoughts that Clinton will pick up a Pennsylvania superdelegate tonight when she speaks at the Allegheny County J-J Dinner. The Obama campaign then released a new superdelegate of their own, Utah Democratic Party Chair Wayne Holland. Holland had been thought to be leaning Obama, but had not said so publicly.

This brings the superdelegate count to Clinton 257, Obama 226. In the overall count, Obama leads by 133 (1,642 to 1,509). He has a 164 pledged-delegate lead (1,416 to 1,252).

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I can hear the Obama supporters already saying this means that Utah, the reddest of red states, will go to Obama in the general election.  

What do the Obama supporters make of the recent poll saying that he would lose to McCain in a head to head in NY?
That's some narrowing on SD's huh?  Remember way back when when her lead was over a hundred superDs.  I heard that these were from the Bill Clinton era (endorsing her early when she was the foregone conclusion).  Talk about Obama not being able to seal the deal, what about Hillary and the superDs!
What's great is that Obama seems to have SuperDelegates lined-up for him.  Waiting in the wings.

Every time that Hillary announces that she has a Super coming out for her - Obama rolls out another in his line.  

Tit-for-tat, I guess.

http://thepajamapundit.com/
I can hear the Obama supporters already saying this means that Utah, the reddest of red states, will go to Obama in the general election.  

What do the Obama supporters make of the recent poll saying that he would lose to McCain in a head to head in NY?
Pat huntington ny (Sent Thursday, April 10, 2008 10:03 AM)


I'd say you are a hypocrite trying to push Clinton with twisted logic.  You try and say a red state won't go for Obama, yet try to say a blue state will go for a Repub?   You are crazy.
http://twocanpete.blogspot.com/
Utah for Obama? How many years has it been since the Mormons started to allow black folks to join them? Anyway don't they believe that MLK and the Devil are brothers?
I see that you didn't remove the Dc delegate from Clinton who several days ago said she was moving to the neutral category.  It was in the papers guys and you were given a link to it....or is it just that you want to keep her number as high as you can?
Pat, he was losing overall to Clinton by 21 points before he began his primary campaign.  I'm sure he won't have a problem overcoming a couple points against McSame once he starts campaigning against him!
As an Obama supporter, I say the poll in NY means nothing. McCain at this point in the game is getting a free ride with the press. He continues to confuse the Sunnis and Shiites over and over again, but barely gets a mention. He threatens to bomb Iran, but barely gets a mention today. He makes jokes about 'bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb, Iran' and gets very little coverage.

Once Senator Obama is finally declared the Democratic Nominee, then you will see better press coverage concerning all of McCain's misquotes, missteps and outright lunatic behavior. The polls will then start to shift towards Obama.

Thank you for asking.........Have a great day!
I'll respond, Pat. First, I'm shocked that in that same poll, both candidates head-to-head against McCain are within the margin of error. The Senator from New York doesn't have a lead in New York against the Senator from Arizona? Wow. That's the news.

Second, relax ... it's only April. As long as our candidate doesn't have high negative ratings (one of our candidates doesn't) we'll be fine in November.
Pat, that poll was taken with condi Rice on the ticket and we all know that's next to impossible for John McCain to win NY!!!

I live in NY just like you.
Let's be real here. The support of the Democratic establishment in PA means a heck of a lot more than it does in Utah. Dems will NEVER win Utah, and we will NEVER win most of the states Obama has won throughout these primaries. His landslide victories will mean nothing in November and we'll lose the election to McCain.
Why aren't you guys reporting on the add-on Supers Obama gained over the weekend?  Other web sites keeping track now has the gap down to about 25 Supers.
Let's be real here. The support of the Democratic establishment in PA means a heck of a lot more than it does in Utah. Dems will NEVER win Utah, and we will NEVER win most of the states Obama has won throughout these primaries. His landslide victories will mean nothing in November and we'll lose the election to McCain.
First Read: Have you subtracted the Hispanic delegate from IL that Obama forced to resign since she called black boys in a tree "monkeys"?  Goodbye Hispanic vote; add that to Italians, typical white people and Jewish voters.
Tit-for-tat with the superdelegates, huh? I'm so ready for this nomination fight to be over.

I'm leaning toward Obama, but I make nothing of any polls concerning general election matchups. It's too early to tell how things will shake out. Frankly, I think the majority of Americans want to reduce the number of wars we're fighting so that money can be spent at home. Therefore, I can't see a majority of Americans voting for McWar, aka old man McCain.
Pat huntington ny, it's the CLINTONS who are talking electoral college. You are so interested in what Obama supporters think about a poll, why not ask what Clintons supporters think about the 10% Obama lead amond dems in the Gallup poll.

Nuance is the Clintons best friend.
Pat in Huntington

Were these the same pollsters who said Obama would beat Hillary in New Hampshire?

Pat hungtinton ny.... Ask me what I make of the real issues of ending the war, bolstering the economy and getting healthcare for americans even with pre-existing conditions. Rather, ask McCain...
Ha Ha Ha ... The Obama train keeps rolling .Drip Drip Drip ... the Clintons are slowly but surely on their way out.
Save face Billary ...SAVE FACE before you get creamed !
Step Down ... you still may have a shot at VP ... but if the kitchen sink keeps going then you'll be on the trenches just like Huckabee and Romney.
Pat: in response to your question, it has a lot to do with your idiot senator's inability to bow out gracefully.
"And one candidate is ready, willing and able to end the war and to rebuild our military while honoring our soldiers and our veterans."

Who will end the war sooner and bring back the troops?

http://www.youpolls.com/details.asp?pid=2063

.

Barack Hussein Obama is unelectable.

Hillary Rodham Clinton is electable.

Hillary has already proven she can win big in the big electoral rich states such as Ohio, where Obama outspent Hillary 4 to 1 yet he won only 5 out of 88 counties,those with large black voter turnout. If you cannot win Ohio, you cannot win the Presidency. Today, in Ohio, Hillary beats McCain by 10 points, while Obama ties or loses to McCain in Ohio. Same story in state after state, Michigan, Florida, New York, Penn. etc.

What would ML King, who fought for voter rights think of Obama's attempts to disenfranchise voters in Florida and Michigan? The Democratic nominee will not be legitimate if they don't count these two states that Dems must win in November.

The superdelegates need to do the right thing for the party and nominate Hillary Rodham Clinton. If they foolishly nominate Obama,it will drag the entire ticket down and result in a crushing defeat for the Dems in November. Obama does not belong on the ticket at all, Hillary needs to choose a white male with strong national security credentials for the most unbeatable ticket.

Check out the Obama scandals on Antoin Rezko, Crown, Exelon, Odinga, Emil Jones, "pastors" Wright, Moss and Meeks, and of course, Auchi, really scary stuff. Any ONE of these scandals is enough to make Obama unelectable, combined they are lethal to his campaign. Ask Obama's campaign manager David Axelrod about Auchi. If we had any investigative journalists anymore they should be reporting on these very serious scandals of Obama.

Why is the corporate owned media relentlessly promoting Obama 24/7? They want him to be the nominee because they know he's unelectable.

WAKE UP DEM VOTERS! DON'T BE PLAYED BY THE MEDIA AGAIN!

*VOTE SMART! VOTE PATRIOTIC! VOTE HILLARY CLINTON!*

Nope, not at all Pat.  And Pat, if we ran the election based on polls 6 months out, Hillary Clinton would have had the nomination wrapped up in January.   Seems as though something got off track.   McBush can't win in the fall.  Whoever is the Dem nominee is going to win, even though a lot of Obama supporters would stay home because they would have a tough time choosing between someone who lies about her resume and a man completely out of touch with the reality of Iraq.
Chuck, it seems a lot of superdelegates are fleeing from Hillary because she disparaged their states and called them states that don't count. In other words, any Obama won state does not count, but Hillary won states do. This speaks pure self-centeredness that superdelegates cannot overlook.
Thanks for keeping us updated on the superdelegates. I wish you also reproted the endorsements of unions this week and last week, though.
Actually, it's hillary that is always saying that. Does anybody really think that Texas would go to hillary in a general election?
If you post about "recent polls" here, cite them.  Everyone knows how much trash is out here.  So if you want to be found credible, make you case - don't just through numbers you're not even quoting out.

And anyone who truely believes that McCain could win a contest v. any dem is out of their mind.  As is any dem that would vote for McCain if either dem loses the nomination.  Seriously - if there is such a thing as political ideology then a democrat couldn't possible in good faith vote republican - even McCain.
Pat, while Clinton wins by only two. Once this dem nomination is decided, either way, McCain will be down by double digits to the dem nominee in NY. And I don't think that anyone in the Obama campaign would suggest that Utah is in play. Anyone.
When Obama wins the Democratic nomination he will inherit the powerful services of Bill Clinton and Al Gore who will campaign their hearts out to put a Democrat back in the office of the Presidency. Don't worry about New York, Pat.
When Obama wins the Democratic nomination he will inherit the powerful services of Bill Clinton and Al Gore who will campaign their hearts out to put a Democrat back in the office of the Presidency. Don't worry about New York, Pat.
No Pat Huntington, I don't think it means he will win tat state. The superdelegate backing him has more to do with being disenchanted by Hillary's bashing of red states and states that Obama won. Superdelegates are not idiots and will judge you by your actions and qualities, unlike most of Hillary's backers.
Pat - I would say that because Sen Obama is not well known here -- I'm from upstate NY - people are not sure about him yet.  But I can also tell you, just from talking and listening to friends and acquaintances, that there is tremendous interest in him - he has a lot of respect from people in this area -- which by the way, is a extremely conservative, rural area.  I think that the more people hear from him and about him -- the more support he will get.

Just travelling around this area -- I'm starting to see Obama signs sprout up on people's front lawns.  I have yet to see 1 sign in support for Hillary OR John McCain.  Believe me, I am pleasantly surprised to see this.

So, I wouldn't be too sure Pat that Sen Obama would lose in NY -- I wouldn't be too sure of that at all.

Obama '08

So long as Hillary is in the race, the State of New York will lean toward McCain against Obama.  Don't think for a minute that if Hillary bows out gracefully (which may not happen) and gets behind Obama that NY will go to McCain.  That is equivalent to saying that Utah will turn blue for Obama.

No more hate. Hillary is a good candidate whose baggage is simply too heavy to carry her to the White House at this time.  No mystery there as it was known long before she began to run that the GOP and the press could eat her alive based on her past.  Her trustworthiness was called into question and this is a serious problem for her campaign as she has frequently been caught in more than minor untruths or misstatements.  Stack onto that a poorly run campaign and her leadership is called into question.  Second major strike.  The public will not support a candidate they don't trust and has demonstrated poor leadership skills.  She did it to herself.  

I had hope for her in the beginning, but she really isn't the right one to be the first woman President.  It is very likely to happen soon, but not for her.  There are and will be better choices.

As a long-since converted Obama supporter, I thank Hillary Clinton for getting the worst issues facing Obama done and gone before the general election.  If the GOP is seen as beating a dead horse over and over again not only will it make the GOP look stupid, it will convince more independents that Obama is the way to go.
NEWS: Hillary will win Pennsylvania with over 12 points and Puerto Rico with about 1.7 millions voters on her side ( In Puerto Rico we take elections very serious) and is party and parade time, we enjoy been par of a process. In Puerto Rico with over 3.5 millions population and over 95% of voters voting Obama will not have a chance.
I think the lies that The Clinton's have been telling the American people have finally caught up to them this time.  Bill got away with his lies in 1992, not this time for Hillary.
Joan, thanks for the feedback. That DC delegate was never on our list in support of Clinton, which is why the number didn't change. Thanks again, as always and keep us honest.
Getting a superdelegate from Utah is always a mixed bag.  Sure the numbers boost is great, but you're always facing having to justify a little bit of crazy.  It'd be like throwing a birthday party and all your Scientology friends come over.  Sure you love the extra presents, but who wants to talk to Travolta for ten minutes?
I would like to know why Obama gets a headline when he gets a superdelegate and when Hillary gets one, it's hidden in the middle of the First Read First Thoughts?  MSNBC shilling for Obama, no, can't be.  
Locked in a race with an uncertain outcome, representatives for both camps this week directed the California Democratic Party to remove dozens of names from the lists of more than 2,000 potential delegates. Party caucuses scheduled for Sunday will elect a slate of delegates for each candidate. Driven by fears that some prospective delegates might be concealing their true allegiances, the campaigns are searching campaign finance data, scouring the Internet and making telephone calls to weed out dubious candidates.

OBAMA HAS KNOCKED OUT 900

CLINTON ONLY 50!
twocanpete: '... Anyway don't they believe that MLK and the Devil are brothers?...'

No, they beleive that Hillary Clinton and the Devil are siblings....

I think it's in the Book of Mormon....
Something about the Anti-Christ....

After the years we've spent with Bushes "misstatements" on the war, economy, etc., it doesn't work well for Hillary to have a "misstatement" problem in addition to her very low trusted rating. She is not credible and the American public don't trust Hillary and the Clinton's in general. We know how they are through our past with them, hearing after hearing after legal matter.

Obama 08
Jose in Colorodo,
I'm really curious about this:  why will he have "no chance" in Puerto Rico?  What is it about HIllary that has Puerto Ricans so enthralled?  Is it the fact she lies about her resume?  Is it the fact that she can't seem to run a national campaign despite having an infrastructure handed to her (from her husband's 8 years in office) and a 3-year headstart on planning?  Precisely what is it?  Really, I'm curious.  Latinos and latinas are brilliant people.  I'm wondering why, according to your claim, they're checking their brains at the door and walking like zombies into the polling booth.
What every person knows that knows American politics knows that whoever wins the nomination will enjoy a 10-20% "bounce" in the polls.
Facts of life.  
Which, as Chuck Todd illustrated so ably is why McCain NEEDS an opponent.  Soon.
WAKE UP DEM VOTERS! DON'T BE PLAYED BY THE MEDIA AGAIN!

*VOTE SMART! VOTE PATRIOTIC! VOTE HILLARY CLINTON!*

James (Sent Thursday, April 10, 2008 10:20 AM)
-----------------------------------------------------

'Patriotic' is your criteria ? I'd vote for McCain then! Since the republicans define patriotism for people like you, you should vote republican as well.

Maybe that's the reason why you are pushing Billary here, huh ? A little closet republican here ?
.
HILLARY LIES --- OBAMA WINS.
.
To all of you for Obama: Obama can't win, Obama is a creature created by the corporate media for their own benefit. Obama without the mainstream media on his side will be a like singing opera in rap audience. You all has been sold an image of poetry. It is well known that the mainstream media is on the way down and they need a character like Obama to increase their rating and revenues. Yes, I know all of you are ignorant of what really is going on. I can't really blame you, but you will learn but I hope is not too late and if you are areal patriot and a Democrat/Liberal????????????
Let's be real here. The support of the Democratic establishment in PA means a heck of a lot more than it does in Utah. Dems will NEVER win Utah, and we will NEVER win most of the states Obama has won throughout these primaries. His landslide victories will mean nothing in November and we'll lose the election to McCain.

Matthew, Philadelphia, PA
-----------------------------------------
Ya.
I remember republicans saying the same thing to Ronald Reagan about Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee & more in 1980.
What is the deal Matthew?
Too scared to try?
Hey, Clinton got another superdelegate. She's almost out of negative numbers in the post-Super Tuesday count.
Wow! I asked a simple question based on something I read in the newspaper today, and I get a lot of nasty responses.  I simply wanted to know what Obama supporters had to say about that poll.  I wasn't saying I believed in it.  I can't fathom NY going to McCain either.  I was just curious as to what the Obama camp's response was. But, as usual, I got snippy sarcastic responses.  You are making it real difficult for this Hillary supporter to embrace your candidate should he get the nomination.  You should stop alienating us like that.
What do the Obama supporters make of the recent poll saying that he would lose to McCain in a head to head in NY?
                 Pat huntington ny
------------------------------------------------------
I'd say that just like his campaign, the Obama camp KNOWS what it'll take to get to the White House and it WON'T be the traditional path that most people take. Obama is different, therefore his path to the White House will also be different. Don't under-estimate the Junior Senator from Illinois......that was (one of) Hillary's mistakes (she has too many to mention here).
"Barack Hussein Obama is unelectable.

Hillary Rodham Clinton is electable"
-----------------------------
Ya James,
We have been witnesses to the power of your prophecy since January.


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