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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC Political Researcher



Delegate Update: Obama 2, Clinton 1

Posted: Wednesday, April 30, 2008 11:23 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
A small wave of superdelegate endorsements this morning. We mentioned Rep. Bruce Braley (IA) in First Thoughts for Obama. In addition, Obama picked up the endorsement of congressman Baron Hill. Clinton also picked up one -- Pennsylvania AFL-CIO president Bill George.

Hill represents Indiana's hotly contested ninth congressional district. Hill is a former Indiana high school basketball star who is in the Indiana Basketball Hall of Fame, alongside NBA legend Larry Bird.

Here's how the numbers shake out:
SUPERDELEGATES: Clinton 267, Obama 246 (282 uncommitted)
PLEDGED: Obama 1,490-1,334
OVERALL: Obama 1,736-1,601

Since Pennsylvania, it's Obama 9-5 in superdelegates.
Here's how those break out:
CLINTON (5): Bill George (PA DNC), Rep. Ike Skelton (MO), Gov. Mike Easley (NC), Kathy Sullivan (NH add on), Rep. John Tanner (TN).

OBAMA (9): Rep. Baron Hill (IN), Rep. Bruce Braley (IA), Rep. Ben Chandler (KY), Richard Machacek (IA), Sen. Jeff Bingaman (NM), Charlene Fernandez (AZ DNC), Rep. David Wu (OR), Audra Ostergard (NE DNC), Gov. Brad Henry (OK).

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Is Larry Bird going to endorse Obama?
Dear Fellow Americans,

Our Great-grand Nation, the United States of America
is and will face very critical "Challenges" in coming
years and decades.

The Problems will be tough and solutions would not
easy.

The key will the cool, calm, and collectedness of our
next President[ What I call Presidential Temperament'
The one remaining candidate who has consistently that
Presidential Temperament is Senator Obama.

His message of change makes sense. We have to stop
doing business in Washington old ways. The new ways of
lifting each other up and stopping tearing each other
down will not held our Great grand Nation. The
Terrorists around the world[real] and inadvertently
assisted by some shortsighted media [Who are party to
this perpetuation of psychological terrorism of
mis-information, dis-information, and duplicity], that
is what we do not need.

In order to send the message around the world that
America is get Senator Obama our next president. At
least on thing he has shown consistently is the
presidential Temperament. The Temperament of our next
president is very critical address internal and
internal challenges. Let us defeat real external
terrorists snd internal psychological terrorists once
for all.

God Bless out Great grand Nation, its diverse people,
and Senator Obama. He is the ans her to our future
stability, security, safety, and regain our status in
the world.

Yours truly,

COL.[retd] A.M.Khajawall
Disables American Veteran.
Las Vegas Nevada.


       
Drip, drip...

The drips still favor Obama.  

http://thepajamapundit.com/
"Stop The Drama: Vote For Obama"
OBAMA '08
Ok SUPERDELEGATES, now is the time to roll out your votes.

Let`s get this thing over with, we are waiting on you.

Go Obama '08
Obama and Clinton look like the rats they are, feeding off the scraps at the table. Disgusting.
buckle up! it's gonna be a bumpy ride! as the supers start chiming in it's signaling the begining of the end. But for who?
Drip, drip, drip, drip. Go Obama.
Thank you Baron Hill.  Obama showed courage yesterday and he will show courage when it comes to American Domestic/Foreign policies.

Lets turn the page for a brighter future.

Obama '08
Ouch

Every delegate for Obama hurts Clinton doubly:

1. It helps him maintain his lead over her

2. It reduces the available pool of delegates that could potentially tip the scales in her favor

Every day that percentage of reminaing delagtes that she would need to "win" the nomination becomes higher

I wish she could read the writing on the wall and gt out before she does any more damage, but I fear that she is too stubborn to leave even after Obama has the nomination sealed

***HEY MSNBC***

That's a meaningful stat that I'd really like to see . . . what is the percentage of remaining delegates that Clinton would need to reach the magic number???
288 to go ... but who's counting?

What's the forecast for elected add-ons? Are there still about 60? They should break about 2-1 for Obama, shouldn't they? I presume these are chosen by state conventions (and since the states have gone 2-1 for Obama...), but no one has really explained the process.
DId Obama fool people in Indiana by playing bball? This is worse pandering than Hillary and the Royal Crown whiskey. He's the most condescending and fake politician I've ever seen campaign. His "outrage" seemed so filled with nonchalance. Compare that to Bill Clinton's outrage when the federal building in Oklahoma City building was blown up by Timothy McVeigh. You could see the anger, frustration in Clinton's face, his voice, and his words. I didn't see anything from Obama but a politically necessary speech. Timothy McVeigh, I might add, was also a decorated military man so that doesn't mean that Rev. Wright is patriotic because he was a marine. Too many people use that as an excuse to do horrible things.
YaH Baby! Let the tide begin!

It's so funny. On Politicalticker at the CNN website, the clinton supporters were so happy that clinton got one today as well as OBAMA.

News for the CLINTONISTAS: Obama ought to have at least 5 before I leave work today.

Eugene Robinson had the inside info that tells him that Obama has officially opened the flood gates.

OBAMA NATION
Way to go Obama, you need less than 300 delegates to seal the deal......Clinton needs over 400!!!

Obama 08.....Integrity, good judgement, and character matters.....Clinton has none!
Drip, drip, drip...Hillary drowning by water torture.  I love it.
Clearly the superdelegates are doing a much better job of judging Obama than some of you who post on this site. The man has no control over Wright- he wanted to see the best in him and Wright has proven that he does not deserve Obama's faith or friendshoip.
the drip ratio is about 2:1 (Obama:clinton). Congrats Obama!!
I think it's great that there seems to be continued commitments from the superdelegates.  I hope this momentum continues.  I of course hope it continues in Obama's favor...because my hope is his hope which is our hope.
2 Superdelegates per day for Obama -- A slow painful death for Hillary ! Talk about torture !
A picture of Hillary at every SD endorsment for Obama - priceless !
It's only a matter of time .
After the heavy delegate haul in IN and NC ... it will be about how many Obama needs to finish her off .

This race is done on MAY 6th.
I'm Sorry Billary ( not !)
Chuck what I do not understand is that yesterday, the super difference was 21. Today Obama picks 2, clinton 1, and yet the gap is still 21!! how?
Clinton Campaign, and her supporters,

You always throw out Obmama's outspending Hillary as blah blah blah to 1. (Any where from 3-1 to 5-1, as the lying Bill states, but it is actually 2.3 to 1). Money, by the way, you never acknowledge, as that he has earned through massive support of his message.

However, you never face the fact that Hillary is being out endorsed since super Tuesday by 10 to 1. Even through her Pa. win, and the ongoing Wright issue. Why is that?  This is a clear sign that Hillary is the weaker candidate.
"In the landmark civil fraud case against Bill Clinton in Los Angeles, where the former President is charged with defrauding a Hollywood dot com millionaire to help Hillary Clinton obtain more than $1.2 million from him for her 2000 Senate campaign, Los Angeles Superior Court Judge Aurelio Munoz ruled on Friday, April 25 that Hillary Clinton would not be required to testify in a sworn deposition as a material witness in the case until AFTER the November election! ( NOW WHY WOULD THEY WAIT UNTIL AFTER AND ELECTION OH I GET IT THE SAME REASON WHY IT IS NOT BEING REPORTED UPFRONT AND CENTER TAKING OVER ALL THE NEWS NEWTWORKS LIKT THE OBAMA THING I GUES YOU GUYS FEEL THE REV IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN THIS YEAH GUESS YOU DO GIVING US OUR OPINION AGAIN I SEE)

While Bill Clinton, Chelsea Clinton, Al Gore, Ed Rendell, Barabara Streisand, Cher, Stan Lee, Brad Pitt, Mike Wallace, Larry King et al may be called to testify and be deposed starting in May, Hillary alone has been protected from explaining her role in her husband"s fraud charges." TALK ABOUT ASSOCIATION WOW THEY DON'T COME ANY CLOSER THAN A MARRIAGE DO THEY STILL NO MENTION WOW

If the super delegates choose her and the republican release this information, they will be the laughing stock again. There is no way the American people is going to choose her. Another WH impeachment when a Clinton is in office! AND SHE HAS NOT REALIZED NIETHER HAS MANY OF HER SUPPORTERS REALIZED THAT THEY ARE SETTING HER UP TO FALL. CLINTON SUPPORTERS AND HILLARY THER IS NO WAY THEY ARE GOING TO LET YOU TAKE THE PRESIDENCY OPERATION CHOAS IS OUT TO GET YOU. YOU WILL NOT WIN AGAINST MCCAIN BECAUSE BEFORE THEY PUT CLINTON BACK IN OFFICE THEY WILL STAY WITH BUSH AND HIS POLICIES WHICH ARE WORKING FOR THOSE WHO PROFITS FROM THEM. IT IS A SET UP IN THE MOST TRANSPARENT WAY AND YOU ALL CANT SEE THROUGH IT. THEY KNOW THEY WILL GET SOMETHING DIFFERENT IN WASHIGHTON IF OBAMA WINS AND THEY KNOW THAT IF HE IS THE NOMINEE HE WINS SO THEY HAVE TO SPIN N HIM DOWM WITH THIS WRIGHT MESS WHICH IS ALL THEY HAVE JUST THINK ALL THEY HAVE IS THIS REV MESS TO KEEP THE AMERICAN PUBLIC IN THIS LOOP SO THAT NOTHING THAT RULY MATTERS CAN BE APPROACHED LIKE THIS NEWS ARTICLE FOR INSTANCE. WAKE UP AMERICA WAKE UP  
More senators and representatives are outraged at Hillary's energy policy. They remember when Jimmy Carter introduced this same policy from 1977-1980.

We saw gas rationing.  
Oil exploration dropped because there was no longer any incentive. (It's the same reason the Soviet Union fell.)
In 1988, Washington repealed these failed policies. Over the next several years, we saw exploration rise dramatically. It takes 3-5 years for this exploration to impact us. Guess what, that resulted in the low oil prices we saw in the 90's.

Fiscally responsible senators and representatives know Hillary's plan would devastate America for the next decade.
Obama has won more votes, states and elected delegates and will pass Hillary in SuperDelegates. I predict this will be over come May 6th. For all those HIllary supporters saying that Obama should concede! Dream on baby! Not going to happen. Hillary is unelectable! Her camp. is broke, she lies, lies and lies, and she has been married to a liar and cheater for over 20 years! She is terrible judgement and tons of bad associations! That is the truth! We need to get focused on the issues-Gas prices, bringing our people home from the war! NOt this stupid childish b.s. about associations! If you change your vote based upon who canidates associate with, you were never a true supporter to began with.
Obama is SLOW to disown those he disagrees with.

He is SLOW to disown those who disagree with.

He is SLOW to demonize.

He is SLOW to begin unnecessary wars.

Not only is this a virtue, it is a virtue America urgently needs. Even matters for which he is criticized for are often virtues and strengths.
With the latest post Pennsylvania superdelegate counts, is there any need to continue the primaries?  The hand writing is on the wall and senator Clinton should take a cue.  It's all over.
What is it with these dumb-as-rocks Union guys who keeps supporting Clinton?!  She's not this coal-miner's daughter persona that she's tried to fool you into believing she is.  She's not one of you at all.  Her campaign lobbies for the Colombian government, a government that has the most despicable record almost ever against Unions.  They kill organizers in Colombia!  Both of the Clinton's are responsible for the very same NAFTA that most of these industrial states hate.  Let's not forget about all of those Chinese ties as well.  China was given Most Favored Nation status when Bill was President.  Hillary doesn't care anything about Unions, at least until she wants to trick away their vote.  People are so foolish to keep voting against what is actually good for them.  I believe that all of these Union guys need to be marched out front-and-center and explain the true reason for their support.
Looks like another nice day for the markets. Rumors of a recession appear to have been greatly exaggerated.

Keep up the good work President Bush! We're all behind you 100%.
at least the Obama superdelegates understand what the real issues are and don't rely on the media coverage to find out. They know Clinton threatened to nuke Iran, McCain sang about that very thing, and McCain wants to keep us in Iraq indefinitely, war time or not. The media should act responsibly and cover the important issues.
Just one Question who really won Penn State?
The way this is going, this thing will be over almost before NC and Indiana. If these folks had acted faster, the Press Corp and Barbara Reynolds would not have dragged out Wright to come rant, and Julian Bond of NAACP would not have dragged him out to come rant. (Hint: both of those two folks have publicly supported Clinton). Powerful and ruthless dynasty in action.
Barack showed his metal yesterday.  He showed that he is truly electable!  Good score today...keep kicking a** and more Supers will come.
Great 2-1 Obama.... Still looking good for Obama....

Super D's way to go....

Obama 08
Superdelegates know that there must be something to the Right-Wing supporting Clinton, even running ads to make her win.  The Right-Wing know that Obama will trounce McCain in the GE.

Drip..Drip..Drip
Thank-you Congressman Braley.
Thank-you Congressman Hill.

And the supers continue to break Obama's way!!

What's Billary's next ploy going to be? - especially now that the Wright bomb has been defused?...

WAIT! - I know!... It's pander pander pander!!...

Support the insane gas tax holiday idea!... An idea that Hi-LIAR-y claims she can pay for... How can she say that?... Last I checked a single senator from NY does not get to unilaterally change the windfall profit tax laws/rules?
All that momentum Clinton is riding out of Pennsylvania is almost overwhelming isn't it?
Educated upper class voters are backing Obama. Gosh, he probably has a disease or something. What matters is how people with high school education or less vote.

California and NewYork supports democrats but who cares. What matters is how the heartland votes.

Seriously, all this focus on Wright and the white working class is a joke. Please focus on the issues.
It has been reported that Clinton's Chief Strategist Geoff Garin called for a violent revolution in the US.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/04/30/geoff-garin-clinton-chief_n_99336.html

Why is this not on TV?  If this was an Obama supporter, that would have been all over the place.
Drip, drip, drip. Bye bye to the political leader for lies, dishonesty, lack of integrity, and trust. Hillary is what is NOT needed in DC.How sweet it is..."Hit the Road, Jack"
Magic Number: 73.5

73.5 of the remaining 282 uncommitted.

That's the number of Super's Obama needs to get to lock up the nomination assuming the remaning contests result in split elected delegates (very possible).  Adjust that number up or down by 0.5 for each elected delegate difference in future contests, and 1 for each super that commits to Obama.

So if Obama gains, say, 8 delegates out of NC/IN, it would reduce by 4 to 69.5.

Once that number hits 0, it's officially over.
Nation:1 Clinton:0
Drip, Drip, Drip.....
drip drip drip...
I hope that the delegates wait until the primaries are over. After that there should be accurate polling that would indicate which of the two nominees has the best chance of defeating McCain in November.
Drip, drip, drip...Keep them coming Obama!!! So much for the "tide turning"  

Obama 08'
We'll keep taking 2 at a time to her 1 until it's over I guess! This needs to end now, people! Make Obama the nominee so we can concentrate on McCain.


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