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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Obama up seven in NC

Posted: Thursday, May 01, 2008 5:39 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
The second poll today is out showing Obama up just seven points in North Carolina, down from his double-digit leads leading up to the primary. (Mason-Dixon was the other).

A Research 2000 poll shows Obama with a 51%-44% lead. (The Mason-Dixon poll did not show him breaking 50%.) Just 3% said they were undecided. Looking inside the poll, Obama's lead is buffeted by his support among men, 56%-38% and is virtually tied among women, trailing 49%-47%.

Obama gets 30% of the white vote (66%-30%), higher than he got in South Carolina and other southern states, per exit polls. And he pulls similar figures among blacks as he has in other states, 88%-5%. The poll also indicates Obama needs to have a large turnout among younger voters. He gets trounced with the over-60 crowd, 59%-35%. He is virtually tied with the 45-49 group, 50%-46% for Clinton. He leads by wide margins with the under-50 groups: 30-44 (55%-40%); 18-29 (67%-29%).

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DRIP, DRIP, DRIP The real Obama is emerging and we have only seen the tip of the iceburg!!!!
unfortunately Huffingtonpost has already been discredited for their blunt pro-obama. I don't trust anything those people write there about Hillary. Also, I convinced my sister to vote for Clinton. She was very sympathetic with Obama after reading his book. All I told her was stop reading or listening to Obama and his supporters, do a little bit research on line, and you will get different opinion. And that's what she did. Both of us agreed, Obama is a good person, but not qualified for the job.
Please young people go out and vote!
Please report on Paul V Clinton lawsuit.
Just who at MSNBC is not on the Obama payroll?
The teleresearch poll came out today for the Indiana Primary and clinton is ahead by 10 percent And it shows Obama support dropping everyday over the 5 day period the poll was taken. I think she will WIN North Carolina too!
http://www.theindychannel.com/politics/16106143/detail.html
Can't wait to see all the little Obama-kiddies crying in their Root Beer on Tuesday night when Hillary sweeps both IN and NC !!  Hiullary up +2 in one poll already, and will be ahead in all by Monday!
I just have to say it is just sad what has happened to Obama in this presidential election, all the mud that Hillary and her husband who once claimed to be "black" has thrown at him and who single handedly made this presidential election about race. In the Wright's rant case I don't understand what the heck is going on! This is America and the basic first amendment rights allows you freedom of speech and freedom to worship a frog if you want to, but I assume freedom of speech only applies to WHITE PEOPLE, because a black persons cannot utter a phrase without fearing of backlash from WHITE PEOPLE. WRIGHT is entitled to his opinion, how is he responsible and why has he been linked continuously with Obama when Obama has strongly (which he should not have to do, because he is an adult) disagree with him. There is a story of some guy endorsing McCain and he calls the catholic church a whore and it is immediately swept under the rug and then people are like this guy endorses McCain and Mccain accepts his endorsement Obama former pastor hasn't even formally endorsed Obama, but everyone is quick to say oh but that different! Of course its different white people can do whatever they want and black people can't. I think Obama is too good for this race. This race is for old corrupt white people who can't keep up with the daily event. Computer get redundant, cars, old people on the job etc so why not old people in politics. Hillary should be home finally catching up on postmenopausal sex with Bill and asking Chelsea for grandbabies and McCain...well he'll croak in a few months. The American people does not have the ability to think for themselves, they believe everything that the media tells them. The media has and will always have its own private agenda and that would involve…ratings, ratings and lets not forget the sponsor. It is sad that this is the year 2008 and black people still do not have a voice in America. Wright is free to say whatever he wants and Obama should not be judge by it. Obama has an enormous amount of young people ‘the future of this country’ following him and voting for him and if he is not the democratic presidential nominee then I for one will not even vote, I wouldn’t care what happens because quite frankly I do not think either Hillary or McCain can run this country they are too corrupt to make a difference. If Obama is not in it then I am quite sure that McCain will win the election because the young people and lovely white men who don’t care anything about colour will either not vote or they’ll vote for McCain. McCain should know that he is too old to be running, but I would rather see him win than that turncoat Hillary and Bill. American politics has become a laughing stock to the rest of the world. The media is not covering the real issues that we as Americans face today such as I don't know THE RECESSION, THE WARS, THE WARS, THE WARS, HEALTHCARE, instead we are delving into the candidates personal lives...its crazy, but then again we are a society that tells young women that they need to be a size zero in order to be beautiful go figures!!
TO ALL THE OBAMA SUPPORTERS - SPECIALLY INDIANA & NO. CAROLINA SUPPORTERS.

Since the media is refusing to reveal/report the Paul vs Clinton fraud case in court right now, we need to create our own movement and flood every blog on CNN and every blogging website on the World Wide Web with information from the case regardless of what the topic is. For those that don't know - Google Paul vs Clinton and hold on to your shirt with what you read!!

OBAMANACS UNITE!!! LET'S DO THIS!!

http://www.paulvclinton.com/pp_complaint_022504_njw.pdf
I don't understand how she gets to skate with her nuclar attact on Iran.She says she wants to bring troops home and then shes bombing other countrys.can"t have it both ways.She will say anything to win.Can"t trust her.I'm for Barack  Susan-Sparks,nv.
I have decade of political experience and I am son of a politician. I know this Democratic darama is based on race. I have carefully scrutinize Dr. Martin Luther case and I found that America is willing and determined to do whatever contradics with it. Democratic Party is most liberal party in America and I am shock to see this nasty third world contry politics in it.
If that is Mickey Kantor, First Read, do your duty.  I want to know what he means by what he has just said: "Indiana, it doesn't matter.  Those people are S**t."

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e-MzByUHIzw&feature=email
Polls lag.  These polls represent the feelings of voters 2-3 days ago.  After winning super dels since PA's "big loss", denouncing Wright, making the right/tough stance on gas taxes, and getting the Joe Andrew endorsement (and letter), he'll go into May 6 with momentum and beat the lowered expectations.  

Obama's only real issue right now is that the MSNBC news shows can't seem to realize that the Wright story is over.  They can't seem to talk about anything else.  Race For the White House has talked about NOTHING else for days.  Horrible.  
how is the Paul v Clinton case not being reported by the MSM at least somewhat?  seriously people, get your heads out of the sand.  they can ignore it now, but it will be much more difficult to ignore once the depositions start in about a month.  

i mean, HRC could possibly go to jail for up to 5 years for this.  sounds very newsworthy to me...
This is in response to Mr. This network doen't have to gutts to put that on! You need to go somewher else. This probably won't get posted either. They are in Clintons back pocket.
Interesting. Had the poll numbers originally showed Hillary with a double digit lead that slipped to 7, MSNBC would have read Hillary Down 7 ## in NC.

As a news organization, you folks have not credibility.
It seems as though Obama supporters are not on the same level as Obama himself. He stays above the fray and lets his little minions (Obamaniacs) do the negative dirty work. So much for change. It's the same old stuff. Nothing has changed, only the candidates name.
Wonder if Obama made any promises to the elite fund raisers in San Fran. The ones who doled out $2300 each to attend Getty's house, where he made the clinging comment.
Yes, Obama is certainly the Wright man for the job! I mean, he was able to sit for 20 years in the pews and not hear a word Rev Wright said against Jews and others in America. He disinvited the Rev. to his announcement, by sending him to the basement of his house to pray with Michelle and the kids. Out of sight, out of mind!
He works with a known member of a homegrown terrorist organization, who felt he should have done more attacks while he was a member.
He throws his White grandmother under the bus to save his political career.
He ensures no one can oppose him during his run for the State Senate.
After he was elected to the senate he said he would not run for President as he woudl have to start his campaign before he took his senate seat, yet that is ezxactly what he does. So, basically he is acting like a normal politician.
At least with Hillary, you know what's coming, and she showed she can take a lot more punches than Him.
Obama's campaign team goes negative all the time, yet whines when someone goes negative against Obama, and calls it racist.Now Obama cult members feel they need to bring up the Paul thing even though it hasn't gone through the court process. I guess Innocent until proven guilty doesn't apply in the DEMOCRATIC party after all.
HRC is closing in based on the NC polls, and by rights, she should be at least 15 down. Curious to see the spin if Obama only wins by single digits!
:)

I hope that some Obama supporter read what they write. Let's have a CIVIL disagreement.

Hillary 08! :)


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