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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Bill, small-town ambassador

Posted: Monday, May 05, 2008 1:02 PM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC/NJ’s Carrie Dann
Here are some quick hits about Bill Clinton's courting of rural voters:

1. Stunning stat of the week: By tomorrow, he will have done almost
100 events in Indiana and North Carolina combined. (At least 52 in NC, not counting tomorrow's stops at polling places, and more than 40 in Indiana.)

 

VIDEO: NBC's Carrie Dann talks with MSNBC's Tamron Hall about former President Bill Clinton new niche — an exhausting schedule campaigning for his wife in small towns throughout America.

2. Most events ever: Today's nine-event marathon is his longest ever, but doing six or seven events in a day is typical for the former president. Almost always, these towns have populations of less than 40,000, and events are frequently held on front porches (yes, you read that right -- porches), as well as in high school auditoriums, train depots and town squares. People line the streets waiting for him, and often camp out in lawn chairs at the daytime outdoor events. At some events in NC, a smoking BBQ pig is ripe for the pickin’ and bluegrass bands entertain the crowds. (Read more on Bill Clinton as Small Town Ambassador.)

3. Texas, part two? It's important to note that this primary sprint is not the first one that’s seen Clinton work this hard. He did a comparable number of stops in Texas and PA, and quite a few in OH. To get really in the weeds, NC looks a lot like Texas, part two because the whole Clinton field team from TX, led by operative Ace Smith, is in the Tar Heel State now. 

4. Best of Bill: Here are some of the best bites from Bill courting rural voters:
LENOIR, N.C. -- “All the people that aren't for Hillary, who think that, you know, we're a little too connected to folks like you, they have made merciless, unmerciful fun of me about this. ‘Bill Clinton's out there in the country, exiled to the country.’ I grew up in the country. I know where I am and I wanna be right here.”

NEW BERN, N.C. -- “I love that sign. And if North Carolina wants Hillary, and you elect her, she'll be the nominee and the next president of United States. That’s up to you. She would not be here today but for rural America. In Missouri, 109 of the 114 counties voted for her. In Arkansas, 72 of 75 counties. In Texas, 230 of 254 counties. A sweep in the  rural areas of Ohio. The people in small towns in rural America, who do the work for America, and represent the backbone and the values of this country, they are the people that are carrying her through in this nomination.”

WHITEVILLE, N.C. -- "Just remember this, she got this far because of people like you. And if you show up and you vote for her, in big enough percentages and big enough numbers she'll go right on. …She's gonna end this thing roaring. And what are they gonna say if she wins the popular vote? 'I'm sorry we are gonna give it to the caucus states that are going Republican in November?.’ No. So all these people tell you she can't win and that are rushin' to get all the people to declare for it, to send it off, to cut you off, and stomp your voice, don't you believe them. You are still in the driver seat. "

For some context on just how small these towns are, here are population breakdowns, according to 2006 U.S. Census estimates:

Elizabeth City, 19,056
New Bern, 27,650
Jacksonville, 69,688
Smithfield, 12,271
Louisburg, 3,726
Zebulon, 4,329
Henderson, 16,204
Roxboro, 8,732

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Comments

The Clinton's made the Democratic Party - Obama is destroying it - Obama drop out before you whimp out - MORE.
Bill is the Best ever!


Go Hillary!!

Hillary/08!!!
Bill must be from the country ...he's so full of bull.
So, who said they didn't want Bill to be in the country.  I am OK with him being there.  I just don't want him and his corrupt wife in the White House.  They pardoned enough terrorists already.  Stay in the country, Bill.  No problem!

Obama in 2008.  Integrity matters and the Clintons have none.  
It's never to late..hillaryclinton.com . Come for a free trial offer visit today.Operators are standing by.
2 more supers for Obama, dangit msnbc, do I have to do your job for you ...
Lol, so much for getting this posted

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0508/Two_MD_supers_for_Obama.html
Is there an MSNBC reporter covering Obama.  The Bill Clinton reporter is giving Bill Clinton more coverage than either candidate...but clearly this is a media advantage for Hillary Clinton, the candidate.  I'm not one to expect things to be even but this seems more than a little one-sided.

And also driving the point home with how much more BILL can we take??!!
I'm sorry, but the majority of this country is not made up of "RURAL AMERICA" I am getting sick and tired of feeling like I should be a LOW CLASS, NON-EDUCATED, STRAW-CHEWIN', REDNECK!!!!!  I was raised with class and dignity, went to the finest schools, and like the millions of other people in this country should have a voice.
If you think the media is being unfair to Obama, you have to read this. Al Hit the Nail on the Head!

An excellent article by Al Giordano,

I turn on the TV, read the political columnists (and a significant number of analytically-challenged bloggers, too) and all I hear is a bunch of white folk prattling on about their favorite narrative: "Obama's losing white voters!"

They've swallowed the Clinton racially-obsessed spin, hook, line and sinker. Some, because they are gullible, haven't an original idea in their little pea brains, and follow the pack of what everybody else is talking about. Others, because they like to toss around knowing falsehoods. Nary a superdelegate can go on Fox News without being berated by an anchorperson screeching (this is pretty close to an exact quote): "But your duty as a superdelegate is to select the most electable and that's Hillary Clinton!" That these anchorpersons are Republican partisans openly cheering for Senator Clinton is our first clue of the game afoot. One of the major successes of Rush Limbaugh's Operation Chaos is that it has got all the right-wing pundits and reporters marching lockstep behind the effort to give Clinton enough oxygen to keep slashing away at Senator Obama, who remains the prohibitive likely Democratic nominee.

And when Clinton wins state primaries that, because of demographics, she was always going to win - last week, Pennsylvania and next week, Indiana - they then wave that event up like a blood-soaked flag as proof of their narrative: See? See? We told you so! White people won't vote for Obama!

So imagine my pleasant surprise this morning to see a New York Times columnist, Charles Blow, who did what none of these chattering lunkheads have done. He looked at the hard data of how voters, white and black, view the two Democratic candidates - favorably or negatively? - and how those views have progressed over time. The data is based on multiple CBS-New York Times polls (among the most respected survey outfits among competing pollsters) over two years and more. Check it out:



Nobody - not blogger, nor superdelegate, nor cable news anchor - should open their mouths with another word about this contest until they've studied those graphs and the numbers upon which they are based. Blow explains:

Since January, the Clintons have pummeled Barack Obama with racially tinged comments and questions about his character...
The question is this: Have white Democrats soured on Obama? Apparently not. Although his unfavorable rating from the group is up five percentage points since last summer in polls conducted by The New York Times and CBS News, his favorable rating is up just as much.


Wait. The numbers show that the cynical effort to turn the 2008 campaign into a race riot has hurt the popularity of one candidate among an important demographic, and it's not Barack Obama:

On the other hand, black Democrats' opinion of Hillary Clinton has deteriorated substantially (her favorable rating among them is down 36 percentage points over the same period).
So, to sum up: Look at the damn graphs. You can see that Clinton is in a staggering free-fall among African-American voters, her favorability is down 36 points while 17 percent view her more negatively than before, while Obama's favorable and negative ratings among whites have paired at five point increases. You can even see the small dip - about two percentage points - in his popularity among whites that can be attributed to the news cycles about his ex-pastor, and see that it has leveled out and is now on a straight horizontal line (meanwhile, Clinton's numbers among blacks continue on an extreme downward precipice). The greater context is that even including Obama's slight dip, he's more popular today among white voters than he ever was prior to February.

Not since Ronald Reagan has an American presidential candidate withstood such an assault in the media and seen his popularity not hurt by it, but, rather, galvanized by it. That's what is meant, in politics, by the term "Teflon."

Those facts won't stop many media (and Internet) talking heads from continuing - whether out of gullibility or intentional dishonesty - to prop up the "white voters" narrative, but it ought to inoculate you, kind reader, from believing it.

Don't let yourself get upset when some idiot repeats the false media narrative. Don't plead with them to tell the truth (they won't; remember, they're either stupid or dishonest). Mock them. Ridicule them. Expose them as the lightweights they are showing themselves to be, with all the confidence that understanding the hard data ought to provide you.

Let Operation Anti-Chaos begin!
When are you all going to bother covering Michelle Obama?  Or is Bill the only spouse worth watching?
Obama will win NC by 12% +

Obama will win Indiana by 4% +

Wednseday morning we will see a flood of undeclared Superdelegates endorsing Obama.

This race was and is over.


Where are the quotes from Michelle Obama to balance out this spouse-related coverage? She gave a terrific speech Friday night in NC. Why not share parts of it with readers here, under a similarly fawning headline?
BILLARY can't stand the fact that they might not get back in the White House.  They already had EIGHT YEARS TO SCREW THINGS UP... putting in motion all of the conditions for our economic woes today. INDIANA, NORTH CAROLINA PLEASE PUT OBAMA IN THE WHITE HOUSE!!!!  
Tell it like it is Bill.

It is time to elect a filly and let her run.
I didn't think Bill was running for president again.
With all these glowing reports on Bill from First Read, I thought he was...  
When did Bill start running for President again?

If I had Millions of Dollars and wanted to win Indiana, I would pay for everyones gas for fee, for a day at the pumps.

Of course, I know how to pump gas.

Pandering= Gas tax holiday!

Don't trust a woman who trusts Bill Clinton--remember!

Obama 08
Oh yeah, it won't be a duel presidency. Ha. People are so blind. It's Bill vs. Barack now. I'm ashamed to be a woman because apparently it takes a husband to drag his wife over the finish line in order to be President.
Wow.  Bubba sure can lie with such ease.  This thing is over and he and his wife know it.  The math is not in their favor. http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/delegatecalculator/index.html
Surprise, surprise, 4 stories about Cllinton, none about Obama,  and again Obama is ahead in the Gallup daily tracking poll by 5 points, when Hillary was ahead by one it was a lead item on First Read.  You could at least pretend to be fair
  ************MSNBC*******************

Come one, give us our SUPERDELEGATE update.

Obama's up by 4 today.  What's the holdup?
Who cares?  This is a campaign.  The candidates, surrogates and there supporter campaign to get elected.  Been this way for some time now.  One might even suggest the more campaign stops you make, the more you can get your message out.  This isn't news!
It's so funny how Hill-Billy ignored the working class rural white voters FOR YEARS, and now the $100 million dollar couple is practically begging them for support so they can stay politically relevant.

My, my, my how the tables have turned.

Wake up America, and get these Clinton Clown out of here.
"'I'm sorry we are gonna give it to the caucus states that are going Republican in November?.’ No."

Umm... yes.  If Obama wins the delegate count, he wins the nomination.  Check it out.  DNC rules.

http://thepajamapundit.com/
Bill is working hard now because Hillary "Republican" Clinton screwed up her campaign so bad before February 5th that she's turned from inevitable winner to inevitable loser.  Now he suffers from daily foot-in-mouth disease with his numerous verbal gaffes.  Hillary can only win by clinging to Bill's coattails and hoping people have forgotten his many past screwups while president.

Go Obama!
I listen to Bill Clinto of late , and wonder ? How in the Hell could I have ever voted for this man and saw greatness in him? What happen to the Bill Clinton that I saw? Are all of my Republican Friends right ? that that is the same old Bill just his shine has worn off. I dont know . I do know that I am not impressed with him at all anymore.He pulled the woll from my eyes and threw salt in them instead. Peace Out Bill !!!!!!!!
I've been blogging everyday, all day, since shortly after Mississippi. This Bubba article makes me tired beyond the pale. I'm gonna take a nap.
Do these potential "Hillary voters" even understand that Bill Clinton will NOT be president, but rather first Bubba with WAY too much time on his hands?  

Give me a break, she needs over 77% of the remaining votes and super delegates to win.  

Game over, the fat lady has sung, it's time to unite behind the winner and fight together against the Republican nominee.  

No matter how the "values" voters vote, the gay population will still be 5-10% of the population and they will be living among us as tax paying productive members of society.

No matter how the "values" voters vote, abortion will still be available, for the poor it will be "back alley" and risky, for the rich it will be overseas.  The goal is to make it rare by sensibly teaching prevention along with morals.  

No matter how the "liberal" voters vote, prayer will still be said in school, especially before tests and sporting events.

No matter how the "liberal" voters vote, the second amendment will still allow lawful gun ownership.

So this time, Vote with your head, vote for the economy, vote for the environment, vote for jobs.

Vote Democratic 2008 -- don't let the corporations and their Republican stooges win again.  
Right now Bill is sitting in a doctor's house in a tiny place in NC... didn't get the name.  Get it on the way out.

I am there.

He's been doing his white-boy routine since nobody in the house or yard is black.... oops... the black folks are in the yard!
Go Bill!! We love you!!
Shows all people are important to Hillary even when her opponents try to say otherwise. Bill is doing a super job and in spite again as some would say quite a few still think he is great.The clintons worked there lives for all the people. Didnt get everything down but they are still at it.They dont stand and whine when it is said otherwise they just keep doing all they can. When Obama had things go bad and had to take a weeks vacation Hillary gave important speeches and rallies and got hardly no mention but she worked for all anyway. Now the media is realizing maybe it hasnt been quite so fair afterall.Better late than never i Guess. Keep the pedal to the metal Bill.
"And what are they gonna say if she wins the popular vote? 'I'm sorry we are gonna give it to the caucus states that are going Republican in November?.’"

--------------------------------------------------

Carrying on your theme, "Inconvenient Truth of the Week":

With Indiana and North Carolina on the docket this week I did a little research.  The last time a Democrat carried either state was when Jimmy Carter won Indiana in 1976.  Since then, both states have been stuck on "Red".

Mr. President, you didn't even win either state!


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