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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Obama makes his final pitch

Posted: Monday, May 05, 2008 4:20 PM by Mark Murray

From NBC/NJ's Athena Jones
DURHAM, NC -- With less than 24 hours to go before voters in North Carolina and Indiana hit the polls, Obama summed up the case for his candidacy to an undecided voter at town hall here in the Research Triangle area.

Obama said, in part, that voters found him more trustworthy than his opponent, and he sought to argue that his biggest potential problems -- issues that could cause pause among some voters like his association with Rev. Jeremiah Wright -- had all come out.

The woman said her biggest concern was choosing the most electable candidate. Obama said he was going to try to win her over, and he launched into a long soliloquy on why she should choose him, beginning by talking about the success his campaign had had attracting voters who want to change the old Washington politics and about his belief that the current state of the economy and the country as a whole was an opportunity to gain voters across party lines.

"When 80% of the country says the country is on the wrong track, that means you can attract independents and some Republicans into a coalition to really not just win an election but govern -- and that's been the idea behind this campaign and we've been very successful," he said.

As he has done in recent days at a press conference and in television interviews, Obama acknowledged he had had a rough few weeks, but said he was still going strong, in spite of the bad press. "Once you're a front-runner, then it is, I think, the obligation of the candidates who are behind to try to whack you over the head, and the press is happy to oblige. And so there was a kitchen-sink strategy employed that was throwing a whole bunch of stuff at me, and we made some mistakes -- some self-inflicted and, you know, most recently obviously there's been this furor over remarks of my former pastor which there's no doubt we took a hit on," he said. "But if you think about it, as tough a press month as we've had and as many attempts to knock us off stride as there have been, the fact that we're still standing here and still moving forward towards the nomination, I think, indicates the degree to which the core message of this campaign is the right one: That it's not enough just to replace the party in White House, but we've got to change how politics is done.

He went on to say it was important for the American people to see their president as someone who could be trusted. "I think the majority of people do find me trustworthy, more than they do the other candidate, and we can't solve problems if people don't think that their leaders are telling them the truth," he said "If they think their leader is just saying whatever it is that helps them get to the next election, you can never ask them for sacrifice because they're thinking 'Well I don't want to be played for a sap, a patsy. So there's something about our campaign that's right, that's true and I think can tap into the American people's spirit for change."

The Illinois senator sought to knock down the argument put forth by the Clinton campaign that he could not win big states (like Pennsylvania and California), saying polls showed just the opposite and argued he was be the best candidate to go up against presumptive Republican nominee John McCain on a long list of issues where they disagree, from the economy to Iraq to healthcare to college affordability.

In talking about having maintained strength in some polls, Obama also suggested -- in what seemed like a daring challenge to his critics -- that the problems his opponent could bring up had been exhausted. "Despite the problems we've had in the last month, which basically exhaust my problems -- I mean you know that folks are reaching when the big attack on me is I'm not wearing a flag pin or that I served on a board with a guy who was a member of the Weathermen back in the 1960s, they're reaching, you know. This is the best they could do," he said.

And he tried to shoot down Clinton's contention that she had been vetted, saying the arguments against her would be recycled. "Don't buy into this electability argument," he said in closing. "Go with who you think best represents you vision of where America needs to go. And if you do that, I'm absolutely confident that that person will win. I think this is opportunity to make a clear break from the past."

Many of the questions during the gathering here of some 150 people -- a crowd that was about 80% white, 20% minority -- focused on clean energy, but Obama also touched on the gas tax holiday issue again.

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Seriously, something is very funny with the indiana polls.

Here's the spread on Real Clear Politics: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/in/indiana_democratic_primary-639.html

In Indiana, you can't do automated calls... so how is SurveyUSA, which isn't supposed to have any live call centers, even polling?

This is what the other pollster, InsideAdvantage had to say:

"Consequently, our ability to have accurately polled the winner in most contests this season is hampered by this constraint in Indiana. This is a phone room poll, and phone room polls are now no longer, in my judgment, as reliable as automated polls for horserace contests such as these primaries."

Here's the info http://swingstateofmind.com/?p=56
I keep hearing over and over "if Obama is so good, why can't he close the deal".  Yet isn't the same question true of Clinton?  For as much as she would like to point out that Obama needs "big wins" she certainly hasn't capitalized on her opportunites.   She had a huge war chest and a formidable organization going into the primary season. But she has been unable to catch Obama, much less secure the nomination.  Not only is she not gaining superdelegates as fast she's actually LOSING them to Barak.  Have there actually been any defections from Barak to Hillary?

BTW, since demographics seem to be important, I'm white, female and 50.
Don't be fooled by the smoke screen the media has created aka Jeremiah Wright. Don't be fooled by Hillary's gas tax holiday. Both of these hypes are insults to the intelligence of American voters. Barack Obama has more integrity than any politician yet. Even when that silly little ridiculous man aka Jeremiah Wright played into the hands of Hillary's camp, Obama was dignified and forthright. So what if his x-pastor is a nut? Look at the issues. If we're going to be trivial about matters, who is Hillary associated with? I'll give you a hint...they named a cigar after him.    
Obama and Wright are birds of a feather (like kind).  Their views are the same.  Obama would like to divorce Wright but the fact is he sat in that church for over 20 years.  Yet he expects us to believe that he never heard this stuff.  PLEEEEEEEZE!
Does he think we are dumber than dumb.  It is what it is.  stupid is.......as stupid does. He can thank his endorser Tom Hanks for that one. Forrest Gump wouldn't endorse Obama...he had common sense.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Don't be deceived....Let's ask the Catholics why they are not leaving their parrishes in droves after all of the molestation that has been going on!   FIrst, Obama has said that he didn't attend ALL the time because of his schedule.  
Secondly, I am certain that not EVERY sermon was full of that crap.
Third, Hillary's pastor was convicted of a sexual misconduct crime (no reporting on that)
Laastly, at least he had the decency to not "MISSPEAK" about it.  ("...pinned down under sniper fire...").  I have been under fire and I can tell you from experience that it is something that you definately don't "misspeak" about.  HRC and Monica's ex boyfriend can go to H E double hockey sticks
Announced today by President Bush, ""There is no quick fix to gas prices going higher"". Is this not a cowardly position for Washington to take? Who ever goes to the White House has a very bleak future! Our oil fields are super rich and mega millions of barrels set. Americans are going to suffer more than a stock market crash. At the rate gas price increases you will have to have three jobs, two will be to pay for gas! one to eat!  Put America back to work, Build refineries, Open steel plants,  machine shops, reinvent industry,, Stop Washington from blocking out future, File # 13 the EPA! Get America on the move!! The highways are growing silent as the trucker can't afford fuel, this the nation as we know it will start starving because food will not reach the market! Farmers will become homeless because they can't sell their product!!!!

Take back Washington and banish those who ever are standing in the way!!!

Wake up,, before it is too late!!!
He hasn't been very honest about J. Wright. He hasn't been very honest about Rezko. He hasn't been very honest about Auchi. He hasn't been very honest about Bil Ayers and Bernadine Dhorn. A lot of these issues actually started with his wife. Michelle brought J. Wright and Obama together. Michelle brought Bernadine Dhorn and Obama together. There are more problems left to be seen like Khalidi and Odinga. He hasn't been vetted. Its just the surface.
If we were to believe all the people posting here, you'd think Obama is ahead by 50% in the polls.  All this tells me is Obama supporters post a lot.  Either  they don't work, or they're posting while they should be working.  Me?  My day off.

Clinton 08
Why have you not exposed more of obamas back room politics as usual dealings  such as his Teamsters Union endorsement?
Wright might be right for Obama, but Obama is wrong for the country. think (Sent Monday, May 05, 2008 4:56 PM)

Says who think, you? Since when do you determine who is right for this country and who is not. Yours is a  typical intolerant attitude that believes anyone who does not agree with you is not right for this country. So Rev. Wright made some statements that offended you. So what. It does not remove the fact that Rev. Wright has just as much right to his opinion as you do yours in this country. And don't tell me that this country which unfortunately includes intolerant people as you has at times been intolerant towards others. You are why people like Rev. Wright make the comments they do. They see the hate and intolerance in your soul. The kind that claims to have the exclusive privilege of calling this nation "your country". This is our country think, not just yours. And it is your intolerance that raises questions as to its greatness from time to time. In fact, you, your attitude and your divisive comments are no different then some of those made by Rev. Wright. But I forgot, this is "your" country.    
I am wondering why any of us bother to make these posts.  I read a big percentage of them and they overwhelmingly complain about MSNBC's obsession w/Rev Wright.  They like to say that they are only talking about what people want to hear, but we all know they know exactly how they influence the viewership.  If they had made the decision to focus and talk over and over about a negative of Clinton's then that would have been what people wanted to hear.  Gee, how about talking about the issues and giving some equality in the negative coverage!
I mute my t.v. now because I can't stand to hear the junk comming from MSNBC.  I've never seen a channel other than Fox so pro for one particular candidate.  The sad thing is I used to really like Tim Russert, I can't even watch his show on the weekends anymore.  Chris Matthews is even worse and don't even get me started with David Gregory, he and George Stephenopolous are one and the same.  They both ought to go and do a lap dance for Hillary and get it over with.  They must of had overbearing mothers or something.  Or is it something with short guys?
It's about how many delegates the candidates win, not the total votes. Hillary's camp said so:
http://www.politicalbase.com/profile/Mark%20Nickolas/blog/&blogId=1936
If I were a good reporter, here are some questions I might ask of Hillary:  1) would the oil companies have to pass along the savings to the consumer?  2)is there a windfall profits tax in place to fill in the gap for roads, bridges, etc.?  3)  what is the liklihood of the gas tax holiday being put into effect?  4) what is the liklihood of a windfall profits tax being passed?  5) what would happen if the tax holiday passed and the windfall profits tax didn't?  Those are for starters, and I am no reporter!
I read a lot of blogs, and it amazes me how the Clinton supporters think the media is biased against her and the Obama supporters think the media is biased against him.  Hmmmm, do you think the media may be telling both sides and the supporters just perceive it through their own bias?

By the way, I am an Obama supporter, and I think the media is biased against him.  I rest my case.
speeches cant make you president, mcain will beat him
Electability? Wait till the republicans get ahold of this.  http://noquarterusa.net/blog/


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