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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC Political Researcher



Indiana too early to call

Posted: Tuesday, May 06, 2008 7:00 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

NBC News characterizes Indiana's Democratic primary as too early to call

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Do us a favor, Chuck, and call out McCaullough's lie that Clinton was 15 points back in Indiana.
Not too early. It goes to Hillary. Big time.
OK. So when you have something to tell, tell us then. Please, this is too nerve racking. Have pity.
To Keith Olbermann,

I wanted to watch your coverage of the elections, but when I saw that Matthews, Buchanon, and McCauliffe were on, I had to change to CNN. You don't have to be black or a Southerner to recognize a lynch mob when you see one. I hope MSNBC knows why its ratings are dropping.
Chris and Keith.  Please stop letting the Clinton Campaign define victory.  Terry McAuliffe just said that Obama was ahead by large margins in Indiana and North Carolina and the results tonight will be closer, therefore Hillary has the momentum.  I believe Hillary was ahead by more than 20 points in PA and won by about 12.  The same trend was evident in Texas and Ohio.  So were those now Obama victories because he closed the gap?
As Yoda might say, "Mmm, full of crap McAuliffe is!"

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/in/indiana_democratic_primary-639.html#chart

Average of polls back on 4/3/08 had Clinton by 7 (51-44).

Yeah, no, keep playing the underdog!
Get Chuck Todd on this: After PA Clinton laid claim to the popular vote lead using some fuzzy math.  Even playing by her rules, going by turnout numbers today, what's it look like for the total popular vote?  That was her narrative of choice two weeks ago, and it's only fair to see how it plays out.
James Carville wrote:
Hillary is the tougher of the two, "If she gave him one of her cojones, they'd both have two."

I received an appeal letter from James Carville last week asking me to support the DNC. It went in the trash. I won't answer any more appeals for money for the Democratic party "charities" until it is Barack Obama or a real Democrat doing the asking.  It is disgusting that the Democratic party is using such a crude and biased DINO person for fundraising.
Of course it's too early to call.  In the meantime, here’s a good summary of some reasons to consider supporting Obama.  
Share this with anyone who’s still undecided.
 http://acropolisreview.com/2008/04/top-reasons-to-give-barack-obama-your.html
I like both clinton and obama,And who ever wins it, im voting for. Hope all you dems dont blow this by not voting if the other one wins, there all most the same,we cant afford another REP IN OFFICE  were going to be in bad shape IF THIS HAPPENS !!
I'm going to say 4 very unpopular things:

61% of white women vote for Hillary Clinton.  At least women are paying attention to the issues, and not voting just because HRC is a woman.

98% of blacks vote Obama, because he's half black, and that's close enough for them.

If this keeps up, they will loose to a 71 year old white man that has mental issues and a penchant for being a liar.

Why the frig can't people pay attention to the issues and make a decision based on substance?  Too stupid and don't care, that's my guess.

HRC wins Indiana by 8%
Obama wins North Carolina by double digits.
Tonight doesn't change anything folks!
All my republican freinds at work voted for Hillary.  I know 4 of them.
NBC and CNN already project Obama as the winner in NC - polls just closed a minute ago!
What happened to the argument that she needs to win over 60% of the reamining delegate votes per state?
Oh yeah - she'll say NC is not a "big" state. "I'm more electable" "I'm ready from day one" "I can win the big states" You've had your chance and didn't get it done - Healthcare specifically. Gas tax? You've got to be kidding?

Clinton only says what you want to hear - if she were to be elected President, who do you think would be on her priority list? Wrong - it will be all the interest groups that paid for her to get there.

REV. Wright - did Barack say those comments? Is that all you have?

Clinton's primary voting base is 65+ year olds who are afraid of change. Think of your children and grandchildren please!

Worse - I'm afraid to think what the World would say of (1) our process and (2) who in their right mind would vote for a Lady you couldn't trust any further than you could throw!

Per a previous commentator - I agree - can California re-vote?

Doesn't matter - ITS OVER. Stop thinking of yourself Hillary and focus on the "BIG" picture. You can then sleep-in and not be called at 3am knowing Obama will improve our standing Worldwide and answer that call.

WHY IS IT THAT YOU GUYS JUST CAN;T WAIT TO AUNNOCE THAT
OBAMA WINS BUT CAN'T  SAY THAT HILLARY WON IN INDIANA WHERE SHE'S KICKING HIS ASS.THAT WHY I CAN;Y WAIT FOR HILLARY TO STAY ALL THE WAY TO THE END SCREW WHAT THE MEDUA SAYS
It looks like some rural white voters didn't just vote based on skin color. I live in Virginia, and people here who are white were talking about how silly it was to think of Hillary as someone in touch with rural Americans. I think Obama is making some inroads in the blue collar white vote. That's funny because people in the North always say that Southern whites are the racists. It really depends. Don't place all people in one bracket, you might be surprised.
I am disgusted with MSNBC and CNN both. No votes are counted in NC and you project Obama the winner. 20 percent counted in Indiana and Clinton is up for 15 points and you don't project her the winner. You have no shame.
---> I received an appeal letter from James Carville last week asking me to support the DNC. It went in the trash. I won't answer any more appeals for money for the Democratic party "charities" until it is Barack Obama or a real Democrat doing the asking. <---


If you're quiet, and listen real close, the sound you hear is the Democratic party splitting in half.
No one can win outright today but HRC can lose big time!!!
go hillary & don't give up!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I found it interesting that when Hillary referred to Chelsea in her speech tonight, her question to the crowd was something like "didn't she do a great job?" - rather than "isn't she doing a great job?"  


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