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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Clinton: The post-mortems?

Posted: Thursday, May 08, 2008 9:13 AM by Mark Murray

Time’s Tumulty has the first big post-mortem. She lists five major mistakes made by the Clinton campaign, “each of which compounded the others”:
1 . She misjudged the mood: “Clinton completely misread the mood of Democratic primary voters, who were desperate to turn the page.”
2 . She didn’t master the rules: “Clinton picked her team primarily for their loyalty to her, instead of their mastery of the game.”
3 . She underestimated the caucus states: “While Clinton based her strategy on the big contests, she seemed to virtually overlook states like Minnesota, Nebraska and Kansas, which chose their delegates through caucuses.”
4 . She relied on old money: “Something had happened to fund-raising that Team Clinton didn’t fully grasp: the Internet.” Tumulty writes that Clinton tapped out big donors early on and had trouble recruiting new ones, while Obama encouraged his donors to give in small increments over the web.
5 . She never counted on a long haul: “Clinton’s strategy had been premised on delivering a knockout blow early … What surprised the Obama forces was how long it took her campaign to retool” after Iowa.

The New York Times: “After 16 years, the Clinton era may be coming to an end, presenting Democrats with a historic but potentially wrenching transition and a challenge to Senator Barack Obama as he seeks to reconcile a deeply divided party.”

The Wall Street Journal looks at Obama's financial prowess and notes that one of the reasons he apparently pulled this off.

Clinton "met privately with uncommitted superdelegates in Washington, including Reps. Chris Carney of Pennsylvania and Tim Mahoney of Florida."

NBC/NJ’s Mike Memoli reports that Clinton got a double dose of support last night as she spoke to an enthusiastic crowd of women at a fundraiser that netted more than $1 million for her campaign. Building on a mostly warm reception (there were some Code Pink shenanigans), she swore that there “is no cause for nervousness” in seeing the nomination fight play out. “We will bring our party together because anybody who voted for Sen. Obama or who voted for me has hardly anything in common with Sen. McCain,” she said. “But too many people have fought too hard to see a woman continue in this race, this history making race, and I want everybody to understand that. There is no cause for alarm. Sometimes you gotta calm people down a little bit.”

“When I was counted out in New Hampshire, it was the women of New Hampshire who came back and said no, she’s not finished yet,” Clinton also said. “When I was counted out before Super Tuesday, it was women from California to Massachusetts who came and said no, we’re not finished yet… We have always come back, and it is not so much about my comeback it is about our comeback and more importantly it is about America’s comeback.”

Clinton seemed energized by the crowd, Memoli adds. She came out to “I’m Every Woman,” as many in the audience waved their napkins as if they were Terrible Towels. “I heard it several dozen times as I came in: keep going, keep fighting, don’t quit, stand up for us, be there for us, let's make sure that we have a real opportunity for everyone's voices to be heard, and everyone's votes to be counted,” she said. “And that is what I am doing and I intend to do.”

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I just sipped on a latte today. $3.99. WOW! For this Elitist feeling, I will spend $3.99 everyday!!!

She has a point. Even if she does not win, it shows a woman can come this far. And, like it or not, some women are deeply hurt by this. Soooo.. I hope she can get them to come back to the good side. It will all depend on how Obama handles her, and so far he is doing a good job. Please, no strongarming. Let everything take its course....
It's interesting that there's no mention of Obama's consistently getting 90+ percent of the African-American vote.  Look at the numbers, that's how he won it.  Unfortunately, their numbers aren't proportionately big in the swing states that have decided the last four elections.  The Democrats have, yet again, picked a big city liberal from the North as their flag bearer.  And we know how that turns out.
The Clinton's forgot that 31 year old Obama helped Clinton/Gore carry Illinois in 1993.  Read this article:

Article, Jan 1993 – “Vote of Confidence” – 31 year old Obama
http://www.chicagomag.com/Chicago-Magazine/January-1993/Vote-of-Confidence/

She underestimated his management ability and his nack for organizing people.  That is how he sailed right past her on Super Tuesday and she hasn't caught up since.  It was not inevitiable, it was going to require hard work and the Obama campaign expects hard work.

She lost back on February 5th.  DISPITE WHAT THE MEDIA SAYS, THAT IS WHEN HE CLOSED THE DEAL.
Hillary's biggest mistake was hiring Mark Penn, a truly slovenly disgusting man to run her campaign and agreeing with his strategy or lack of intelligent strategy.
I too am woman. Hear me roar. Helen Reddy helped me through the pain of divorce and establishment of my career. That was in the 70's. This is 2006.
It appears that Senator Clinton is not only willing to splinter the Democratic Party, she is willing to do it to the entire female population.
Doesn't she get that besmirching Senator Obama increases the chances of Senator McCain .. and there goes Roe v Wade.
Hillary won all the big states...Ohio, Penns, Texas, Indiana, New York, New Jersey...Florida and Michigan too...she can defeat McCain...Obama cannot.
that's all that needs to be said...the republicans are loving this..they will face they want and will win again.
Surprisingly, I didn't see her biggest "mistake" mentioned anywhere above -- she voted to authorize the Iraq war in 2002 and never really repudiated the vote. I believe she made the decision to vote for the war authorization based partially on the "conventional wisdom" that a female candidate had to appear tougher than a male, but, whatever the reason, she took a calculated risk that backfired. If she had opposed the resolution then, or even repudiated her vote as did Edwards, she would be the nominee by now.    
#1. She remembers bringing peace and prosperity to this country. She thought we wanted that again.
#2. She was loyal to those who had helped in the past.
#3. She realized where her strengths were and worked with that.
#4. She relied on tried and true methods of fund raising. Now she is spending her own money and not that of the people to support her cause.
#5. She trustted those around her to be as loyal to her as she was to them. Now they are leaving her for something that glitters but may not be gold. Obama is no JFK.

Incidently, Michigan announced yesterday it will proportion its delegates in favor of Hillary. Why? Because the people feel she represents our majority.  
I would like to give a bit of insight to the women that attended Clinton's fundraiser....first, yes the time has come that a woman can be elected to the highest office of the land.  That being said, with being the 'first' in anything that women break through that "glass ceiling" comes a responsibility to all women that follow.  What Hillary has shown me in the past 6 weeks of this campaign is that she is definitely the WRONG woman to be our first female President.  

If President Hillary's management style of 'in your face', my way or the highway, win at any cost, take no prisoners, no compromise, not listening to experts (i.e. economists and the gas holiday)....would 1) lead to her accomplishing nothing, 2) a one term Prez, 3) set the gains enjoyed in the woman's movement back a generation.

Hillary is the wrong woman to be the 'first'.
To jerr in corpus christi-

what does operating a coffee pot have to do with running the country? or is that something that women should do?
It is disheartening to see the denial of people to change, Senator clinton is clueless regarding math and statistcs and still she has expectations that the next states that have 91% white population will vote for her, she has dissappointed and shamed citizen in general with her behavior. She is dividing the country by exploiting the negative emotions of people.


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