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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC Political Researcher



Upcoming contests: Excitement in WV

Posted: Monday, May 12, 2008 9:08 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

WEST VIRGINIA: The AP previews the primary and notes, "The excitement is showing at the ballot box as well. Even before the final day of early voting Saturday, Secretary of State Betty Ireland reported that a record 49,892 West Virginians had cast ballots."

The New York Times covers Clinton stumping in West Virginia yesterday. “On Mother’s Day, Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton was not served breakfast in bed. She did not go to a fancy lunch, or get to be queen for a day. Instead, she rose early and spent a 16-hour day slogging through a cold rain in West Virginia, the next state on her to-do list… The Mother’s Day weekend afforded the former first lady, accompanied by her daughter, Chelsea, the chance to remind voters of her unique qualifications in this election — not just as a woman, but as a mother. That she is a mother, with such an obvious bond with her daughter, both humanizes her and signals to women that she understands their concerns, their pressures — and their pride.”

It may be late, but Clinton is once again trying to turn her candidacy into a movement with women. Per NBC/NJ's Mike Memoli, Clinton closed her West Virginia event yesterday by reading an email she received. “Happy Mother’s Day,” the woman wrote to Clinton. “Hopefully I’ll be wishing you one next year as president. You have already succeeded at the world’s hardest job, being a mother. The second hardest job should be a breeze for you.”

KENTUCKY: A new Lexington Herald-Leader/WKYT-TV/Research 2000 poll has Clinton leading in Kentucky, 58%-31%.

Obama has a new TV ad running in Kentucky that talks about his support of coal. “He came to southern Illinois and seen the devastation and the loss of the jobs in the coal industry," said Randy Henry, who is identified as a miner for 31 years. "Washington, D.C., is not listening to us. Barack understands it." More: “The commercial highlights Obama's key accomplishment as pushing a provision in 2007 to provide $200 million for clean coal technology. The proposal -- sponsored by Obama and four others, including Kentucky Republican U.S. Sen. Jim Bunning -- was passed unanimously as an amendment to the 2008 budget resolution."

Also: "The Republican National Committee, however, criticized Obama's energy policy for restricting job growth in the coal industry. ‘Barack Obama is telling Kentucky voters he “understands” coal, but fails to mention that he has proposed taxing coal, voted against coal-to-liquid legislation and that his own energy policy would restrict the growth of Kentucky's coal industry,’ said RNC spokeswoman Katie Wright in a statement.”

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+++++++  Important Question

Could someone out there please explain to me why it is Sen. Clinton quotes an actual Associated Press article where she refers to white working class voters  --and is suddenly being accused - from multiple sides - of playing the race card?  

When Sen. Obama, who I might ad, was not even quoting any report –simply spoke from his heart  - stated ‘typical white people’ in his interview trying to explain his relationship with Rev. Wright – was NOT accused of racist statements. Not only this - but his remarks of “small town, gun totting – bible clinging voters with antipathy toward people who are not like them”   IS NOT RACIST?  What is up with the double standard?  It is OK for Sen. Obama to refer to small town, typical white persons, who cling to guns or their religion with antipathy toward others that are not like them –WHAT IS UP WITH THAT?? And he spoke from the heart when he said this ---he was not quoting anyone like Sen. Clinton had and she is the one accused of playing the race card?

Someone PLEASE explain to me what exactly is up with the double standard here.  Has anyone who actually voted for Sen. Obama  --read his books?  Didn’t think so…

As a Canadian  --I am seriously beginning to question to judgments of the American voter. I mean, I understand that your country voted for Bush, not once, but twice but seriously, what’s up with the decision making processes here and the accusations cast upon candidates for political convenience?  It is rather disturbing to see.
Why aren't women outraged and embarrassed that THIS woman has decided she represents them?  Just because she calls herself a "fighter" doesn't mean she should be admired.  Look past the rhetoric to the reality.
She could have spent the day in bed instead.

No progress toward the nomination was made yesterday, so perhaps a day of rest and breakfast in bed would have served her better.
This is a Shameless attempt to play the gender card by Hillary.

This woman has no class.

It's a shame that women have chosen her to be the standard bearer of their issues.
It's just a shame.

Basically, she tells women that in order to get ahead in life, you have to lie, cheat(Bill), steal(Whitewater), disrespect and diminish your opponents, and do whatever it takes to win. But alas ! I t did NOT work out.

Sorry Clintonistas ! You picked the wrong woman to lead you. I'm sure that there are other women who could have done a better job.

You don't have to PRETEND to be a man in order to win. And then when that doesn't work , she's back to being a woman ??
The gaul she has is amazing !.. But it's just empty !

Hillary, being a fighter and never giving up can be smart .. but to an extent... until the dementia kicks in..
Ask Mohammed Ali who diddn't know when to stop, or Rocky (seen his face?).
Stop this .. Stop this now .. we used to admire you ... where's the old Hillary?
Wow, she worked 16 hrs, wow, she did not have breakfast in bed! How many women have lost their jobs because of them? How many more would lose their jobs because of Columbia? Bill got $800,000! Wow, she went to church, Does she want to talk about pride? Does she want to talk about how they have helped us suffer? Does she want to talk about how we have had to fight for everything we have gotten? Not her, she has no idea what it is like to worry about keeping some heat in the house for a sick baby, how to find some pennies to buy formula, what we are going to do for school clothes, school books, pencils. This woman has NO idea what it is like to have to do without. And we do not need another Clinton, or it would be two Clinton's in the White House. I am an older, uneducated, blue-collar, working woman, who has lost three jobs because of these politicians who really love us.
When the presumptive nominee is losing states by 40 point margins, that's when you know you have a problem.
Ms. Clinton and I had a lot in common yesterday...I also "did not go to a fancy lunch, or get to be queen for a day." Instead, I rose early and spent a 16-hour day doing laundry, cleaning the kitchen, doing some online shopping and reading, going out to a buffet brunch (thankfully my husband doesn't work on Sunday), teaching my kids to ride bikes and practicing softball and baseball with them.  Then it was on to more laundry, evening meal, and more kitchen cleanup before  reminding my husband to pay attention to finances and collapsing in front of the West Wing DVD episodes (season three for anyone interested).

Which is a long-winded way of saying that Ms. Clinton does NOT have a lock on women votes, not even 40-something, white, working class women votes.

Some of us will continue to support the best candidate for the job, not withstanding race, gender, age, religion or ANYTHING ELSE.

I hope all my fellow hard-working moms had a wonderful Mothers Day, but then, as we all know...every day is new day to celebrate moving forward with our children.

Obama for our best future.
Hillary can campaign until she's blue in the face, but it still won't change the fact that unless there's an "act of God", there's no way she can overtake the lead that Obama has.

Using the Slate's Delegate Calculator, (for the sake of argument) I gave Clinton 75% of the votes in each of the remaining 6 contests - - this still DID NOT give Clinton enough delegates to make any difference in this campaign.

Clinton's campaign is over and she knows it.  She needs to come down off her high horse and step aside.  

I WONDER if she will keep her word when she said that if Obama becomes the Democratic Nominee, she would support him 100%.  I guess we'll all see shortly.

OBAMA 08
Now we'll have to listen to the "Desperate" Hillary drivel that insignificant little West Virginia somehow now becomes so important.  Only because WVA is going so heavily for her does she now try to make a little state seem important.  As always there's no consistency in the Clinton campaign except for it's hypocrisy.
Again, she fails to consider how this could hurt the party in the fall. A movement for women? Okay, and the point is... It doesn't take a chess champion to look a move down the road. Is she trying to de-energize Democratic women when they don't get movement satisfied?
I hope people realize that in the end how Sen. Obama will do in West Virginia says more about the people West Virginia than it ever does about Sen. Obama. I think we can safely say that without to much trouble.
As usual the RNC is trying to paint Obama falsely on the coal issue.  The elitists of the RNC are trying to fool the common folk that Obama isn't working for them.  It's time for people to wake up to the fact that it's the elitists of the RNC who will not work for the middle and poor classes as we've seen the proof that the policies of George "Wrong" Bush have shown only the top 10% have gotten any economic gains in the past 7+ years.

Go Obama 08/12!
WHY on earth would there be "excitement" in West Virginia? Everyone expects Hillary to win......but for WHAT? She's already lost. Are these people delusional? Let her win by 50. It truly doesn't matter anymore!
Dear Typical West Virginia White Person,
The presumptive nominee wouldn't be losing in your state by a margin of 40 if people there weren't so damn racist. If people there didn't fall for all the smears and weren't so afraid of having a black president, they would vote for the strongest candidate, who is clearly Obama. Instead, you let your not-so-secret prejudice guide your vote, and ultimately guide this country into another eight years of Hell. Thank you. Remember not to complain when McCain wins and your son or nephew or husband is sent to Iran to help fight one of four wars, all because you were afraid to vote for a black man.
I am an Obama supporter but I think we should stop assailing Clinton because she is not out of the race. She is a hypocrite but no need to insult her supporters....
Typical West Virginia White Person, your signature says it all.  However, you're not a "Typical American White Person".  Most of us see the WV and KY primaries for what they are (i.e. a validation about sterotypes of lower educated, lower income white voters, who are unable or uncaring about overcoming lifelong bigotry and racism.  Your state is 51st in college graduates and 48th in income).  You want to put McCain in the White House, then be my guest!

No, you shouldn't vote for someone because of race, gender etc.  You also shouldn't vote against them for it either.  Obama's got the numbers and no matter what WV decides tomorrow it won't matter.  The whole methodology has changed including the one that a Democrat can't win the White House without WV.  We'll take some mountain, midwest and a few southern states, thank you very much.
To "Typical West Virginia White Voter"

First off, Obama beat Hillary  by more than 40 points in the potomic states caucases and primaries.
But thats not relevant.
Your name suggets that you are just a bigot. No way to describe that better.
So the message is !
WE DO NOT NEED YOU !
Obama has countered problems like you and other bigots by registering new voters and younger ones who are not as polluted as you.
DEAL WITH IT!
He's going to be YOUR next president.

And thats a BITTER pill for you to swallow isn't it? You bitter typical West Virginia White voter ?
Talk about "low information voters." Apparently, all those "excited" folks in West Virginia still haven't caught on to the fact that the primary is over.

Hopefully, sometime between now and November they will channel surf away from game show shenanigans and stumble onto The News Hour with Jim Lehrer or some other reputable news program.

Democracy would be grateful.
Stir the the pot...add eye of nute and goat wing
brew the pot the witches brew...round and round
Boil and sizzle..

Or Hey Rocky watch me pull a rabbit out of my hat...

Any of these stories about Billary are geting cartoonish....
I can't wait until the Democratic primary is over. I am so tired of hearing Hillary explain how whatever voting bloc she's winning at the time is THE most important for Democrats in the general election. If WV and KY become THE barometer of the Democrats' future, I will be packing up and moving elsewhere.
Hillary in a Blowout tomorrow in West Virginia.

WV Tuesday results:
Hillary Rodham Clinton: 64%
Barack Hussein Obama: 36%
It’s not socially acceptable to say things about race and gender, but in the secrecy of the voting booth, they come out. That’s why polls are not accurate when it comes to true feelings on race and gender, especially race. West Virginia’s population is only 3.2 African-American, and many of those state’s voters are older and more traditional. Even if there wasn’t a Rev. Wright controversy, I think Obama would have a tough time in West Virginia, for obvious reasons.
I gave Hillary Clinton 88% of the vote in each remaining contest and she still trailed Obama by approximately 33 pledged delegates. It is a virtual impossibility for her to catch up at this point. She would literally need a catastrophic event in the Obama campaign. I'm not talking about another Reverend Wright, I'm talking about a major catastrophe.
Typical West Virgina White Person,

When they presumptive nominee loses by 40% it tells alot about the State.
Hillary is NOT the standard bearer for this 54 year old, white woman - I would not - and will not -- support such a dishonest, deceptive, narcissistic individual. In November, I will write-in my dog's name if she is the Democratic nominee. Obama had chosen to engage the citizenry as partners if effecting meaningful change, while Hillary keeps harping on hpw she will "take care" of us ( with such farces as the gas-tax holiday)- as though we are mindless, mindless, passive children and she is the great (entitled) matriarch. I suppose that is why she was out on Mother's Day.
When will she just wind it up and realize she ain't gonna win this thing?  I know, "It ain't over til the lady in the pants suit sings."   Everybody plug your ears.  Hillary is about to start warbling the National Anthem.


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