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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC Political Researcher



Low turnout projected in Puerto Rico

Posted: Sunday, June 01, 2008 2:58 PM by Mark Murray

From NBC/NJ's Mike Memoli
SAN JUAN, PR -- Election officials expect to see a low vote count -- perhaps just 400,000 out of nearly 3 million registered voters -- as the polls are about to close here. Such a number would be far lower than turnout usually is for local elections.

“Even though there is some enthusiasm, you cannot compare this with a general election in Puerto Rico,” said Hector Luis Acevedo, the local representative of the Democratic Party and a former mayor of San Juan.

Acevedo says the primary was organized in just under 100 days, after the DNC approved a change to primary from the original caucus. He says there have been fewer problems with voting than expected, and that 15,000 poll workers are on duty at the 1,786 precincts.

Although he said the turnout will be higher than past presidential contests here, nothing would compare to the numbers seen in 1980, when the two local political parties stood behind separate candidates. The pro-statehood New Progressive Party endorsed Jimmy Carter, while the pro-commonwealth Popular Democratic Party backed Ted Kennedy.

“This time, there are members of both parties involved in both campaigns. And that, in terms of message and organization, dilutes the grasp of the organization,” Acevedo said.

Along those lines, Hillary Clinton has often referred to “bringing red and blue together,” meaning the two parties. Kenneth McClintock, the Puerto Rico Senate president and co-chairman of her campaign, said that the local parties would not be working to get out the vote because there was no political benefit.

“The State Elections Commission has put very little advertising, contrary to what they usually do,” he added. “We’ve had some factors against us.”

Also, the much smaller Partido Independista, which advocates full independence for the island, is holding a public protest of the vote in San Juan today. It has discouraged followers from participating in the contest, since the Commonwealth does not have a vote in the general election.

McClintock, during an interview yesterday at a stop in Clinton’s get-out-the-vote caravan, predicted Clinton would win by “a significant margin,” and hoped the turnout would be significant enough to “push her into the majority of the popular vote (although counting the popular vote from a state that won't participate in the US general election might be a dubious exercise).

“It’s been picking up speed,” he said.

Acevedo and McClintock both said that even if local voters aren’t as interested in the outcome, the attention that has been paid to Puerto Rico by the candidates, and the national press, will help the islands.

“The Puerto Rican voter and the Puerto Rican citizens will enjoy more benefits, more attention, more friends in the Senate of the United States no matter who wins,” Acevedo said. “We will have more attention to our problems and to the solutions then we will have had if we not have this primary in Puerto Rico.”

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Comments

this is good news. hillary's fightfor popular vote is sinking deeper!

Good for Puerto Rico, no slight.
 But if you're a candidate for presidential nominee
and Puerto Rico is your big hope...you're in trouble.
Nice win in a commonwealth that does not vote in our general election. The end game is still in Obama's control.  The duty of uniting the party with her zealot supporters is in Hillary's hands. I hope she and Bill are up to the task.
Well, there goes another one of Hillary's bogus popular vote claims.

Her bubbles just keep on bursting.
Hillary's caravan seems to have hit a bump in the road to her popular vote bragging rights.

The fates just are not with Clinton!
Low turn-out means Puerto Rico knows that the primary is over!

They are not interested in being part of some  supporting cast in Hillary's world of fantasy.
WHY BOTHER GOING OUT IN THE HEAT TO VOTE FPR A LOSER?
Ok. So as a Puerto Rican, let me give you all this little tidbit. There are only a few reasons any Puerto Rican woud get up early and go out on a Sunday. That would be Thanksgiving, Christmas, and "Dia de los Reyes" (we have to cook a lot, start getting drunk early, and of course, THERES GIFTS!). So all that partying that Hillary did in PR was for nothing. Too many Cuba Libres on Saturday means an afternoon wakeup (unless we feel so guilty, that we go to church). Low turn-out projected?  I think you got more than what you should have. Cause for you Sen. Clinton; I would have never gotten out of bed.
HILLARY CLINTON WILL CLAIM VICTORY TONIGHT & SUGGEST CLINTON-OBAMA TICKET
I congratulate MSNBC with fair reporting. Not to critize other news network, but CNN is caluculating the popular vote and saying clinton is ahead. This is not possible without counting the cacucus votes which cannot be determine since those states did not have a record of voter turnout. The MI uncomitted votes are not counted for Obama. At least, MSNBC discussed voter turnout in PR which is drastically less than Hillary needed to claim the popular vote. Her popular vote scenerio may not be valid come Tuesday when SD and MO vote which is heavily facored for Obama. I hope MSNBC discuss the fallacy of Hillary's popular vote claim and offer fair reporting instead of unbalanced information.
Is it possible that Senator Clinton, after having lost all hope of gaining the Democratic nomination, would bolt the party and run as an independent?
Doesn't matter if just 5 voters showed up, you can bet that Clinton will be screaming that those 5 voters are why she should be the nominee.

Can she go home now and leave us alone?
Low turnout for Democratic contests should be the norm in the future. If the Dem leadership doesn't like the outcome of a vote, they have a meeting, and just do what they feel like.
Well all these voters for Clinton in Puerto Rico no doubt prove she can win them in the General...How bout that Obama...LOL

***Ickes whispers to Clinton ....

***Clinton responds...."What do you mean they dont count in the General !!!!"


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