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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



McCain: Another bad week?

Posted: Friday, July 18, 2008 9:18 AM by Domenico Montanaro

The DNC is releasing a memo arguing that McCain had a tough week, after his reversals on Afghanistan and gay adoption, as well as him incorrectly referring twice to “Czechoslovakia,” a nation that no longer exists. “Two weeks into the latest ‘relaunch’ of his campaign and it’s more of the same for John McCain: more of the same bad news, bad reviews and campaign chaos,” the memo reads. “While the elevation of Steve Schmidt was supposed to tighten McCain’s message and organization, McCain was under fire from all sides this week… With less than 110 days left until the election, is it time to start wondering how many more weeks like this McCain can afford?”  

“McCain said Thursday that his proposal to suspend the gas tax for three months this summer may need to be extended longer if high gas prices continue to take a toll on the economy. ‘I think we ought to seriously look at whether we need to have it be longer or not depending on what the economy (does),’ McCain said, standing beside the Grand River. ‘I think we have to consider all options but the fact is we need a gas tax holiday. We need it, we need it, we need it very badly. The Americans that are hurt the most are low income Americans that are driving the oldest automobiles.’”
 
McCain has never said how he would replace the million that go from the gas tax to the roads infrastructure improvements, saying only it would come out of the general fund.

Per a new Pew analysis, McCain “has a smaller lead among white evangelical Protestants than Republican George W. Bush had at a similar point in the 2004 campaign, even though Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama has made few inroads into this key constituency… About six-in-ten (61%) white evangelicals favor McCain while 25% support Obama. McCain's 36-point advantage among this group is comparable to Bush's lead in 2000 but smaller than Bush's 43-point lead in 2004. Nonetheless, Obama has made no significant gains among this important constituency. The number of white evangelicals who say they would vote for Obama (25%) is about the same as the number who supported the Democratic presidential candidates in June 2004 (26%) and June 2000 (28%).” 

Wow, how nervous are McCain folks about Ron Paul disruptions at the Nevada GOP state convention? They've cancelled the convo and will deal with the delegate issue via conference call.

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 McCain is only having a bad week in the eyes of the DNC and the liberals on this site.   How about the fact that the daily Gallup has him at 44 to Obama's 46?  With the wind at Obama's back the way it is, why is he not doing better against him?  
mccain did have another bad week.  all these ads about him, his viagra question that was unanswered, yeah I would say bad week


McCain attacks Hillary's healthcare effort
http://sensico.wordpress.com/2008/07/18/mccain-tries-to-attack-obama-but-hits-hillary/
or

http://sensico2.blogspot.com/2008/07/my-blogs.html
The McCain camp shouldn't just be concerned with Ron Paul, they had better start paying attention to Bob Barr.  It looks like he is pulling 8 to 10 percent out west and on the east coast.  I can't stand McCain, but at the moment his campaign looks like it's some kind of psycological fairy land.  Every day it's something new, someone says on thing and then McCain counters that, I don't know much about campaigning, but I would say if someone wants to be president that their campaign should at least be ran with some kind of rational people.  It's just crazy, can anyone keep up with the changes in statements in just a couple of hours from them.  One says this, then McCain says that, then someone else goes on the news and contradicts McCain, it's disfunctional.  Oh, and the attacks on Michelle are just disgusting and upsetting, as a woman, I find it dispicable.  Oh, well, I've kind of learned that's how the republicans play, I was just hoping that the McCain camp would be different.
didn't john mccain say a few weeks ago that the gas tax hoilday would not really help, and that it was just something he proposed that would never be inacted!! didn't he!!! man!!! as the summer goes along, i have been real happy at the ROAD CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS IN THE CHICAGO AREA, the men that are working on the roads are sure happy that this gas tax crap did not happen!! at the end of the season this year!! there are 3 major projects that would have been completed, a total in the last 3 years of nearly 1 billion in repairs.
every body knows we can't trust the oil companies not to just pass that cost to the consumer,
also oil has went down from 147.00 per barrel to 130.00 a barrel, why the hell has the gas pump not moved down!!when the oil was raising they said well we have to raise the pump price, not that its going down, well i thing the oil companies are screwing us.
This story about the Nevada Republican State Convention is priceless.  Ron Paul and Bob Barr will be 2 huge thorns in the GOP's side come November.

Nice work, Republicants...looks like cancelling state conventions is the only way Uncle Fluffy's going to be the nominee now.
Dems are right to hit McCain on this. After 8 years of buffonery in the whitehouse, we need a well oil machine in there. And its not McCain. More than anything else, his poorly run campaign is an indicator of his would be administration. Anyone who can't see this has other issues.
I guess if the Obama people say McCain had a bad week, it must be so.  It didn't seem like a bad week for McCain. It seems to me Obama is slippping. I know I can count on those of you at MSNBC to stick to the Obama campaign talking points.  
Yeah, rough week. McCain wants to drill for oil in this country, and so does President Bush. Bush signs an executive order saying to drill, and oil prices fall. It sure is a bad week when McCain's policy matches Bush's, and we save money at the pump. No-Drill Barack though will reverse all that. He's not happy unless we pay $200 a barrel I guess.
That's right McCain, harp on the Gas Tax Holiday!...hand us the election...

I'm almost starting to feel bad for the GOP, it's almost like they have no idea what the country wants anymore and are just throwing darts.

The gas tax is very unpopular, it will continue to be unpopular...and the american public wants real solutions to the problems of this country. We don't want to be paid off with tax breaks, we want to fix the issue and not have those dark clouds anymore.

On a side note, I never thought I would admit it. But, Al Gore is right...we need another NASA type agency that will push forward and create an energy solution that will get us dependent in a decade.
McCain just doesn't have it!!!! When are folks going understand this.

What is interesting to me is that all information can be had. He does not have to make all of these mistakes.

I think he has memory lapses and is not bright or sharp enough to absorb information.

Is this what you want in a president of the Unites States????
During which three months during the summer were we supposed to benefit from this?
I think McCain clearly had a bad week, because the gaffes are close to reaching critical mass. The cable political news/analysis shows are inching closer to questioning McCain's supposed strengths.
McCain's media campaign staff has to be the most incompetent in recent history. I just watched that 7 minute ad they created to discredite Obama and I enjoyed every minute. For one thing, Obama is consistently handsome. Giving him free airtime so folks get used to seeing this "new face" in politics seems a tad counter-productive if you are trying to beat him. Also, who doesn't believe every polician "doesn't let facts get in the way of his position?"
Why do we have to rely on the DNC to tell us about McCain's constant flip-flops?  Why does the media always give him a pass?
Now I've read it all. The DNC sending out a memo telling us McCain had a tough week. Haha. Right! Obama is going downwards so they push more hypocritical propoganda. All you have to do is read all the news comment sections and you will see the guy having a tough time is Obama.
That wasn't a viagra moment that McCain was experiencing,  it was severe pain in his head that he was trying to mask.  Nice try, guys.
If Obama had had a week like McCain's the RNC wouldn't need to issue a press release making the point. The media would be gleefully jumping all over him.

McCain's reversal on Afghanistan was a major flip-flop on a major issue. After nearly seven years of war, the situation in Afghanistan has deteriorated severely, thanks to the Bush/McCain obsession with Iraq (or its oil).

The mistake on Czechoslovakia wouldn't have been such a big deal if he hadn't repeated it twice, just like he repeated his dumb accusation that Shia Iran was training their bitter enemies, the Sunni Al Qaeda. He says he knows how to win wars, but how does he win if he doesn't know who the enemies are?

McCain is clearly not the foreign policy expert the media make him out to be.

Experience is definitely good, but not if you don't learn anything from it. McCain hasn't shown that he's learned much of anything while he's been in  the Senate.

Obama's warnings about Afghanistan have proven true, the Bush administration is now negotiating with Iran as he intends to do if elected. The Bush administration is also attacking high-value targets on the Afghanistan-Pakistan border when they find them just as Obama said should be done, to derision from McCain.

It's clear that Obama has learned more about foreign policy staying at home in his brief time in the Senate than McCain has in decades of junkets abroad.
The "Bad Weeks" for McCain will continue, right up to election day.  Why, Memory issues and being on the wrong side of the political issues. In about 3 weeks to National Poll spread will significantly increase.  
I think this story heavily glazes over the dirty tricks of the Nevada State Convention.  How bad is it for McCain in Nevada?  Read up on all of the history here:

http://bob-beers-and-sue-lowden.blogspot.com/
The economy is in shambles and worsening with increasing volatility in the oil market, the home mortgage crisis and the ever weakening dollar (thanks to the Iraq war). That leaves John McCain with one fighting front - foreign policy/national security. Now that it has become clear that Barack Obama is ahead of the curve in that area too - from his visionary predictions of the consequences of the Iraq war, to his approach to dealing with the terrorists on the Afghan/Pakistan border, to emphasizing diplomacy with Iran and other US enemy contries, to focusing on Afghanistan instead of Iraq in the war agaisnt terror. In all those areas, he has met strong opposition and ridicule for the Bush administration and the John McCain campaign. But it turns out the Bush administration is doing everything Barack Obama has stated we should be doing. Now John McCain is even calling for additional US army brigades in Afghanistan - something Barack Obama has been advocating for a while now.
With all these trends, it should be obvious who the true capable leader with impeccable judgement is between John McCain and Barack Obama. Look for John McCain to pile up bad week after bad week all the way to November, barring media bias and Republican distraction tactics.

MSNBC: Can I get something posted for once!  
How many more times is McCain going to "reinvent" himself? How many more tours does he need to "introduce" himself to the American public? Pleeeze. He's been in the Senate 26 years, a self admitted ex POW that he touts with every breathe. People KNOW who he is....they just don't like him!
How about the fact that the daily Gallup has him at 44 to Obama's 46?  With the wind at Obama's back the way it is, why is he not doing better against him?  

Frank (Sent Friday, July 18, 2008 9:25 AM)


 Frank,
The daily tracking polls mean NOTHING. Go to Real Clear Politics and look at the polling in the individual states and you will see the real picture of what is shaping up to be a landslide. States that John Sydney McCain III thought should be in his column are in play and states where he thought he might get some action are getting out of reach. After the debates, state like Ohio (Obama +4.5), Pennsylvania (Obama +7.7), Michigan (Obama +7.7) will trend to double-digits. Even states like Virginia (Obama +1.0) will trend Democratic.
McCain is another Bush buffoon!  This nation is in a serious economic state of deterioration, with many families suffering daily, and this idiot's answer is a "holiday"!  What an insult!  He is calling for this repeatedly and stupidly!  
We need major changes, such as getting a bill to the congress to close the Enron loophole now.  Let's try that first shall we.
But of course, mccain's/bush/cheney/gramm's financial portfolio's are growing by millions from oil speculation,so we won't see any of that kind of effort to help the people now will we?

Joel Kennedy, MA- where's that gas pump you're saving money at?  C'mon- spill it- we all want to stop there and save!
BTW- all those that say oil is as high as it is because of supply and demand, and for no other reason- what just happened to demand that caused the sudden drop inthe per barrel price in the last few days?
No one would think or even know that Teflon John had a bad week according to the news coverage of McCain. As usual, they skip most of the blunders he makes and they don't follow up with questions for him that would show people just how out of touch this man truly is. McCains free pass is about to expire, though. He'll have to face Obama in a debate. THAT, in itself, should be very telling....he won't have 3 telepromters to assist him with the answers. He'll blurt out some inane statement that only HE thinks is funny and his poll numbers will go down even further!
"McCain has never said how he would replace the million that go from the gas tax to the roads infrastructure improvements, saying only it would come out of the general fund. "
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
THANKS for FINALLY pointing that out!

He also hasn't explained how he will pay for the the extended wars in Iraq and possibly Iran.

He also hasn't explained how he will pay for keeping the Bush tax cuts and adding more tax cuts of his own.

He also hasn't explained why he said Social Security is a disgrace, and what does he propose to replace it.

He also hasn't explained why he receives a Social Security check when he is married to a wealthy heiress.

He also hasn't explained why he didn't pay property taxes for years on one of his 7 houses.

He also hasn't explained why he suddenly is in favor of sending more American troops into Afghanistan when all this time he said that troop levels weren't the issue.

Shall I go on or do you get the idea? John McCain hasn't explained much of anything in this campaign.

I wonder if Barack Obama is wearing his flag pin today?
Frank...just last night there was a huge discussion about how off national polls like Gallup can be compared to statewide polls.  Their data is more accurate and in most, even swing states and southern states, Obama is leading by large amounts against McCain.  Bob Barr will be a spoiler.  Also note that George Bush won the election by 3%.  As long as Obama is outside of the 3% margin of error, even 4 points or 5 points can equal a landslide.  When they combined the poll of polls, Obama is up by 6 points.  Please show more respect to our next President.

Obama '08...the only choice for me
In my opinion it says alot about the candidates and how they will run the white house when you consider how they run their campaigns.  Many pundits have sited that Obama has never run a business, so how could he run a country successfully?  Well, I have watched him over the last 2 years run an uncoventional and now almost billion dollar campaign for presidency very efficiently.  And I have watched others running for POTUS fail time after time with organization and budget management.  If you cannot run a campaign, how can you balance our country's budget?  What I see Obama doing as POTUS is surrounding himself with a think tank of Economists and savvy business men and women and getting this country's budget back on track.  We need a "thinker" this time around for POTUS not someone who just makes it up as they go!

Concerning Obama's tour of Europe and the Middle East, I hope that MSM does NOT buy into the talking points of McCain whining about all the attention Obama is getting an how unfair coverage has been.  I have noticed this morning all of the talk about the "risks" of Obama's trip.  It is as if they are trying to plant negative thoughts before he even gets there.  Where was all the talk about the risks for McCain and what mistakes he could make?  

Truth is Obama is constantly getting negatively pounded by McCain's Republican team, Hillary's disappointed supporters, as well as the left wing of the Democratic party.  I do not think any prior candidate has had to deal with so many oppositions to his candidacy.  However I do believe that if anyone can handle the pressures is Obama.

--Informed Obama supporter
Maybe mcsame will borrow the money that didn't go for roads and infrastructure from China, the way Bush does.
How long is McStupid going to talk about the gas tax holiday summer is almost over and now he wants to extend it. If it is such a wonderful idea why isn't it happening he's been talking about it for months now talk is cheap put your money where your mouth is but you can't because you know congress will not pass it and Bush will probably veto it and you know it McSleepy. Your just pandering making us think you care, not going to work.
Clearly, the GOP is grasping at straws these days.

The "proposed" gas tax holiday thing was ludicrous from the start, and I'm glad it got no traction and was seen for the pandering B.S. that it is.

I do have one question, though...with the summer half over, when, exactly, did McCain hope to "propose" his gas tax holiday anyhow? Doesn't he actually have to ATTEND a Senate session to "propose" something? What a joke he is...and continues to prove as much with each passing day!

If I lived in AZ, I'd be completely ticked at the non-representation McCain offers for that state...yet he wants to be POTUS...can't even properly represent his state, but he wants to represent the nation. Like I said, the jokes keep coming.

I'm with Rachel Maddow on this one...just let McCain keep talking, making gaffe upon gaffe, so we can keep laughing.
Frank "With the wind at Obama's back the way it is, why is he not doing better against him?"  Quite frankly (pun intended) if Obama was a white male, it wouldn't even be a contest.  Unfortunately, there is still racism in this country and the media just doesn't want to go there. And I am a white female over 50 for Obama.
If Barack Obama had "innocently" spoken about a country that no longer exists, you people would've been all over him.  

The notion that you people are biased in favor of Obama is so idiotically laughable it's pathetic.  John McCain is the only person here getting a free ride.  And the so-called "fourth estate" is an abomination in this country.
Frank,
The daily tracking polls mean NOTHING. Go to Real Clear Politics and look at the polling in the individual states and you will see the real picture of what is shaping up to be a landslide
----------------------------------------------
Oh I get it now Benny.  The ONLY polls that matter are the ones that show Obama significantly ahead.  Thanks for clearing that up, I'll ignore all other polls that show a much a different picture.  
p.s. I live in rural Virginia, and though my community is small, I don't know a soul that is even considering voting for Obama.  
Why isn't Obama doing better?  What a stupid question, whether it's asked by some republican operative on this website or on one of your broadcasts.

He' African American.  His name is Barak Obama.  His middle name is Hussein.  A quarter of the people in this country think he was brought up as a Muslim.

Here's a smart question.  Why is McWarhero, with that great life story that the media refuses to challenge, losing to this guy?    
Even after the experts say that a gas tax holiday would do more harm than good Uncle Fluffy continues to try and pander to the public with support of such a loony idea. I believe Al Gore, for once, may be on to something. With a Democrat in the White House and a Democratic controlled Congress Al has a much better chance of having that vision realized. Even if we start drilling today it won't be for a few years before we could see any oil flowing and then the amout would only last a few years. We need an alternative to oil. We needed to start looking at alternatives in the 70s when we were in line odd and even plates etc. for gas, we didn't, and now maybe we'll get some action.
Deborah, it has been more than just a "bad week" for the McCain campaign.  There has been a complete breakdown of message discipline, something had previously been a strength for the GOP.  Carly Fiorina's set-up of the 8-second "blank stare" was just one of many recent disasters.  The job of the media (not just MSNBC) is to report on the campaign's messages.  If the soundbites coming from McCain's people have the appearanace of being written by 6 year-olds that just demolished a bowl of Halloween candy, that is not the reporter's fault.

Thank you MSNBC, for presenting an accurate representation of what went down this week.  Many Americans do not want their information spoon-fed to them through a GOP filter.
Yeah...i would say McCain had a bad week and next week is going to be worse when the news will be dominated by Obama's overseas trip. However, McCain is responsible for his own campaign problems.
The Gallup Poll APPEARS to show the election is tight; however, if one looks at the state-by-state polls, Obama is slaughtering McCain in many states that were once "red" states.  McCain's age works against him - period.  Come November, Obama is going to trounce McCain in the general election.  Obama will win states that were once Republican strangleholds.  OBAMA '08
I'm confused.  If the gas tax holiday can be shifted like this, why not eliminate it completely?

If it's needed to repair the roads, bridges, and levees, McCain would not be proposing to suspend it for a few months.

Either eliminate it or don't.  Stop wavering on whether it's needed or not.
Ha!!!! That's great about Nevada.. Maybe that's why the lastest poll shows Obama ahead.. as does most states that are important for November
but..  Bob Barr and the Libertarians had a great week.  The media won't report it though.
http://www.ballot-access.org/2008/07/17/ohio-libertarian-party-wins-ballot-access-lawsuit/
After 20 years of voting for Republicans I'm done.  The neo-cons in the GOP forced me to look elsewhere, and I'll enjoy not voting for McCain in November.
Once again this is news to anyone, McNuts will continue to have bad weeks, I personally find them amusing, please keep telling us about them.  I would rather read about his screw ups than have to listen to his voice which is so iritating on POTUS, when he starts talking POTUS gets turned off.
The idea of a gas tax holiday is foolish and just about everyone agrees to that.  Where will the money come from for the bridges and roads?  Will 18 cents off a gallon of gasoline really make that much of a difference when the price is over $4 per gallon?

Ron Paul's followers will make valid points at the convention.  How much will they disrupt it can't be said for certain.  I would think that Ron Paul's supporters might make waves at the GOP convention, but I think that they are more likely to vote for Bob Barr in November hoping he will get enough to win a state.  
FRANK,  THE DAILY GALLOP POLL HAD OBAMA UP BY 8% ON THURSDAY,  WATCH THE NEWS.  AT HE HOLDS A 5 TO 1 LEAD IN CA WHICH IS GOING TO COUNT THIS YEAR IN THE 2008 ELECTION.  MCCAIN JUST ISN'T READY TO BE PRESIDENT, BEING A POW AND A WAR HERO DOESN'T CONSTITUE THAT YOU CAN RUN THE COUNTRY.
All of the pro-Paul Republicans will vote for Barr, Baldwin or McKinney out of spite. But then again, McCain NEVER was a Republican, and claims his strength is getting votes from Democrats. (At least he's honest about who he really represents) The GOP is finished. When you have to deny a state convention due to your own upopularity among your own party, you are in NO shape to defeat a credible canidate for President.


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