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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



McCain: Can't catch a break?

Posted: Thursday, July 24, 2008 9:19 AM by Mark Murray

Using the fact that McCain's oil rig event had to be cancelled due to Hurricane Dolly, the Washington Post takes a look at the fact that if it wasn't for bad luck, McCain wouldn't have any luck at all. “It seemed like a great way to counter Obamamania. Sen. John McCain would board a helicopter in New Orleans today, skim quickly over the Gulf of Mexico and land on an oil rig -- a made-for-TV moment to highlight his call for offshore drilling, an issue that Republicans believe will be a big winner in November.”

Then came Hurricane Dolly, a Category 2 storm that made a helicopter ride impossible. And then, improbably, a 600-foot oil tanker collided with a barge on the Mississippi River, creating a 12-mile oil slick and causing diesel fumes to waft over the city's French Quarter. The trip was off. In this campaign, it seems, McCain just can't catch a break.” 
 

VIDEO: A Race for the White House panel discusses whether John McCain is starting to lose his cool when attacking Barack Obama.

The Boston Globe front pages McCain's "deficit" with young voters. "McCain's campaign, lagging far behind Obama among young voters, is trying to catch up. It will soon roll out new MySpace-style social networking features on its website -- which at the moment has special sections for women, veterans, and even lawyers, but not young people. It is also increasing its youth grass-roots organizing across the country and honing a new message aimed at young voters - 'service to a cause greater than your own self-interest' -- designed to dovetail with the 71-year-old's biography. Still, McCain is late to the game."
 
And an interesting point: "Ronald Reagan proved that a conservative with the right message and outreach strategy can win over the vast majority of younger voters -- even if he is old enough to be their grandfather. Exit polls showed that voters 24 and under chose Reagan over his Democratic rival, Walter Mondale, by 20 percentage points in the 1984 landslide. Many in the vanguard of the Reagan Revolution went on to become the party's next generation of leaders - and some fill the ranks of McCain's campaign." 
 
Here’s a graphic showing the disparity.

The St. Louis Post-Dispatch merges its local story of interest -- the sale of Anheuser-Busch -- with McCain and Cindy's dealings with the brewery. "McCain's campaign is unwilling to directly address questions flowing from InBev's purchase of Anheuser-Busch Cos. in light of his wife, Cindy's, ownership of a large Anheuser-Busch distributorship in Arizona, Hensley and Co."

"A veterans group critical of the war in Iraq accuses John McCain of wanting to occupy Iraq indefinitely, against the wishes of the country's leaders, in an ad that will air later this week. The group, VoteVets.org, calls attention to Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's desire for a troop withdrawal timetable. The group will spend $100,000 to run the ad on the MSNBC and CNN cable channels from Friday through the middle of next week."

The New York Times notes that Arizona isn’t necessarily a slam-dunk for McCain.

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Plus, the hurricane was caused by global warming, which started right after George Bush took office. Dick Cheney also had a hand in developing the evil weather machine the Republicans use to disrupt the global weather. Now it's backfiring on them.

Obama/08
These guys (the McCain 'team', if there is such a thing) are not late to the party, they don't even know where the party is or if there is one.  The fact that they have had six months to prepare to 'sell' their product suggests not so much that they are incompetent at what they are doing (although I would not rule that out), but that there is very obviously a product (not McCain so much---he really can be a pretty good guy, just not a great leader, but 'more patchwork of fixes Republicanism') which has any chance of being 'bought.'  I guess it's a nice honor for McCain to have a chance to play at being a presidential candidate, but all the signs coming from even within that campaign suggest they know there is no real shot and they are going through motions.  Things can change, but...
So, Uncle Fluffy's trying to tag Senator Obama with Fidel Castro...

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/24/mccain-campaign-running-o_n_114657.html

So, when John Hagee endorsed Uncle Fluffy, he said, "It does not mean that I embrace everything that he stands for and believes."

But you then turn around and say that when Castro says something complimentary of Obama, the two MUST be hand-in-hand.

Never mind that Castro has been critical of Obama's position on Cuba...

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/05/26/castro-criticizes-obama-p_n_103575.html

GOP Desperation...so much fun to watch!
FR: [The New York Times notes that Arizona isn’t necessarily a slam-dunk for McCain]

The New York Times revenue dropped 80% over the last year. Probably because of all the lies they've told.
McCain can't catch a break or is that his campaign is poorly run, and out of touch with the cares of the normal Americans going to work each day and trying to pay the bills?
mccain is a loser and the events dictate that

Video: McCains Daughter doesnt think mccains getting unfair media treatment, media party
http://sensico.wordpress.com/2008/07/23/media-unfair-to-mccain-meghan-mccain-seems-to-differ/
or
http://sensico2.blogspot.com/2008/07/my-blogs.html
McCain needs to stop gaffing.  They need to just run Huckabee at the last second.  They might actually have a shot then (they being the Republicans.)

Several Polls show Huckabee as McCains best choice, though it doesnt seem the Media is reporting it. There is one poll at http://www.hotpres.com
McCain needs to stop gaffing.  They need to just run Huckabee at the last second.  They might actually have a shot then (they being the Republicans.)

Several Polls show Huckabee as McCains best choice, though it doesnt seem the Media is reporting it. There is one poll at http://www.hotpres.com
Maybe instead McCain could take a trip to the recent oil spill. That would be some really nice PR
Looks like God doesn't want McCain to be president either.
"And then, improbably, a 600-foot oil tanker collided with a barge on the Mississippi River, creating a 12-mile oil slick and causing diesel fumes to waft over the city's French Quarter."
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Tell us again, McCain, about that offshore drilling you want to start. Sounds like a wonderful idea. Moron...
"Using the fact that McCain's oil rig event had to be cancelled due to Hurricane Dolly..."

Hurricane Dolly caused that barge to run into that tanker?  Must have missed that...
McGoofy...just 4 more years of mistakes and blunders and disclaimers...here comes the "but I"'s again...
Vote for someone that knows your standards, puts them in practice...
Vote for truth...Vote for Obama'08
I'm believing McGoofy will keep his standard of making the wrong choice for his VP......
If he can't bomb it, it probably doesn't matter..

McCain's problem is that he has always been more of a combatant than a leader.  His record shows someone who prefers to play devils advocate than to think ahead and come up with plans for the future.

He used to oppose the Republicans on issues and then would run to the media to bask in the spotlight saying he was a rebel that fought for America.  Instead of worrying about the future, he's been a glory seeker.  

The Reagans despised him because of this.  Nancy Reagan called him the most insincere man she ever met.
Then came Hurricane Dolly, a Category 2 storm that made a helicopter ride impossible. And then, improbably, a 600-foot oil tanker collided with a barge on the Mississippi River, creating a 12-mile oil slick and causing diesel fumes to waft over the city's French Quarter. The trip was off. In this campaign, it seems, McCain just can't catch a break.”
***************************** -First Read

Capt'n Smash,

I believe you are right. G-D is helping us. The angels are fighting on our side.

If Senator Obama is elected, he must remember that to whom much is given, much is required. I believe he will.
John McCain is an oil spill waiting to happen.

In any other field John McCain would have long retired and be collecting social security. However, if his country called him to service he'd be qualified to work as a Wal Mart greeter. John McCain is a loser, a desperate and "lonely" candidate whose team is marking time until this so-called campaign can thankfully come to an end on Nov 4, 2008.
Clearly, McCain needs to take a cue from Obama and surround himself with hundreds of people to script his events and hide the fact that there's absolutely no substance to this man.  Watching Obama stumble through unscripted press conferences is excruciating.
It is a little ironic that an oil spill is now moving toward the Gulf of Mexico. It seems weather isn't the only thing working against McCain.
John McCain help use Mike Huckabee on the ticket. Mike Huckabee could hold a prayer meetin' for devine intervention, 'cause for John McCain to win, it will take something along the devine. Or voting machine tampering.
Don't you think the hurricane was worse "luck" for people who live on the Texas coast, and the oil spill was worse "luck" for the people who live in NO?

Drill more drill now drill here drill there

Drill we will we will drill
jim (Sent Thursday, July 24, 2008 9:37 AM)
Maybe instead McCain could take a trip to the recent oil spill. That would be some really nice PR

Now Jim, lets not talk about HOW the oil spilled lets just look to the future and figure out how to get out of the mess.
No one can disagree that McCain was right all along in his conviction that messes should be cleaned up. It is just counter productive to talk about the root cause of any situation.
Reaction is the key.
It's not like we can take the time to analyze past mistakes in order to prevent missteps. Thats sissy talk.

So heres to you McMister McMan of action who can't be held accountable for huge f**k ups cuz yer to busy trying to figure a way to surge yourself out of the swamp.
This Buds for you!
I think Teflon John should keep his date with Jindal and do a press conference On the oil rig, IN FRONT of the oil spill, to ENCOURAGE off shore drilling. If a picture speaks a thousand words than that would definitely sum up McCain's campaign.
FR: [The New York Times notes that Arizona isn’t necessarily a slam-dunk for McCain]

The New York Times revenue dropped 80% over the last year. Probably because of all the lies they've told.
____________________________________________________
McCain himself has classified Arizona as 'battleground'...
Take away the teleprompter and what do you have left... (Sent Thursday, July 24, 2008 10:09 AM)

Desperation usually is excruciating.  Just watch Morning Panic. I started counting how many times Joe said Obama and surge. I lost count when I was distracted by the glare reflected by the sweat on his forehead.


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