McCain makes up ground in key states

Posted: Thursday, July 24, 2008 10:43 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: States

From NBC's Mark Murray
Results from the latest Quinnipiac University/Wall Street Journal/WashingtonPost.com poll of the battleground states Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin:

COLORADO: McCain 46% - Obama 44%
MICHIGAN: Obama 46% - McCain 42%
MINNESOTA: Obama 46% - McCain 44%
WISCONSIN: Obama 50% McCain 39%

VIDEO: NBC Political Director Chuck Todd discusses the importance of Barack Obama's speech in Berlin and the new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, which has Obama leading John McCain by six points.

The methodology: From July 14 - 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
-- 1,425 Colorado likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent;
-- 1,684 Michigan likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percent;
-- 1,261 Minnesota likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent;
-- 1,094 Wisconsin likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.

In June's poll, Obama lead in all four states
COLORADO: Obama 49% - McCain 44%
MICHIGAN: Obama 48% - McCain 42%
MINNESOTA: Obama 54% - McCain 37%
WISCONSIN: Obama 52% - McCain 39%

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Comments

The only poll worth anything at this point is the gap in enthusiasm since that MAY be a factor come November. Imagine bad weather and you are a Republican and are not the least bit enthusiastic about going out to vote. Democrats are so enthusiastic they will drag themselves to the polls just to be part of this historic undertaking and knowing that their vote is really going to count for something. If any state is won based on turnout (like the handful of states determined by less than 3% in '04), then the enthusiasm gap may the the most important poll number.

Benny, SFBayArea, California (Sent Thursday, July 24, 2008 11:57 AM)

You Obama supporters are sure confident on this forum today... Considering the Democrats track record in Presidential elections the last 40 years, I'm not quite sure where it's coming from to be honest.. I believe it's a little false bravado---actually I think you're scared, as well you should be... You all have to know that the ice is melting right underneath of his feet... There's phony and then there's Obama(on another level of phoniness)... Although, what would I know---I'm just a bitter guy clinging to my guns and religion.... Obama, a man of the people---my a$$....

Anthony, Wilmington, DE. (Sent Thursday, July 24, 2008 11:58 AM)

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