McCain vs. Obama: Lots of pre-convo polls

Posted: Sunday, August 24, 2008 10:42 AM by Domenico Montanaro

A new Washington Post/ABC poll has Obama leading McCain by six points nationally among registered voters (49%-43%) and four points among likely voters (49%-45%). “The focus on foreign policy crises over the past month, including the Russian invasion of Georgia, has played to McCain's perceived strengths among the electorate. He holds 2 to 1 leads over Obama in the new poll as the candidate with better knowledge of world affairs and the one who would make a better commander in chief. He is also regarded as superior to Obama in combating international terrorism and has a slender advantage on international affairs generally… But on the question of who is better equipped to deal with specific foreign policy problems, McCain's advantages are less apparent. Voters rate McCain and Obama evenly on handling the situation in Iraq, and McCain has a negligible advantage in dealing with U.S. relations with Russia.”

Other nuggets: “Obama's selection of Biden is unlikely to shake up the race in the short term. Three-quarters of registered voters said Obama's choice of Biden … would not sway their votes in either direction. And among those who said the selection would make a difference, about as many said they were more likely to support Obama with Biden on the ticket as said they would be less likely to do so.”

And: 70% of Hillary Clinton supporters “back Obama -- the highest level since she suspended her campaign in June.”

And here are the new state polls we mentioned above:
ARIZONA: McCain leads 47%-41%.
COLORADO: Obama leads 46%-43%.
NEVADA: McCain leads 46%-39%.
NEW MEXICO: McCain leads 45%-41%.
UTAH/WYOMING: McCain, as expected, leads by wide margins in both states -- up 62%-23% in Utah and 62%-25% in Wyoming.

Meanwhile, a new Quinnipiac poll shows McCain up one point in Colorado, 47%-46%. In July, McCain was up two points in the state, 46%-44%.

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Comments

Wow... so that closed gap seems to be opening right back up and that's before the convention bump.

McCain up only six in AZ is pretty damning I would say.

http://www.rodneyhopper.com

Rodney Hopper, Waxahachie, TX (Sent Sunday, August 24, 2008 10:58 AM)

Obama got a bump smaller than expected and may get a convention bump, but his bumps are too small after big events.

His Hope over Fear lines have grown old and you can see his crowds are less enthusiastic the magic is gone.

McCain is gaining momemtum and Amercia is ready for McCain, the polls always favour the Democrats because unemployued people who are looking for handouts are at home watching TV answering the phone, when school gets back in and 13 yr old kids are back in school and not answeringthe phone you can expect a huge jup for McCain.

The very hard left turn that Obama / Joe is suggesting would leave America unrecognizable. Hillary could of saved Obama, but not Joe.

Wade Ens Toronto Canada (Sent Sunday, August 24, 2008 11:05 AM)

Okay Mccain leads oBama by only 6 ...in his home state.

C'mon no matter the demographics...and what are the numbers in Illinois?

this should tell you where the country is at...and who is the better choice.

dl, Exeter, NH (Sent Sunday, August 24, 2008 11:14 AM)

18 million votes dont mean anything to Obama. But they will in November. We will show you.

Ron, California (Sent Sunday, August 24, 2008 11:14 AM)

John McCain will continue to play the POW card as if that qualifies him to be Commander in Chief or affirms his knowledge of world affairs. Many pilots who flew in Vietnam did not get shot down. Does that make them even more qualified than McCain? No. Neither experience has any relevance to being President. McCain has exhibited especially poor judgement in supporting Bush's War in Iraq, having to be coached by Lieberman on the involved religious groups at war with one another in Iraq, and was openly befuddled about which countries border one another in the Middle East. McCain is unqualified to be President. He's been nothing but a shill for lobbyists for years, he's the past not the future. He's completely out of touch with the economy and average Americans because he's never been part of the economy. He's been on the government dole his entire life, now supplemented by his wife's millions. He's a pontificator and poser, but certainly not qualified to lead this country any more than his mentor, GW Bush. We don't need two political disasters in a row.

R.Merrell (Sent Sunday, August 24, 2008 11:19 AM)

A new Washington Post/ABC poll has Obama leading McCain by six points nationally among registered voters (49%-43%) and four points among likely voters (49%-45%).
_______________

This is a back from vaction bump.

And: 70% of Hillary Clinton supporters “back Obama -- the highest level since she suspended her campaign in June.”

Thank you Hillary supporters for coming home.

Obama/Biden (Sent Sunday, August 24, 2008 11:21 AM)

Now here's McCain, the Senator from Arizona and up only six points. That says a lot about his own constiuents feel about him. As a matter of fact I would be embrassed if I were him.

LarryM, Los Angeles, CA (Sent Sunday, August 24, 2008 2:51 PM)

Hi,

Shameless media. Do you guys ever have something good to say about Obama and DNC? This guys to me is neither Black or White, his real America of today. He gave hope to millions that have no hope. He gave hope to poor who could make it to the top.

Many of you sounds racist and hide under journalism. Shame on you. You called John McCain negative attack aggressive, and you say that the attack is eroding Obama's numbers on the poll. When Obama attack back you shameless media say Obama is going negative.

You are knocking on Biden pick and nothing good to write about it.

You praise John McCain for been aggressive but Obama for going negative instead of saying that he defended himself.

Thank God that none of you shameless things were alive when slavery was on, you would not have the gut to attack it.

Shame! shame!! shame!!! This Obama time and DNC convention but you will give them that, but continue to be GOP mouthpiece. You guys want more of Bush four years on John McCain.

How about K-5 scander? John McCain was part of it. We still remember it, you cannot hide it.

You continously using recent McCain ad about Hillary Clinton to campaign for GOP and John McCain, for free instead of educating Americans about convention process using the DNC convention that starts on Monday.

We will see the role you will play during GOP convention. We know that you will use the time praising your master, John McCain.

John McCain over using his POW for political gain and none of you question that.

mazi mazi (Sent Sunday, August 24, 2008 3:01 PM)

ur full of S about the Russia Georgia conflict showcasing McCain strength. Show a poll that says itchy mctrigger finger handled that better than obama. you r pulling out of ur but for your storyt line. O will win,Biden or no.

Itchy McTriggerfinger (Sent Sunday, August 24, 2008 3:13 PM)

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