New Battleground polls

Posted: Friday, September 19, 2008 11:30 AM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
Marist battleground polls (among registered voters):

-- MICHIGAN: Obama 50%, McCain 41%
-- OHIO: Obama 44%, McCain 44%
-- PENNSYLVANIA: Obama 45%, McCain 42%

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Comments

He's ahead by more in Michigan than PA? That's an odd finding (I'd expect he's up in both by about 5)

Michael (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:35 AM)

It's looking like people are finally taking the blinders off. Thank you, from the bottom of my Democratic heart.

Go-Obama/Biden 08/12 :)

Joe, MN (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:35 AM)

Yes - there is a GOD!!!

Thank you and GOD BLESS AMERCIA

The - Democrat Soldier (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:36 AM)

Hillary Clinton would have been well ahead in PA and OH.

CSH, IL (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:40 AM)

Can't figure out Michigan voters. They have a Democratic governor, two very liberal Senators, a majority of Democratic house members, a Democrat mayor going to jail in Detroit, an economy that is in turmoil. And the Michigan voters answer to all their problems? Elect more Democrats. Just goes to show you how unions rot peoples brains. Might as well just get the hammer and sickle flag and put up over the state capital.

Ya Hey Der Commrade (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:41 AM)

I fear Obama will only lose Ohio because of so called "voting machine irregularities", in other words, republican cheating.

Pat Huntington NY (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:41 AM)

Wow!!! And it will only get better! Americans can no longer tolerate the way the goverment is handling our lives! We have all had enough! America is a leader , and should we not lead with the best president! Obama/Biden!!!

Edison (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:41 AM)

Why are you still keeping Michigan in the toss-up states? OBAMA has been consistantly leading. You can atleast put it in the leaning toward OBAMA catagory.

Leni,MICHIGAN (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:41 AM)

Middle America is a lot smarter than Republicans think they are!

Victoria, Omaha, NE (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:42 AM)

3 more states where people are wising up.....there's hope for us after all ! Go Obama / Biden !!!

Conni St Louis (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:42 AM)

Hear that people? If you listen carefully, you'll hear the sound of the Palin balloon going "POP!"

Obama/Biden '08!

P.S. I'd like to see how the McCain/Palin posters will try and spin this.

jawillie, Philadelphia, PA. (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:43 AM)

Palin has me spinning so much I think I'm getting a woody

BJ, CA (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:44 AM)

Love these polls !

Obama and Mccain tied in Ohio ? I don't think even the people in Ohio will be tricked again into voting for the repugs. But then again, they voted against their best interest in the past two elections so who knows? But they get what they deserve if they vote for Mccain !!!! Penna. is no way close, this pollster must be on drugs !!!!!!!!

Ron. Phila. pa. (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:44 AM)

http://twocanpete.blogspot.com/
50/41 in MI. My sources there on the ground say it's more like 70/30. I guess people don't like being told their jobs aren't coming back and then being told that their going to have to give $25 billion to the idiots who outsourced their jobs in the first place. Who would have thought?

twocanpete (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:44 AM)

Yes - there is a GOD!!!

Thank you and GOD BLESS AMERCIA

The - Democrat Soldier (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:36 AM

You're really confused about this God thing, aren't you?

May God Pray For You (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:45 AM)

wow is Obama really up by 9 in Michigan?? Does that safely take it out of the lean to solidly Obama column.

I also thinking the other two shocking numbers are how close he is in Florida and NC. wow who would have thunk it.

Thanks for the Electorate vote state maps. They a re awesome.

frank, NC (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:45 AM)

If these totals are from NBC polls then they are WRONG. They don't add up to the other polls I've seen.

Full Moon (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:46 AM)

It is going to be fun watching America wake up from all the Republican lies over the next month.

Better late than never.

Obama/Biden '08/'12

Nashville_fan (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:46 AM)

I like the Michigan poll. I was laughing so hard at the "Bush Hugger" McCain rally at a Michigan auto plant where the workers shouted the old liar out of their union plant with chants of "Obama 08"! Bet he never sets foot in another union shop now that he's seen that union workers hate him for his wicked ways of shipping their jobs to China.

Go Obama/Biden 08/12!

Eric, Salinas, CA (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:46 AM)

One more thing, you left off the dates, and show RVs, not LVs. This poll was done BEFORE Monday, and Obama fairs better with LVs than all RVs, interestingly (Hasn't been the case in other states or in the national polls):

Marist College
~9/11-15/08; ~550 LV, 4%

Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Michigan
Obama 52, McCain 43

Ohio
Obama 47, McCain 45

Pennsylvania
Obama 49. McCain 44

Michael (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:47 AM)

Note that it's registered rather than likely voters. Obama usually does better in that scenario than otherwise. Still pretty good numbers, though you have to think they'd like a sustained lead in Ohio (of course).

Rich, Athens, GA (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:48 AM)

It might not be too late John, dump the self skinning moose and get Lieberman!

Independent in Iowa (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:48 AM)

Nice big juicy gains on the stock market again today. All credited to Bush and his team, and McCain too seeing he agrees with 90% of what Bush does. Obama will have to curtail all his celebration from when the market was falling. New polls from the states will reflect this success story for McCain.

Below My Pay Grade (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:49 AM)

Palin is cool. She's taken all the cool from Obama too.
Coll Runnings (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:23 AM)
******************************************************
Yea that's what this election is all about! Hooray for low information voters!

Mark,Seattle (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:49 AM)

Why is Ohio still tied? Do these idiots enjoy seeing their economy destroyed and their banks collapsing? I think in the end they will wake up and obama will be up 5, but this is getting ridiculous.

John (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:49 AM)

These are encouraging numbers. Obama and his team need to continue working hard to widden his lead to a comfortable level.

Beng, Woodbridge, CT (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:50 AM)

It's the economy, stupid!!!

Judy, Chicago, IL (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:50 AM)

Its the Palin bounce for Obama!

BamaBoy (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:50 AM)

thank goodness - people are starting to wake up - we surely don't need McCain (Dumb) and Palin (Dumber) running our country- go Obama/Biden

about time - iowa (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:50 AM)

That news just made my day!!!

AutieMom (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:50 AM)

Wake up, Ohio, it was you who gave us Dubya last election. Please don't screw America again. Obama 08/12

eagle1776 (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:51 AM)

YEA!!!

People are finally paying attention and voting their "personal interests" and not silliness.

We still have a lot of work to do!

Make sure all of your family and friends are registered to vote and keep reminding them to do so.

We can also volunteer to work the phones and canvass our neighborhoods encouraging people to BaRack the VOTE !

At Last!!! (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:51 AM)

Its about time he moves a head in Michigan, that state has lost thousands of jobs and the house lost is very high. I am allmost stun and mistified at the same time at the views of the media concerning McCain and that (lady) from moose country, why under heaven are these people on the front page, they are part of the problem of the Bush administration which got us into all this mess. The republican party should be banish from governing any thing for thirty years (30) at least so we can effectively clean up their stench and make right that which has gone so bad. No one in their right frame of mine should consider voting for those that cause all this mayhem. Pres. Bush is missing in action, hiding from his past actions and his failed policies which has bancrupt this nation. John McCain should find a cave and hide him self inside. Every time he opens up his mouth he make us sick and want to barp. America the Republican party is dead, no ideas, no vision, no plan, same ole garbage of tricke down economics which only keep the rich, richer. Enough, enough, enough of this horse crap, they have f--k this nation up fair and square.

NORMAN B New Britain. CT (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:51 AM)

This looks good but I agree with others who say that polls change constantly, and the poll that really counts is the one on Nov. 4th. To ensure that Obama is on top in that poll it is imperative that we continue to get more people registered, get out and vote, and get others out to the polls to vote. We can't lose focus. This is an historic election and we must get as close to 100% turnout as possible.

Obama supporter in IL (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:52 AM)

Well, contrary to what the resident Dodge-driving right wing has been saying, it looks like maybe the worm HAS turned.

Maybe, just maybe, Sarah Palin did help the ticket -- Obama's ticket, that is.

Here's another one for you, Full Moon ... ;)

Baby you can drive my car,
Yes, he's gonna be a star. (Beatles)

Anna Molly (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:52 AM)

Even better among likely voters:

Michigan Marist Obama 52, McCain 43 Obama +9
Ohio Marist McCain 45, Obama 47 Obama +2
Pennsylvania Marist Obama 49, McCain 44 Obama +5

Eric (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:53 AM)

Looks like all that McCain momentum just hit a brick wall. My faith in the American people has been restored...at least for now.

Erik, Mechanicsburg, PA (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:53 AM)

My first thought is that the Palin Effect had worn thin, but it really is the economy (stupid).

Elizabeth, Nashville (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:54 AM)

These polls are based on the problems seen in the makets earlier this week. Obamas populist message was good when the maket was bad, but now that it's up nearly 10 percent a two days, Obama looks like the fool he his. Obama has no answers, only whining and complaints. His idea of higher taxes won't help this country, it will only force more job loses here, and more jobs being sent overseas. You can't win a campaign with all negative campaigning. Sooner or later the voters want to know what your ideas are to help the country. Obama has none, other then higher taxes and rebate checks. That won't get the job done. Look for these polls to swing back to McCain next week.

Josie McDonalds, Tulsa OK (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:55 AM)

Cmon Michigan! Don't let me down!

Erin, Clinton Township, MI (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:55 AM)

McCain has hurt himself with his flailing about during the last week.

He's gone from "everything is fine, the fundamentals are strong"

To "we're in crisis, panic, panic, panic!!"

To "Fire the SEC chairman, he is evil!"

and now "We'll created a commission to fix everything. I can't say how but everyone knows commissions are good, right?"

Billy, Texas (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:56 AM)

Ohio will decide it. Watch closely.

Stephen, Boulder, Colorado (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:57 AM)

That Michigan poll is an outlier. It doesn't match what the other polls average there.

Benjamin Snyder, Beaverton, OR (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:57 AM)

The GOP ticket has been peeling at both ends for a while. Lacking in all honesty and integrity, it sure doesn't look very appealing.

Libratine (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:57 AM)

maybe its cause when Palin was giving an opportunity to let us know about her foriegn policy experience, she just went on a rant about nothing, then to end it with if you want specifics just ask, but yet she was asked and didn't have much to say.. BRING ON THE DEBATES!!!

Terrell, Corona, CA (Sent Friday, September 19, 2008 11:58 AM)

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