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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



The bailout: Rejected!

Posted: Tuesday, September 30, 2008 9:17 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

The House yesterday rejected the Bush Administration’s $700 billion bailout proposal -- “a stunning turn of events that sent the stock market into a tailspin and added to concerns that the U.S. faces a prolonged recession if the legislation isn't revived,” the Wall Street Journal writes. “The 228-205 vote, which defied a full-court press from the president and the Treasury secretary, marked a dark moment in a month that has shaken the financial system to its core and forced the government to take a host of ad hoc measures to shore up confidence. Earlier Monday, U.S. authorities helped arrange the sale of Wachovia Corp. to Citigroup Inc., while the Federal Reserve joined other central banks in injecting more funds into credit markets.”

The New York Times notes the lack of leadership on display yesterday. “From the White House to Congress to the presidential campaign trail, the principal players did not rally the votes they needed in the House. They appeared not to comprehend or address in a convincing way an intense strain of opposition to the deal among voters. They allowed partisan politics to flare at sensitive moments.”

“If there was any doubt that President Bush had been left politically impotent by his travails over the last few years and his lame-duck status, it was erased on Monday when, despite his personal pleas, more than two-thirds of the Republicans in the House abandoned the plan.”

In fact, check out this nugget, courtesy of the Washington Post: “Yesterday, Bush called nearly every member of Texas's Republican delegation, GOP aides said. He won over four of the 19.”

Another New York Times piece points out that McCain was the person who perhaps had the most riding on bailout bill that collapsed yesterday. “Mr. McCain had announced last week that he was suspending his presidential campaign to work to ensure the legislation’s passage, even at the risk of skipping the first presidential debate unless a deal was locked down. (He later relented, debating without a deal.) He had called for the high-level White House meeting that some participants later called unhelpful. And after some initial hesitation, he had allowed himself to be identified with a bill that he thought necessary even if unpopular.”

“So when the deal fell apart on the House floor Monday, in no small measure because most of the chamber’s Republicans balked at voting for it, the McCain campaign worked to contain the potential for damage. The first defense was to go on offense.”

The AP's Babington adds, "The house always wins, gamblers are warned, and the U.S. House made John McCain pay Monday for his politically risky, high-profile involvement in a financial rescue plan that came crashing down, mainly at the hands of his fellow Republicans."

A bit after 6:00 am ET, Obama released a statement calling for Democrats and Republicans to come together to address the financial crisis and proposing one step to get greater support for the bailout measure: increasing the limit of FDIC insurance up to $250,000. “Thanks to measures put in place during the Great Depression, deposits of up to $100,000 are guaranteed by the federal government. While that guarantee is more than adequate for most families, it is insufficient for many small businesses that maintain bank accounts to meet their payroll, buy their supplies, and invest in expanding and creating jobs. The current insurance limit of $100,000 was set 28 years ago and has not been adjusted for inflation.  That is why today, I am proposing that we also raise the FDIC limit to $250,000 as part of the economic rescue package – a step that would boost small businesses, make our banking system more secure, and help restore public confidence in our financial system.”

McCain was on Morning Joe, and said this about the bailout: "We didn't convince enough Republicans and Democrats that this was a rescue package and not a bailout package… We have to do a better job of the effect this is going to have on Main Street. The whole spectrum of Main Street economy is going to be jeopardized... I am going to come back ... come back again. This is a tough situation, one of the toughest I've ever seen -- if not the toughest… I am confident we can pass legislation because we have to do it." McCain also said he agreed with Obama's suggestion to raise FDIC limit to $250,000 from $100,000

The Washington Post: “Congressional leaders and the White House faced several options, none of them palatable just weeks before a heavily contested presidential election. Democratic leaders could choose to return with a measure guaranteed to win more Democratic votes, even at the expense of Republican support. Instead of simply purchasing distressed assets from financial institutions, some Democratic economists favor injecting lenders with cash in exchange for stock, letting the institutions figure out what to do with the mortgage-backed securities and other troubled assets weighing down their books.”

More: “Republicans were advocating slight changes to the bill that could attract a handful of new votes. Party members might be enticed by a measure that would allow businesses to write off more past losses on this year's taxes or a more robust expansion of mortgage insurance, financed by banks. Democrats could add more assistance to ailing state and local governments without raising too many GOP objections.”

Can the Senate come to the rescue? Politico: “The collapse of Treasury’s financial rescue plan in the House sent Wall Street into a tailspin Monday and left congressional leaders looking for ways to recover — possibly by starting anew in the safer Senate. Senate Republicans are more supportive of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and the massive $700 billion government intervention than are their House counterparts. And leading House Democrats believe that a strong Senate vote — coupled with turmoil in financial markets — will create enough pressure for the House to relent.”

An instant Washington Post/ABC poll conducted yesterday found that 45% supported the bailout measure and 47% opposed it. But nearly nine in 10 “expressed concern that the failure of the bill could lead to a more severe economic decline.” More: “Asked to assess responsibility for the legislation's failure, 44 percent said Republicans were the reason, 21 percent said the Democrats and 17 percent said both sides were responsible.”

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The chickenhawk Republicans did a cut and run. They signed up to the deal and then went AWOL. Why do they hate America.

 Anyone else notice a sudden flurry of new posters all writing the same Republican spin today?  Got new marching orders? Trying to get posting points to win the autographed book from the McCain website?
Republicans = Financial Trouble for average Americans
Republicans = Corporate favoritism
Republicans = Intolerance of minorities
Republicans = Anti-Science, hyper-religious agenda
Republicans = Undermining the Establishment Clause
Republicans = Lies, Greed and Government Corruption
Republicans = Dirty tricks and diversions to hold on to power. "Whatever-it-Takes" to win, politics.

Keep electing the republicans America, and this country is going to be vastly different in just a few more years. It's called a third world Banana Republic.
I'm tired of hearing how the public was against the bail-out because we didn't understand.  No, we understand quite well.  We're not stupid sheep.  If Congress wants to give away tax dollars, send some my way.  I need about $100K so my mortgage will equal the actual value of my house.  Do the same for evereryone else too.
Here is my suggestion for inclusion in the bailout policy.

1) All the banks getting assistance must refinance all troubled mortgages (including those in foreclosure) with an automatic 5% fixed 30 year interest rate.  

2) The payments will automatically come out of the individual's paycheck in 2 or more payments per month. i.e. if the mortgage payment is $1000 monthly, it will be deducted on the 1st and 15th in the amount of $500 per deduction for those who get paid semi-monthly. For weekly paid individuals it will be deducted weekly in the amount of $250 per week, and so on.  If there is 5 pay periods in 1 month the auto draft can only take out 4 payments.  This is something payroll for that firm have to deal with.

3) If the individual is a business owner, their payment comes directly out of their bank account and their business will be held as a guarantor for the mortgage.

4) No executive can make more than $250,000 annually.  Pay increases will be capped at 3%.  Any executive who desires to receive more than $250,000 per year, need to submit a proposal to congress and they have to vote on it.

5) The bailout will have a 25% interest rate for the banks and once it is repaid in fully a portion of it has to come back to the people.  this can be done as an economic stimulus check of $600 per person with $300 for each child.

6) All the banks receiving bailout assistance cannot outsource any part of their business overseas.  All their employees have to be American citizens.

7) If these banks have overseas office they have to pay a higher corporate tax, an additional 10% for not having 80% American staff.

8) All executives making more than $250,000 will get a salary cut to reflect the new salary of $250,000.

9) All executives retiring, resigning, or being laid off will only get 1 month severance equivalent to a month's salary of the $250,000 annually.  

This may seem harsh, but the reality is, they want my money, they need to account for it.  Too many people are losing their jobs because they are using people from India to be customer service representatives.  Enough is enough; you want USA assistance you have to pay dearly.

Thanks
Ruth
Look at the way these lying republicans are latching on to an insiginificant speech given by the House Speaker. W.H.A.T a JOKE!

It was years of republican lies and corruption that got us here. Not Nancy Pelosi!! Are you people that dumb?

"Republi'kins is sooo stupid" -- Elmer Fudd
So now there are 190 Maverick's in the congress who have came out strongly against Bush and Paulson blaming them for the whole mess, just time to go home where most have alredy been running as anything but republican's and away from Bush as directed by the RNC. You have Dino Rossi in Washington running as something called the GOP PARTY where he last run as a Republican and Smith in Oregon running all kinds of ads with him and Barrack another republican runnig away from his party. Now it can be even more in vogue to run as a Maverick.
only their low imfromation voter will buy it.
I have worked in the financial industry since 1985.  I've worked at Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers and am currently working for another firm.  I make an average salary and am a registered Democrat.  I think the bailout should have failed for a number of reasons.
1.  As a free market society, businesses either succeed or fail.   As in evolution - it is the survival of the fittest.  Unfortunately, the companies that are on the brink of failing now will be quite devistating to our economy if they fail.  But we will survive.
2. I don't have $700 BILLION to spare - do you?  And, now after we have lost $1.1  TRILLION in the stock market yesterday, we really can't find the spare change.
3. It appears that the stock markets will recover at the opening.  Those who don't watch the markets on a daily basis, don't know how superstitious and fickle they are.  The markets are behaving erratic because of fear.  If we know where the bottom is, we can plant our feet.  With a bailout or without a bailout, according to Rober Reich yesterday, we will be in a DEEP RECESSION next year.  Thus, why throw $700 BILLION toward saving the financial industry when it doesn't appear that it will help.
4. If we have $700 BILLION to spare - throw it my way. And toward healthcare, energy, education, infrastructure, social security, veterans, seniors, children, disabled, indigent, and on and on and on...
5. With all the talk of certain calamity, no one has convenced me to give my dime to those to whom I believe created this financial crisis.  It makes me wonder who will face the harshest days ahead.  I believe that most "Average Americans" of which I am a part, have already begun facing their own calamity.  We've been through this before and we can weather the storm.
6.  It's time we became a creditor nation again.  Not only with our government, but in our everyday lives.  Older Americans remember the Depression.  There was no credit.  We have become a nation tolerant and encouraging for individuals and corporations to borrow not only beyond their means, but WAY beyond their means.  What happend to working and saving to buy what you wanted?
7. Tough medicine is hard to take, but effective.  A placebo bailout plan won't cure our economic ills.  It will help a few to feel better, but overall masks the ailment.  Let the economic conditions guide us out of this fiasco.  There will be a day when the tides will turn and we might once again live on easy street.  Maybe this time though we will put in caution signs and guard rails and a policeman or two to navigate the narrow road.
Both components of our economy are suffering; the financial services sector (the tracks on which our economic train runs) and more importantly the producer/consumer sector (the engine that pulls the train).  The bailout plan that was rejected really only offered relief for the financial services sector.  Democrats need to assume more of a leadership roll; re-write the bill adding relief for producers and consumers and then properly educate the public as to why it needs to pass.  In this way they reach out to Republican legislators through their constituents.  Since Bush and his team have proven inept in educating the public, the Democrats should use their most recognizable figure as their spokesperson Barack Obama.  The Democratic bill should be just one component of a strategy aimed at rebuilding our economy to the point when it was at its greatest strength; from the years 1948 to 1962.  What gave it its strength then was a large, productive and fairly paid middle class.
My husband wants to by a Cadillac for cash.  He will not because he can not be sure of a warrantee or parts.  I think the whitehouse should use some of the 700 Billion and save this industry.  The unions have given much to help, they are just trying to break the union.  I am not pro union always, but this should not be blamed on the workers, this all started with wall street gambling.



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