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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Battleground: Obama widens leads

Posted: Tuesday, October 14, 2008 9:22 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

Obama has widened his lead in four new battleground states polled by Quinnipiac/Washingtonpost.com/WSJ. Obama now leads 52%-43% in Colorado; 54%-38% in Michigan; 51%-40% in Minnesota; and 54%-37% in Wisconsin. 
 
Politico/Insider Advantage polls survey four Bush-won counties (2000 and 2004) in battlegrounds Nevada, North Carolina, Florida and Colorado. Obama leads in three.

COLORADO: Undecided voters being tracked by the Denver Post are evaluating both candidates on character and becoming more and more exasperated. "'The more I learn about these candidates, the more fed up I get,' said Gary Jones, 57, a human-resources consultant in Littleton and part of a group of undecided voters… 'I want some specifics, but there aren't any. What I learned in the last debate was that everything was either all George Bush's fault or all the Democratic Congress' fault. That can't be.'"

MAINE: Playing a little offense, Sarah Palin is headed to Maine on Thursday. "If Todd Palin’s down-to-earth, snowmobile-riding personality played well in eastern Maine over the weekend, his wife’s folksy, working mother, moose-hunting affectations are likely to be just as popular, pundits say."

NEVADA:  The state’s political guru, Jon Ralston, reported yesterday that Democrats now enjoy a 376-voter lead in traditionally GOP Washoe County. “So now the only red area of the state is where the cows live,” he wrote.

Obama's California supporters are trekking to Nevada to help the campaign there. 

NEW HAMPSHIRE: Obama will be in the Granite State on Thursday.

NORTH CAROLINA: Local coverage of McCain's first general-election public event in North Carolina from the News Observer: "McCain is being forced to play defense in North Carolina and in Virginia -- two upper-tier Southern states that have been reliably Republican in recent presidential elections. McCain sent his running mate, Sarah Palin, into North Carolina last week and she is scheduled to return for a fundraiser in Greensboro and a rally at Elon University on Thursday. Plans are being laid for McCain to attend a rally in Charlotte on Saturday." 

OHIO: The Boston Globe goes to Northeastern Ohio. "Here, where nearly 5,000 workers produce truckload after truckload of Chevrolet Cobalts and Pontiac G5s, the work keeps growing, and with it hope that US automakers can compete in a radically reshaped global economy…  In this environment, the stakes in the presidential election feel somewhat different than they do elsewhere across the industrial Midwest, where voters are seeing their factories close, health insurance evaporate, and livelihoods threatened. That is not to say that there is widespread contentment in Lordstown, because there's not. But interviews with voters suggest less of an urgency about picking a candidate based solely on his ability to solve the country's economic woes."

Cuyahoga County is the latest to make moves to launch an investigation of ACORN.

PENNSYLVANIA: A Marist poll out yesterday shows Obama up 12 points among likely voters, 53%-41%. Last month's poll showed that advantage for the Democratic nominee, at only five points, 49%-44%.

The dean (David Broder) heads to the Keystone State and finds McCain's mission to win Pennsylvania close to being "mission impossible."

VIRGINIA: McCain's stop yesterday was in the state’s most important region: Hampton Roads. "The McCain campaign estimated the crowd at 25,000 people, but the local police and fire marshal put it closer to 12,000. Supporters waved ‘Country First’ signs and handmade posters with the words ‘I Have 4 Hockey Moms and 1 Joe Six Pack for McCain-Palin’ and ‘Trig for First Baby,’ referring to Palin's youngest son. Palin, by far, received the most cheers. ‘Sar-ah!’ they chanted. ‘Sar-ah!’”

“Hampton Roads, a sprawling area of 1.6 million people in 17 localities, includes the state's second-largest metropolitan area and largest city. Virginia's southeastern corner has been a swing area in recent years, veering back and forth between Republicans and Democrats."

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The dean heads to the Keystone State and finds McCain's mission to win Pennsylvania close to being "mission impossible."
*******************************************************

Wow.  I hadn't heard anyone describe it as being that dismal a 'mission'.  While I still think that Obama will win PA, I also think that McCain will give Obama a run for his money.

Although, I haven't seen nearly as many McCain ads as I have Obama ads...

http://thepajamapundit.com/
Livng here in Nevada, I've gotten to watch how time and energy Obama has put into our state.  It's great to watch.  Come on Nevada, GO BLUE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Obama/Biden 08
Who is Vera Baker and why wont Keith Olbermann tell us about her?
The voters are not stupid. We see through and
are disgusted with the Mccain/palin campaign.
Continuous lies, distortions, attacks.
It is too late to try and change tactics as
the damage has already been done. They have
lost all respect of the American people, and
most certainly are not fit to lead our country.
It is so heartening to see the battleground states lean more and more towards Obama as Election Day nears.  Just need to keep seeing more red states turn blue so Obama/Biden and the whole Democratic ticket wins more power in order to ensure we won't have a fillibuster deadlock that the repugnant ones will use to muck up progress.

So funny that "Scarlet Letter" Sarah is heading to Maine to waste her time.  She should just shut up and let the old geezer make statements.  I'm so glad he picked her as she has been the biggest reason he's losing.

Go Obama/Biden 08/12!
I want Obama to keep this up.  Assume nothing until those ballots are cast on November 4th.

Do not stop at GO!  Keep your foot on the gas!  Full steam ahead!  And other cliches that signify a dedicated and focused effort to achieving victory!
This election is really astonishing to watch McCain and his Johnny-Come-Lately crew run around like chickens!  

They are so out of touch and these old arguments such as abortion and guns is a total reach.  The next time I go fill my tank up or buy groceries, I will tell the attendants I am against/ or for abortion and gun rights so, bag my items and give me a receipt for my purchase!

The point is...WHO CARES???  Those arguments will pay for NOTHING, the economy is in shambles are they are grand standing on issues I care nothing about.  

The color of money is green, the GOP and their buddies have gotten filthy rich and now they want to cut spending; GIVE ME A BREAK!
Times are changing. Undoubtedly there will be some who don't vote for Obama simply because he's Black, but obviously they have bigger internal issues to deal with, however, this movement is too strong for the pessimist -and just plain ignorant- to do anything about.

IOWAN'S??? Who wouldv'e thought they would lead the nation in pursuit of moving this Country forward. If only the rest of the Nation had the confidence, and independent thinking capacity that the people of Iowa displayed.

Tomorrow's debate will only widen Obama's lead across this Great Nation...

Obama/Biden 08
those numbers are high in Minnesota and Wisconsin! Hope these polls crystalize in the polling booth! If so, we'll have our new President - one who wants Change and to put America back on track!!

Obama/Biden - '08!
PEOPLE SHOULD NOT FEAR THE GOVERNMENT...........THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD FEAR IT'S PEOPLE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I find it stunning that some undecideds are still looking for specifics from the candidates. Clearly, Obama has provided specifics since the beginning of the meltdown.He has laid out his proposals on more than one occasion and continues to enhance with specifics as the dynamics of the situation changes.

Neither of the candidates are in a position to say with 100% certainty what they will do because they are still Senators. Who knows what the new president will uncover once they are in the White House.

Unless Bush finds Osama bin Laden before 11/4 this election is over! If Obama loses it will be because the Deibold voting machines were rigged in McCain's favor.

I find it interesting that all these right wing pundits are panting about the ACORN debacle. Yes, they are a nuisance but no matter how many bogus registration applications they submit you can be sure that Mickey Mouse, Hans Solo, Donald Duck, Luke Skywalker, etc. will not be voting. All this screaming about voter fraud is just noise. It is not fraud unless a vote is cast by one of these idiots.

Until then, ACORN should be held accountable for clogging up the system and punished appropriately.

Polls, schmolls. They don't mean anything at this point but the hard work and terrific ground game of the Obama campaign should yield winning results.
As a PA resident and Democrat, I have to say that I couldn't have been happier with my state. Since the debates and economic downturn, I have seen an increase of Obama/Biden signs...about 6 or 7 Obama signs to 1 McCain sign.



FR: "The McCain campaign estimated the crowd at 25,000 people, but the local police and fire marshal put it closer to 12,000."

Kind of says it all. McCain may or may not have a shred of integrity left, but he's tainted with staffers who surely don't.

Hampton Roads is important but not the swing part of Virginia. Its Loudoun, western Fairfax and Prince William Counties - the outer bands of Northern Virginia.

If these areas go heavily Republican, McCain wins. If they come closer to a split, Obama wins.

Its these areas in which Mark Warner did well, and his coattails allowed for Kaine to do well there, too. Its also where Webb did well.
pennsylvania is 'mission impossible` for boozo mccain & the school kids voted Obama for President--and the school kids are never wrong...bye bye mccain& palin...the duel A-holes.
"Who is Vera Baker and why wont Keith Olbermann tell us about her?"

Because Americans are concerned with real issues and not just another meaningless name for Obama's past the has no relavance on what is happening today.  This kind of thing just shows how the Republicans know they have no shot and are just trying to fling mud to see if something sticks.  Perhaps we should discuss Palin and her abuse of power which has been ingnored.  Maybe we should look deeper at Charles Keating and how he still enjoys a friendship with McCain.  Obama has done a wonderful job of allowing McCain the opportunity to keep his honor by not bringing up this garbage.  McCain has decided to destroy his legacy with his cowardly actions.
The election is lost, now the Right is scrambling to try to claim the Democrats won't have a mandate to lead.  If they can't win the election they'll be just as happy to steal the ability to govern.
We are all behind Obama and Biden, they really gat the muscle to govern. Go Obama! Show them! Yu are the truest Leader America has ever had
Who is Vera Baker and why wont Keith Olbermann tell us about her?
CH, IL (Sent Tuesday, October 14, 2008 9:36 AM)
_________________________________________________

Here we go with more BS from the GOP!
The GOP has alot of nerve trying to say Obama had an affair with this woman.  Now all of a sudden... the GOP is desperate.
Newt Gingrich left his ailing wife and so did McCain, so let's not even go there! Can you say Larry Craig...he took it to a new level!

Obama is the next POTUS and for those who plan to move to Canada' if Obama wins...why aren't you packed and gone yet?  


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