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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Down Ballot: Last GOP Yankee standing?

Posted: Tuesday, October 21, 2008 9:29 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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Will the lone New England Republican in the House survive this year's anti-GOP tide? It's looking grim for Chris Shays, who’s running against a lesser-known opponent than last time. He's tied at 44% in a new UConn poll.

The Washington Post identifies at least 10 House Dem challengers who could benefit from a surge in black voters to carry them to victory. 

Ted Stevens wrapped up his testimony yesterday. "Although dour at times, Stevens was less confrontational than he has been in previous testimony. He was the last witness in his month-long trial on charges that he lied on financial disclosure forms to hide more than $250,000 in gifts and renovations to his house in Girdwood, Alaska, from 1999 through 2006. The Justice Department alleges that many of the gifts and renovations were financed by an oil services company or its top executive, Bill Allen, the government's chief witness. Closing arguments are scheduled for today, and jurors could start deliberations as early as tomorrow. Prosecutors have not introduced any evidence that appears to be a ‘smoking gun.’ Instead, they have relied on a treasure trove of e-mails and handwritten notes and on testimony from Allen to build a circumstantial case that the senator tried to hide gifts and renovations from public scrutiny."

Rep. Michele Bachmann’s opponent Elwyn Tinklenburg raised $810,000 in the 72 hours following her Hardball appearance in which she called for an investigation into anti-American Congressional members. Her opponent had only raised $1 million previously. "National Democrats, sensing opportunity, announced Monday they would pour $1 million into TV ads in the district, which lies on a corridor from the Twin Cities northwest to St. Cloud." Not even Republican Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty would back her up.

The wife of Florida Rep. Tim Mahoney, embroiled in a sex scandal, filed for divorce.

This is something the New York Times doesn't do everyday -- it uses its editorial page to chastise Sen. Chris Dodd. "After reports emerged in June about him having received favorable treatment on two home mortgages from the Countrywide Financial Corporation, Senator Christopher Dodd, a Democrat from Connecticut, promised that he would release documents to support his contention that he never benefited financially from the terms of the loans. The senator has failed to keep his promise, and his excuses are wearing ridiculously thin.”

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Not even Republican Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty would back her up.
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Bachmann is going to lose her re-election... to a guy named Tinklenburg.  Wow.

If only she hadn't made that asinine statement on Hardball...

http://thepajamapundit.com/
Once this chapter is closed in the GOP history books another one will open, and page one will start by saying Senator Barack Obama is President.

http://lastofourkind.blogspot.com
Dodd & Barney Frank should be investgated for their lax roles in the Fannie/Freddie crisis, & who benefitted from them.

Barack's "friends" & "advisors", Raines & Johnson should come clean.

Unfortunately this will never happen thanks to Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi, & Barack.

America, we had 6 years of one party in control....Let's NOT repeat history!
lets hope the Democrats are in majority, if we get another 8 years of repub rule with someone like Bush ( John Mccain )  We will have a Dictator who is trying to convience people that giving a tax cut to the HARDWORKING MIDDLE CLASS,  "like myself & millions of other people, IS WELFARE..UNBELIEVEABLE!
It is now painfully obvious why the US Congress has such a low favorable rating. These people are nuts!

Stevens and Dodd can't remember getting all those
favors; Shays can't possible have been very effective or he could withstand a Democratic challenger; Mahoney is dunce of the year; and to paraphrase Keith O., Congresswoman Bachmann is unstable.
I'll just be glad when this election year is over because it has brought out the best and the worst like no election in recent memory, reminicent of Watergate.
Only an outsider like Obama has a chance of Reform in that cesspool. Notice it didn't take him 26 years to figure out this sh** is broken and maybe "I can help fix it!"
If Shays' opponent can rouse the African American community in Bridgeport to vote against Shays, he'll be toast. And I think that weirdo McCarthyite Bachmann from Minn. is already toast. Dodd may or may not be toast, depending on how much Dems want to pack Congress with dems, and Stevens will NOT be toast if he can beat this current rap, because Alaskan Republicans who can elect Palin should have no problem with Stevens---though Palin may have a problem with Stevens in some future political incarnation of her career (even if McCain loses, and EVEN if she's burned on the Trooper/House/etcgate thing, we'll see her again, eventually in Washington...count on it!).
Now let's hear more about the Palin second home in which Todd Palin's "contractor buddies" helped him build-the contractors and supplies of the Wasilla Sports complex that Sarah Phalin takes sooooo much credit for? (even though she had the ground broke for the complex on another man's property and the municipality of Wasilla now must pay up to 1.3 million dollars thanks to Caribou Barbie's boorish business tactics). Sounds just like a similar situation to me- so let's hear all about it.  Just WHO did pay for the Palin's second home? Joe six pack, Joe the Plumber, Joe the tax payer, Joe the unsuspecting, Joe the buddy contractor????
I thought negotiating the best possible deal on your mortgage made you a smart consumer.  Guess not, according to the cretin crowd.
You might want to check Georgia too.  We're sick of Shameless (Saxby Chambliss) in our state, and Jim Martin is neck and neck with him, and that's after only joining the race a few months ago!  Oh, and as for Bachmann's interview with Chris Matthews, she brought that on herself.  I love you Chris, but I actually got amused because you seemed so befuddled.  I have never seen Chris Matthews speechless, but that took the cake.  I have to admit, I think my jaw was actually on the floor too.  I mean, where did this woman come from, and if she's that ignorant, who in the hell voted to elect her to Congress?!  I've got news for Bachmann, and all other right wingers - Democrats/Liberals/Whatever Label you want to give us are very proud of our country, we're proud to be Americans, and we don't have to question other people's morals or patriotism to get ahead.  Stop it! Enough!
Michele Bachmann's a bigot.  I've seen her on C-SPAN and now the country sees what type of politicians are in Washington.  

Too bad for her the GOP trotted her out to administer the McLies campaign strategy of fear, anger, and hatred against urban America.

I'm disgusted with the Republican party and embarassed to have considered them my party of choice 6 months ago.  They've driven Colin Powell away and now I believe you'll see a continued slip and a significant victory for Democrats across the board this year.

Obama/Biden '08


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