ABOUT FIRST READ

First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Battleground: Lots of early voting

Posted: Tuesday, October 21, 2008 9:36 AM by Domenico Montanaro

The Politico  takes a magnifying glass to key swing counties in McCain's must-win states, and the news is not good for the GOP nominee. In Nevada's Washoe and North Carolina's Wake, Obama has made gains since earlier this month, besting his opponent by ten and 9 points respectively. But pollsters find that both states, as a whole, remain a dead heat.

Video: Many counties in Florida are reporting record turnout as early voting kicks off. NBC’s Kerry Sanders reports.

COLORADO: "About 400 voters showed up during the first three hours of voting in Arapahoe County. That's about the same turnout as during the entire five days of early voting in the August primary in that county, said Clerk and Recorder Nancy Doty."

FLORIDA: Long lines greeted early voters in the Sunshine state. "Registration numbers released Sunday show a 600,000-voter edge for Democrats over Republicans in Florida: 4.7 million versus 4.1 million, with 2.1 million people identifying with neither party. The McCain campaign acknowledged it expected more Democrats than Republicans to vote early, but says GOP voters have requested 295,000 absentee ballots statewide compared with 199,000 Democrats."

First Person: Did you vote early?  How wre your experiences?  Send us your video, photos or personal report.

MICHIGAN: 8-mile native Eminem endorsed Obama. (Where’s Eminem been, anyway?)

NEVADA: Jon Ralston on the early voting in the state: “Third day exceeds second. Turnout will hit double-digits Tuesday. Democrats still have huge lead -- 40,625 -17,509. That’s 59 percent to 25 percent. (Monday it was 13,099-6,419.) In CD3, it’s 2-to-1 Democratic voter lead. Senate 5 (Heck) just under 2-to-1 Democrats; Senate 6 (Beers) about 2-to-1, too. The Democrats essentially are doubling the GOP turnout -- or more -- every day. Can they possibly keep this up?"

More from Ralston from his daily report: "Four years ago, the best the Democrats could do was to capture 46 percent of that day's early voters on any given day. This weekend: On Saturday, it was 62 percent; Sunday, it was 58 percent. Contrast that with the GOP numbers from 2004: The worst day the Republicans had was 37 percent of the early vote on any given day. On Saturday, the GOP turnout was 23 percent of the total and Sunday it was 26 percent. Yes, it's only two days. But it's the two days where - besides, perhaps, the final weekend of early voting - there will be the greatest turnout."

NEW HAMPSHIRE: The Concord Monitor is out with a new poll that puts Obama up seven points in the Granite State, up from a four-point lead last month.

NORTH CAROLINA: The New York Times parachutes into this toss-up state to see why it’s tied. "The turnabout can be traced to an influx of new voters and a change in demographics; a slowing of the state’s economy and the collapse of the nation’s financial system; Mr. Obama’s extensive ground organization, huge financial advantage and amount spent on television (seven to one over Mr. McCain); the state’s large population of blacks and students; and Mr. McCain’s neglect of the state.”

“The relative position of the candidates was evident in their visits to the state last weekend. Mr. McCain spoke to a few thousand people in Concord, in Cabarrus County, which is an exurb of Charlotte and which voted lopsidedly in 2004 for Mr. Bush (67 percent to 33 percent). On a sunny Saturday morning, Mr. McCain’s audience seemed made up mainly of his base. They cheered loudly when he mentioned Ms. Palin and ‘Joe the Plumber’… "On Sunday, in a fortuitous bit of timing, Mr. Obama spoke in Fayetteville, dense with military families, in his first appearance after being endorsed by former Secretary of State Colin L. Powell. Mr. Obama’s visit to the area, which voted marginally for Mr. Bush in 2004, was his sixth trip to the state since the primaries, and he was reaching beyond his base."

"Police at Western Carolina University and wildlife officials were investigating the discovery early Monday of a dead bear cub draped with a pair of Barack Obama campaign signs. ... The bear had been shot in the head. ... Bear season is under way in western North Carolina."

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Comments

"8-mile native Eminem endorsed Obama"

Clearly, he endorsed Obama just because they are both black, right! :)

lol

When history looks back at this election, there are gonna be SOOOOOO many folks who are shown to have had much smaller minds than we thought possible - most with their own radio shows! :)
So, in Florida, voting machines and voting ID data base matching machines, all of a sudden started to malfunction on the exact day early voting starts, even though they were working perfectly fine during testing.  Does anyone else find this fishy?  I think the machines either never were tested properly, or, someone is rigging them so they magically malfunction on the one day they need to perform perfectly...voting day.  I sure hope many vote early, because we know now that Florida, and states that use machines like it, are going to mess this up really big.  I mean, does the heat fry Florida's gov't officials' minds, or are they all just plain dumb and or corrupt?  I say, cede Florida back to Spain...its more trouble than its worth.
ACORN, hackers, etc:
PLEASE give Barack as many votes as possible.
I can't wait for another stimulus check.
I'm double-parked.
Lots of early voting will be godd for Obama/Biden.  I sure hope that those who would have to wait in line on Election Day get smart and vote early so they are sure to get their vote in.  It sure looks like it's going good in the battleground states, far more than Mcnasty thought would be the case.  Just more places for McNasty to spread his finite money while Obama can spread the wealth around and be competitive in places he wouldn't if he had made the mistake of taking taxpayer money.

Go Obama/Biden 08/12!
From Nevada:  YES WE CAN!!!!!!!!

God comment from Keith last night!!!!!!

Obama/Biden 08/12
I think Early voting can only help Obama. He has had the momentum and he has a bigger ground game. It will be exciting to see the numbers once they start to get released.

Check out the latest post:
http://lastofourkind.blogspot.com
Reports of long lines in early voting in Florida showed voters, including the elderly, standing on their feet waiting for up to 3 hours to vote.

This may be The Lord’s plan to prevent bigoted older Americans from voting. Will they simply remove themselves from the long lines when their strength gives out, due to a lack of physical stamina, and bladder control, etc.?

If The Lord intends to bless any of His servants, there is nothing that can prevent it.
No one will know until the polls close, but this has the definate possibility of an electoral landslide.
GEEEZ - Why shot an innocent bear?  Is this part of the America Palin was talking about???  Is this the kind of crap we need in America???????????   One bad apple can spoil the whole bunch Palin.  It's my belief America has 0 tolerance for this crap.

Proud American for Obama/Biden
It may be me but does it seem a bit maybe unethical to allow the candidates to campaign in these states that have early voting. I mean to have a rally and then tell them go vote for me is no different then letting poll workers were shirts, buttons, ect in the polling places.
I've been rooting for Gore in 2000, Kerry in 2004 but a  majority of us Americans prefer things that are easy to the eyes and ears --- being wrapped and delivered nicely rather than using common sense to pick the right man for job... anyways, hope is alive and well for us then. McCain had been standing near the helm for quite a long time with a grand view of the things-gone-wrong/thing-gone-right from previous administrations. It's high time we elect him us POTUS to clean up the mess we're in.
The lines were long in Tampa.  
<<"Police at Western Carolina University and wildlife officials were investigating the discovery early Monday of a dead bear cub draped with a pair of Barack Obama campaign signs.">>

Even for Sarah Palin, this is stooping pretty darn low...
Florida might really be going Obama's way.  This past summer, I was visiting my dad and stepmom and she said while she she thought Obama was a very inspiring person, she couldn't vote for him because he would raise her taxes (unlike many people who complain about this, they actually are in the tax bracket that would be raised.)

I saw them here in MD over the weekend and they were heading back to FL Monday and planned to vote that same day - for Obama!

I never thought I'd see the day when my dad voted for a democrat, especially one who told him outright that he would raise his taxes.  I started looking out the window to see if pigs were flying yet.

My dad said that sometimes you have to vote for the greater good - and he thought Obama would make the country better for his children and grandchildren.

Obama 08/12!
Keep it up Nevada and to my old home state New Hampshire way to go.  This former republican, veteran, white Christian nearing retirement is voting for the right man for the right time...Sen. Barack Obama.  Don't let this country be further damaged folks.  The make believe maverick and his neo-con side kick would be a travesty for the middle class and poor of this nation.
Way to go my fellow Americans! Keep getting out to vote early. It is our Constiutional and God given right to do so. Remember if there are any Repubican Operatives out and about trying to suppress this election as well. Contact your local authorities immediately!! The Republican Party is not above any law, and justice must be served. Go Obama!
It is exciting to see the early voting and the
overwhelming support of Barack Obama and the
Democrats.
For those of you who have not yet made up your
minds please consider the following:
We have the largest deficit in the history of
our country.
We owe billions upon billions of dollars to
foreign countries.
We have the largest government ever.
We have a broken medical, education system.
Our economy is in shambles.
We are involved in an unjustied war, draining
our country of resources and allowing thousands
of innocent men and women to lose their lives.
We have lost support and respect world wide.
And, we have burdened our children, grandchildren
etc for decades to come, due to our present
government.
Our country cannot afford or survive more of
the same.
ENOUGH!!
"Police at Western Carolina University and wildlife officials were investigating the discovery early Monday of a dead bear cub draped with a pair of Barack Obama campaign signs. ... The bear had been shot in the head. ... Bear season is under way in western North Carolina."

-------------------------------------

This is why when people say Obama will win NC I say I'll believe it when I see it.
Can they possibly keep this up?

YES WE CAN!  Fool us once (2000); fool us twice (2004); not going to happen in 2008!  YES WE CAN!

                       Obama/Biden '08/'12
The early voting numbers by party registration seem like dumb metrics to even talk about. And it also smacks of early exit polling, which I thought you guys didn't like to do.

The story should simply be that indicators are pointing to a potential huge turnout in general.

The swing counties polling is significant, and makes me question the accuracy of the statewide polls. It could be a case of the statewide numbers just being behind the more focused county-level polls.
Somebody shot a bear cub and then covered it with Obama signs? Guess its more of those McCain supporters he's so proud of.
*
TODAY'S HEADLINES: --->  "ALARM: BIDEN WARNS AMERICA'S ENEMIES WILL TEST OBAMA."

HILLARY SAID ... "OBAMA IS NOT READY TO ANSWER THE WHITE HOUSE PHONE AT 3 a.m."

BILL CLINTON SAID ... "OBAMA IS NOT READY TO BE PRESIDENT."

EVEN JOE BIDEN SAID --- "OBAMA IS NOT READY TO BE PRESIDENT!"

AND THEY SAID THIS JUST A FEW MONTHS AGO !!!

WHAT MAKES OBAMA READY -- NOW -- TO HANDLE A FOREIGN POLICY CRISIS?

N-O-T-H-I-N-G. ... (OBAMA HAS NOT CHANGED; ONLY THEY HAVE CHANGED.)

=====================================================
I VOTED TODAY, AND FLORIDA IS WITHOUT DOUBT GOING BLUE!!!

{It was plenty encouraging today... I saw old, young, black, white, white collar, blue collar, so much diversity at the polls sportin' Obama/Biden shirts}

This is what's up!!!

{Mia From Mia, where you at??? We gotta go knock on some doors :}
Let's hope those early votes aren't being tampered with by the RNC.
OMG, what is wrong with people!! I just listened to McCain's angry tirade aka. "stump speech", and not once did he advice his supporters to be respectful.  He said it once or twice last week and that's it. Obama has repeatedly stated this during his rallys.

This is America and the world is watching, this type of conduct is shameful and embarrassing!
That bear story makes me a bit uneasy. But then, I'm not a hunter so maybe I just don't get it?
Of course there are more requests for absentee ballots from GOP voters. Just like their candidate, they have seven or eight homes in differnt states!!
Yesterday, I went and voted of course for Obama. I have been a Democrat all my life and I am married to a Republican unfortunately,ha! I encourage all the undecided voters out there to vote for Obama because he will lead this country in the right direction. Colin Powell said the most important thing about Obama on Sunday and that was that Obama was "transformational"! How powerful is that! That in itself should be enough for all of the undecided voters to cast their for Obama. Obama has remained this entire campaign even, controlled, steadfast, strong and surrounded himself with great people in his inner circle that just proves even more why he would make a great President.
Why has there been no mention of Bill Clinton's rallies for Obama in Missouri and Nevada on Monday, the same day Hillary was in Florida with Barack?

Could it be that this story would mess up the "unhelpful Bill" meme that the media keeps pushing?  I certainly think a former President on the stump for the Democratic presidential nominee is newsworthy, don't you?
I'm a first time voter, who voted early in TN on yesterday. Everyone was so nice. I'm glad I voted early, because Lord knows what will happen on election
day. McCain's comments appear to have undertones that
could be viewed as "read between the lines, if you know what I mean."  
If McCain focuses more on the blame game, who will he
blame if elected as President.
All these numbers sound good for the Democratic ticket. However, I didn't think that the votes were being counted at this time since the election date is Nov. 4. If that is indeed the case, no one knows what the actual count is because the registration only tells the political party not the actual vote.
I believe the enthusiasm shown by early voters is based on the fact that people are tired of the last 8 years and want change. I am sure most of the early voters are voting overwhelmingly for Obama. The tenor of the McCain campaign is so negative and devisive that while it may placate their base, does nothing to motivate their voters to robustly support their ticket. The more negative they become the more Obama supporters are driven to vote if nothing else to shut them up.


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